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Malibu Boats, Inc.
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== '''DCF Valuation''' == Our $60.26 price target represents our DCF valuation on Malibu Boats over the next 2 years. A discount rate of 9.76% (2.36% quarterly) and an exit multiple of 12.17x EV/EBITDA were used. Key assumptions used in formulating the three different cases can be seen below: {| class="wikitable" | |'''Bull case''' |'''Base case''' |'''Bear case''' |- |'''Rationale''' |On the 10th of August, the awaited CPI report is unveiled, bringing a pleasant surprise with better-than-expected news. The economic outlook takes a positive turn as it is revealed that the recession has been avoided. This encouraging development prompts a much-needed shift in the Federal Reserve's strategy, leading them to pivot towards rate cuts by the end of 2023. |The Federal Reserve is poised to implement either one or two additional rate hikes, while plans for interest rate reductions are anticipated by mid-2024. This prospect leaves investors in a state of uncertainty. |The US economy enters a recession, leading to a significant decline in consumer demand for leisure items. As a result, the revenues of Malibu Boats plummet, and investors' sentiment worsens. |- |'''Target price''' |$65.79 |$60.26 |$55.21 |}
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