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|key_people=Robert Newry}}
|key_people=Robert Newry}}


Employing the right people is one of the best ways to maximise the profitability of any business<ref>https://www.shrm.org/hr-today/news/hr-magazine/Pages/1112focus.aspx</ref>, and Arctic Shores is a company that's on a mission to provide more objective, engaging, and fair ways to assess potential employees.<ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/our-story</ref>
Employing the right people is one of the best ways to maximise the profitability of businesses, and Arctic Shores is a company that's on a mission to provide more objective, engaging, and fair ways to assess potential employees.


At the heart of Arctic Shores' offerings is its psychometric platform, UNA, engineered to assess key personality traits or competencies that are indicative of success in a given job role.<ref name=":18" /> Currently, there doesn't seem to be a material uniqueness and benefit of the UNA offering.  
At the heart of Arctic Shores' offerings is its psychometric platform, UNA, engineered to assess key personality traits or competencies that are indicative of success in a given job role.  


Assuming that Arctic Shores increases its share of the HR tech market by 741x to 0.5% (from 0.00068%) and other assumptions, the expected return of an investment in the company over the next five years is 12x, which equates to an annual return of 67%. In other words, an £100,000 investment in the company is expected to return £1,302,058 in five years time.
Assuming that Arctic Shores increases its share of the ccc market by cccx to 1% (from less than ccc%) and other assumptions, the expected return of an investment in the company over the next five years is ccc%, which equates to an annual return of ccc%. In other words, an £100,000 investment in the company is expected to return £ccc in five years time.


The degree of risk associated with an investment in Arctic Shores is 'high', with the shares having an adjusted beta that is 7x above the market (6.93 vs. 1).
The degree of risk associated with an investment in Arctic Shores is 'high', with the shares having an adjusted beta that is unknown.


Accordingly, if your desired annual rate of return is 67% or less and/or one of your goals is to provide more objective, engaging, and fair ways to assess potential employees (i.e. you share in the mission of the Arctic Shores company), and you are both willing and able to accept the possibility of losing your entire investment amount, then an investment in the company is considered to be a 'suitable' one.
Accordingly, if your desired annual rate of return is ccc% or less and/or one of your goals is to provide more objective, engaging, and fair ways to assess potential employees (i.e. you share in the mission of the Arctic Shores company), and you are both willing and able to accept the possibility of losing your entire investment amount, then an investment in the company is considered to be a 'suitable' one.


'''Fun fact:''' the company misspelled its name as "Artic Shores Limited" on the official incorporation filing documents, but realised and corrected the error to "Arctic Shores Limited" within four days.<ref name=":15">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048</ref>
'''Fun fact:''' the company misspelled its name as "Artic Shores Limited" on the official incorporation filing documents, but realised and corrected the error to "Arctic Shores Limited" within four days.<ref name=":15">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048</ref>
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Arctic Shores' mission is to provide more objective, engaging, and fair ways to assess potential employees, going beyond the traditional CV to give every candidate a chance to showcase their true potential.
Arctic Shores' mission is to provide more objective, engaging, and fair ways to assess potential employees, going beyond the traditional CV to give every candidate a chance to showcase their true potential.


The game-based assessments it developed are designed to measure cognitive and emotional abilities, as well as personality traits, in a more engaging way than traditional psychometric tests. By doing so, it aims to reduce biases in hiring decisions and improve the diversity and quality of hires.
The game-based assessments they developed are designed to measure cognitive and emotional abilities, as well as personality traits, in a more engaging way than traditional psychometric tests. By doing so, they aim to reduce biases in hiring decisions and improve the diversity and quality of hires.


=== What are the main offering(s) of the company? ===
=== What are the main offering(s) of the company? ===
[[File:Illustration of the UNA platform interface on a computer screen..png|thumb|An illustration of the UNA platform interface showcasing its various features.]]
[[File:Illustration of the UNA platform interface on a computer screen..png|thumb|An illustration of the UNA platform interface showcasing its various features.]]
Arctic Shores Limited specialises in innovative talent assessment solutions, leveraging psychometric games and Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology to revolutionise recruitment processes​<ref>https://dotcommagazine.com/2023/07/arctic-shores-a-fascinating-comprehensive-guide/#:~:text=A%20rctic%20Shores%20is%20a,insights%20into%20candidates%E2%80%99%20cognitive</ref>​. Its primary offering is a talent discovery platform known as UNA, which embodies a myriad of features designed to optimise recruitment outcomes:
Arctic Shores Limited specialises in innovative talent assessment solutions, leveraging psychometric games and Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology to revolutionise recruitment processes​<ref>https://dotcommagazine.com/2023/07/arctic-shores-a-fascinating-comprehensive-guide/#:~:text=A%20rctic%20Shores%20is%20a,insights%20into%20candidates%E2%80%99%20cognitive</ref>​. Their primary offering is a Talent Discovery Platform known as UNA, which embodies a myriad of features designed to optimise recruitment outcomes:


# '''Games-Based Assessments (GBA):'''
# '''Games-Based Assessments (GBA):'''
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#* Unlike conventional questioning, UNA employs tasks to assess candidates, which enables a more practical understanding of a candidate’s abilities and behaviors. The tasks score every step a candidate takes, akin to how scoring would be done in interviews or exams, which can increase the size of the talent pool by up to 20%​​.<ref name=":18">https://www.arcticshores.com/una</ref>
#* Unlike conventional questioning, UNA employs tasks to assess candidates, which enables a more practical understanding of a candidate’s abilities and behaviors. The tasks score every step a candidate takes, akin to how scoring would be done in interviews or exams, which can increase the size of the talent pool by up to 20%​​.<ref name=":18">https://www.arcticshores.com/una</ref>
# '''Personality and Workplace Intelligence Assessment:'''
# '''Personality and Workplace Intelligence Assessment:'''
#* Arctic Shores assesses both personality and what it terms as Workplace Intelligence (akin to Aptitude). These can be measured separately or combined to provide a holistic, accurate picture of someone’s ability to succeed in a role​​.<ref name=":18" />
#* Arctic Shores assesses both Personality and what they term as Workplace Intelligence (akin to Aptitude). These can be measured separately or combined to provide a holistic, accurate picture of someone’s ability to succeed in a role​​.<ref name=":18" />
# '''Exceptional Candidate Experience:'''
# '''Exceptional Candidate Experience:'''
#* The platform focuses on delivering an interactive, engaging assessment experience for candidates, supported by instant feedback reports and round-the-clock user support​​.<ref name=":18" />
#* The platform focuses on delivering an interactive, engaging assessment experience for candidates, supported by instant feedback reports and round-the-clock user support​​.<ref name=":18" />
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=== What is the price of the offering? ===
=== What is the price of the offering? ===


[[File:Illustration of a laptop screen displaying the Arctic Shores website's pricing page with the words 'Flexible pricing for all your recruitment needs'..png|thumb|An illustration of the Arctic Shores website's pricing page on a laptop with a padlock symbolising undisclosed pricing.]]
[[File:Illustration of a laptop screen displaying the Arctic Shores website's pricing page with the words 'Flexible pricing for all your recruitment needs'..png|thumb|An illustration of the Arctic Shores website's pricing page on a laptop with a padlock symbolizing undisclosed pricing.]]


The pricing for the offerings by Arctic Shores Limited is not publicly disclosed on its official website or other platforms. It offers a flexible pricing model based on the recruitment needs of the client. The pricing page on its official website mentions "Flexible pricing for all your recruitment needs" but does not provide specific pricing details​<ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/pricing#:~:text=Flexible%20pricing%20for%20all%20your,Start%20hiring%20for%20potential%20today</ref>​. Additionally, on a software review platform, there's a mention of discovering Arctic Shores pricing by requesting a free demo, suggesting that pricing might be shared on a case-by-case basis with interested parties​<ref>https://www.softwaresuggest.com/arctic-shores#:~:text=Discover%20Arctic%20Shores%20pricing%2C%20features%2C,By%20submitting</ref>​.
The pricing for the offerings by Arctic Shores Limited is not publicly disclosed on their official website or other platforms. They offer a flexible pricing model based on the recruitment needs of the client. The pricing page on their official website mentions "Flexible pricing for all your recruitment needs" but does not provide specific pricing details​<ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/pricing#:~:text=Flexible%20pricing%20for%20all%20your,Start%20hiring%20for%20potential%20today</ref>​. Additionally, on a software review platform, there's a mention of discovering Arctic Shores pricing by requesting a free demo, suggesting that pricing might be shared on a case-by-case basis with interested parties​<ref>https://www.softwaresuggest.com/arctic-shores#:~:text=Discover%20Arctic%20Shores%20pricing%2C%20features%2C,By%20submitting</ref>​.


Arctic Shores offers two main subscription models: UNA Access and UNA Pro. However, the specific pricing for these subscriptions is not provided on the website.
Arctic Shores offers two main subscription models: UNA Access and UNA Pro. However, the specific pricing for these subscriptions is not provided on the website.
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[[File:Illustration of a global map with pinpoint markers on countries like Indonesia, Greater China, Italy, Spain, The Netherlands, South Africa, and Chile.png|thumb|An illustration of a global map highlighting the locations of Arctic Shores' resellers.]]
[[File:Illustration of a global map with pinpoint markers on countries like Indonesia, Greater China, Italy, Spain, The Netherlands, South Africa, and Chile.png|thumb|An illustration of a global map highlighting the locations of Arctic Shores' resellers.]]


The offerings of Arctic Shores Limited, specifically its talent discovery platform UNA, can be purchased or accessed through various avenues:
The offerings of Arctic Shores Limited, specifically their Talent Discovery Platform UNA, can be purchased or accessed through various avenues:


# '''Direct Purchase:'''
# '''Direct Purchase:'''
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# '''Online Platforms:'''
# '''Online Platforms:'''
#* Official Website: Arctic Shores promotes its offerings on its official website, where potential customers can learn about the products and services, view subscription options, and get in touch for more details​.<ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/pricing#:~:text=,Start%20hiring%20for%20potential%20today</ref><ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/#:~:text=Get%20Started,the%20business%20as%20a%20whole</ref><ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/pricing</ref>
#* Official Website: Arctic Shores promotes its offerings on its official website, where potential customers can learn about the products and services, view subscription options, and get in touch for more details​.<ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/pricing#:~:text=,Start%20hiring%20for%20potential%20today</ref><ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/#:~:text=Get%20Started,the%20business%20as%20a%20whole</ref><ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/pricing</ref>
#* YouTube Channel: There is a YouTube channel dedicated to Arctic Shores where it have posted content about its behavior-based assessment, potentially among other offerings​.<ref>https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCdoDJCAGYCw_1ewEvrDol1A#:~:text=Channels%20About%20Stones%20Sessions%20promo,BBA%3A%20Three%20little%20letters%2C%20three</ref>
#* YouTube Channel: There is a YouTube channel dedicated to Arctic Shores where they have posted content about their behavior-based assessment, potentially among other offerings​.<ref>https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCdoDJCAGYCw_1ewEvrDol1A#:~:text=Channels%20About%20Stones%20Sessions%20promo,BBA%3A%20Three%20little%20letters%2C%20three</ref>
# '''Partnerships:'''
# '''Partnerships:'''
#* Arctic Shores has formed partnerships to promote its offerings. For example, a partnership with Wiser is mentioned, which is based on a shared mission rather than just synergies or complementary offerings​​.<ref>https://landing.arcticshores.com/wiser#:~:text=The%20partnership%20between%20Arctic%20Shores,is%20that%20human%20potential</ref>
#* Arctic Shores has formed partnerships to promote its offerings. For example, a partnership with Wiser is mentioned, which is based on a shared mission rather than just synergies or complementary offerings​​.<ref>https://landing.arcticshores.com/wiser#:~:text=The%20partnership%20between%20Arctic%20Shores,is%20that%20human%20potential</ref>
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#* Arctic Shores is committed to contributing towards a work environment that’s truly fair and inclusive, with one of its founding principles being that everyone deserves a fair shot​.<ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/our-story#:~:text=Explore%2C%20always%20We%20can%E2%80%99t%20change,everyone%20deserves%20a%20fair%20shot</ref>
#* Arctic Shores is committed to contributing towards a work environment that’s truly fair and inclusive, with one of its founding principles being that everyone deserves a fair shot​.<ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/our-story#:~:text=Explore%2C%20always%20We%20can%E2%80%99t%20change,everyone%20deserves%20a%20fair%20shot</ref>
# '''Technological Innovation and Product Development:'''
# '''Technological Innovation and Product Development:'''
#* Continuation of the innovative blend of game technology, behavioral science, cognitive neuroscience, and data analytics in its platform to help organisations and individuals make better people and career choices, likely reflecting a long-term strategy of technological innovation and product enhancement​​.<ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/our-story#:~:text=Explore%2C%20always%20We%20can%E2%80%99t%20change,everyone%20deserves%20a%20fair%20shot</ref>
#* Continuation of the innovative blend of game technology, behavioral science, cognitive neuroscience, and data analytics in their platform to help organisations and individuals make better people and career choices, likely reflecting a long-term strategy of technological innovation and product enhancement​​.<ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/our-story#:~:text=Explore%2C%20always%20We%20can%E2%80%99t%20change,everyone%20deserves%20a%20fair%20shot</ref>
# '''Customer Acquisition and Retention:'''
# '''Customer Acquisition and Retention:'''
#* Building on a robust client base including global entities like PwC and Siemens, the company may focus on customer acquisition and retention to further its revenue and market share.
#* Building on a robust client base including global entities like PwC and Siemens, the company may focus on customer acquisition and retention to further its revenue and market share.
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A key way to determine a product's closest competitors is by looking at other offerings that are targeting the same or similar target audience (i.e. recruiters) and aiming to provide the same core benefit (i.e. more efficient recruiting, and, ultimately, maximising profits), and then ranking the offerings in terms of the total amount of time spent using and/or money spent purchasing the offerings relative to other similar offerings. With that said, according to Stockhub users, the closest competitor of the Arctic Shores offering is Pymetrics.
A key way to determine a product's closest competitors is by looking at other offerings that are targeting the same or similar target audience (i.e. recruiters) and aiming to provide the same core benefit (i.e. more efficient recruiting, and, ultimately, maximising profits), and then ranking the offerings in terms of the total amount of time spent using and/or money spent purchasing the offerings relative to other similar offerings. With that said, according to Stockhub users, the closest competitor of the Arctic Shores offering is Pymetrics.


Arctic Shores operates in the talent assessment and HR tech space, offering game-based assessments for recruitment. In this domain, it faces competition from both traditional psychometric test providers and other innovative assessment tool providers. A detailed comparison between Arctic Shores and some of its main competitors are shown in the table below.
Arctic Shores operates in the talent assessment and HR tech space, offering game-based assessments for recruitment. In this domain, they face competition from both traditional psychometric test providers and other innovative assessment tool providers. A detailed comparison between Arctic Shores and some of its main competitors are shown in the table below.
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+
|+
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|Uses neuroscience-based games and artificial intelligence to match candidates' emotional and cognitive abilities with company profiles.
|Uses neuroscience-based games and artificial intelligence to match candidates' emotional and cognitive abilities with company profiles.
|Offers video interviewing software and also uses AI-driven assessments to evaluate video interviews.
|Offers video interviewing software and also uses AI-driven assessments to evaluate video interviews.
|While primarily focused on the tech recruitment space, it offers gamified coding challenges and assessments for programmers.
|While primarily focused on the tech recruitment space, they offer gamified coding challenges and assessments for programmers.
|Offers a range of assessment tools, including game-based assessments that evaluate cognitive ability and emotional intelligence.
|Offers a range of assessment tools, including game-based assessments that evaluate cognitive ability and emotional intelligence.
|Provides more traditional forms of cognitive and personality testing.
|Provides more traditional forms of cognitive and personality testing.
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=== SOM (Serviceable Obtainable Market): ===
=== SOM (Serviceable Obtainable Market): ===
Arctic Shores' SOM would be a subset of its SAM, and would depend on its competitive positioning, product efficacy, marketing efforts, and other factors. Without specific data on its market share and the adoption rate of game-based assessment tools, it's challenging to provide a numeric estimate. It could be anywhere from several million to several billion, depending on the aforementioned factors.
Arctic Shores' SOM would be a subset of their SAM, and would depend on their competitive positioning, product efficacy, marketing efforts, and other factors. Without specific data on their market share and the adoption rate of game-based assessment tools, it's challenging to provide a numeric estimate. It could be anywhere from several million to several billion, depending on the aforementioned factors.


== Financials ==
== Financials ==
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!9
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!37
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!39
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!44
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!46
!47
!48
!49
!50
|-
|-
!Period end date
!Period end date
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!31/12/2022<ref name=":1" />
!31/12/2022<ref name=":1" />
!31/12/2023
!31/12/2023
!31/12/2024
!31/12/2025
!31/12/2026
!31/12/2027
!31/12/2028
!31/12/2029
!31/12/2030
!31/12/2031
!31/12/2032
!31/12/2033
!31/12/2034
!31/12/2035
!31/12/2036
!31/12/2037
!31/12/2038
!31/12/2039
!31/12/2040
!31/12/2041
!31/12/2042
!31/12/2043
!31/12/2044
!31/12/2045
!31/12/2046
!31/12/2047
!31/12/2048
!31/12/2049
!31/12/2050
!31/12/2051
!31/12/2052
!31/12/2053
!31/12/2054
!31/12/2055
!31/12/2056
!31/12/2057
!31/12/2058
!31/12/2059
!31/12/2060
!31/12/2061
!31/12/2062
!31/12/2063
|-
|-
!Period duration (days)
!Period duration (days)
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!365
!365
!273
!273
!365
!366
!365
!365
!365
!366
!365
!365
!365
!366
!365
!365
!365
!366
!365
!365
!365
!366
!365
!365
!365
!366
!366
!365
!365
!365
!365
!366
!365
!365
!365
!366
!365
!365
!365
!366
!365
!365
!365
!366
!365
!365
!365
!366
!365
!365
!365
!365
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!Historic
!Historic
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
!Forecast
|-
|-
! colspan="12" |Profit and loss
! colspan="12" |Profit and loss
!
|-
!
|Revenue
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
|N/A<ref name=":20">The company has opted not to file the statement of comprehensive income in accordance with provisions applicable to companies subject to the small companies' regime. To be considered a small company, the company must have any 2 of the following: a turnover of £10.2 million or less; £5.1 million or less on its balance sheet; and/or 50 employees or less. The company has 77 companies, and therefore must have: a turnover of £10.2 million or less (and £5.1 million or less on its balance sheet).</ref>
!
|N/A<ref name=":21">The company has incorrectly used the small companies' regime provision. Accordingly, once made aware of the error, the company is expected to file its comprehensive income statement for the year ending 31st December 2022.</ref>
!
|
!
|-
!
|Net profit
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
|N/A
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
|-
|Revenue
|N/A
|N/A
|N/A
|N/A
|N/A
|N/A<ref name=":21" />
|N/A
|
|N/A
|-
|N/A
! colspan="12" |Balance sheet
|N/A
|N/A
|N/A<ref name=":20">The company has opted not to file the statement of comprehensive income in accordance with provisions applicable to companies subject to the small companies' regime. To be considered a small company, the company must have any 2 of the following: a turnover of £10.2 million or less; £5.1 million or less on its balance sheet; and/or 50 employees or less. The company has 77 companies, and therefore must have: a turnover of £10.2 million or less (and £5.1 million or less on its balance sheet).</ref>
|N/A
|1,679,215
|4,280,780
|10,251,706
|23,063,537
|48,743,005
|96,773,238
|180,490,708
|316,235,787
|520,503,650
|804,809,580
|1,169,012,325
|1,595,150,403
|2,044,752,654
|2,462,274,787
|2,785,408,204
|2,960,041,348
|2,955,039,563
|2,771,311,965
|2,441,541,602
|2,020,688,805
|1,571,054,812
|1,147,466,020
|787,308,473
|507,465,604
|307,273,348
|174,783,233
|93,396,637
|46,883,422
|22,108,739
|9,794,116
|4,075,896
|1,593,447
|585,206
|201,900
|65,437
|19,923
|5,698
|1,531
|386
|92
|20
|-
|-
|Net profit
|'''Fixed assets'''
|N/A
|
|N/A
|
|N/A
|N/A
|N/A
|N/A
|N/A
|N/A
|N/A
|N/A
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|-
|Tangible assets
|0
|1,578
|4,709
|6,261
|11,391
|28,075
|29,816
|23,208
|10,922
|15,471
|
|
|-
|Investments
|0
|0
|0
|0
|27,175
|27,175
|0
|0
|0
|0
|
|
|-
|
|
|0
|1,578
|4,709
|6,261
|38,566
|55,250
|29,816
|23,208
|10,922
|15,471
|
|
|-
|'''Current assets'''
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Debtors: amounts falling due within one year
|984
|48,304
|24,033
|129,247
|330,032
|770,097
|460,046
|539,983
|810,434
|701,411
|
|-
|Cash at bank and in hand
|107,538
|7,231
|113,894
|262,877
|295,829
|1,250,069
|2,959,316
|2,850,864
|1,990,652
|5,480,754
|
|-
|
|108,522
|55,535
|137,927
|392,124
|628,861
|2,020,166
|3,419,362
|3,390,847
|2,801,086
|6,182,165
|
|-
|Creditors: amounts falling due within one year
|(2,284)
|(53,029)
|(45,887)
|(168,573)
|(436,957)
|(967,424)
|(1,307,807)
|(2,023,016)
|(2,738,249)
|(3,449,005)
|
|-
|'''Net current assets'''
|'''106,238'''
|'''2,506'''
|'''92,040'''
|'''223,551'''
|'''191,904'''
|'''1,052,742'''
|'''2,111,555'''
|'''1,367,831'''
|'''62,837'''
|'''2,733,160'''
|
|-
|'''Total assets less current liabilities'''
|'''106,238'''
|'''4,084'''
|'''96,749'''
|'''229,812'''
|'''230,470'''
|'''1,107,992'''
|'''2,141,371'''
|'''1,391,039'''
|'''73,759'''
|'''2,748,631'''
|
|-
|Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one year
|(50,165)
|(51,178)
|(637,575)
|(53,264)
|(54,339)
|(55,160)
|(56,274)
|(451,783)
|(1,362,136)
|(754,295)
|
|-
|
|
|
|
Line 660: Line 551:
|
|
|-
|-
! colspan="12" |Balance sheet
|'''Net assets/(liabilities)'''
!
|'''56,073'''
!
|'''(47,094)'''
!
|'''(540,826)'''
!
|'''176,548'''
!
|'''176,131'''
!
|'''1,052,832'''
!
|'''2,085,097'''
!
|'''939,256'''
!
|'''(1,288,377)'''
!
|'''1,994,336'''
!
|
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
|-
|-
|'''Fixed assets'''
|'''Capital and reserves'''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 726: Line 576:
|
|
|
|
|-
|Called up share capital
|2
|2
|2
|3
|3
|4
|5
|5
|5
|7
|
|
|-
|Share premium account
|77,979
|77,979
|77,979
|1,213,648
|2,058,639
|3,759,612
|7,321,532
|8,133,377
|8,175,743
|14,418,145
|
|
|-
|Profit and loss account
|(21,908)
|(125,075)
|(618,807)
|(1,037,103)
|(1,882,511)
|(2,706,784)
|(5,236,440)
|(7,194,126)
|(9,464,125)
|(12,423,816)
|
|
|-
|'''Shareholders' funds'''
|'''56,073'''
|'''(47,094)'''
|'''(540,826)'''
|'''176,548'''
|'''176,131'''
|'''1,052,832'''
|'''2,085,097'''
|'''939,256'''
|'''(1,288,377)'''
|'''1,994,336'''
|
|
|-
! colspan="12" |Cash flows
|-
|Operating profit
|
|
|
|
Line 741: Line 643:
|
|
|
|
|}
==== What are the assumptions used to estimate the financial forecasts?====
{| class="wikitable"
|+Key inputs
!Description
!Value
!Commentary
|-
| colspan="3" | <div style="text-align: center;">'''Revenue'''</div>
|-
|What's the estimated current size of the total addressable market?
|$1,300,000,000
|Here, the total addressable market (TAM) is defined as the global brokerage market, and based on a number of assumptions<ref group="Note" name="Note01" />, it is estimated that the size of the market as of today (6th May 2023), in terms of revenue, is $1.3 trillion.
|-
|What is the estimated company lifespan?
|50 years
|Currently, Arctic Shores employs around 77, making the company a small organisation (less than 10,000 employees). That said, given the company's mission, we expect the company to grow to a large organisation, and research shows that the average lifespan of a large corporation is around 50 years.<ref>Stadler, Enduring Success, 3–5.</ref>
|-
|What's the estimated annual growth rate of the total addressable market over the lifecycle of the company?
|3%
|Research shows that the growth rate of the global brokerage market (i.e. the total addressable market) is similar to the growth rate of global gross domestic product, which has averaged (medium) around 3% per year in the last 20 years (2001 to 2022)<ref>https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/WLD/world/gdp-growth-rate</ref>.
|-
|What's the estimated company peak market share?
|1%
|The Stockhub users estimate that especially given the leadership of the company, the peak market share of Arctic Shores is around 1%, and, therefore, suggests using the share amount here. As of 30th September 2021, Arctic Shores's current share of the market is estimated at around 0.0010%.
|-
|Which distribution function do you want to use to estimate company revenue?
|Gaussian
|Research suggests that the revenue pattern of companies is similar to the pattern produced by the Gaussian distribution function  (i.e. the revenue distribution is bell shaped)<ref>http://escml.umd.edu/Papers/ObsCPMT.pdf</ref>, so the Stockhub users suggest using that function here.
|-
|What's the estimated standard deviation of company revenue?
| 5 years
|Another way of asking this question is this way: within how many years either side of the mean does 68% of revenue occur? Based on Arctic Shores's current revenue amount (i.e. £12.68 million) and Arctic Shores's estimated lifespan (i.e. 50 years) and Arctic Shores's estimated current stage of its lifecycle (i.e. introduction stage), the Stockhub users suggest using five years (i.e. 68% of all sales happen within five years either side of the mean year), so that's what's used here.
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stages</div>'''
|-
|How many main stages of growth is the company expected to go through?
| 4 stages
|Research suggests that a company typically goes through four distinct stages of cash flow growth.<ref>Levie J, Lichtenstein BB (2010) A terminal assessment of stages theory: Introducing a dynamic approach to entrepreneurship. Entrepreneurship: Theory & Practice 34(2): 317–350. <nowiki>https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6520.2010.00377.x</nowiki></ref> Research also shows that incorporating those stages into the discounted cash flow model improves the quality of the model and, ultimately, the quality of the value estimation.<ref>Stef Hinfelaar et al.:, 2019.</ref>
In addition, research shows that a key way to determine the stage which a company is in is by examining the cash flow patterns of the company.<ref>Dickinson, 2010.</ref> A summary of the economic links to cash flow patterns can be found in the appendix of this report. The Stockhub users estimate that with Arctic Shores's operating cash flows negative (-), investing cash flows negative (-) and its financing cash flows positive (+), the company is in the first stage of growth (i.e. the 'introduction' stage), and, therefore, it has a total of four main stages of growth. Note, to account for one-off events, the three-year average (median) amount was used to calculate the cash flows.
|-
|What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 1?
|30%
|Research suggests 30%.<ref name=":6">http://escml.umd.edu/Papers/ObsCPMT.pdf</ref>
|-
|What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 2?
|10%
|Research suggests 10%.<ref name=":6" />
|-
| What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 3?
|20%
| Research suggests 20%.<ref name=":6" />
|-
|What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 4?
|40%
|Research suggests 40%.<ref name=":6" />
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 1</div>'''
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7">http://people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/pdfiles/papers/younggrowth.pdf</ref>. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 2</div>'''
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|-
|Tangible assets
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|0
|1,578
|4,709
|6,261
|11,391
|28,075
|29,816
|23,208
|10,922
|15,471
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 3</div>'''
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 4</div>'''
|-
|-
|Investments
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|0
|36.13%
|0
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|0
|0
|27,175
|27,175
|0
|0
|0
|0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|0
|174.39%
|1,578
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|4,709
|6,261
|38,566
|55,250
|29,816
|23,208
|10,922
|15,471
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|'''Current assets'''
|Tax rate (%)
|
|(1.94)%
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Debtors: amounts falling due within one year
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|984
|47.29%
|48,304
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|24,033
|129,247
|330,032
|770,097
|460,046
|539,983
|810,434
|701,411
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Cash at bank and in hand
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|107,538
| 6.25%
|7,231
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|113,894
|262,877
|295,829
|1,250,069
|2,959,316
|2,850,864
|1,990,652
|5,480,754
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|108,522
| 2.13%
|55,535
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|137,927
|392,124
|628,861
|2,020,166
|3,419,362
|3,390,847
|2,801,086
|6,182,165
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Creditors: amounts falling due within one year
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|(2,284)
|0%
|(53,029)
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|(45,887)
|(168,573)
|(436,957)
|(967,424)
|(1,307,807)
|(2,023,016)
|(2,738,249)
|(3,449,005)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|'''Net current assets'''
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|'''106,238'''
|0%
|'''2,506'''
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|'''92,040'''
|}
|'''223,551'''
 
|'''191,904'''
== Risks ==
|'''1,052,742'''
[[File:DALL·E 2023-10-25 16.02.20 - Vector design of a pie chart representing the various risks associated with investing in Arctic Shores segments include Financial Risk, Market Compet.png|thumb|A vector design of a pie chart representing various risks associated with investing in Arctic Shores.]]
|'''2,111,555'''
As with any investment, investing in Arctic Shores carries a level of risk. Overall, based on the Arctic Shores' adjusted beta (i.e. N/A), the degree of risk associated with an investment in Arctic Shores is 'high'.
|'''1,367,831'''
 
|'''62,837'''
Here, to estimate the adjusted beta, we used the iShares MSCI World ETF to represent the market portfolio; and in terms of the time period and frequency of observations, we used the two available share price Arctic Shores data points. We note that the amount of available data observations for Arctic Shores is less than what's typically used in the five years of monthly data beta calculation (i.e. two observations vs. 60 observations), and accordingly, calculating the beta of such a company has been considered by many to be abnormal; however, for the benefit of simplifying investment comparisons and decision making, we believe that a single standardised risk measure is useful, and that the most appropriate measure is beta.
|'''2,733,160'''
 
|
The beta value in a future period has been found to be on average closer to the mean value of 1.0, and because valuation is forward-looking, it is logical to adjust the raw beta so it more accurately predicts a future beta. In addition, here, we have assumed that for an investment to be considered 'high' risk, it must have a beta value of 1.5 or more. Further information about the beta ratings can be found in the appendix section of this report.
|
 
|
=== Early-stage investment ===
|
Arctic Shores is at one of the earliest stages of the business lifecycle, and the failure rate of companies at that stage is usually much higher than those at a later stage. As of 2022, 57% of companies that are incorporated in the United Kingdom fail within the first five years of the companies incorporation, according to the Office for National Statistics.<ref>https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/business/activitysizeandlocation/bulletins/businessdemography/2020#the-south-west-continued-to-have-the-highest-five-year-survival-rate</ref> We note that Arctic Shores is 10 years old as of 24th October 2023.
|
 
|
=== Illiquid investment ===
|
The number of transactions in shares of private companies is usually significantly lower than in public companies, typically resulting in it taking longer to sell shares in private companies at a price that is at least equal to the price that the shares were bought at. Accordingly, the Arctic Shores investment opportunity is considered to be higher risk than more liquid companies.
|
 
|
=== Financial Risk ===
|
The details of the financial health, including the valuation, revenue, and profitability of Arctic Shores Limited, are not publicly disclosed, making it challenging for investors to assess the financial risk fully. Moreover, the small uplift in funding between two rounds and a debt financing round might indicate financial constraints or cautious growth strategies.<ref>https://www.enterprisetimes.co.uk/2023/01/16/arctic-shores-raises-5-75-million-in-series-b-funding-round/</ref>
|
 
|
=== Market Competition ===
|
As a provider of psychometric assessments, Arctic Shores operates in a competitive market with several other established players. The competition might affect the company's market share and profitability.
|
 
|
=== Technological Changes ===
|
The company's operations heavily rely on game technology, behavioral science, and potentially AI. Rapid technological changes or inability to keep up with such changes could pose a risk.
|
 
|
=== Regulatory Risks ===
|
Being in the recruitment and assessment sector, Arctic Shores might face regulatory challenges, especially when expanding internationally. Different regions have varying regulations concerning recruitment, data privacy, and assessments which could affect the company’s operations.
|
 
|
=== Customer Acquisition and Retention ===
|
The success of Arctic Shores in acquiring and retaining customers, especially large organisations, is crucial for its revenue generation and growth.
|
 
|
=== Reputation Risk ===
|
The company’s reputation among its clients and within the industry is vital for its success. Any negative publicity or failure to deliver as promised could adversely affect its reputation and, subsequently, its financial performance.
|
 
|
=== Investor Relations ===
|
The investor relations and the ability to secure further funding for growth or operations is also a critical aspect. The company has had several funding rounds, and the continuation of this support is vital for its sustainability and expansion.<ref>https://www.cbinsights.com/company/arctic-shores/financials</ref><ref>https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/arctic-shores/company_financials#:~:text=%23%20%E3%80%903%E2%80%A0Arctic%20Shores%20,Log%20in%20to%20view%20data</ref>
|
 
|
== Valuation ==
|
 
|
=== What's the expected return of an investment in the company?edit ===
|
The Stockhub users estimate that the expected return of an investment in the company over the next five years is ccc%, which equates to an annual return of ccc%. In other words, an £100,000 investment in the company is expected to return £301,600 in five years time. The assumptions used to estimate the return figure can be found in the table below.
|
 
|
Assuming that a suitable return level over five years is 25% per year or less, and Arctic Shores achieves its expected return level (of cc%), then an investment in the company is considered to be an 'suitable' one.
|
 
|
===What are the assumptions used to estimate the return?===
|
 
|
{| class="wikitable"
|
|+ Key inputs
|
!Description
!Value
!Commentary
|-
| Which valuation model do you want to use?
|Discounted cash flow
|Research suggests that in terms of estimating the expected return of an investment over a period of 12-months or more, the approach that is more accurate is the discounted cash flow approach<ref name=":5">Demirakos et al., 2010; Gleason et al., 2013</ref>, so that's the approach that he Stockhub users suggest to use here; nevertheless, for completeness purposes, separately, the valuation of the company is also estimated using the using the relative valuation approach (the valuation based on the relative approach can be found in the appendix of this report).
 
Arctic Shores has never paid cash dividends, and on 7th February 2022, it said that it currently does not anticipate paying any cash dividends in the foreseeable future. Accordingly, the Stockhub users suggest using the free cash flow valuation method (rather than the dividend discount model).
|-
|Which financial forecasts to use?
| Stockhub
|The only available long-term forecasts (i.e. >15 years) are the ones that are supplied by the Stockhub users (the forecasts can be found in the financials section of this report), so the Stockhub users suggest using those.
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 1</div>'''
|-
|-
|'''Total assets less current liabilities'''
|Discount rate (%)
|'''106,238'''
|30%
|'''4,084'''
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity is by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|'''96,749'''
|-
|'''229,812'''
|Probability of success (%)
|'''230,470'''
|70%
|'''1,107,992'''
|Research suggests that a suitable rate for a company in this growth stage (i.e. stage 1) is 70%.
|'''2,141,371'''
|-
|'''1,391,039'''
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 2</div>'''  
|'''73,759'''
|'''2,748,631'''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one year
|Discount rate (%)
|(50,165)
| 15%
|(51,178)
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity is by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|(637,575)
|-
|(53,264)
|Probability of success (%)
|(54,339)
| 80%
|(55,160)
| Research suggests that a suitable rate for a company in this growth stage (i.e. stage 2) is 80%.
|(56,274)
 
|(451,783)
|(1,362,136)
|(754,295)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 3</div>'''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|'''Net assets/(liabilities)'''
|Discount rate (%)
|'''56,073'''
| 10%
|'''(47,094)'''
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity is by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|'''(540,826)'''
|'''176,548'''
|'''176,131'''
|'''1,052,832'''
|'''2,085,097'''
|'''939,256'''
|'''(1,288,377)'''
|'''1,994,336'''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|'''Capital and reserves'''
|Probability of success (%)
|
|100%
|
|Research suggests that a suitable rate for a company in this growth stage (i.e. stage 3) is 100%.
|
 
|
|-
|
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 4</div>'''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Called up share capital
|Discount rate (%)
|2
| 10%
|2
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity is by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|2
|3
|3
|4
|5
|5
|5
|7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Share premium account
|Probability of success (%)
|77,979
| 100%
|77,979
|Research suggests that a suitable rate for a company in this growth stage (i.e. stage 4) is 100%.
|77,979
 
|1,213,648
|2,058,639
|3,759,612
|7,321,532
|8,133,377
|8,175,743
|14,418,145
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Profit and loss account
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Other key inputs</div>'''
|(21,908)
|-
|(125,075)
|What's the current value of the company?
|(618,807)
|$38 million
|(1,037,103)
|The firm valuation is between $30m and $46m as of January 2023, according to Dealroom.co estimates.<ref name=":2">https://app.dealroom.co/companies/arctic_shores/</ref> The valuation is based on either of: the publicly disclosed value, or an estimate that is based on the last funding round amount, using similar rounds as benchmarks.
|(1,882,511)
|(2,706,784)
|(5,236,440)
|(7,194,126)
|(9,464,125)
|(12,423,816)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|'''Shareholders' funds'''
|Which time period do you want to use to estimate the expected return?
|'''56,073'''
| Between now and five years time
|'''(47,094)'''
|Research suggests that following a market crash, the average amount of time it takes for the price of a stock market to return to its pre-crash level (i.e. the recovery period) is at least three years.<ref>https://www.newyorkfed.org/mediabrary/media/medialibrary/media/research/staff_reports/research_papers/9809.pdf</ref> Accordingly, Stockhub suggests that to account for general market cyclicity, it's best to estimate the expected return of the company between now and five years time.
|'''(540,826)'''
|'''176,548'''
|'''176,131'''
|'''1,052,832'''
|'''2,085,097'''
|'''939,256'''
|'''(1,288,377)'''
|'''1,994,336'''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
! colspan="12" |Cash flows
|Which valuation recommendation method do you want to use?
!
|Relative
!
|There's two main types of valuation recommendation methods, relative and absolute. The relative method determines the investment recommendation relative to other investments (e.g. the investment is "suitable" if it's within say the top 10% of the investment universe in terms of investment returns), whereas the absolute method determines the recommendation based on a fixed return amount (e.g. the investment is "suitable" if it returns 50% or more).  Assuming sufficient data, the Stockhub users suggest using the relative method.
!
|-
!
|Which top proportion of the investment universe constitutes a "suitable" rating?
!
|10%
!
|The proportion depends on the user's preference. That said, typically, the higher the proportion, the higher the risk associated with the investment.
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
|-
|-
|Operating profit
|Which universe of investments do you want to use?
|
|All investments
|
|If the main objective of the user is to maximise investment returns, then the Stockhub users suggest using 'all investments' as the investment universe.
|
|}
|
 
|
===Sensitivity analysis===
|
 
|
The main inputs that result in the greatest change in the expected return of the Arctic Shores investment are, in order of importance (from highest to lowest): 
|
 
|
#The size of the total addressable market (the default size is $1.3 trillion);
|
#Arctic Shores peak market share (the default share is 1%); and
|
#The discount rate (the default time-weighted average rate is 16.50%).
|
 
|
The impact of a 50% change in those main inputs to the expected return of the Arctic Shores investment is shown in the table below.
|
 
|
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|
|+Arctic Shores investment expected return sensitivity analysis
|
!Main input
|
!50% worse
|
!Unchanged
|
!50% better
|
|-
|
|The discount rate
|
|ccc%
|
|ccc%
|
|ccc%
|
|-
|
|The size of the total addressable market
|
|ccc%
|
|ccc%
|
|ccc%
|
|-
|
|Arctic Shores peak market share
|
|ccc%
|
| ccc%
|
|ccc%
|
|}
|
 
|
==Actions==
|
 
|
To invest in Arctic Shores, click [mailto:info@arcticshores.com here].
|
 
|
To contact Arctic Shores, click [mailto:info@arcticshores.com here].
|
 
|
== Appendix ==
|
 
|
=== Relative valuation approach ===
|
As noted earlier in this report, research suggests that in terms of estimating the expected return of an investment over a period of 12-months or more, the approach that is more accurate is the discounted cash flow approach, so that's the approach that Stockhub suggests using to determine the estimated value of the company (the valuation based on the discounted cash flow approach can be found in the valuation section of this report); nevertheless, for completeness purposes, separately, the valuation of the company is also estimated using the relative valuation approach.
|
 
|
==== What's the expected return of an investment in Arctic Shores using the relative valuation approach? ====
|
Stockhub estimates that the expected return of an investment in Arctic Shores over the next five years is 4044%, which equates to an annual return of 111%. In other words, an £1,000 investment in the company is expected to return £5044 in five years time. The assumptions used to estimate the return figure can be found in the table below.
|
 
==== What are the assumptions used to estimate the return figure? ====
{| class="wikitable"
|+Key inputs
!Description
!Value
!Commentary
|-
|Which type of multiple do you want to use?
|Growth-adjusted EV/sales
|For the numerator, the Stockhub users believe that to account for the different financial leverage levels of its peers, it's best to use enterprise value (EV), rather than price. For the denominator, the Stockhub users believe that because it expects Arctic Shores to reinvest almost all of its revenue back into the business over the five year forecast period and therefore its earnings are expected to be abnormally low over the period, it's best to use sales. Accordingly, the Stockhub users suggest valuing its company using the EV/sales ratio. However, the Stockhub users think that to take into account the different business lifecycle stages of its peers, the most suitable valuation multiple to use is the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple, rather than the EV/sales multiple.
|-
|-
! colspan="12" |Other information
|In regards to the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple, for the sales figure, which year to you want to use?
!
|Year 5
!
|Stockhub suggests that to account for general market cyclicity, it's best to estimate the expected return of the company between now and five years time.
!
|-
!
|In regards to the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple, for the sales growth figure, which year(s) do you want to use?
!
|Year 6, from now
!
|Stockhub suggests that for the sales growth figure, it's best to use Year 6.
!
|-
!
|In regards to the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple, what multiple figure do you want to use?
!
|0.19x
!
|In Stockhub's view, Arctic Shores closest peers are AJ Bell, Hargreaves Lansdown, Robinhood Markets, Inc, Avanza Bank Holding AB and The Charles Schwab Corporation.
!
|-
!
|Which financial forecasts to use?
!
|Stockhub
!
|The only available forecasts are the ones that are supplied by the Stockhub company (the forecasts can be found in the financials section of this report), so Stockhub suggests using those.
!
|-
!
|What's the current value of the Stockhub company?
!
|$38 million
!
|The firm valuation is between $30m and $46m as of January 2023, according to Dealroom.co estimates.<ref name=":2" /> The valuation is based on either of: the publicly disclosed value, or an estimate that is based on the last funding round amount, using similar rounds as benchmarks.
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
|-
|-
|'''Creditors: Amounts falling due within one year'''
|Which time period do you want to use to estimate the expected return?
|
|Between now and five years time
|
|Stockhub suggests that to account for general market cyclicity, it's best to estimate the expected return of the company between now and five years time.
|
|-
|
|Which valuation recommendation method do you want to use?
|
|Relative
|
|There's two main types of valuation recommendation methods, relative and absolute. The relative method determines the investment recommendation relative to other investments (e.g. the investment is "suitable" if it's within say the top 10% of the investment universe in terms of investment returns), whereas the absolute method determines the recommendation based on a fixed return amount (e.g. the investment is "suitable" if it returns 50% or more).  Assuming sufficient data, the Stockhub users suggest using the relative method.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Bank loans
|Which top proportion of the investment universe constitutes a "suitable" rating?
|
|10%
|
|The proportion depends on the user's preference. That said, typically, the higher the proportion, the higher the risk associated with the investment.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|222,222
|520,833
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|'''Creditors: Amounts falling due after more than one year'''
|Which universe of investments do you want to use?
|
|All investments
|
|If the main objective of the user is to maximise investment returns, then the Stockhub users suggest using 'all investments' as the investment universe.
|
|}
|
 
|
==== Sensitivity analysis ====
|
The main inputs that result in the greatest change in the expected return of the Arctic Shores investment are, in order of importance (from highest to lowest):  
|
 
|
#The growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple (the default multiple 0.19);
|
#Arctic Shores Year 5 sales figure (the default figure is £777 million); and
|
#Arctic Shores Year 6 sales growth rate (the default rate is 63%).
|
 
|
The impact of a 50% change in those main inputs to the expected return of the Arctic Shores investment is shown in the table below.
|
 
|
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|
|+Arctic Shores investment expected return sensitivity analysis
|
!Main input
|
!50% worse
|
!Unchanged
|
!50% better
|
|-
|
|The growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple
|
|ccc%
|
|ccc%
|
|ccc%
|
|-
|
|Arctic Shores Year 5 sales figure
|
|ccc%
|
|ccc%
|
|ccc%
|
|-
|
|Arctic Shores Year 6 sales growth rate
|
|ccc%
|
|ccc%
|
|ccc%
|
|}
|
 
|
===Economic links to cash flow patterns ===
|
{| class="wikitable"
|
|+Economic links to cash flow patterns
|
|-
|
!Cash flow type!!Introduction!!Growth!!Shake out!!Mature!!Decline
|
|-
|
|Operating|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-|| style="background: green; color: white;" |+
|
| style="background: orange; color: white;" | +/-|| style="background: green; color: white;" |+|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-
|
|-
|
|Investing|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-|| style="background: orange; color: white;" |+/-|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-
|
| style="background: green; color: white;" | +
|
|-
|
|Financing|| style="background: green; color: white;" |+|| style="background: green; color: white;" |+|| style="background: orange; color: white;" |+/-|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-|| style="background: orange; color: white;" |+/-
|}
 
=== Beta risk profile ===
{| class="wikitable"
|+
!Beta value
!Risk rating
|-
|style="background: green; color: white;" |0 to 0.50
|style="background: green; color: white;" | Low
|-
|style="background: orange; color: white;" | 0.50 to 1.50
|style="background: orange; color: white;" | Medium
|-
|style="background: red; color: white;" | 1.50 to 3.00
|style="background: red; color: white;" | High
|-
|style="background: purple; color: white;" | 3.00 and above
|style="background: purple; color: white;" | Extremely high
|}
 
=== Arctic Shores adjusted beta calculation ===
{| class="wikitable"
|+
!Date
!iShares MSCI World ETF unit price (USD)
!Arctic Shores share price (GBP)
!iShares MSCI World ETF unit price change (%)
!Arctic Shores share price change (%)
|-
|01/11/2018
|86.21
|N/A
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Bank loans
|01/12/2018
|
|78.87
|
|N/A
|
| -8.51%
|
|N/A
|
|-
|
|01/01/2019
|
|84.96
|
|N/A
|777,778
|7.72%
|694,445
|N/A
|
|-
|
|01/02/2019
|
|87.49
|
|N/A
|
|2.98%
|
|N/A
|
|-
|
|01/03/2019
|
|88.79
|
|N/A
|
| 1.49%
|
|N/A
|
|-
|
|01/04/2019
|
|92.09
|
|N/A
|
|3.72%
|
|N/A
|
|-
|
|01/05/2019
|
|86.76
|
|N/A
|
| -5.79%
|
|N/A
|
|-
|
|01/06/2019
|
|91.02
|
|N/A
|
|4.91%
|
|N/A
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Convertible loan notes
|01/07/2019
|
|91.86
|
|N/A
|
|0.92%
|
|N/A
|
|-
|
|01/08/2019
|
|89.84
|
|N/A
|525,790
| -2.20%
|0
| N/A
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Total debt
|01/09/2019
|
|91.78
|
|N/A
|
|2.16%
|
|N/A
|
|-
|
|01/10/2019
|
|94.12
|
|N/A
|1,525,790
|2.55%
|1,215,278
|N/A
|
|-
|
|01/11/2019
|
|96.76
|
|N/A
|
|2.80%
|
|N/A
|
|-
|
|01/12/2019
|
|98.78
|
|N/A
|
|2.09%
|
|N/A
|
|-
|
|01/01/2020
|
|97.73
|
|N/A
|
| -1.06%
|
|N/A
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|}
 
==== What are the assumptions used to estimate the financial forecasts?====
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+Key inputs
!Description
!Value
!Commentary
|-
|-
| colspan="3" | <div style="text-align: center;">'''Revenue'''</div>
|01/02/2020
|89.67
|N/A
| -8.25%
|N/A
|-
|-
|What's the estimated current size of the total addressable market?
|01/03/2020
|$400,000,000,000
|77.93
|Here, the total addressable market (TAM) is defined as the global HR tech market, and based on a number of assumptions<ref group="Note" name="Note01" />, it is estimated that the size of the market as of today (7th November 2023), in terms of revenue, is $400 billion.
|N/A
| -13.09%
|N/A
|-
|-
|What is the estimated company lifespan?
|01/04/2020
|50 years
|86.36
|Currently, Arctic Shores employs around 77, making the company a small organisation (less than 10,000 employees). That said, given the company's mission, we expect the company to grow to a large organisation, and research shows that the average lifespan of a large corporation is around 50 years.<ref>Stadler, Enduring Success, 3–5.</ref>
|N/A
|10.82%
|N/A
|-
|-
|What's the estimated annual growth rate of the total addressable market over the lifecycle of the company?
|01/05/2020
|3%
|90.7
|Research shows that the growth rate of the global HR tech market (i.e. the total addressable market) is similar to the growth rate of global gross domestic product, which has averaged (medium) around 3% per year in the last 20 years (2001 to 2022)<ref>https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/WLD/world/gdp-growth-rate</ref>.
|N/A
|5.03%
|N/A
|-
|-
|What's the estimated company peak market share?
|01/06/2020
|1%
|92.14
|The Stockhub users estimate that especially given the leadership of the company, the peak market share of Arctic Shores is around 0.50%, and, therefore, suggests using the share amount here. As of 7th November 2023, Arctic Shores's current share of the market is estimated at around 0.00068%.
|N/A
|1.59%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Which distribution function do you want to use to estimate company revenue?
|01/07/2020
|Gaussian
|96.65
|Research suggests that the revenue pattern of companies is similar to the pattern produced by the Gaussian distribution function  (i.e. the revenue distribution is bell shaped)<ref>http://escml.umd.edu/Papers/ObsCPMT.pdf</ref>, so the Stockhub users suggest using that function here.
|N/A
|4.89%
|N/A
|-
|-
|What's the estimated standard deviation of company revenue?
|01/08/2020
| 5 years
|102.96
|Another way of asking this question is this way: within how many years either side of the mean does 68% of revenue occur? Based on Arctic Shores's current estimated revenue amount (i.e. $2.7 million) and Arctic Shores's estimated lifespan (i.e. 50 years) and Arctic Shores's estimated current stage of its lifecycle (i.e. introduction stage), the Stockhub users suggest using five years (i.e. 68% of all sales happen within five years either side of the mean year), so that's what's used here.
|N/A
|6.53%
|N/A
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stages</div>'''
|01/09/2020
|99.52
|N/A
| -3.34%
|N/A
|-
|-
|How many main stages of growth is the company expected to go through?
|01/10/2020
| 4 stages
|96.53
|Research suggests that a company typically goes through four distinct stages of cash flow growth.<ref>Levie J, Lichtenstein BB (2010) A terminal assessment of stages theory: Introducing a dynamic approach to entrepreneurship. Entrepreneurship: Theory & Practice 34(2): 317–350. <nowiki>https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6520.2010.00377.x</nowiki></ref> Research also shows that incorporating those stages into the discounted cash flow model improves the quality of the model and, ultimately, the quality of the value estimation.<ref>Stef Hinfelaar et al.:, 2019.</ref>
|N/A
 
| -3.00%
In addition, research shows that a key way to determine the stage which a company is in is by examining the cash flow patterns of the company.<ref>Dickinson, 2010.</ref> A summary of the economic links to cash flow patterns can be found in the appendix of this report. The Stockhub users estimate that with Arctic Shores's operating cash flows negative (-), investing cash flows negative (-) and its financing cash flows positive (+), the company is in the first stage of growth (i.e. the 'introduction' stage), and, therefore, it has a total of four main stages of growth. Note, to account for one-off events, the three-year average (median) amount was used to calculate the cash flows.
|N/A
|-
|-
|What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 1?
|01/11/2020
|30%
|108.94
|Research suggests 30%.<ref name=":6">http://escml.umd.edu/Papers/ObsCPMT.pdf</ref>
|N/A
|12.86%
|N/A
|-
|-
|What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 2?
|01/12/2020
|10%  
|112.41
|Research suggests 10%.<ref name=":6" />
|N/A
|3.19%
|N/A
|-
|-
| What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 3?
|01/01/2021
|20%  
|111.49
| Research suggests 20%.<ref name=":6" />
|N/A
| -0.82%
|N/A
|-
|-
|What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 4?
|01/02/2021
|40%
|114.27
|Research suggests 40%.<ref name=":6" />
|N/A
|2.49%
|N/A
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 1</div>'''
|01/03/2021
|118.49
|N/A
|3.69%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/04/2021
|22.08%
|123.61
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7">http://people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/pdfiles/papers/younggrowth.pdf</ref>. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|4.32%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/05/2021
|(78.39)%
|125.6
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|1.61%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|01/06/2021
|(0.27)%
|126.57
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|0.77%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|01/07/2021
|6.82%
|128.83
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|1.79%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/08/2021
|36.30%
|132.02
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|2.48%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/09/2021
|22.31%
|126.46
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -4.21%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/10/2021
|7.54%
|133.84
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|5.84%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/11/2021
|(7.54)%
|131.1
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 1)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -2.05%
|N/A
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 2</div>'''
|01/12/2021
|135.32
|N/A
|3.22%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/01/2022
|27.59%
|128.32
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -5.17%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/02/2022
|75.98%
|124.58
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -2.91%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|01/03/2022
|41.08%
|128.16
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|2.87%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|01/04/2022
|5.86%
|117.42
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -8.38%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/05/2022
|5.78%
|117.94
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|0.44%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/06/2022
|55.99%
|106.88
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -9.38%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/07/2022
|18.25%
|115.57
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|8.13%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/08/2022
|1.65%
|110.28
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -4.58%
|N/A
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 3</div>'''
|01/09/2022
|99.95
|N/A
| -9.37%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/10/2022
|27.59%
|107.42
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|7.47%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/11/2022
|75.98%
|115.44
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|7.47%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|01/12/2022
|41.08%
|109.25
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -5.36%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|01/01/2023
|5.86%
|117.01
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|7.10%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/02/2023
|5.78%
|113.98
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -2.59%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/03/2023
|55.99%
|117.67
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|3.24%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/04/2023
|18.25%
|119.79
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|1.80%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/05/2023
|1.65%
|118.6
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -0.99%
|N/A
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 4</div>'''
|01/06/2023
|124.52
|N/A
|4.99%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/07/2023
|36.13%
|128.54
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|3.23%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|01/08/2023
|174.39%
|125.7
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -2.21%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|01/09/2023
|(1.94)%
|120.17
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -4.40%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|01/10/2023
|47.29%
|118.3
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
| -1.56%
|N/A
|-
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|24/10/2023
| 6.25%
|118.3
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|0.00%
|N/A
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Arctic Shores beta and adjusted beta value
!
!Beta
!Adjusted beta
!Comment(s)
|-
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Consistent (monthly) intervals between data points
| 2.13%
|N/A
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|Here, when there is no valuation event, we have assumed that the share price is the same as the previous month, and, therefore, there has been no change in the share price. For example, there was no Arctic Shores valuation event in January 2022, so we have assumed that the valuation of Arctic Shores is the same in January 2022 as the previous month of December 2020, and, therefore, the share price change in January is 0%.
|-
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Inconsistent intervals between data points
|0%
|N/A
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|N/A
|Because there's only two Arctic Shores valuation events, and, therefore, two, available data points, calculating beta based on inconsistent intervals between data points seems to be the best approach.
|-
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Assessment scheme approach
|0%
|7.0
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|5.0
|
|}
|}


== Risks ==
===Funding history===
[[File:DALL·E 2023-10-25 16.02.20 - Vector design of a pie chart representing the various risks associated with investing in Arctic Shores segments include Financial Risk, Market Compet.png|thumb|A vector design of a pie chart representing various risks associated with investing in Arctic Shores.]]
As with any investment, investing in Arctic Shores carries a level of risk. Overall, based on the Arctic Shores' adjusted beta (i.e. 6.93), the degree of risk associated with an investment in Arctic Shores is 'high'.
 
Normally, to estimate the adjusted beta, we use the iShares MSCI World ETF to represent the market portfolio; and in terms of the time period and frequency of observations, we use the share price data points of the investment. However, we note that the amount of available data observations for Arctic Shores is insufficient, with one data point only. Accordingly, to estimate the adjusted beta of Arctic Shores, we used a standardised assessment scheme, which estimates the beta based on information from the business plan and additional discussions with the founders or the management team. Further information about the scheme can be found in the appendix of this report.
 
The beta value in a future period has been found to be on average closer to the mean value of 1.0, and because valuation is forward-looking, it is logical to adjust the raw beta so it more accurately predicts a future beta. In addition, here, we have assumed that for an investment to be considered 'high' risk, it must have a beta value of 1.5 or more. Further information about the beta ratings can be found in the appendix section of this report.
 
'''The key risks'''
 
# '''Market Saturation and Differentiation Risk:''' In the psychometric assessment industry, the market is not just competitive but also at risk of saturation. Arctic Shores needs to continuously differentiate its offerings from competitors to maintain a unique value proposition. This involves innovation in product features and customer engagement strategies.
# '''Technological Innovation and Adaptation Risk:''' Given the company's reliance on game technology and AI for psychometric assessments, staying ahead in technological advancements is crucial. This includes investing in research and development to ensure their technology remains cutting-edge and relevant.
# '''Data Security and Privacy Risk:''' Operating in an industry where large amounts of sensitive personal data are processed, Arctic Shores faces significant risks related to data security and privacy. Compliance with data protection regulations like GDPR and ensuring robust cybersecurity measures are critical.
# '''International Expansion and Localisation Risk:''' As Arctic Shores looks to expand internationally, they face risks associated with localising their products to different cultures and languages, along with navigating diverse regulatory environments.
# '''Customer Dependence Risk:''' If Arctic Shores relies heavily on a limited number of large clients, there's a risk associated with customer concentration. Losing one or more key clients could significantly impact revenue.
# '''Innovation and Research & Development (R&D) Risk:''' The need for continuous innovation in their product offerings places a significant burden on R&D. Balancing the investment in innovation with financial sustainability is a key risk.
# '''Reputation and Brand Risk:''' Any issues with the accuracy or efficacy of their psychometric assessments could quickly damage Arctic Shores’ reputation, which is vital in a trust-based industry like recruitment and assessment.
# '''Regulatory Compliance Risk:''' This remains a significant risk, especially given the potential for changing regulations in different jurisdictions related to employment, data privacy, and AI ethics.
# '''Economic and Industry-Specific Downturns:''' Being part of the HR and recruitment industry, Arctic Shores could be sensitive to economic downturns or changes in hiring trends, which could reduce the demand for their services.
# '''Early-Stage Investment Risk:''' Given that Arctic Shores is already 10 years old as of October 2023, it may have passed the most critical early stages where this risk is highest. However, the risk doesn't disappear entirely, especially if the company is still in a growth phase, developing new technologies, or entering new markets. For a company in the technology sector, where rapid innovation and market shifts are common, early-stage investment risks could still be relevant, albeit less critical than for a younger startup.
# '''Illiquid Investment Risk:''' This risk remains significant for private companies like Arctic Shores. The shares of private companies are typically not as easily sold as those of public companies, making investments less liquid and potentially riskier for investors who might need or want to exit their investment. This risk is particularly pertinent for venture capitalists or individual investors who might be looking for a return on their investment within a specific timeframe.
 
== Valuation ==
 
=== What's the expected return of an investment in the company?edit ===
The Stockhub users estimate that the expected return of an investment in the company over the next five years is 12x, which equates to an annual return of 67%. In other words, an £100,000 investment in the company is expected to return £1,302,058 in five years time. The assumptions used to estimate the return figure can be found in the table below.
 
Assuming that a suitable return level over five years is 67% per year or less, and Arctic Shores achieves its expected return level (of 67%), then an investment in the company is considered to be an 'suitable' one.
 
===What are the assumptions used to estimate the return?===


{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+ Key inputs
|+Arctic Shores Funding<ref name=":2" />
!Description
!Date
!Value
!Investors
!Commentary
!Amount
!Pre-money valuation
!Round
|-
|-
| Which valuation model do you want to use?
| -
|Discounted cash flow
|Home
|Research suggests that in terms of estimating the expected return of an investment over a period of 12-months or more, the approach that is more accurate is the discounted cash flow approach<ref name=":5">Demirakos et al., 2010; Gleason et al., 2013</ref>, so that's the approach that he Stockhub users suggest to use here; nevertheless, for completeness purposes, separately, the valuation of the company is also estimated using the using the relative valuation approach (the valuation based on the relative approach can be found in the appendix of this report).
|N/A
 
|N/A
Arctic Shores has never paid cash dividends, and on 7th February 2022, it said that it currently does not anticipate paying any cash dividends in the foreseeable future. Accordingly, the Stockhub users suggest using the free cash flow valuation method (rather than the dividend discount model).
| - (not yet verified)
|-
|-
|Which financial forecasts to use?
|Dec 2017
| Stockhub
|N/A
|The only available long-term forecasts (i.e. >15 years) are the ones that are supplied by the Stockhub users (the forecasts can be found in the financials section of this report), so the Stockhub users suggest using those.
|N/A
|N/A
|Seed (not yet verified)
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 1</div>'''
|Sep 2019<ref>https://www.privateequitywire.co.uk/beringea-leads-usd55m-investment-arctic-shores/</ref>
|Beringea, Candy Ventures
|$5.5m
|N/A
|Series A
|-
|-
|Discount rate (%)
|Feb 2020
|30%
|Tech Nation
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity is by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|N/A
|N/A
|Support Program
|-
|-
|Probability of success (%)
|Jan 2022
|70%
|Standard Treasury
|Research suggests that a suitable rate for a company in this growth stage (i.e. stage 1) is 70%.
|£1.5m
|N/A
|Debt (not yet verified)
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 2</div>'''
|Jan 2023<ref>https://www.arcticshores.com/news/arctic-shores-closes-5.75m-series-b-to-spearhead-the-soft-skills-assessment-market-and-accelerate-growth</ref>
|Beringea, Calculus Capital, Praetura Ventures
|£5.8m
|N/A
|Series B
|-
|-
|Discount rate (%)
| colspan="2" |'''Total Funding'''
| 15%
|'''$13.1m'''
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity is by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|
|
|}
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|+
!Date
!Total number of issues shared
!New shares
!Class of shares
!Comments
|-
|-
|Probability of success (%)
|28/06/2013<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzA4MDYyNjc5N2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
| 80%
|2
| Research suggests that a suitable rate for a company in this growth stage (i.e. stage 2) is 80%.
|2
 
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 3</div>'''
|28/01/2014<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzA5NTA0NTQ5NGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|2,000,000
|1,999,998
|Ordinary
|Sub-division of shares.
|-
|-
|Discount rate (%)
|10/12/2014<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzExMzIyNTEwM2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
| 10%
|2,169,521
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity is by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|169,521
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Probability of success (%)
|23/06/2016<ref name=":3">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzE1NjI1NzAyM2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|100%
|2,386,883
|Research suggests that a suitable rate for a company in this growth stage (i.e. stage 3) is 100%.
|217,362
 
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 4</div>'''
|23/06/2016<ref name=":3" />
|2,864,189
|477,306
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Discount rate (%)
|08/02/2017<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzE2ODUyNjQ5MmFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
| 10%
|2,976,372
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity is by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|112,183
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Probability of success (%)
|20/06/2017<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzE3ODQ0ODk0NmFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
| 100%
|3,095,715
|Research suggests that a suitable rate for a company in this growth stage (i.e. stage 4) is 100%.
|119,343
 
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Other key inputs</div>'''
|04/08/2017<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzE4MjI2NDg0NWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|3,286,660
|190,945
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|What's the current value of the company?
|10/10/2017<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzE4NzI4NjEzN2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|£21.98 million
|3,389,295
|The Stockhub users calculate the valuation as of £21.98 million (for the calculation, see the 'Arctic Shores Series B valuation calculation' table in this report. However, according to Dealroom.co estimates, the firm valuation is between $30m and $46m ($38 million mean) as of January 2023.<ref name=":2">https://app.dealroom.co/companies/arctic_shores/</ref> The valuation is based on either of: the publicly disclosed value, or an estimate that is based on the last funding round amount, using similar rounds as benchmarks.
|102,635
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Which time period do you want to use to estimate the expected return?
|09/07/2018<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzIwOTMzOTQzOWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
| Between now and five years time
|3,593,670
|Research suggests that following a market crash, the average amount of time it takes for the price of a stock market to return to its pre-crash level (i.e. the recovery period) is at least three years.<ref>https://www.newyorkfed.org/mediabrary/media/medialibrary/media/research/staff_reports/research_papers/9809.pdf</ref> Accordingly, Stockhub suggests that to account for general market cyclicity, it's best to estimate the expected return of the company between now and five years time.
|204,375
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Which valuation recommendation method do you want to use?
|'''18/10/2018<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzIxNzI5Mjg0MmFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>'''
|Relative
|'''3,969,722'''
|There's two main types of valuation recommendation methods, relative and absolute. The relative method determines the investment recommendation relative to other investments (e.g. the investment is "suitable" if it's within say the top 10% of the investment universe in terms of investment returns), whereas the absolute method determines the recommendation based on a fixed return amount (e.g. the investment is "suitable" if it returns 50% or more). Assuming sufficient data, the Stockhub users suggest using the relative method.
|'''376,052'''
|'''Ordinary'''
|There's a discrepancy between the total number of shares in this table and in the company's filing (3,969,722 vs. 3,978,195), a difference of 8,473 shares. The 8,473 shares seem to relate to the company Needham Consultancy Ltd <ref name=":12" /> and/or to the person James Williams. <ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzIwOTYwOTkxOGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|-
|-
|Which top proportion of the investment universe constitutes a "suitable" rating?
|22/08/2019<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzI0MjM4MzA2M2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|10%
|4,025,502
|The proportion depends on the user's preference. That said, typically, the higher the proportion, the higher the risk associated with the investment.
|55,780
|Ordinary
|
|-
|28/08/2019<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzI0MjgxNDQ4OGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|4,899,547
|874,045
|A Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Which universe of investments do you want to use?
|20/04/2022<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzMzNjczNjk5MGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|All investments
|5,102,287
|If the main objective of the user is to maximise investment returns, then the Stockhub users suggest using 'all investments' as the investment universe.
|202,740
|}
|Ordinary
 
|
===Sensitivity analysis===
 
The main inputs that result in the greatest change in the expected return of the Arctic Shores investment are, in order of importance (from highest to lowest):  
 
#The size of the total addressable market (the default size is $400 billion);
#Arctic Shores peak market share (the default share is 0.50%); and
#The discount rate (the default time-weighted average rate is 16.50%).
 
The impact of a 50% change in those main inputs to the expected return of the Arctic Shores investment is shown in the table below.
 
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|+Arctic Shores investment expected return sensitivity analysis
!Main input
!50% worse
!Unchanged
!50% better
|-
|-
|The discount rate
|20/04/2022<ref name=":4">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzMzNjczODA5OWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|ccc%
|5,104,674
|ccc%
|2,387
|ccc%
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|The size of the total addressable market
|20/04/2022<ref name=":4" />
|ccc%
|5,112,534
|ccc%
|7,860
|ccc%
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Arctic Shores peak market share
|20/04/2022<ref name=":4" />
|ccc%
|5,192,534
| ccc%
|80,000
|ccc%
|Ordinary
|}
|
 
==Actions==
 
To invest in Arctic Shores, click [mailto:info@arcticshores.com here].
 
To contact Arctic Shores, click [mailto:info@arcticshores.com here].
 
== Appendix ==
 
=== Relative valuation approach ===
As noted earlier in this report, research suggests that in terms of estimating the expected return of an investment over a period of 12-months or more, the approach that is more accurate is the discounted cash flow approach, so that's the approach that Stockhub suggests using to determine the estimated value of the company (the valuation based on the discounted cash flow approach can be found in the valuation section of this report); nevertheless, for completeness purposes, separately, the valuation of the company is also estimated using the relative valuation approach.
 
==== What's the expected return of an investment in Arctic Shores using the relative valuation approach? ====
Stockhub estimates that the expected return of an investment in Arctic Shores over the next five years is 38x, which equates to an annual return of 108%. In other words, an £100,000 investment in the company is expected to return £3,933,322 in five years time. The assumptions used to estimate the return figure can be found in the table below.
 
==== What are the assumptions used to estimate the return figure? ====
{| class="wikitable"
|+Key inputs
!Description
!Value
!Commentary
|-
|-
|Which type of multiple do you want to use?
|20/04/2022<ref name=":4" />
|Growth-adjusted EV/sales
|5,193,158
|For the numerator, the Stockhub users believe that to account for the different financial leverage levels of its peers, it's best to use enterprise value (EV), rather than price. For the denominator, the Stockhub users believe that because it expects Arctic Shores to reinvest almost all of its revenue back into the business over the five year forecast period and therefore its earnings are expected to be abnormally low over the period, it's best to use sales. Accordingly, the Stockhub users suggest valuing its company using the EV/sales ratio. However, the Stockhub users think that to take into account the different business lifecycle stages of its peers, the most suitable valuation multiple to use is the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple, rather than the EV/sales multiple.
|624
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|In regards to the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple, for the sales figure, which year to you want to use?
|20/04/2022<ref name=":4" />
|Year 5
|5,195,206
|Stockhub suggests that to account for general market cyclicity, it's best to estimate the expected return of the company between now and five years time.
|2,048
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|In regards to the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple, for the sales growth figure, which year(s) do you want to use?
|21/04/2022<ref name=":5" />
|Year 6, from now
|5,195,455
|Stockhub suggests that for the sales growth figure, it's best to use Year 6.
|249
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|In regards to the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple, what multiple figure do you want to use?
|21/04/2022<ref name=":5">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzMzNjczODM0NWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|0.18x
|5,195,704
|In Stockhub's view, Arctic Shores closest peer(s) is Sova Assessment Limited.
|249
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Which financial forecasts to use?
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM2NDc1NjM5NGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|Stockhub users
|5,211,261
|The only available forecasts are the ones that are supplied by the Stockhub users (the forecasts can be found in the financials section of this report), so Stockhub suggests using those.
|15,557
|Ordinary
|
|-
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|5,397,253
|185,992
|A Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|What's the current value of the company?
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|£21.98 million
|5,619,476
|The Stockhub users calculate the valuation as of £21.98 million (for the calculation, see the 'Arctic Shores Series B valuation calculation' table in this report). However, according to Dealroom.co estimates, the firm valuation is between $30m and $46m ($38 million mean) as of January 2023.<ref name=":2" /> The Dealroom valuation is based on either of: the publicly disclosed value, or an estimate that is based on the last funding round amount, using similar rounds as benchmarks.
|222,223
|A Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Which time period do you want to use to estimate the expected return?
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|Between now and five years time
|6,119,476
|Stockhub suggests that to account for general market cyclicity, it's best to estimate the expected return of the company between now and five years time.
|500,000
|B Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Which valuation recommendation method do you want to use?
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|Relative
|6,254,930
|There's two main types of valuation recommendation methods, relative and absolute. The relative method determines the investment recommendation relative to other investments (e.g. the investment is "suitable" if it's within say the top 10% of the investment universe in terms of investment returns), whereas the absolute method determines the recommendation based on a fixed return amount (e.g. the investment is "suitable" if it returns 50% or more).  Assuming sufficient data, the Stockhub users suggest using the relative method.
|135,454
|A1 Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Which top proportion of the investment universe constitutes a "suitable" rating?
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|10%
|6,390,384
|The proportion depends on the user's preference. That said, typically, the higher the proportion, the higher the risk associated with the investment.
|135,454
|A2 Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Which universe of investments do you want to use?
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|All investments
|6,810,486
|If the main objective of the user is to maximise investment returns, then the Stockhub users suggest using 'all investments' as the investment universe.
|420,102
|}
|B1 Ordinary
 
|
==== Sensitivity analysis ====
The main inputs that result in the greatest change in the expected return of the Arctic Shores investment are, in order of importance (from highest to lowest): 
 
#The growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple (the default multiple 0.18);
#Arctic Shores Year 5 sales figure (the default figure is £48.74 million); and
#Arctic Shores Year 6 sales growth rate (the default rate is 98.5%).
 
The impact of a 50% change in those main inputs to the expected return of the Arctic Shores investment is shown in the table below.
 
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|+Arctic Shores investment expected return sensitivity analysis
!Main input
!50% worse
!Unchanged
!50% better
|-
|-
|The growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|ccc%
|7,230,588
|ccc%
|420,102
|ccc%
|B2 Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Arctic Shores Year 5 sales figure
|24/02/2023<ref name=":7" />
|ccc%
|7,391,699
|ccc%
|161,111
|ccc%
|A Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Arctic Shores Year 6 sales growth rate
|24/02/2023<ref name=":7">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM3MDQ1ODAwMGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|ccc%
|7,416,587
|ccc%
|24,888
|ccc%
|A Ordinary
|}
|
 
===Economic links to cash flow patterns ===
{| class="wikitable"
|+Economic links to cash flow patterns
|-
|-
!Cash flow type!!Introduction!!Growth!!Shake out!!Mature!!Decline
|11/04/2023<ref name=":8" />
|7,417,835
|1,248
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Operating|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-|| style="background: green; color: white;" |+
|11/04/2023<ref name=":8">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM3NTczMDY3MGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
| style="background: orange; color: white;" | +/-|| style="background: green; color: white;" |+|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-
|7,418,035
|200
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Investing|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-|| style="background: orange; color: white;" |+/-|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-
|25/05/2023<ref name=":9">https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/06/13/freetrade-stock-trading-start-up-valuation-plunge/</ref>
| style="background: green; color: white;" | +
|7,418,460
|425
|Ordinary
|
|-
|25/05/2023<ref name=":9">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM4MDgwNDE2NWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|7,418,560
|100
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|Financing|| style="background: green; color: white;" |+|| style="background: green; color: white;" |+|| style="background: orange; color: white;" |+/-|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-|| style="background: orange; color: white;" |+/-
|29/08/2023<ref name=":10" />
|}
|7,429,868
 
|11,308
=== Beta risk profile ===
|Ordinary
{| class="wikitable"
|
|+
!Beta value
!Risk rating
|-
|-
|style="background: green; color: white;" |0 to 0.50
|29/08/2023<ref name=":10">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM5MTExNzM0OWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|style="background: green; color: white;" | Low
|7,430,868
|1,000
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|style="background: orange; color: white;" | 0.50 to 1.50
|27/09/2023<ref name=":11" />
|style="background: orange; color: white;" | Medium
|7,442,549
|11,681
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|style="background: red; color: white;" | 1.50 to 3.00
|27/09/2023<ref name=":11">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM5NDYzNTYyMmFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|style="background: red; color: white;" | High
|7,443,199
|650
|Ordinary
|
|-
|-
|style="background: purple; color: white;" | 3.00 and above
|'''Total'''
|style="background: purple; color: white;" | Extremely high
|
|'''7,268,501'''
|
|
|}
|}
 
{| class="wikitable sortable"
=== Arctic Shores adjusted beta calculation ===
{| class="wikitable"
|+
|+
!Date
!Class of shares
!iShares MSCI World ETF unit price (USD)
!Number of shares
!Arctic Shores share price (GBP)
!Share class proportion of total shares (%)
!iShares MSCI World ETF unit price change (%)
!Arctic Shores share price change (%)
|-
|-
|01/11/2018
|A Ordinary
|86.21
|1,282,260
|N/A
|17.64%
|
|
|-
|-
|01/12/2018
|B Ordinary
|78.87
|500,000
|N/A
|6.88%
| -8.51%
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/01/2019
|Ordinary
|84.96
|4,375,129
|N/A
|60.19%
|7.72%
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/02/2019
|A1 Ordinary
|87.49
|135,454
|N/A
|1.86%
|2.98%
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/03/2019
|A2 Ordinary
|88.79
|135,454
|N/A
|1.86%
| 1.49%
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/04/2019
|B1 Ordinary
|92.09
|420,102
|N/A
|5.78%
|3.72%
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/05/2019
|B2 Ordinary
|86.76
|420,102
|N/A
|5.78%
| -5.79%
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/06/2019
|'''Total'''
|91.02
|'''7,268,501'''
|N/A
|'''100.00%'''
|4.91%
|}
|N/A
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|+Shareholding as of 28th June 2023<ref name=":12">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM4NjIxOTA2MWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
!#
!Number of shares
!Share class
!Name
|-
|-
|01/07/2019
|1
|91.86
|1,000,000
|N/A
|Ordinary
|0.92%
|Robert Newry
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/08/2019
|2
|89.84
|1,000,000
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -2.20%
|Safe Hammad
| N/A
|-
|-
|01/09/2019
|3
|91.78
|38,543
|4.69
|Ordinary
|2.16%
|Andrew Needham
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/10/2019
|4
|94.12
|54,333
|N/A
|Ordinary
|2.55%
|Royston Jeans
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/11/2019
|5
|96.76
|64,500
|N/A
|Ordinary
|2.80%
|Sherief Hammad
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/12/2019
|6
|98.78
|6,522
|N/A
|Ordinary
|2.09%
|Caroline Elliman
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/01/2020
|7
|97.73
|96,097
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -1.06%
|Oliver Schrader
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/02/2020
|8
|89.67
|36,077
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -8.25%
|Patricia Armstrong
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/03/2020
|9
|77.93
|170,406
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -13.09%
|Malcolm Jackson
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/04/2020
|10
|86.36
|36,069
|N/A
|Ordinary
|10.82%
|Geoffrey Bailhache
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/05/2020
|11
|90.7
|985,937
|N/A
|Ordinary
|5.03%
|Candy Ventures Sarl
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/06/2020
|12
|92.14
|153,234
|N/A
|Ordinary
|1.59%
|NT Asset (Cayman) Limited
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/07/2020
|13
|96.65
|0
|N/A
|Ordinary
|4.89%
|R Needham Consultancy Ltd. 74,756 shares have been transferred, on 7th September 2018. To where have the shares been transferred?
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/08/2020
|14
|102.96
|26,731
|N/A
|Ordinary
|6.53%
|Penjuru Capital Pte Ltd.
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/09/2020
|15
|99.52
|8,473
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -3.34%
|James Williams
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/10/2020
|16
|96.53
|38,183
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -3.00%
|M R Howe
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/11/2020
|17
|108.94
|26,731
|N/A
|Ordinary
|12.86%
|Half Brother Capital Ltd.
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/12/2020
|18
|112.41
|10,308
|N/A
|Ordinary
|3.19%
|J Arkwright
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/01/2021
|19
|111.49
|12,415
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -0.82%
|R Graham
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/02/2021
|20
|114.27
|20,691
|N/A
|Ordinary
|2.49%
|R Ronaldshay (Earl of)
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/03/2021
|21
|118.49
|10,168
|N/A
|Ordinary
|3.69%
|R A Sangster
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/04/2021
|22
|123.61
|50,839
|N/A
|Ordinary
|4.32%
|Giles Slinger
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/05/2021
|23
|125.6
|50,839
|N/A
|Ordinary
|1.61%
|Lucy Slinger
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/06/2021
|24
|126.57
|27,291
|N/A
|Ordinary
|0.77%
|Nick Wentworth-Stanley
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/07/2021
|25
|128.83
|16,946
|N/A
|Ordinary
|1.79%
|Martin Elphron and Eugenia Ephson
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/08/2021
|26
|132.02
|16,946
|N/A
|Ordinary
|2.48%
|A Wentworth-Stanley
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/09/2021
|27
|126.46
|20,691
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -4.21%
|Maria Nirusha Balaratham Trust
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/10/2021
|28
|133.84
|21,391
|N/A
|Ordinary
|5.84%
|Richard Wingfield
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/11/2021
|29
|131.1
|16,946
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -2.05%
|Tower Pension Trustees Ltd.
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/12/2021
|30
|135.32
|20,691
|N/A
|Ordinary
|3.22%
|Jonathan Davie
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/01/2022
|31
|128.32
|20,691
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -5.17%
|James Corcoran
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/02/2022
|32
|124.58
|10,168
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -2.91%
|Kate Amin
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/03/2022
|33
|128.16
|12,415
|N/A
|Ordinary
|2.87%
|Guy Roxburghe
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/04/2022
|34
|117.42
|10,168
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -8.38%
|Guy Sangster
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/05/2022
|35
|117.94
|10,308
|N/A
|Ordinary
|0.44%
|James Dean
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/06/2022
|36
|106.88
|10,308
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -9.38%
|Harry Henderson
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/07/2022
|37
|115.57
|0
|N/A
|Ordinary
|8.13%
|Needham Consultancy Ltd. 8,473 shares have been transferred on 6th May 2018. To where have the shares been transferred?
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/08/2022
|38
|110.28
|9,721
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -4.58%
|Christopher Milln
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/09/2022
|39
|99.95
|8,473
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -9.37%
|Richard Benyon
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/10/2022
|40
|107.42
|7,866
|N/A
|Ordinary
|7.47%
|Atomico Angel Program I, LLC.
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/11/2022
|41
|115.44
|3,745
|N/A
|Ordinary
|7.47%
|Eugenia Ephson
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/12/2022
|42
|109.25
|24,972
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -5.36%
|Philip Green<ref>It seems the correct spelling of the first name is 'Philip', not 'Phillip', based on the following Linked-In page: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philip-green-35b38210/</ref>
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/01/2023
|43
|117.01
|713,809
|3.03
|A Ordinary
|7.10%
|Proven Growth and Income VCT Plc.
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/02/2023
|44
|113.98
|382,459
|N/A
|A Ordinary
| -2.59%
|Proven VCT Plc.
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/03/2023
|45
|117.67
|7,860
|N/A
|Ordinary
|3.24%
|Alastair Frater
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/04/2023
|46
|119.79
|2,387
|N/A
|Ordinary
|1.80%
|Joe Wilson
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/05/2023
|47
|118.6
|249
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -0.99%
|Calum Murphy
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/06/2023
|48
|124.52
|2,048
|N/A
|Ordinary
|4.99%
|David Cuthbertson
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/07/2023
|49
|128.54
|80,624
|N/A
|Ordinary
|3.23%
|Lara Montefiori
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/08/2023
|50
|125.7
|249
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -2.21%
|Nisha Wasim
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/09/2023
|51
|120.17
|100
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -4.40%
|Nathan Braithwaite
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/10/2023
|52
|118.3
|425
|N/A
|Ordinary
| -1.56%
|Tom Satterthwaite
|N/A
|-
|-
|24/10/2023
|53
|118.3
|624
|N/A
|Ordinary
|0.00%
|Joel Yusupoff
|N/A
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+
!Date
!iShares MSCI World ETF unit price (USD)
!Arctic Shores share price (GBP)
!iShares MSCI World ETF unit price change (%)
!Arctic Shores share price change (%)
|-
|-
|01/09/2019
|54
|91.78
|624
|4.69
|Ordinary
|N/A
|Mark Williamson
|N/A
|-
|-
|01/01/2023
|55
|117.01
|824
|3.03
|Ordinary
|27.49%
|Tara Franks
|(35.39)%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Arctic Shores beta and adjusted beta value
!
!Beta
!Adjusted beta
!Comment(s)
|-
|-
|Consistent (monthly) intervals between data points
|56
|N/A
|3,206
|N/A
|A Ordinary
|Here, when there is no valuation event, we have assumed that the share price is the same as the previous month, and, therefore, there has been no change in the share price. For example, there was no Arctic Shores valuation event in January 2022, so we have assumed that the valuation of Arctic Shores is the same in January 2022 as the previous month of December 2020, and, therefore, the share price change in January is 0%.
|Robert Newry
|-
|-
|Inconsistent intervals between data points
|57
|N/A
|3,206
|N/A
|A Ordinary
|Because there's only two Arctic Shores valuation events, and, therefore, two, available data points, calculating beta based on inconsistent intervals between data points seems to be the best approach.
|Safe Hammad
|-
|-
|Assessment scheme approach
|58
|9.90
|420,102
|6.93
|B1 Ordinary
|
|Calculus Nominees Ltd.
|}
 
===Funding history===
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+Arctic Shores Funding<ref name=":2" />
!Date
!Investors
!Raised amount (local currency)
!FX rate
!Raised amount (GBP)
!Post-money valuation (GBP)
!Round
|-
|-
| -
|59
|Home
|420,102
|N/A
|B2 Ordinary
|
|Calculus Nominees Ltd.
|
|N/A
| - (not yet verified)
|-
|-
|12/2017
|60
|N/A
|350,000
|N/A
|B Ordinary
|
|MNL Nominees Ltd.
|
|N/A
|Seed (not yet verified)
|-
|-
|02/09/2019<ref name=":24">https://www.privateequitywire.co.uk/beringea-leads-usd55m-investment-arctic-shores/</ref>
|61
|Beringea, Candy Ventures
|135,454
|$5.5m
|A1 Ordinary
|1.2466
|Calculus VCT Plc.
|£4.41m
|N/A
|Series A
|-
|-
|02/2020
|62
|Tech Nation
|135,454
|N/A
|A2 Ordinary
|
|Calculus VCT Plc.
|
|N/A
|Support Program
|-
|-
|13/01/2022
|63
|Standard Treasury
|9,620
|£1.5m
|A Ordinary
|1
|Malcolm Jackson
|£1.5m
|N/A
|Debt (not yet verified)
|-
|-
|05/01/2023<ref name=":22">https://www.arcticshores.com/news/arctic-shores-closes-5.75m-series-b-to-spearhead-the-soft-skills-assessment-market-and-accelerate-growth</ref>
|64
|Beringea, Calculus Capital, Praetura Ventures<ref name=":22" />
|8.017
|£5.75m<ref name=":22" />
|A Ordinary
|1
|NT Asset (Cayman) Limited
|£5.75m
|£21.98m
|Series B<ref name=":22" />
|-
|-
| colspan="2" |'''Total Funding'''
|65
|
|150,000
|
|B Ordinary
|'''£11.66m'''
|MNL (BBI) Nominees Limited
|
|
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Arctic Shores valuation calculation
!Input
!Series A
!Series B
|-
|-
|Total number of shares pre-fundraise:
|66
|3,986,061
|11,224
|5,129,909<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzMzNjczODM0NWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|A Ordinary
|Adam Hale
|-
|-
|Total number of shares post-fundraise:
|67
|4,860,106<ref name=":25">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzI0MjgxNDQ4OGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|92,999
|7,247,963<ref name=":23">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM2NDc1NjM5NGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|A Ordinary
|UK FF Nominees Ltd.
|-
|-
|Total new shares:
|68
|874,045<ref name=":25" />
|4,008
|2,118,054
|A Ordinary
|Sherief<ref>First name seems to be spelt incorrectly in the company's filing.</ref> Hammad
|-
|-
|Non-cash consideration new shares:
|69
|0<ref name=":25" />
|10,422
|222,223<ref name=":23" />
|A Ordinary
|Giles Slinger
|-
|-
|Cash consideration new shares
|70
|874,045<ref name=":25" />
|10,422
|1,895,831
|A Ordinary
|Lucy Slinger
|-
|-
|Cash consideration new shares as a proportion of the total number of shares (%):
|71
|17.98%
|9,620
|26.16%
|A Ordinary
|Philip<ref>Company filing shows 'Phil' Green, which seems to relate to the company's existing shareholder 'Phillip' Green.</ref> Green
|-
|-
|The total amount of money raised:
|72
|£4,410,000<ref name=":24" />
|6,413
|£5,750,000<ref name=":22" />
|A Ordinary
|David Mills
|-
|-
|Post-money valuation:
|73
|£22,797,950
|4,810
|£21,980,122
|A Ordinary
|John Woyton
|-
|-
|Pre-money valuation:
|74
|£18,697,950
|4,008
|£16,230,122
|A Ordinary
|Etedal Hammad
|-
|75
|94,341
|Ordinary
|Needham Ventures Limited
|-
|-
|Price per share (£)
|76
|£4.69 per share
|8,017
|£3.03 per share
|A Ordinary
|Needham Ventures Limited
|}
|}
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|+Sova Assessment Limited Series A valuation calculation
|+Aggregated shareholding as of 28th June 2023<ref name=":12" />
!Input
!#
!Value
!Shareholder
!Number of shares
!Proportion of total shares (%)
!Comment(s)
|-
|-
|Total number of shares pre-fundraise:<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/09593533/filing-history/MzMxMjI5MTc1NmFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|1
|58,514
|Robert Newry
|1,003,206
|13.85%
|Robert is one of the co-founders of Arctic Shores. He is also the CEO of the company. Further information about Robert can be found in the 'team' section of the report.
|-
|-
|Total number of shares post-fundraise:<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/09593533/filing-history/MzMyODM1NTY3N2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|2
|70,799
|Safe Hammad
|1,003,206
|13.85%
|Safe is one of the co-founders of Arctic Shores. He is also an advisor of the company. Further information about Safe can be found in the 'team' section of the report.
|-
|-
|New shares:
|3
|12,285
|Candy Ventures Sarl
|985,937
|13.61%
|
|-
|-
|New shares as a proportion of the total number of shares (%):
|4
|17.35%
|Calculus Nominees Ltd.
|840,204
|11.60%
|
|-
|-
|The total amount of money raised:<ref>https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/sova-assessment/company_financials</ref>
|5
|£6.7m
|Proven Growth and Income VCT Plc.
|713,809
|9.86%
|
|-
|-
|Post-money valuation:
|6
|£38.61m
|Proven VCT Plc.
|382,459
|5.28%
|
|-
|-
|Pre-money valuation:
|7
|£31.91m
|MNL Nominees Ltd.
|}
|350,000
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|4.83%
|+
|
!Date
!Total number of issues shared
!New shares
!Class of shares
!Comments
|-
|-
|28/06/2013<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzA4MDYyNjc5N2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|8
|2
|Calculus VCT Plc.
|2
|270,908
|Ordinary
|3.74%
|
|
|-
|-
|28/01/2014<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzA5NTA0NTQ5NGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|9
|2,000,000
|Malcolm Jackson
|1,999,998
|180,026
|Ordinary
|2.49%
|Sub-division of shares.
|
|-
|-
|10/12/2014<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzExMzIyNTEwM2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|10
|2,169,521
|NT Asset (Cayman) Limited
|169,521
|153,242
|Ordinary
|2.12%
|
|
|-
|-
|23/06/2016<ref name=":3">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzE1NjI1NzAyM2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|11
|2,386,883
|MNL (BBI) Nominees Limited
|217,362
|150,000
|Ordinary
|2.07%
|
|
|-
|-
|23/06/2016<ref name=":3" />
|12
|2,864,189
|Needham Ventures Limited
|477,306
|102,358
|Ordinary
|1.41%
|
|
|-
|-
|08/02/2017<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzE2ODUyNjQ5MmFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|13
|2,976,372
|Oliver Schrader
|112,183
|96,097
|Ordinary
|1.33%
|
|
|-
|-
|20/06/2017<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzE3ODQ0ODk0NmFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|14
|3,095,715
|UK FF Nominees Ltd.
|119,343
|92,999
|Ordinary
|1.28%
|
|
|-
|-
|04/08/2017<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzE4MjI2NDg0NWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|15
|3,286,660
|Lara Montefiori
|190,945
|80,624
|Ordinary
|1.11%
|
|
|-
|-
|10/10/2017<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzE4NzI4NjEzN2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|16
|3,389,295
|Sherief Hammad
|102,635
|68,508
|Ordinary
|0.95%
|
|
|-
|-
|09/07/2018<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzIwOTMzOTQzOWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|17
|3,593,670
|Giles Slinger
|204,375
|61,261
|Ordinary
|0.85%
|
|
|-
|-
|'''18/10/2018<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzIxNzI5Mjg0MmFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>'''
|18
|'''3,969,722'''
|Lucy Slinger
|'''376,052'''
|61,261
|'''Ordinary'''
|0.85%
|There's a discrepancy between the total number of shares in this table and in the company's filing (3,969,722 vs. 3,978,195), a difference of 8,473 shares. The 8,473 shares seem to relate to the company Needham Consultancy Ltd <ref name=":12" /> and/or to the person James Williams. <ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzIwOTYwOTkxOGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|
|-
|-
|22/08/2019<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzI0MjM4MzA2M2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|19
|4,025,502
|Royston Jeans
|55,780
|54,333
|Ordinary
|0.75%
|
|
|-
|-
|28/08/2019<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzI0MjgxNDQ4OGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|20
|4,899,547
|Andrew Needham
|874,045
|38,543
|A Ordinary
|0.53%
|
|
|-
|-
|20/04/2022<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzMzNjczNjk5MGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|21
|5,102,287
|M R Howe
|202,740
|38,183
|Ordinary
|0.53%
|
|
|-
|-
|20/04/2022<ref name=":4">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzMzNjczODA5OWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|22
|5,104,674
|Patricia Armstrong
|2,387
|36,077
|Ordinary
|0.50%
|
|
|-
|-
|20/04/2022<ref name=":4" />
|23
|5,112,534
|Geoffrey Bailhache
|7,860
|36,069
|Ordinary
|0.50%
|
|
|-
|-
|20/04/2022<ref name=":4" />
|24
|5,192,534
|Philip Green
|80,000
|34,592
|Ordinary
|0.48%
|Further information about Philip can be found by clicking here: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philip-green-35b38210/details/experience/
|-
|25
|Nick Wentworth-Stanley
|27,291
|0.38%
|
|
|-
|-
|20/04/2022<ref name=":4" />
|26
|5,193,158
|Half Brother Capital Ltd.
|624
|26,731
|Ordinary
|0.37%
|
|
|-
|-
|20/04/2022<ref name=":4" />
|27
|5,195,206
|Penjuru Capital Pte Ltd.
|2,048
|26,731
|Ordinary
|0.37%
|
|
|-
|-
|21/04/2022<ref name=":5" />
|28
|5,195,455
|Richard Wingfield
|249
|21,391
|Ordinary
|0.30%
|
|
|-
|-
|21/04/2022<ref name=":5">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzMzNjczODM0NWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|29
|5,195,704
|James Corcoran
|249
|20,691
|Ordinary
|0.29%
|
|
|-
|-
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM2NDc1NjM5NGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|30
|5,211,261
|Jonathan Davie
|15,557
|20,691
|Ordinary
|0.29%
|
|
|-
|-
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|31
|5,397,253
|Maria Nirusha Balaratham Trust
|185,992
|20,691
|A Ordinary
|0.29%
|
|
|-
|-
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|32
|5,619,476
|R Ronaldshay (Earl of)
|222,223
|20,691
|A Ordinary
|0.29%
|The title "Earl of Ronaldshay" is a courtesy title for the eldest son and heir of the Marquess of Zetland. The title has been held by different individuals across generations within the Dundas family, with notable holders serving in significant political roles, particularly in relation to British colonial administration in India during the early 20th century​.<ref>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marquess_of_Zetland</ref>
|-
|33
|A Wentworth-Stanley
|16,946
|0.23%
|
|
|-
|-
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|34
|6,119,476
|Martin Elphron and Eugenia Ephson
|500,000
|16,946
|B Ordinary
|0.23%
|
|
|-
|-
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|35
|6,254,930
|Tower Pension Trustees Ltd.
|135,454
|16,946
|A1 Ordinary
|0.23%
|
|
|-
|-
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|36
|6,390,384
|Guy Roxburghe
|135,454
|12,415
|A2 Ordinary
|0.17%
|
|
|-
|-
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|37
|6,810,486
|R Graham
|420,102
|12,415
|B1 Ordinary
|0.17%
|
|
|-
|-
|05/01/2023<ref name=":6" />
|38
|7,230,588
|Adam Hale
|420,102
|11,224
|B2 Ordinary
|0.15%
|
|
|-
|-
|24/02/2023<ref name=":7" />
|39
|7,391,699
|Harry Henderson
|161,111
|10,308
|A Ordinary
|0.14%
|
|
|-
|-
|24/02/2023<ref name=":7">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM3MDQ1ODAwMGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|40
|7,416,587
|J Arkwright
|24,888
|10,308
|A Ordinary
|0.14%
|
|
|-
|-
|11/04/2023<ref name=":8" />
|41
|7,417,835
|James Dean
|1,248
|10,308
|Ordinary
|0.14%
|
|
|-
|-
|11/04/2023<ref name=":8">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM3NTczMDY3MGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|42
|7,418,035
|Guy Sangster
|200
|10,168
|Ordinary
|0.14%
|
|
|-
|-
|25/05/2023<ref name=":9">https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/06/13/freetrade-stock-trading-start-up-valuation-plunge/</ref>
|43
|7,418,460
|Kate Amin
|425
|10,168
|Ordinary
|0.14%
|
|
|-
|-
|25/05/2023<ref name=":9">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM4MDgwNDE2NWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|44
|7,418,560
|R A Sangster
|100
|10,168
|Ordinary
|0.14%
|
|
|-
|-
|29/08/2023<ref name=":10" />
|45
|7,429,868
|Christopher Milln
|11,308
|9,721
|Ordinary
|0.13%
|
|
|-
|-
|29/08/2023<ref name=":10">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM5MTExNzM0OWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|46
|7,430,868
|James Williams
|1,000
|8,473
|Ordinary
|0.12%
|
|
|-
|-
|27/09/2023<ref name=":11" />
|47
|7,442,549
|Richard Benyon
|11,681
|8,473
|Ordinary
|0.12%
|
|
|-
|-
|27/09/2023<ref name=":11">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM5NDYzNTYyMmFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
|48
|7,443,199
|Atomico Angel Program I, LLC.
|650
|7,866
|Ordinary
|0.11%
|
|
|-
|-
|'''Total'''
|49
|Alastair Frater
|7,860
|0.11%
|
|
|'''7,268,501'''
|-
|50
|Caroline Elliman
|6,522
|0.09%
|
|
|-
|51
|David Mills
|6,413
|0.09%
|
|
|}
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|+
!Class of shares
!Number of shares
!Share class proportion of total shares (%)
|-
|-
|A Ordinary
|52
|1,282,260
|John Woyton
|17.64%
|4,810
|0.07%
|
|-
|-
|B Ordinary
|53
|500,000
|Etedal Hammad
|6.88%
|4,008
|0.06%
|
|-
|-
|Ordinary
|54
|4,375,129
|Eugenia Ephson
|60.19%
|3,745
|0.05%
|
|-
|-
|A1 Ordinary
|55
|135,454
|Joe Wilson
|1.86%
|2,387
|0.03%
|
|-
|-
|A2 Ordinary
|56
|135,454
|David Cuthbertson
|1.86%
|2,048
|0.03%
|
|-
|-
|B1 Ordinary
|57
|420,102
|Tara Franks
|5.78%
|824
|0.01%
|
|-
|-
|B2 Ordinary
|58
|420,102
|Joel Yusupoff
|5.78%
|624
|0.01%
|
|-
|-
|'''Total'''
|59
|'''7,268,501'''
|Mark Williamson
|'''100.00%'''
|624
|}
|0.01%
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|
|+Shareholding as of 28th June 2023<ref name=":12">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/08589048/filing-history/MzM4NjIxOTA2MWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
!#
!Number of shares
!Share class
!Name
|-
|-
|1
|60
|1,000,000
|Tom Satterthwaite
|Ordinary
|425
|Robert Newry
|0.01%
|
|-
|-
|2
|61
|1,000,000
|Calum Murphy
|Ordinary
|249
|Safe Hammad
|0.00%
|
|-
|-
|3
|62
|38,543
|Nisha Wasim
|Ordinary
|249
|Andrew Needham
|0.00%
|
|-
|-
|4
|63
|54,333
|Nathan Braithwaite
|Ordinary
|100
|Royston Jeans
|0.00%
|
|-
|-
|5
|
|64,500
|'''Total'''
|Ordinary
|'''7,242,551'''
|Sherief Hammad
|'''100.00%'''
|
|}
 
=== Additional information ===
The company misspelled its name as "Artic Shores Limited" on the official incorporation filing documents, but realised and corrected the error to "Arctic Shores Limited" within four days.<ref name=":15" />
 
=== Arctic Shores peer(s) ===
{| class="wikitable"
|+
!
!Arctic Shores Limited
!Sova Assessment Limited
!
!
!
!
!
!Average (median)
|-
|-
|6
! colspan="6" |Relative valuation data
|6,522
!
|Ordinary
!
|Caroline Elliman
!
|-
|-
|7
|Local currency
|96,097
|GBP
|Ordinary
|GBP
|Oliver Schrader
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|-
|8
|Current market capitalisation (local currency, million)
|36,077
|
|Ordinary
|
|Patricia Armstrong
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|-
|9
|Year ago sales
|170,406
|
|Ordinary
|
|Malcolm Jackson
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|-
|10
|Current sales
|36,069
|
|Ordinary
|
|Geoffrey Bailhache
|
|-
|
|11
|
|985,937
|
|Ordinary
|
|Candy Ventures Sarl
|N/A
|-
|-
|12
|Sales growth rate (%)
|153,234
|
|Ordinary
|
|NT Asset (Cayman) Limited
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|-
|13
|Current cash
|0
|
|Ordinary
|
|R Needham Consultancy Ltd. 74,756 shares have been transferred, on 7th September 2018. To where have the shares been transferred?
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|-
|14
|Current debt
|26,731
|
|Ordinary
|
|Penjuru Capital Pte Ltd.
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|-
|15
! colspan="6" |Relative valuation metrics
|8,473
!
|Ordinary
!
|James Williams
!
|-
|-
|16
|Enterprise value/sales
|38,183
|N/A
|Ordinary
|N/A
|M R Howe
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|17
|Growth-adjusted enterprise value/sales ratio
|26,731
|N/A
|Ordinary
|N/A
|Half Brother Capital Ltd.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|18
! colspan="6" |Absolute valuation data
|10,308
!
|Ordinary
!
|J Arkwright
!
|-
|-
|19
|Lifecycle growth stage
|12,415
|Stage 1 (of 4)
|Ordinary
|Stage 1 (of 4)
|R Graham
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|-
|20
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|20,691
|
|Ordinary
|
|R Ronaldshay (Earl of)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|21
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|10,168
|
|Ordinary
|
|R A Sangster
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|22
|Tax rate (%)
|50,839
|
|Ordinary
|
|Giles Slinger
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|23
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|50,839
|
|Ordinary
|
|Lucy Slinger
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|24
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|27,291
|
|Ordinary
|
|Nick Wentworth-Stanley
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|25
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|16,946
|
|Ordinary
|
|Martin Elphron and Eugenia Ephson
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|26
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|16,946
|
|Ordinary
|
|A Wentworth-Stanley
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|27
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|20,691
|
|Ordinary
|
|Maria Nirusha Balaratham Trust
|
|
|
|
|
|
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Key metrics for different stages of the business lifecycle
!
!Stage 1
!Stage 2
!Stage 3
!Stage 4
|-
|-
|28
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|21,391
|
|Ordinary
|
|Richard Wingfield
|
|36.13%
|-
|-
|29
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|16,946
|
|Ordinary
|
|Tower Pension Trustees Ltd.
|
|174.39%
|-
|-
|30
|Tax rate (%)
|20,691
|
|Ordinary
|
|Jonathan Davie
|
|(1.94)%
|-
|-
|31
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|20,691
|
|Ordinary
|
|James Corcoran
|
|47.29%
|-
|-
|32
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|10,168
|
|Ordinary
|
|Kate Amin
|
|6.25%
|-
|-
|33
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|12,415
|
|Ordinary
|
|Guy Roxburghe
|
|2.13%
|-
|-
|34
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|10,168
|
|Ordinary
|
|Guy Sangster
|
|0%
|-
|-
|35
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|10,308
|
|Ordinary
|
|James Dean
|
|0%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Stage 1
!
!Arctic Shores Limited
!Sova Assessment Limited
!
!Median
|-
|-
|36
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|10,308
|
|Ordinary
|
|Harry Henderson
|
|
|-
|-
|37
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|0
|
|Ordinary
|
|Needham Consultancy Ltd. 8,473 shares have been transferred on 6th May 2018. To where have the shares been transferred?
|
|
|-
|-
|38
|Tax rate (%)
|9,721
|
|Ordinary
|
|Christopher Milln
|
|
|-
|-
|39
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|8,473
|
|Ordinary
|
|Richard Benyon
|
|
|-
|-
|40
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|7,866
|
|Ordinary
|
|Atomico Angel Program I, LLC.
|
|
|-
|-
|41
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|3,745
|
|Ordinary
|
|Eugenia Ephson
|
|
|-
|-
|42
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|24,972
|
|Ordinary
|
|Philip Green<ref>It seems the correct spelling of the first name is 'Philip', not 'Phillip', based on the following Linked-In page: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philip-green-35b38210/</ref>
|
|
|-
|-
|43
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|713,809
|
|A Ordinary
|
|Proven Growth and Income VCT Plc.
|
|
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Stage 2
!
!
!
!
!Median
|-
|-
|44
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|382,459
|
|A Ordinary
|
|Proven VCT Plc.
|
|
|-
|-
|45
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|7,860
|
|Ordinary
|
|Alastair Frater
|
|
|-
|-
|46
|Tax rate (%)
|2,387
|
|Ordinary
|
|Joe Wilson
|
|
|-
|-
|47
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|249
|
|Ordinary
|
|Calum Murphy
|
|
|-
|-
|48
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|2,048
|
|Ordinary
|
|David Cuthbertson
|
|
|-
|-
|49
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|80,624
|
|Ordinary
|
|Lara Montefiori
|
|
|-
|-
|50
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|249
|
|Ordinary
|
|Nisha Wasim
|
|
|-
|-
|51
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|100
|
|Ordinary
|
|Nathan Braithwaite
|
|
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Stage 3
!
!
!
!
!Median
|-
|-
|52
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|425
|
|Ordinary
|
|Tom Satterthwaite
|
|
|-
|-
|53
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|624
|
|Ordinary
|
|Joel Yusupoff
|
|
|-
|-
|54
|Tax rate (%)
|624
|
|Ordinary
|
|Mark Williamson
|
|
|-
|-
|55
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|824
|
|Ordinary
|
|Tara Franks
|
|
|-
|-
|56
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|3,206
|
|A Ordinary
|
|Robert Newry
|
|
|-
|-
|57
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|3,206
|
|A Ordinary
|
|Safe Hammad
|
|
|-
|-
|58
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|420,102
|
|B1 Ordinary
|
|Calculus Nominees Ltd.
|
|
|-
|-
|59
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|420,102
|
|B2 Ordinary
|
|Calculus Nominees Ltd.
|
|
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Stage 4
!
!
!
!
!Median
|-
|-
|60
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|350,000
|
|B Ordinary
|
|MNL Nominees Ltd.
|
|
|-
|-
|61
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|135,454
|
|A1 Ordinary
|
|Calculus VCT Plc.
|
|
|-
|-
|62
|Tax rate (%)
|135,454
|
|A2 Ordinary
|
|Calculus VCT Plc.
|
|
|-
|-
|63
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|9,620
|
|A Ordinary
|
|Malcolm Jackson
|
|
|-
|-
|64
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|8.017
|
|A Ordinary
|
|NT Asset (Cayman) Limited
|
|
|-
|-
|65
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|150,000
|
|B Ordinary
|
|MNL (BBI) Nominees Limited
|
|
|-
|-
|66
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|11,224
|
|A Ordinary
|
|Adam Hale
|
|
|-
|-
|67
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|92,999
|
|A Ordinary
|
|UK FF Nominees Ltd.
|
|-
|
|68
|}
|4,008
{| class="wikitable"
|A Ordinary
|+Sova Assessment Limited
|Sherief<ref>First name seems to be spelt incorrectly in the company's filing.</ref> Hammad
!Year
!1
!2
!3
!4
!5
!6
!7
|-
|-
|69
!Period end date
|10,422
!31/03/2016
|A Ordinary
!31/03/2017
|Giles Slinger
!31/03/2018<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/09593533/filing-history/MzI0MjA3OTAwNmFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
!31/03/2019<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/09593533/filing-history/MzI2NDE3MDEyOGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
!31/03/2020<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/09593533/filing-history/MzMyMDMyOTgxOWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
!31/03/2021<ref name=":19">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/09593533/filing-history/MzM2MTM2ODQzN2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
!31/03/2022<ref name=":19" />
|-
|-
|70
!Period duration (days)
|10,422
!366
|A Ordinary
!365
|Lucy Slinger
!365
!365
!366
!365
!365
|-
|-
|71
!
|9,620
!Historic
|A Ordinary
!Historic
|Philip<ref>Company filing shows 'Phil' Green, which seems to relate to the company's existing shareholder 'Phillip' Green.</ref> Green
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
|-
|-
|72
! colspan="8" |Profit and loss
|6,413
|A Ordinary
|David Mills
|-
|-
|73
|Turnover
|4,810
|
|A Ordinary
|
|John Woyton
|
|
|
|2,497,334
|3,891,612
|-
|-
|74
|Gross profit
|4,008
|
|A Ordinary
|
|Etedal Hammad
|
|
|
|1,791,902
|3,032,458
|-
|-
|75
|Operating profit/(loss)
|94,341
|
|Ordinary
|
|Needham Ventures Limited
|
|
|
|(1,897,229)
|(3,050,532)
|-
|-
|76
|Interest receivable and similar income
|8,017
|
|A Ordinary
|
|Needham Ventures Limited
|
|}
|
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|
|+Aggregated shareholding as of 28th June 2023<ref name=":12" />
|7
!#
|0
!Shareholder
!Number of shares
!Proportion of total shares (%)
!Comment(s)
|-
|-
|1
|Interest payable and similar expenses
|Robert Newry
|
|1,003,206
|
|13.85%
|
|Robert is one of the co-founders of Arctic Shores. He is also the CEO of the company. Further information about Robert can be found in the 'team' section of the report.
|-
|2
|Safe Hammad
|1,003,206
|13.85%
|Safe is one of the co-founders of Arctic Shores. He is also an advisor of the company. Further information about Safe can be found in the 'team' section of the report.
|-
|3
|Candy Ventures Sarl
|985,937
|13.61%
|
|
|-
|4
|Calculus Nominees Ltd.
|840,204
|11.60%
|
|
|(231,580)
|(293,605)
|-
|-
|5
|Net interest
|Proven Growth and Income VCT Plc.
|713,809
|9.86%
|
|
|-
|6
|Proven VCT Plc.
|382,459
|5.28%
|
|
|-
|7
|MNL Nominees Ltd.
|350,000
|4.83%
|
|
|-
|8
|Calculus VCT Plc.
|270,908
|3.74%
|
|
|-
|9
|Malcolm Jackson
|180,026
|2.49%
|
|
|(231,573)
|(293,605)
|-
|-
|10
|Profit Before Tax
|NT Asset (Cayman) Limited
|
|153,242
|
|2.12%
|
|
|-
|11
|MNL (BBI) Nominees Limited
|150,000
|2.07%
|
|
|-
|12
|Needham Ventures Limited
|102,358
|1.41%
|
|
|(2,128,802)
|(3,344,137)
|-
|-
|13
|Tax on loss
|Oliver Schrader
|96,097
|1.33%
|
|
|-
|14
|UK FF Nominees Ltd.
|92,999
|1.28%
|
|
|-
|15
|Lara Montefiori
|80,624
|1.11%
|
|
|-
|16
|Sherief Hammad
|68,508
|0.95%
|
|
|-
|17
|Giles Slinger
|61,261
|0.85%
|
|
|350,000
|10,402
|-
|-
|18
|Profit for the period
|Lucy Slinger
|
|61,261
|0.85%
|
|
|-
|19
|Royston Jeans
|54,333
|0.75%
|
|
|-
|20
|Andrew Needham
|38,543
|0.53%
|
|
|-
|21
|M R Howe
|38,183
|0.53%
|
|
|(1,778,802)
|(3,333,735)
|-
|-
|22
! colspan="8" |Balance sheet
|Patricia Armstrong
|36,077
|0.50%
|
|-
|-
|23
| colspan="8" |'''Assets'''
|Geoffrey Bailhache
|36,069
|0.50%
|
|-
|-
|24
| colspan="8" |'''Non-current assets'''
|Philip Green
|34,592
|0.48%
|Further information about Philip can be found by clicking here: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philip-green-35b38210/details/experience/
|-
|-
|25
|Goodwill
|Nick Wentworth-Stanley
|
|27,291
|
|0.38%
|
|
|
|
|-
|26
|Half Brother Capital Ltd.
|26,731
|0.37%
|
|
|-
|27
|Penjuru Capital Pte Ltd.
|26,731
|0.37%
|
|
|-
|-
|28
|Other intangible assets
|Richard Wingfield
|
|21,391
|
|0.30%
|
|
|
|
|-
|29
|James Corcoran
|20,691
|0.29%
|
|
|-
|30
|Jonathan Davie
|20,691
|0.29%
|
|
|-
|-
|31
|Property, plant and equipment
|Maria Nirusha Balaratham Trust
|20,691
|0.29%
|
|
|-
|32
|R Ronaldshay (Earl of)
|20,691
|0.29%
|The title "Earl of Ronaldshay" is a courtesy title for the eldest son and heir of the Marquess of Zetland. The title has been held by different individuals across generations within the Dundas family, with notable holders serving in significant political roles, particularly in relation to British colonial administration in India during the early 20th century​.<ref>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marquess_of_Zetland</ref>
|-
|33
|A Wentworth-Stanley
|16,946
|0.23%
|
|
|-
|34
|Martin Elphron and Eugenia Ephson
|16,946
|0.23%
|
|
|-
|35
|Tower Pension Trustees Ltd.
|16,946
|0.23%
|
|
|-
|36
|Guy Roxburghe
|12,415
|0.17%
|
|
|-
|37
|R Graham
|12,415
|0.17%
|
|
|-
|38
|Adam Hale
|11,224
|0.15%
|
|
|-
|-
|39
|Deferred tax assets
|Harry Henderson
|
|10,308
|
|0.14%
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|40
|J Arkwright
|10,308
|0.14%
|
|
|-
|-
|41
| colspan="8" |'''Current assets'''
|James Dean
|10,308
|0.14%
|
|-
|-
|42
|Investments
|Guy Sangster
|10,168
|0.14%
|
|
|-
|43
|Kate Amin
|10,168
|0.14%
|
|
|-
|44
|R A Sangster
|10,168
|0.14%
|
|
|-
|45
|Christopher Milln
|9,721
|0.13%
|
|
|-
|46
|James Williams
|8,473
|0.12%
|
|
|-
|47
|Richard Benyon
|8,473
|0.12%
|
|
|-
|48
|Atomico Angel Program I, LLC.
|7,866
|0.11%
|
|
|-
|-
|49
|Trade and other receivables
|Alastair Frater
|
|7,860
|
|0.11%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
|50
|Cash and cash equivalents (£'million)
|Caroline Elliman
|6,522
|0.09%
|
|
|-
|51
|David Mills
|6,413
|0.09%
|
|
|-
|52
|John Woyton
|4,810
|0.07%
|
|
|-
|53
|Etedal Hammad
|4,008
|0.06%
|
|
|-
|54
|Eugenia Ephson
|3,745
|0.05%
|
|
|-
|55
|Joe Wilson
|2,387
|0.03%
|
|
|-
|56
|David Cuthbertson
|2,048
|0.03%
|
|
|-
|-
|57
|Current tax assets
|Tara Franks
|
|824
|0.01%
|
|
|-
|58
|Joel Yusupoff
|624
|0.01%
|
|
|-
|59
|Mark Williamson
|624
|0.01%
|
|
|-
|60
|Tom Satterthwaite
|425
|0.01%
|
|
|-
|61
|Calum Murphy
|249
|0.00%
|
|
|-
|62
|Nisha Wasim
|249
|0.00%
|
|
|-
|-
|63
|Total current assets
|Nathan Braithwaite
|100
|0.00%
|
|
|-
|
|
|'''Total'''
|'''7,242,551'''
|'''100.00%'''
|
|
|}
=== Additional information ===
The company misspelled its name as "Artic Shores Limited" on the official incorporation filing documents, but realised and corrected the error to "Arctic Shores Limited" within four days.<ref name=":15" />
=== Arctic Shores peer(s) ===
{| class="wikitable"
|+
!
!Arctic Shores Limited
!Sova Assessment Limited
!Workday, Inc.
!
!
!
!
!Average (median)
|-
! colspan="9" |Relative valuation data
|-
|Local currency
|GBP
|GBP
|USD
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|-
|Current market capitalisation (local currency)
| colspan="8" |'''Liabilities'''
|19,676,452
|-
|38,612,397
| colspan="8" |'''Non-current liabilities'''
|56,870,000,000
|-
|Debt (£'million)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|
|
|
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Current liabilities'''
|-
|-
|Year ago sales
|Trade and other payables
|N/A
|
|2,497,334
|5,138,798,000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|Current sales
|N/A
|3,891,612
|6,215,818,000
|
|
|
|
|-
|Total current liabilities
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|Sales growth rate (%)
|N/A
|55.83%
|20.96%
|
|
|
|
Line 4,325: Line 3,376:
|
|
|-
|-
|Current cash
|Net assets
|5,480,754
|3,352,065
|1,886,311,000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|Current debt
|1,215,278
|4,012,780
|2,975,934,000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|-
! colspan="9" |Relative valuation metrics
! colspan="8" |Cash flow statement
|-
|-
|Enterprise value/sales (x)
|'''Net cash from/(used in) operating activities'''
|N/A
|10.09
|9.32
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|9.705
|-
|Growth-adjusted enterprise value/sales ratio
|N/A
|0.18
|0.44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|0.31
|-
|-
! colspan="9" |Absolute valuation data
| colspan="8" |'''Investing activities'''
|-
|-
|Lifecycle growth stage
|Decrease in term deposits
|Stage 1 (of 4)
|Stage 1 (of 4)
|Stage 2 (of 4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|N/A
|22.08%
|27.59%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Purchase of property, plant and equipment
|
|
|
|
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|N/A
|(78.39)%
|75.98%
|
|
|
|
Line 4,399: Line 3,416:
|
|
|-
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|Purchase of intangible assets
|N/A
|
|(0.27)%
|
|41.08%
|
|
|
|
Line 4,409: Line 3,425:
|
|
|-
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|Proceeds on disposal of subsidiary
|
|
|6.82%
|
|
|
|
Line 4,419: Line 3,434:
|
|
|-
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Proceeds/(purchase) on disposal of investments
|N/A
|
|36.30%
|
|
|
|
Line 4,429: Line 3,443:
|
|
|-
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|'''Net cash from/(used in) investing activities'''
|N/A
|
|22.31%
|
|
|
|
Line 4,439: Line 3,452:
|
|
|-
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
| colspan="8" |'''Financing activities'''
|N/A
|-
|7.54%
|Purchase of own shares in EBT
|
|
|
|
|
Line 4,449: Line 3,463:
|
|
|-
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Proceeds on sale of own shares in EB
|N/A
|
|(7.54)%
|
|
|
|
Line 4,458: Line 3,471:
|
|
|
|
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Key metrics for different stages of the business lifecycle
!
!Stage 1
!Stage 2
!Stage 3
!Stage 4
|-
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Payment of principal in relation to lease liabilities
|22.08%
|
|27.59%
|
|
|36.13%
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|(78.39)%
|75.98%
|
|
|174.39%
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|(0.27)%
|41.08%
|
|
|(1.94)%
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|6.82%
|5.86%
|
|
|47.29%
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|36.30%
|5.78%
|
|
|6.25%
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|22.31%
|55.99%
|
|
|2.13%
|-
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Dividends paid to owners of the parent
|7.54%
|18.25%
|
|
|0%
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|(7.54)%
|1.65%
|
|
|0%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Stage 1
!
!Arctic Shores Limited
!Sova Assessment Limited
!
!Median
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|N/A
|22.08%
|
|
|22.08%
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|N/A
|(78.39)%
|
|
|(78.39)%
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|N/A
|(0.27)%
|
|
|(0.27)%
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|
|
|6.82%
|
|
|6.82%
|-
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|'''Net cash from/(used in) financing activities'''
|N/A
|
|36.30%
|
|
|36.30%
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|N/A
|22.31%
|
|
|22.31%
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|N/A
|7.54%
|
|
|7.54%
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|N/A
|(7.54)%
|
|
|(7.54)%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Stage 2
!
!Workday, Inc.
!
!
!Median
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|27.59%
|
|
|
|
|27.59%
|-
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
! colspan="8" |Revenue breakdown
|75.98%
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Ongoing revenue'''
|-
|Platform fees
|
|
|
|
|
|75.98%
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|41.08%
|
|
|
|
|41.08%
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|5.86%
|
|
|
|
|5.86%
|-
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Fund management fees
|5.78%
|
|
|
|
|
|5.78%
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|55.99%
|
|
|
|
|55.99%
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|18.25%
|
|
|
|
|18.25%
|-
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Ongoing advice charges
|1.65%
|
|
|
|
|
|1.65%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Stage 3
!
!
!
!
!Median
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
Line 4,641: Line 3,530:
|
|
|-
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Interest earned on client money
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 4,647: Line 3,539:
|
|
|-
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|Renewal commission
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 4,653: Line 3,548:
|
|
|-
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
| colspan="8" |'''Transactional revenue'''
|-
|Fees on stockbroking transactions
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 4,659: Line 3,559:
|
|
|-
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Initial advice charges
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 4,665: Line 3,568:
|
|
|-
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Other transactional income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 4,671: Line 3,577:
|
|
|-
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
! colspan="8" |Operating costs
|-
|Depreciation of owned plant and equipment and right-of-use assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 4,677: Line 3,588:
|
|
|-
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Amortisation of other intangible assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Stage 4
!
!Blackberry
!
!
!Median
|-
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Impairment of intangible assets
|36.13%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|36.13%
|-
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Marketing costs
|174.39%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|174.39%
|-
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|Operating lease rentals payable – property
|(1.94)%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|(1.94)%
|-
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|Office running costs – excluding operating lease rents payable
|47.29%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|47.29%
|-
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|FSCS costs
|6.25%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|6.25%
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|2.13%
|
|
|
|
|2.13%
|-
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Dealing and financial services costs
|0%
|
|
|
|
|0%
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|0%
|
|
|
|
|0%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Sova Assessment Limited
!Year
!1
!2
!3
!4
!5
!6
!7
|-
!Period end date
!31/03/2016
!31/03/2017
!31/03/2018<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/09593533/filing-history/MzI0MjA3OTAwNmFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
!31/03/2019<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/09593533/filing-history/MzI2NDE3MDEyOGFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
!31/03/2020<ref>https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/09593533/filing-history/MzMyMDMyOTgxOWFkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
!31/03/2021<ref name=":19">https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/09593533/filing-history/MzM2MTM2ODQzN2FkaXF6a2N4/document?format=pdf&download=0</ref>
!31/03/2022<ref name=":19" />
|-
!Period duration (days)
!366
!365
!365
!365
!366
!365
!365
|-
!
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
|-
! colspan="8" |Profit and loss
|-
|Turnover
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Data and technology costs
|
|
|
|
|2,497,334
|3,891,612
|-
|Cost of sales
|
|
|
|
Line 4,794: Line 3,659:
|
|
|
|
|-
|Legal and professional costs
|
|
|
|
|-
|Gross profit
|
|
|
|
Line 4,803: Line 3,668:
|
|
|
|
|1,791,902
|3,032,458
|-
|-
|Administrative expenses
|Other operating costs
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 4,812: Line 3,677:
|
|
|
|
|(3,659,529)
|(5,951,033)
|-
|-
|Exceptional administrative expenses
|Staff (including contractors) costs
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|(314,526)
|(131,526)
|-
|Other operating income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|284,924
|0
|-
|-
|Operating profit/(loss)
|Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|(1,897,229)
|(3,050,532)
|-
|Interest receivable and similar income
|
|
|
|
Line 4,848: Line 3,695:
|
|
|
|
|7
|0
|-
|-
|Interest payable and similar expenses
! colspan="8" |Metrics
|
|
|
|
|
|(231,580)
|(293,605)
|-
|-
|Profit Before Tax
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
Line 4,866: Line 3,704:
|
|
|
|
|(2,128,802)
|28.25%
|(3,344,137)
|22.08%
|-
|-
|Tax on loss
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
Line 4,875: Line 3,713:
|
|
|
|
|350,000
|(75.97)%
|10,402
|(78.39)%
|-
|-
|Profit for the period
|Tax rate (%)
|
|
|
|
Line 4,884: Line 3,722:
|
|
|
|
|(1,778,802)
|(14.01)%
|(3,333,735)
|(0.27)%
|-
|-
|Other comprehensive income for the year
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|
|
|
|
Line 4,896: Line 3,734:
|
|
|-
|-
|Foreign exchange reserve movement
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
Line 4,902: Line 3,740:
|
|
|
|
|(5,111)
|(12,388)
|-
|Other comprehensive income for the year
|
|
|
|
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|(5,111)
|(12,388)
|-
|Total comprehensive income for the year
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|(1,783,913)
|(3,346,123)
|-
|-
|Profit for the year attributable to:
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
Line 4,932: Line 3,761:
|
|
|-
|-
|Owners of the parent company
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
Line 4,938: Line 3,767:
|
|
|
|
|(1,778,802)
|(3,333,735)
|-
|Total comprehensive income attributable to:
|
|
|
|
|
|}
|
{| class="wikitable"
|
|+AJ Bell Plc
|(1,778,802)
!
|(3,333,735)
!30/09/2018
!30/09/2019
!30/09/2020
!30/09/2021
!30/09/2022
!30/09/2023
!30/09/2024
|-
|-
! colspan="8" |Balance sheet
!
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Forecast
!Forecast
|-
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Assets'''
! colspan="8" |Profit and loss
|-
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Non-current assets'''
|Revenue (£'000)
|-
|
|Intngible assets
|
|
|
|
|
Line 4,962: Line 3,800:
|
|
|
|
|0
|553,632
|-
|-
|Tangible assets
|Administrative expenses
|
|
|
|
Line 4,971: Line 3,807:
|
|
|
|
|32,460
|58,619
|-
|
|
|
|
|-
|Operating profit
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|32,460
|612,251
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Current assets'''
|-
|Debtors: amounts falling due within one year
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Investment income
|
|
|
|
|1,079,279
|1,430,349
|-
|Cash at bank and in hand
|
|
|
|
Line 5,000: Line 3,827:
|
|
|
|
|1,595,233
|3,352,065
|-
|-
|Finance costs
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,009: Line 3,836:
|
|
|
|
|2,674,512
|4,782,414
|-
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Current liabilities'''
|Profit before tax
|-
|Creditors: amounts falling due within one year
|
|
|
|
Line 5,020: Line 3,843:
|
|
|
|
|(1,795,980)
|(3,035,591)
|-
|'''Net current assets'''
|
|
|
|
|-
|Tax expense
|
|
|
|
|
|
|878,532
|1,746,823
|-
|'''Total assets less current liabilities'''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|910,992
|2,359,074
|-
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Non-current liabilities'''
| colspan="8" |'''Profit for the financial year attributable to:'''
|-
|-
|Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one year
|Equity holders of the Parent Company
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,049: Line 3,865:
|
|
|
|
|(3,719,275)
|(4,012,780)
|-
|-
|Provisions for liabilities
| colspan="8" |'''Earnings per share:'''
|-
|Basic (pence)
|
|
|
|
Line 5,061: Line 3,877:
|
|
|-
|-
|'''Net liabilities'''
|Diluted (pence)
|
|
|
|
Line 5,067: Line 3,883:
|
|
|
|
|'''(2,808,283)'''
|
|'''(1,653,706)'''
|
|-
! colspan="8" |Balance sheet
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Assets'''
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Non-current assets'''
|-
|-
|'''Capital and reserves'''
|Goodwill
|
|
|
|
Line 5,079: Line 3,901:
|
|
|-
|-
|Called up share capital
|Other intangible assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,085: Line 3,909:
|
|
|
|
|214
|221
|-
|-
|Share premium account
|Property, plant and equipment
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,094: Line 3,918:
|
|
|
|
|2,795,046
|7,295,739
|-
|-
|Foreign exchange reserve
|Right-of-use assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,103: Line 3,927:
|
|
|
|
|4,041
|(8,347)
|-
|-
|Profit and loss account
|Deferred tax asset
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|(5,607,584)
|(8,941,319)
|-
|Equity attributable to owners of the parent company
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|(2,808,283)
|(1,653,706)
|-
|
|
|
|
Line 5,130: Line 3,945:
|
|
|
|
|'''(2,808,283)'''
|'''(1,653,706)'''
|-
|-
! colspan="8" |Cash flow statement
| colspan="8" |'''Current assets'''
|-
|-
|'''Net cash from/(used in) operating activities'''
|Trade and other receivables
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|N/A
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Investing activities'''
|-
|Decrease in term deposits
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Current tax receivable
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|N/A
|-
|Purchase of property, plant and equipment
|
|
|
|
Line 5,161: Line 3,965:
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|N/A
|-
|-
|Purchase of intangible assets
|Cash and cash equivalents (£'000)
|
|
|
|
Line 5,170: Line 3,972:
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|N/A
|-
|Proceeds on disposal of subsidiary
|
|
|
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|N/A
|-
|Proceeds/(purchase) on disposal of investments
|
|
|
|
Line 5,188: Line 3,983:
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|N/A
|-
|-
|'''Net cash from/(used in) investing activities'''
|Total assets
|
|
|
|
Line 5,197: Line 3,990:
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|
|N/A
|
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Liabilities'''
|-
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Financing activities'''
| colspan="8" |'''Current liabilities'''
|-
|-
|Purchase of own shares in EBT
|Trade and other payables
|
|
|
|
Line 5,208: Line 4,003:
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|N/A
|-
|Proceeds on sale of own shares in EB
|
|
|
|
|-
|Lease liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|N/A
|-
|Payment of principal in relation to lease liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|N/A
|-
|-
|Dividends paid to owners of the parent
|Provisions
|
|
|
|
Line 5,235: Line 4,021:
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|N/A
|-
|'''Net cash from/(used in) financing activities'''
|
|
|
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|N/A
|N/A
|-
! colspan="8" |Other information
|-
|Exchange differences
|
|
|
|
Line 5,255: Line 4,032:
|
|
|
|
|36,874
|192,039
|-
|-
|Depreciation
| colspan="8" |'''Non-current liabilities'''
|-
|Lease liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,265: Line 4,043:
|
|
|
|
|23,008
|-
|-
|Amortisation
|Provisions
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,274: Line 4,052:
|
|
|
|
|19,445
|-
|-
|Total depreciation and amortisation
|
|
|
|
Line 5,282: Line 4,058:
|
|
|
|
|14,844
|42,453
|-
|Net interest
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Total liabilities
|
|
|
|
|(231,573)
|(293,605)
|-
|Intangible assets cost
|
|
|
|
Line 5,300: Line 4,070:
|
|
|
|
|-
|Net assets
|
|
|573,077
|-
|Tangible fixed assets cost
|
|
|
|
Line 5,310: Line 4,079:
|
|
|
|
|49,167
|-
|-
|Total intangible and tangible costs
| colspan="8" |'''Equity'''
|-
|Share capital
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,319: Line 4,090:
|
|
|
|
|622,244
|-
|-
|Fixed asset investment cost
|Share premium
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,328: Line 4,099:
|
|
|
|
|741,219
|-
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv)
|Own shares
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,337: Line 4,108:
|
|
|
|
|1,412,630
|-
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv)
|Retained earnings
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,346: Line 4,117:
|
|
|
|
|868,291
|-
|-
|Bank loans at period end
|Total equity
|
|
|
|
Line 5,354: Line 4,124:
|
|
|
|
|3,719,275
|
|4,012,780
|
|-
|-
|Net borrowing
! colspan="8" |Cash flow statement
|-
| colspan="8" |'''Cash flows from operating activities'''
|-
|Profit for the financial year
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,364: Line 4,139:
|
|
|
|
|293,505
|-
|-
! colspan="8" |Metrics
| colspan="8" |Adjustments for:
|-
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Investment income
|
|
|
|
Line 5,374: Line 4,148:
|
|
|
|
|28.25%
|22.08%
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
|-
|Finance costs
|
|
|
|
|
|
|(75.97)%
|(78.39)%
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Income tax expense
|
|
|(14.01)%
|(0.27)%
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|
|
|
|
Line 5,402: Line 4,168:
|
|
|
|
|6.82%
|-
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Depreciation and amortisation
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,411: Line 4,177:
|
|
|
|
|36.30%
|-
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Share-based payment expense
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,420: Line 4,186:
|
|
|
|
|22.31%
|-
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Decrease in provisions and other payables
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,429: Line 4,195:
|
|
|
|
|7.54%
|-
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Loss on disposal of property, plant and equipment
|
|
|
|
|
|
Line 5,437: Line 4,204:
|
|
|
|
|(9.27)%
|(7.54)%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Workday, Inc. (in thousands, except per share data)
!
!31/01/2018
!31/01/2019
!31/01/2020
!31/01/2021<ref name=":26">https://app.quotemedia.com/data/downloadFiling?webmasterId=101533&ref=117287473&type=HTML&symbol=WDAY&companyName=Workday+Inc.&formType=10-K&dateFiled=2023-02-27&CK=1327811#i627048a875d54f79b7e232c1ccadb81d_295</ref>
!31/01/2022<ref name=":26" />
!31/01/2023<ref name=":26" />
!31/01/2024
|-
|-
!
|Profit on disposal of right-of-use assets
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Historic
!Forecast
|-
! colspan="8" |Profit and loss
|-
|Revenues:
|
|
|
|
Line 5,471: Line 4,214:
|
|
|-
|-
|Subscription services
|Increase in trade and other receivables
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|3,788,452
|4,546,313
|5,567,206
|
|
|-
|-
|Professional services
|Increase / (decrease) in trade and other payables
|
|
|
|
|
|529,544
|592,485
|648,612
|
|
|-
|Total revenues
|
|
|
|
|
|
|4,317,996
|5,138,798
|6,215,818
|
|
|-
|-
|Costs and expenses (1):
|Cash generated from operations
|
|
|
|
Line 5,507: Line 4,241:
|
|
|-
|-
|Costs of subscription services
|Income tax paid
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|611,912
|795,854
|1,011,447
|
|
|-
|-
|Costs of professional services
|Interest expense paid
|
|
|
|
|
|
|586,220
|632,241
|703,731
|
|
|-
|Product development
|
|
|
|
|
|1,721,222
|1,879,220
|2,270,660
|
|
|-
|-
|Sales and marketing
|Net cash from/(used in) operating activities
|
|
|
|
|
|1,233,173
|1,461,921
|1,848,093
|
|
|-
|General and administrative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|414,068
|486,012
|604,087
|
|
|-
|-
|Total costs and expenses
| colspan="8" |'''Cash flows from investing activities'''
|-
|Purchase of other intangible assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|4,566,595
|5,255,248
|6,438,018
|
|-
|Operating income (loss)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|(248,599)
|(116,450)
|(222,200)
|
|
|-
|-
|Other income (expense), net
|Purchase of property, plant and equipment
|
|
|
|
|
|(26,535)
|132,632
|(37,750)
|
|
|-
|Income (loss) before provision for (benefit from) income taxes
|
|
|
|
|
|
|(275,134)
|16,182
|(259,950)
|
|
|-
|-
|Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
|Acquisition of subsidiary, net of cash acquired
|
|
|
|
|
|
|7,297
|(13,191)
|106,799
|
|-
|Net income (loss)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|(282,431)
|29,373
|(366,749)
|
|
|-
|-
|Net income (loss) per share, basic
|Interest received
|
|
|
|
|
|(1.19)
|0.12
|(1.44)
|
|
|-
|Net income (loss) per share, diluted
|
|
|
|
|
|
|(1.19)
|0.12
|(1.44)
|
|
|-
|-
|Weighted-average shares used to compute net income (loss) per share, basic
|Net cash from/(used in) investing activities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|237,019
|247,249
|254,819
|
|
|-
|Weighted-average shares used to compute net income (loss) per share, diluted
|
|
|
|
|
|237,019
|254,032
|254,819
|
|
|-
|-
! colspan="8" |Balance sheet
| colspan="8" |'''Cash flows from financing activities'''
|-
|-
|Assets
|Payments of principal in relation to lease liabilities
|
|
|
|
Line 5,653: Line 4,326:
|
|
|-
|-
|Current assets:
|Payments of interest on lease liabilities
|
|
|
|
Line 5,662: Line 4,335:
|
|
|-
|-
|Cash and cash equivalents
|Proceeds from issue of share capital
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|1,534,273
|1,886,311
|
|
|-
|-
|Marketable securities
|Dividends paid
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|2,109,888
|4,235,083
|
|
|-
|Trade and other receivables, net of allowance for credit losses of $8,509 and $10,790, respectively
|
|
|
|
|-
|Net cash from/(used in) financing activities
|
|
|
|
|1,242,545
|1,570,086
|
|
|-
|Deferred costs
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|152,957
|191,054
|
|-
|-
|Prepaid expenses and other current assets
! colspan="8" |Metrics
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|174,402
|225,690
|
|-
|Total current assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|5,214,065
|8,108,224
|
|
|-
|Property and equipment, net
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|1,123,075
|1,201,254
|
|
|-
|-
|Operating lease right-of-use assets
|Tax rate (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|247,808
|249,278
|
|
|-
|Deferred costs, noncurrent
|
|
|
|
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|
|
|
|
|341,259
|420,988
|
|
|-
|Acquisition-related intangible assets, net
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|391,002
|-
|305,465
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|-
|Goodwill
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|2,840,044
|2,840,044
|
|-
|Other assets
|
|
|
|
|
|341,252
|360,985
|
|
|-
|-
|Total assets
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
|10,498,505
|13,486,238
|
|-
|Liabilities and stockholders’ equity
|
|
|
|
Line 5,788: Line 4,418:
|
|
|-
|-
|Current liabilities:
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
Line 5,797: Line 4,427:
|
|
|-
|-
|Accounts payable
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
|55,487
|153,751
|
|-
|Accrued expenses and other current liabilities
|
|
|
|
|195,590
|260,131
|
|-
|Accrued compensation
|
|
|
|
|402,885
|563,548
|
|-
|Unearned revenue
|
|
|
|
|3,110,947
|3,559,393
|
|-
|Operating lease liabilities
|
|
|
|
|80,503
|91,343
|
|-
|Debt, current
|
|
|
|
|1,222,443
|—
|
|-
|Total current liabilities
|
|
|
|
|5,067,855
|4,628,166
|
|-
|Debt, noncurrent
|
|
|
|
|617,354
|2,975,934
|
|-
|Unearned revenue, noncurrent
|
|
|
|
|71,533
|74,540
|
|-
|Operating lease liabilities, noncurrent
|
|
|
|
|182,456
|181,799
|
|-
|Other liabilities
|
|
|
|
|24,225
|40,231
|
|-
|Total liabilities
|
|
|
|
|5,963,423
|7,900,670
|
|-
|Commitments and contingencies (Note 13)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Stockholders’ equity:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Preferred stock, $0.001 par value; 10 million shares authorised; no shares issued or outstanding as of January 31, 2023, and 2022
|
|
|
|
|—
|—
|
|-
|Class A common stock, $0.001 par value; 750 million shares authorised; 204 million and 196 million shares issued and outstanding as of January 31, 2023, and 2022, respectively
|
|
|
|
|196
|204
|
|-
|Class B common stock, $0.001 par value; 240 million shares authorised; 55 million and 55 million shares issued and outstanding as of January 31, 2023, and 2022, respectively
|
|
|
|
|55
|55
|
|-
|Additional paid-in capital
|
|
|
|
|7,284,174
|8,828,639
|
|-
|Treasury stock, at cost; 1 million and 0.1 million shares as of January 31, 2023, and 2022, respectively
|
|
|
|
|(12,467)
|(185,047)
|
|-
|Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
|
|
|
|
|7,709
|53,051
|
|-
|Accumulated deficit
|
|
|
|
|(2,744,585)
|(3,111,334)
|
|-
|Total stockholders’ equity
|
|
|
|
|4,535,082
|5,585,568
|
|-
|Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
|
|
|
|
|10,498,505
|13,486,238
|
|-
! colspan="8" |Cash flow statement
|-
|Cash flows from operating activities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Net income (loss)
|
|
|
|(282,431)
|29,373
|(366,749)
|
|-
|Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to net cash provided by (used in) operating activities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation
|
|
|
|293,657
|343,723
|364,357
|
|-
|Share-based compensation expenses
|
|
|
|1,004,854
|1,100,584
|1,294,622
|
|-
|Amortisation of deferred costs
|
|
|
|112,647
|138,797
|174,611
|
|-
|Amortisation and writeoff of debt discount and issuance costs
|
|
|
|53,693
|3,988
|6,955
|
|-
|Non-cash lease expense
|
|
|
|84,376
|86,235
|91,750
|
|-
|(Gains) losses on investments
|
|
|
|(16,558)
|(145,845)
|30,780
|
|-
|Other
|
|
|
|4,247
|(14,213)
|12,645
|
|-
|Changes in operating assets and liabilities, net of business combinations:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Trade and other receivables, net
|
|
|
|(159,240)
|(207,933)
|(318,600)
|
|-
|Deferred costs
|
|
|
|(184,353)
|(238,453)
|(292,437)
|
|-
|Prepaid expenses and other assets
|
|
|
|52,117
|(35,153)
|(14,070)
|
|-
|Accounts payable
|
|
|
|(3,476)
|9,414
|85,773
|
|-
|Accrued expenses and other liabilities
|
|
|
|(18,472)
|50,671
|135,965
|
|-
|Unearned revenue
|
|
|
|327,380
|529,516
|451,593
|
|-
|'''Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities'''
|
|
|
|'''1,268,441'''
|'''1,650,704'''
|'''1,657,195'''
|
|-
|Cash flows from investing activities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Purchases of marketable securities
|
|
|
|(2,731,885)
|(2,858,729)
|(7,182,961)
|
|-
|Maturities of marketable securities
|
|
|
|1,802,334
|2,804,103
|4,948,833
|
|-
|Sales of marketable securities
|
|
|
|10,627
|199,016
|104,324
|
|-
|Owned real estate projects
|
|
|
|(6,116)
|(171,501)
|(4,236)
|
|-
|Capital expenditures, excluding owned real estate projects
|
|
|
|(253,380)
|(264,267)
|(359,552)
|
|-
|Business combinations, net of cash acquired
|
|
|
|—
|(1,190,199)
|—
|
|-
|Purchase of other intangible assets
|
|
|
|(2,950)
|(8,007)
|(700)
|
|-
|Purchases of non-marketable equity and other investments
|
|
|
|(67,482)
|(123,011)
|(23,173)
|
|-
|Sales and maturities of non-marketable equity and other investments
|
|
|
|7,228
|5,169
|11,539
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities'''
|
|
|
|'''(1,241,624)'''
|'''(1,607,426)'''
|'''(2,505,926)'''
|
|-
|Cash flows from financing activities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Proceeds from issuance of debt, net of debt discount
|
|
|
|747,795
|—
|2,978,077
|
|-
|Repayments and extinguishment of debt
|
|
|
|(268,762)
|(37,614)
|(1,843,605)
|
|-
|Payments for debt issuance costs
|
|
|
|—
|—
|(7,220)
|
|-
|Repurchases of common stock
|
|
|
|—
|—
|(74,666)
|
|-
|Proceeds from issuance of common stock from employee equity plans, net of taxes paid for shares withheld
|
|
|
|148,673
|148,328
|151,974
|
|-
|Other
|
|
|
|(2,657)
|(463)
|(739)
|
|-
|'''Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities'''
|
|
|
|'''625,049'''
|'''110,251'''
|'''1,203,821'''
|
|-
|Effect of exchange rate changes
|
|
|
|1,334
|(705)
|(595)
|
|-
|Net increase (decrease) in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash
|
|
|
|653,200
|152,824
|354,495
|
|-
|Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at the beginning of period
|
|
|
|734,721
|1,387,921
|1,540,745
|
|-
|Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at the end of period
|
|
|
|1,387,921
|1,540,745
|1,895,240
|
|-
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
|-
|Interest expense
|
|
|
|(68,806)
|(16,602)
|(102,353)
|
|-
! colspan="8" |Metrics
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|27.75%
|27.79%
|27.59%
|
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|78.01%
|74.48%
|75.98%
|
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|
|
|
|2.65%
|81.52%
|41.08%
|
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation rate (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|6.80%
|6.69%
|5.86%
|
|
|-
|Fixed Capital Investment (FCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|5.87%
|5.14%
|5.78%
|
|-
|Working Capital Investment (WCInv) as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|
|2.85%
|55.99%
|
|-
|Net borrowing as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|11.09%
| -0.73%
|18.25%
|
|-
|Interest expense as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|
|
|1.59%
|0.32%
|1.65%
|
|
|}
|}
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+
|+Trading 212 Group Limited
!Year
!Year
!1
!1<ref>https://s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/document-api-images-live.ch.gov.uk/docs/VjHMtIQiiQi__nVCWAt11Y5huQG68koLl03pvpnqrn0/application-pdf?X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&X-Amz-Credential=ASIAWRGBDBV3KS3H3G5V%2F20230606%2Feu-west-2%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&X-Amz-Date=20230606T213520Z&X-Amz-Expires=60&X-Amz-Security-Token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjEAMaCWV1LXdlc3QtMiJIMEYCIQC660r%2Bjx4D8MAt7dZnQyI4rQKB%2ByjmjuPvdqPe%2FzG5gwIhAMWx9BAf15tgFNPWA30ZMAQoITU1FekaZU4DdaDpbqpBKroFCEwQBBoMNDQ5MjI5MDMyODIyIgxTLwy1663v14A2ya4qlwW716KZyuhql1qyYzIKJqYYB3LoPM5dO6SP%2BGh1aYozdNJq7ZXCxOATczExlzncRJDmLWz0z1CurY9ZplLg4eiabGEMU0sZQshK4gKgagQ1A4rNWijM5fefc0CIoE%2FanqRcqu95iDs%2FiQofP48NNSqCxwcNUcBk1sSojK4RPJIlJxb5AeU2khPA1ldd80lrLdDrLswPOtjjyzLenNFGf5q2ArWweQL%2FzvPIg%2FelxdUzd91W1PLmU%2BBXfDEw%2BXdnD25AB2%2BLhij7Ueg8hc9hl0wSikQ6%2BLXpQyJBlgy0sURS0k2FSsEDv35cmdHX%2BTG0jUMQvdeKRy7FhHZhp%2BkcAnTMXoD5Q8flHUeigOAM1H4Upeukj%2FQvHxeIJwJECydGsGxed8x8uzREXYJPoijgRJjaXIMQXPY%2FwZ%2F0uK0iZnNwLPdQ3iUfwFFr5Z8LJB22iJA0WQOGVXtrWOPm2ePOkVz7kYYVYYFWaUKsFJXoTz1ddQ6yxrlXJELpXwOqClKe%2B2jXqA%2FPPjGqJzhxN08oKsE4R1tI%2F5XO8CkkVt1j9dzkcg3j46oz%2Frah5op4BvY%2BZ5SwJKe1k7IAjzerriBgvb0nevlWE%2B2M7P6wX0xqaFh28yzraDWif0VYhqwWbxm4Fa1QooHBTDLNSHcUKAPrWMfa8dA3OKIgOqybGtrBu%2FGIcsBkEXOajDjVE5OlmQakV%2Brz8XRPYEbzMMNuSawNwrv8NW3Mm7mb8y%2Bivq72a4YuaqwRhPPXv7ZJMPBs48hgjH8lRNMqmyK6FLaEIDyFLAGiRpXCTsaRyDqA7ydsGd4sdEUKzlAwpXzKH3ZrR%2B8webQv4S4Mo7lY9XmLXF1a4UEjiX6MNYLQfhpEs6WfAIL%2B6CiR7U1PfuQwiIf%2BowY6sAHe%2B%2FOG%2FE7AbAx8JhLgEhcGzWkFdOHiC0G5h%2Brx6a7s%2BKDx6Y2uB%2FH8Iz2BvGmuyJywGfydIu%2BpuBpyXDJIiSHEaPXgdem9Vr1qfWp4DgAKBDqbXXynyVzhBfIcTshNhDAV%2FeCRyk1sMW8wOGvkXh09tP6hekKWL84gHFuzpO5P2TD5ssECMlD2mzAKzgG%2FJ4m6s1vPE6uS%2F7zLhcjceOfFo1CH2Vzib3s5ZkCMSQo%2Bbg%3D%3D&X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&response-content-disposition=inline%3Bfilename%3D%22companies_house_document.pdf%22&X-Amz-Signature=b2374cf4a6daa79a50613961fbeed5cee094a9ab08c59ad284c7ee50ff859a78</ref>
!2
!2
!3
!3
Line 6,485: Line 4,445:
!5
!5
!6
!6
!7
!7<ref>https://s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/document-api-images-live.ch.gov.uk/docs/TSm136YZkgOVAft-B377F-NKlBy9iC-6ZBi-J0I__mk/application-pdf?X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&X-Amz-Credential=ASIAWRGBDBV3KS3H3G5V%2F20230606%2Feu-west-2%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&X-Amz-Date=20230606T211732Z&X-Amz-Expires=60&X-Amz-Security-Token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjEAMaCWV1LXdlc3QtMiJIMEYCIQC660r%2Bjx4D8MAt7dZnQyI4rQKB%2ByjmjuPvdqPe%2FzG5gwIhAMWx9BAf15tgFNPWA30ZMAQoITU1FekaZU4DdaDpbqpBKroFCEwQBBoMNDQ5MjI5MDMyODIyIgxTLwy1663v14A2ya4qlwW716KZyuhql1qyYzIKJqYYB3LoPM5dO6SP%2BGh1aYozdNJq7ZXCxOATczExlzncRJDmLWz0z1CurY9ZplLg4eiabGEMU0sZQshK4gKgagQ1A4rNWijM5fefc0CIoE%2FanqRcqu95iDs%2FiQofP48NNSqCxwcNUcBk1sSojK4RPJIlJxb5AeU2khPA1ldd80lrLdDrLswPOtjjyzLenNFGf5q2ArWweQL%2FzvPIg%2FelxdUzd91W1PLmU%2BBXfDEw%2BXdnD25AB2%2BLhij7Ueg8hc9hl0wSikQ6%2BLXpQyJBlgy0sURS0k2FSsEDv35cmdHX%2BTG0jUMQvdeKRy7FhHZhp%2BkcAnTMXoD5Q8flHUeigOAM1H4Upeukj%2FQvHxeIJwJECydGsGxed8x8uzREXYJPoijgRJjaXIMQXPY%2FwZ%2F0uK0iZnNwLPdQ3iUfwFFr5Z8LJB22iJA0WQOGVXtrWOPm2ePOkVz7kYYVYYFWaUKsFJXoTz1ddQ6yxrlXJELpXwOqClKe%2B2jXqA%2FPPjGqJzhxN08oKsE4R1tI%2F5XO8CkkVt1j9dzkcg3j46oz%2Frah5op4BvY%2BZ5SwJKe1k7IAjzerriBgvb0nevlWE%2B2M7P6wX0xqaFh28yzraDWif0VYhqwWbxm4Fa1QooHBTDLNSHcUKAPrWMfa8dA3OKIgOqybGtrBu%2FGIcsBkEXOajDjVE5OlmQakV%2Brz8XRPYEbzMMNuSawNwrv8NW3Mm7mb8y%2Bivq72a4YuaqwRhPPXv7ZJMPBs48hgjH8lRNMqmyK6FLaEIDyFLAGiRpXCTsaRyDqA7ydsGd4sdEUKzlAwpXzKH3ZrR%2B8webQv4S4Mo7lY9XmLXF1a4UEjiX6MNYLQfhpEs6WfAIL%2B6CiR7U1PfuQwiIf%2BowY6sAHe%2B%2FOG%2FE7AbAx8JhLgEhcGzWkFdOHiC0G5h%2Brx6a7s%2BKDx6Y2uB%2FH8Iz2BvGmuyJywGfydIu%2BpuBpyXDJIiSHEaPXgdem9Vr1qfWp4DgAKBDqbXXynyVzhBfIcTshNhDAV%2FeCRyk1sMW8wOGvkXh09tP6hekKWL84gHFuzpO5P2TD5ssECMlD2mzAKzgG%2FJ4m6s1vPE6uS%2F7zLhcjceOfFo1CH2Vzib3s5ZkCMSQo%2Bbg%3D%3D&X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&response-content-disposition=inline%3Bfilename%3D%22companies_house_document.pdf%22&X-Amz-Signature=d6d6e64d192d38e0d55e9784f1eeaea2fc9d75fc7a93e9c93081aa1ac5c5bc57</ref>
|-
|-
!Year end date
!Year end date
Line 7,177: Line 5,137:
|}
|}
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+
|+Robinhood Markets, Inc.
!
!
!31/12/2018
!31/12/2018
Line 7,385: Line 5,345:
|
|
|-
|-
|Receivables from brokers, dealers, and clearing organisations
|Receivables from brokers, dealers, and clearing organizations
|
|
|
|
Line 7,406: Line 5,366:
|
|
|-
|-
|Deposits with clearing organisations
|Deposits with clearing organizations
|
|
|
|
Line 7,609: Line 5,569:
| colspan="6" |Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to net cash provided by (used in) operating activities:
| colspan="6" |Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to net cash provided by (used in) operating activities:
|-
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation
|Depreciation and amortization
|
|
|
|
Line 7,632: Line 5,592:
|
|
|-
|-
|Capitalisation of internally developed software
|Capitalization of internally developed software
|
|
|
|
Line 7,878: Line 5,838:
|340
|340
|-
|-
|Amortisation
|Amortization
|
|
|
|
Line 8,245: Line 6,205:
|
|
|-
|-
|Preferred shares: authorised unlimited  number of non-voting, cumulative, redeemable and retractable
|Preferred shares: authorized unlimited  number of non-voting, cumulative, redeemable and retractable
|
|
|
|
Line 8,252: Line 6,212:
|0
|0
|-
|-
|Common shares: authorised unlimited  number of non-voting, redeemable, retractable Class A common shares and  unlimited number of voting common shares
|Common shares: authorized unlimited  number of non-voting, redeemable, retractable Class A common shares and  unlimited number of voting common shares
|
|
|
|
Line 8,319: Line 6,279:
|
|
|-
|-
|Amortisation
|Amortization
|
|
|
|
Line 8,716: Line 6,676:
|-
|-
|Beta
|Beta
|6.93
|5.0
|Here, to estimate the adjusted beta, we used the iShares MSCI World ETF to represent the market portfolio; and in terms of the time period and frequency of observations, we used five years of monthly data (i.e. 60 observations in total), which is supported by a study and is the most common choice. The beta value in a future period has been found to be on average closer to the mean value of 1.0, and because valuation is forward-looking, it is logical to adjust the raw beta so it more accurately predicts a future beta.
|Here, to estimate the adjusted beta, we used the iShares MSCI World ETF to represent the market portfolio; and in terms of the time period and frequency of observations, we used five years of monthly data (i.e. 60 observations in total), which is supported by a study and is the most common choice. The beta value in a future period has been found to be on average closer to the mean value of 1.0, and because valuation is forward-looking, it is logical to adjust the raw beta so it more accurately predicts a future beta.
|-
|-
Line 8,724: Line 6,684:
|-
|-
|Cost of equity (%)
|Cost of equity (%)
|54.496%
|40.771%
|Cost of equity = Risk-free rate + Beta x Equity risk premium.
|Cost of equity = Risk-free rate + Beta x Equity risk premium.
|}
|}
===Assessment scheme to adjust the basic beta coefficient of Arctic Shores===
===Assessment scheme to adjust the basic beta coefficient of Arctic Shores===
Research suggests that the average beta coefficient for start-ups high-tech start-ups is 6.4. The general basic beta coefficient has to be adjusted for each individual start-up based on the risk profile. A standardised assessment scheme has been developed for the adjustment of the beta coefficient. The assessment scheme is used for the standardised determination of a premium or a discount to the beta coefficient depending on the risk profile, associated with the startup, based on information from the business plan and additional discussions with the founders or the management team.
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+Assessment scheme to adjust the basic beta coefficient of Arctic Shores<ref>https://ijb.cyut.edu.tw/var/file/10/1010/img/859/V183-3.pdf</ref>
|+Assessment scheme to adjust the basic beta coefficient of Arctic Shores<ref>https://ijb.cyut.edu.tw/var/file/10/1010/img/859/V183-3.pdf</ref>
Line 8,768: Line 6,727:
|Good reputation
|Good reputation
|Very good reputation
|Very good reputation
|'''+0.5'''
|'''+1.0'''
|-
|-
!Patent protection
!Patent protection
Line 8,826: Line 6,785:
|Business plan frequently proven
|Business plan frequently proven
|
|
'''0.0'''
'''+0.5'''
|-
|-
!Technical development plan
!Technical development plan
Line 8,835: Line 6,794:
|Technical development plan very likely to be feasible
|Technical development plan very likely to be feasible
|
|
'''0.0'''
'''+0.5'''
|-
|-
!Marketing plan
!Marketing plan
Line 8,844: Line 6,803:
|Marketing plan very likely  to be feasible
|Marketing plan very likely  to be feasible
|
|
'''0.0'''
'''+0.5'''
|-
|-
!Business development plan
!Business development plan
Line 8,853: Line 6,812:
|Business development plan very likely to be feasible
|Business development plan very likely to be feasible
|
|
'''0.0'''
'''+0.5'''
|-
|-
! rowspan="4" |
! rowspan="4" |
Line 8,901: Line 6,860:
|Sales plan very conservative
|Sales plan very conservative
|
|
'''0.0'''
'''+0.5'''
|-
|-
!Costs plan
!Costs plan
Line 8,910: Line 6,869:
|Costs plan very conservative
|Costs plan very conservative
|
|
'''0.0'''
'''+0.5'''
|-
|-
!Profitability
!Profitability
Line 8,931: Line 6,890:
|-
|-
| colspan="7" |'''Total'''
| colspan="7" |'''Total'''
|'''3.5'''
|'''7.0'''
|}
|}


== References and notes ==
== References and notes ==
<references />
<references />
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