Future Development
Supermarket | Average trolley price |
Morrisons | £342 |
Asda | £342 |
Tesco | £361 |
Ocado | £368 |
Sainsbury's | £371 |
Waitrose | £377 |
2018 FY | 2019 FY | 2020 FY | 2021 FY | 2022 FY | 2023 E | 2024 E | 2025 E | 2026 E | 2027 E | |
Total Revenue | 22,479 | 23,534 | 22,416 | 24,727 | 23,310 | 26,807 | 30,828 | 35,452 | 40,770 | 46,885 |
Magnitude: Millions (M)
Discounted Cash Flow
Fiscal Year | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
FCF | 345 | 447 | 529 | NA | 194 | 214 | 235 | 258 | 284 | 313 |
Projection Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |||||
Present Value | 227 | 265 | 310 | 362 | 423 |
Magnitude: Millions (M)
WACC | 6.21% |
Sum of PV of FCF | 1,585 |
Growth rate | 4.50% |
Terminal Value | 25,801 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 19,089 |
Enterpise Value | 20,674 |
(+) cash | 333 |
(-) Debt | 3,757 |
Equity Value | 17,250 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 2,451 |
Implied share price | 7 |
Current share price | 3.65 |
Magnitude: Millions (M)
Sensitivity Table | ||||||
Growth Rate | ||||||
7 | 3.50% | 4.00% | 4.50% | 5.00% | 5.50% | |
WACC | 5.21% | 6.943521281 | 5.17055606 | 5.17055606 | 6.943521281 | 17.96682183 |
5.71% | 10.11775476 | 6.896522233 | 6.896522233 | 10.11775476 | 62.28769622 | |
6.21% | 10.11775476 | 6.896522233 | 6.896522233 | 10.11775476 | 62.28769622 | |
6.71% | 6.943521281 | 5.17055606 | 5.17055606 | 6.943521281 | 17.96682183 | |
7.21% | 4.11841452 | 3.340505278 | 3.340505278 | 4.11841452 | 7.037923491 |