Editing EasyJet plc

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=== What's the expected return of an investment in the company? ===
=== What's the expected return of an investment in the company? ===
The Stockhub users estimate that the expected return of an investment in EasyJet plc over the next five years is '''positive 8.5%'''. This value was arrived at through the use an intrinsic valuation in the form of a discounted cash flow model. A relative valuation through a comparable company analysis was also conducted, although this resulted in a wildly different share price, and so provides a far less reliable estimate for the valuation.
The Stockhub users estimate that the expected return of an investment in EasyJet plc over the next five years is '''positive 8.5%'''. This value was arrived at through the use an intrinsic valuation in the form of a discounted cash flow model. A relative valuation through a comparable company analysis was also conducted, although this resulted in a wildly different share price, '''and further investigation is required to refine the model.'''


Assuming that a suitable return level of five years is 10% per year (based of the S&P 500 returns) and EasyJet achieves its return level of positive 8.5%, then the company can be considered 'undervalued'.
Assuming that a suitable return level of five years is 10% per year (based of the S&P 500 returns) and EasyJet achieves its return level of positive 8.5%, then the company can be considered 'undervalued'.
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# Comparing key financial metrics of the company to other similar investment
# Comparing key financial metrics of the company to other similar investment


Research has suggested that to estimate the expected return of an investment over a long-term investment horizon, a discounted cash flow model provides an accurate projection. For completeness a comparable company analysis has been conducted, however the accuracy of the analysis is limited due to the fact that the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic may have affected different airlines to varying extents, thus vastly diverging their share price and debt.
Research has suggested that to estimate the expected return of an investment over a long-term investment horizon, a discounted cash flow model provides an accurate projection. For completeness a comparable company analysis has been conducted, however the accuracy of the analysis is limited due to the fact that '''WHY'''
|-
|-
|Financial Projections
|Financial Projections
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===Discounted Cash Flow Model===
===Discounted Cash Flow Model===
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
| colspan="15" |Current Share Price: £4.46
| colspan="16" |Current Share Price: £4.46
|-
|-
!''£ million''
!''£ million''
! colspan="9" |''Historical''
! colspan="9" |''Historical''
! colspan="5" |''Projected''
! colspan="5" |''Projected''
!
|-
|-
!
!
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!2026
!2026
!2027
!2027
!Notes
|-
|-
! colspan="15" |Income Statement
! colspan="16" |Income Statement
|-
|-
|Revenue
|Revenue
Line 564: Line 566:
|10212
|10212
|11029
|11029
|
|-
|-
|''% growth''
|''% growth''
Line 580: Line 583:
|5%
|5%
|8%
|8%
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 612: Line 617:
|7783
|7783
|8405
|8405
|
|-
|-
|''% of revenue''
|''% of revenue''
Line 628: Line 634:
|76%
|76%
|76%
|76%
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
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|2429
|2429
|2623
|2623
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 692: Line 702:
|239
|239
|258
|258
|
|-
|-
|''% of revenue''
|''% of revenue''
Line 708: Line 719:
|2%
|2%
|2%
|2%
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 740: Line 753:
|390
|390
|421
|421
|
|-
|-
|''% of revenue''
|''% of revenue''
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|4%
|4%
|4%
|4%
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 788: Line 804:
|27
|27
|29
|29
|
|-
|-
|''% of revenue''
|''% of revenue''
Line 804: Line 821:
|0.3%
|0.3%
|0.3%
|0.3%
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
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|676
|676
|730
|730
|
|-
|-
|% of revenue
|% of revenue
Line 852: Line 872:
|7%
|7%
|7%
|7%
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 884: Line 906:
|1332
|1332
|1438
|1438
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 916: Line 940:
|1097
|1097
|1185
|1185
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 948: Line 974:
|1487
|1487
|1606
|1606
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 980: Line 1,008:
|195
|195
|211
|211
|
|-
|-
|''Effective tax rate''
|''Effective tax rate''
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|18%
|18%
|18%
|18%
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 1,028: Line 1,059:
|902
|902
|974
|974
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 1,045: Line 1,078:
|
|
|-
|-
! colspan="15" |Cashflow
! colspan="16" |Cashflow
|-
|-
|D&A
|D&A
Line 1,062: Line 1,095:
|390
|390
|421
|421
|
|-
|-
|''% of revenue''
|''% of revenue''
Line 1,078: Line 1,112:
|4%
|4%
|4%
|4%
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 1,110: Line 1,146:
| -1266
| -1266
| -1367
| -1367
|
|-
|-
|''% of revenue''
|''% of revenue''
Line 1,126: Line 1,163:
|12%
|12%
|12%
|12%
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 1,158: Line 1,197:
| -233
| -233
| -252
| -252
|
|-
|-
|% of revenue
|% of revenue
Line 1,174: Line 1,214:
| -2%
| -2%
| -2%
| -2%
|
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
Line 1,206: Line 1,248:
|'''247'''
|'''247'''
|'''259'''
|'''259'''
|
|}
|}
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
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