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Rocket Lab
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=== Rocket launch market evolving === The shift to small satellites has implications for the rocket launch market. Historically, the frequency of launches has been exceedingly low and limited to large rockets made by quasi-governmental entities. Hence, customers had to plan very far ahead of time and were often subject to delays. In 2020, there were only 114 orbital space rocket launches globally, with a handful that either did not carry any meaningful payload or failed to reach their intended destination. More than 50% of small satellites launches in the past year were delayed, anywhere from 4 months to 2 years. To address this, the industry has been leveraging ridesharing, allowing multiple parties to spread out the cost of a large rocket launch (e.g., Falcon 9, Soyuz, Arianespace 5, Atlas V). While this may be most cost-effective way of getting rockets into orbit, a large rocket can only deliver the payload to a single position (referred to as orbit inclination). From there, small satellites need to be moved to their intended altitude and orbit, which requires either an onboard propulsion system or an in-space shuttle (i.e., space tug βtowsβ satellite to right location). There are drawbacks to doing this. Onboard propulsion adds cost and weight to a payload. In-space shuttling is expensive and slow, often requiring weeks or months (adds >$10k cost per kg to rideshare launch). There is also an issue when it comes to inclination as a satellite cannot always be delivered to its correct orbit even if the altitude is achieved. In this context, Deutsche Bank believes there will be growing demand for dedicated launches (i.e., 1 customer buys an entire launch to deliver to a specific position), tailored for small satellites and constellations (batch of small satellites) as costs come down and launch reliability and frequency increases. This will likely enable customers to have much higher degree of flexibility to deploy satellites and time-to-market (i.e., company or government does not need to wait on a heavy rocket launch schedule). Moreover, when satellites fail or break down, a dedicated launch vehicle can directly send up satellites to replace.
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