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Sony Group Corporation
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=== Valuation === {| class="wikitable" !''¥ Millions'' ! colspan="9" |''Historical'' ! colspan="5" |''Projected'' |- !Income Statement !2015 !2016 !2017 !2018 !2019 !2020 !2021 !2022 !2023 !2024 E !2025 E !2026 E !2027 E !2028 E |- |Revenue |8,215,880 |8,105,712 |7,603,250 |8,543,982 |8,665,687 |8,259,885 |8,998,661 |9,921,513 |11,539,837 |11,918,278 |12,255,285 |12,523,226 |12,613,100 |13,095,767 |- |% growth | |(1.34%) |(6.20%) |12.37% |1.42% |(4.68%) |8.94% |10.26% |16.31% |3.28% |2.83% |2.19% |0.72% |3.83% |- |EBIT |298,764 |365,886 |440,393 |739,983 |849,433 |851,987 |956,958 |1,112,396 |1,179,022 |1,256,070 |1,395,280 |1,488,430 |1,599,940 |1,730,733 |- |% of sales |3.64% |4.51% |5.79% |8.66% |9.80% |10.31% |10.63% |11.21% |10.22% |10.54% |11.39% |11.89% |12.68% |13.22% |- |Taxes |88,733 |94,789 |124,058 |151,770 |45,098 |177,190 |(45931) |229,097 |236,691 |288,896 |320,914 |342,339 |367,986 |398,069 |- |% of EBIT |29.70% |25.91% |28.17% |20.51% |5.31% |20.80% |(4.80%) |20.59% |20.08% |23.00% |23.00% |23.00% |23.00% |23.00% |- |EBIAT | | | | | | | | | |967,174 |1,074,366 |1,146,091 |1,231,954 |1,332,665 |- !Cash Flow Items !2015 !2016 !2017 !2018 !2019 !2020 !2021 !2022 !2023 !2024 E !2025 E !2026 E !2027 E !2028 E |- |D&A |354,624 |397,091 |327,048 |361,444 |374,026 |416,642 |687,373 |835,233 |1,004,590 |811,319 |839,193 |826,777 |845,961 |890,656 |- |% of sales |4.32% |4.90% |4.30% |4.23% |4.32% |5.04% |7.64% |8.42% |8.71% |6.81% |6.85% |6.60% |6.71% |6.80% |- |CapEx |(215916) |(375411) |(333509) |(262989) |(312644) |(439761) |(477931) |(441096) |(613635) |638,704 |656,832 |670,751 |681,903 |730,158 |- |% of sales |(2.63%) |(4.63%) |(4.39%) |(3.08%) |(3.61%) |(5.32%) |(5.31%) |(4.45%) |(5.32%) |5.36% |5.36% |5.36% |5.41% |5.58% |- |Change in NWC |(1201872) |(15040) |(132444) |(126476) |1,483,159 |422,805 |(1941143) |283,028 |83,527 |1,072,645 |1,102,976 |1,127,090 |1,135,179 |1,178,619 |- |% of sales |(14.63%) |(0.19%) |(1.74%) |(1.48%) |17.12% |5.12% |(21.57%) |2.85% |0.72% |9.00% |9.00% |9.00% |9.00% |9.00% |- !Free Cash Flow | | | | | | | | | !1,344,552 !1,467,415 !1,516,529 !1,624,638 !1,774,860 |- !PV of Free Cash Flow | | | | | | | | | !1,211,308 !1,190,987 !1,108,873 !1,070,200 !1,053,293 |- !Terminal Value | | | | | | | | | | | | | !22,851,318 |- !Present Value of Terminal Value | | | | | | | | | | | | | !13,561,145 |- !Enterprise Value | | | | | | | | | | | | | !19,195,805 |- !(-) Net Debt | | | | | | | | | | | | | !3,151,394 |- !(-) Minority Interest | | | | | | | | | | | | | !105,939 |- !Equity Value | | | | | | | | | | | | | !15,938,472 |- !#Shares | | | | | | | | | | | | | !1,234 |- !Share Price | | | | | | | | | | | | | !12,916.26 |} {| class="wikitable" ! colspan="2" rowspan="2" |Sensitivity Analysis ! colspan="7" |WACC |- !9.5% !10.0% !10.5% !11.0% !11.5% !12.0% ! 12.50% |- ! rowspan="6" |Terminal growth rate !2.0% |14,538.39 |13,436.09 |12,463.97 | 11,600.34 |10,828.05 |10,133.39 |9,505.26 |- !2.5% |15,491.21 |14,254.75 |13,173.33 |12,219.60 |11,372.25 | 10,614.48 |9,932.85 |- !3.0% |16,590.61 |15,190.35 |13,977.27 !12,916.26 |11,980.47 |11,149.03 |10,405.45 |- !3.3% |17,335.37 |15,818.75 | 14,513.23 |13,377.69 |12,381.01 |11,499.25 |10,713.66 |- !3.6% |18,155.86 |16,506.05 |15,095.80 |13,876.53 |12,811.97 |11,874.49 |11,042.65 |- !4.0% |19,389.09 |17,529.38 |15,956.20 |14,608.16 |13,440.21 |12,418.58 |11,517.44 |} The above DCF outputs an implied share price of ¥12,916.26. A WACC of 11% and Terminal Growth Rate of 3% was used. As such, the annual required rate of return for an investment in Sony is 11%.
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