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== '''<u>Operations</u>''' ==
== '''<u>Operations</u>''' ==


=== <ref>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o_m0a1JZdco&ab_channel=bp</ref>Business Overview & Industry Chain ([https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o_m0a1JZdco&ab_channel=bp youtube]) ===
=== Business Overview & Industry Chain ([https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o_m0a1JZdco&ab_channel=bp youtube]) ===


* Exploration: one of BP's distinctive strengths
* Exploration: one of BP's distinctive strengths
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*** operating a <u>wind business</u> in the United States
*** operating a <u>wind business</u> in the United States


=== <ref>https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/what-we-do/our-business-model.html</ref>Business Groups ===
=== Sustainability Strategy -- "The Three Pillars" ===
 
* Gas & low carbon energy
** Creating low carbon energy solutions. Integrating our existing natural gas capabilities with power trading and growth in low carbon businesses and markets, including wind, solar, hydrogen and carbon capture and storage (CCS).
** Creating value through
*** Integrated gas and LNG businesses.
*** Onshore and offshore wind.
*** Our 50% stake in Lightsource bp.
*** Hydrogen and CCS.
*** Gas trading and power trading, and marketing of both renewable and non-renewable power.
 
* Production & operations
** The operational heart of bp, producing the hydrocarbon energy and products the world wants and needs – safely and efficiently.
*** Finding and developing hydrocarbon resources, with selective exploration mostly focused near our existing hubs
*** Operating oil and gas production assets
*** Operating refineries, terminals and pipelines
*** Deploying technical capability across hydrocarbons and low carbon businesses
* Customers & products
** Focusing on customers as the driving force for innovating new business models and service platforms to deliver the convenience, mobility and energy products and services of today and the future.
*** Differentiated convenience and fuel offers at our retail sites, including snacks, ready meals and coffee.
*** EV charging businesses.
*** Castrol lubricants and e-fluids brand sold through numerous channels.
*** Aviation business.
*** B2B and midstream businesses.
*** Refining & oil trading – our products businesses.
*** Bioenergy – our biogas and biofuels businesses.
*** Optimizing across integrated fuels value chain.
 
=== <ref>https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/what-we-do/our-strategy.html</ref>Sustainability Strategy -- "The Three Pillars" ===


* Resilient Hydrocarbons
* Resilient Hydrocarbons
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** <u>Target Source</u>: Hydrogen & Renewables and Power
** <u>Target Source</u>: Hydrogen & Renewables and Power


=== <ref>https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/what-we-do/production-and-operations.html</ref>Productions & Operations ([https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/what-we-do/production-and-operations.html site]) ===
=== Productions & Operations ([https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/what-we-do/production-and-operations.html site]) ===
[[File:Production- -operations.png|thumb|2400x2400px|BP global production asset distribution|center]]
[[File:Production- -operations.png|thumb|2400x2400px|BP global production asset distribution|center]]
Mission: find and develop hydrocarbon resources, operate oil and gas production assets, as well as refineries, pipelines and terminals around the world.
Mission: find and develop hydrocarbon resources, operate oil and gas production assets, as well as refineries, pipelines and terminals around the world.


=== <ref>https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/products-and-services.html</ref><ref>https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/what-we-do/customers-and-products.html</ref>Products & Offerings ===
=== Products & Offerings ===


==== Global Consumer Project ====
==== Global Consumer Project ====
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** "Moving the products that keep our customers moving" – by pipeline or truck, rail or ship. We <u>safely deliver energy</u> to where it is needed, while developing low carbon biofuels for the future.
** "Moving the products that keep our customers moving" – by pipeline or truck, rail or ship. We <u>safely deliver energy</u> to where it is needed, while developing low carbon biofuels for the future.


=== <ref>https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/who-we-are/our-transformation.html</ref>Recent Projects ===
=== Recent Projects ===


* <u>2021</u> [https://www.bp.com/en_gb/united-kingdom/home/where-we-operate/reimagining-teesside/hygreenteesside.html Green hydrogen project in Teesside, UK]: This project will produce green hydrogen from renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar. The hydrogen will be used to power buses, trucks, and other vehicles.
* <u>2021</u> [https://www.bp.com/en_gb/united-kingdom/home/where-we-operate/reimagining-teesside/hygreenteesside.html Green hydrogen project in Teesside, UK]: This project will produce green hydrogen from renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar. The hydrogen will be used to power buses, trucks, and other vehicles.
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The table below shows revenue, EBIT and other financials for the previous 5 years. Revenue has shown an overall decline over the previous five years. The steep decline in 2020 was due to the global coronavirus pandemic. The jump in earnings from 2020 to 2021 and 2022 is due to the global volatility in oil prices as a result of the conflict in Ukraine. NCWC is non-cash working capital, and is calculated to be used in the DCF valuation below.
The table below shows revenue, EBIT and other financials for the previous 5 years. Revenue has shown an overall decline over the previous five years. The steep decline in 2020 was due to the global coronavirus pandemic. The jump in earnings from 2020 to 2021 and 2022 is due to the global volatility in oil prices as a result of the conflict in Ukraine. NCWC is non-cash working capital, and is calculated to be used in the DCF valuation below.
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+Historical Financials<ref name=":2">bp annual report 2022 - https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/investors/bp-annual-report-and-form-20f-2022.pdf</ref>
|+Historical Financials
| '''Units ($m)'''  
| '''Units ($m)'''  
|'''2018'''
|'''2018'''
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Notes - P&M = Production and Manufacturing, D&A = Distribution and Administration.
Notes - P&M = Production and Manufacturing, D&A = Distribution and Administration.
[[File:Historical Revenue bp.png|center|thumb|735x735px]]
[[File:Historical Revenue bp.png|center|thumb|735x735px]]
=== Revenue by Segment<ref name=":2" /> ===
The following table shows revenue by each respective segment, units are $ millions.
{| class="wikitable"
|+Revenue
|'''Segment'''
|'''2022'''
|'''2021'''
|'''2020'''
|-
|'''Oil'''
|33,193
|24,519
|17,234
|-
|'''Gas and low carbon'''
|56,255
|30,840
|16,275
|}
Oil revenue has increased at an average of 38.8% over the previous 3 years, whereas gas and low carbon revenue has increased at a much greater rate of 86% over the last three years.


=== Forecasts ===
=== Forecasts ===
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|+WACC Calculation
|+WACC Calculation
| '''Risk Free Rate of Return'''  
| '''Risk Free Rate of Return'''  
|4.5%<ref>UK 10 Year Gilt Yield - https://markets.ft.com/data/bonds/tearsheet/summary?s=UK10YG (as of 11th August 2023).</ref>
|4.5%
|-
|-
| '''Beta'''  
| '''Beta'''  
|1.17<ref name=":3">https://markets.ft.com/data/equities/tearsheet/summary?s=BP.:LSE</ref>
|1.17
|-
|-
| '''Market Rate of Return'''  
| '''Market Rate of Return'''  
|7.4%<ref>https://www.ig.com/uk/trading-strategies/what-are-the-average-returns-of-the-ftse-100--230511</ref>
|7.4%
|-
|-
| '''Cost of Equity'''  
| '''Cost of Equity'''  
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|-
|-
| '''Credit Spread'''  
| '''Credit Spread'''  
|1.42%<ref>https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/investors/debt-investors-information.html</ref>
|1.42%
|-
|-
| '''Cost of Debt'''  
| '''Cost of Debt'''  
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|-
|-
|'''Shares Outstanding'''
|'''Shares Outstanding'''
|17,270.00<ref name=":2" />
|17,270.00
|-
|-
|'''Share Price'''
|'''Share Price'''
|$ 6.13<ref name=":3" />
|$ 6.13
|-
|-
| '''Equity'''  
| '''Equity'''  
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|-
|-
|'''Weighted Average Maturity'''
|'''Weighted Average Maturity'''
|14.00<ref name=":2" />
|14.00
|-
|-
|'''Interest Expense'''
|'''Interest Expense'''
|1,632.00<ref name=":2" />
|1,632.00
|-
|-
| '''Debt'''  
| '''Debt'''  
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|'''5.8%'''
|'''5.8%'''
|}
|}
The WACC for bp used in the DCF valuation was 5.8%, note the share price is of bp on it's primary listing, the London stock exchange. The share price used was at market close on 11/08/2023. The price has been converted from GBP to USD for ease of calculation.
The WACC for bp used in the DCF valuation was 5.8%, note the share price is of bp on it's primary listing, the London stock exchange. The price has been converted from GBP to USD for ease of calculation.


=== DCF ===
=== DCF ===
Units are in $ millions.
Units are in $ millions.
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|'''Units ($m)'''
|'''2023'''
|'''2024'''
|'''2025'''
|'''2026'''
|'''2027'''
|'''2028'''
|'''2029'''
|'''2030'''
|'''2031'''
|'''2032'''
|-
| '''FCF'''  
| '''FCF'''  
|'''25,351.15'''
|'''25,351.15'''
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The following table compares bp to it's major competitors in the oil and gas industry globally.
The following table compares bp to it's major competitors in the oil and gas industry globally.
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+Comparable Company Analysis
|'''Company'''
|'''Company'''
|'''P/E'''
|'''P/E'''
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