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Pantheon Resources Plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United States. Its primary assets are the Greater Alkaid project that covers 22,804 acres located in Alaska; and the Talitha project covering an area of approximately 44,463 acres. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Pantheon Resources Plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United States. Its primary assets are the Greater Alkaid project that covers 22,804 acres located in Alaska; and the Talitha project covering an area of approximately 44,463 acres. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Assuming that Pantheon Resources increases its share of the global oil and gas exploration and production market by cccx to ccc% (from less than ccc%) and other assumptions, the expected return of an investment in the company over the next five years is ccc%, which equates to an annual return of ccc%. In other words, an £1,000 investment in the company is expected to return £ccc in five years time.


The degree of risk associated with an investment in Pantheon Resources is 'medium', with the shares having an adjusted beta that is 45% below the market (0.55 vs. 1).<ref name=":4" />
The degree of risk associated with an investment in Pantheon Resources is 'medium', with the shares having an adjusted beta that is 45% below the market (0.55 vs. 1).<ref name=":4" />
Accordingly, if your desired annual rate of return is ccc% or less over the next five years and/or one of your goals is to xxx (i.e. you share in the mission of Pantheon Resources), and you are both willing and able to accept the possibility of losing your entire investment amount, then an investment in the company is considered to be a 'suitable' one.


== Operations ==
== Operations ==


=== Idea ===
=== Idea ===
Founded in 2005, Pantheon Resources plc began as a UK-based exploration company targeting onshore USA basins, especially East Texas. However, in 2019, recognising the vast potential of the Alaska North Slope, Pantheon strategically acquired Great Bear Petroleum's assets. This move prompted a shift from East Texas to concentrate solely on Alaska, given its proximity to key Alaskan oil infrastructure and the immense opportunities it presented.
ccc


=== Projects ===
=== Projects ===
ccc
ccc
[[File:Pantheon Acreage North Slope.jpg]]
[[File:Advantageous location.jpg]]


==== Greater Alkaid ====
==== Greater Alkaid ====
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===== Alkaid #1 Pay Intervals =====
===== Alkaid #1 Pay Intervals =====
Comprehensive data from Alkaid well revealed a 400-foot gross pay, with 240 feet of net oil pay.<ref name=":0" /> Expert consultations confirmed the potential of this project.<ref name=":0" /> Notably, only a small fraction of the well’s capacity was accessed during the tests. Pantheon projects that optimally designed horizontal development wells could significantly increase oil production.<ref name=":0" /> Advanced seismic imaging indicates even better reservoir potentials in the core.<ref name=":0" /> The company envisions using an early production unit (EPU) to facilitate early cash flow and obtain valuable data.<ref name=":0" /> A full-fledged Central Processing Unit (CPU) is in the pipeline for optimal resource utilisation.<ref name=":0" /> Pantheon is keen to use unconventional oil production technologies, which has become standard across the Alaska North Slope.<ref name=":0" />
Comprehensive data from Alkaid well revealed a 400-foot gross pay, with 240 feet of net oil pay.<ref name=":0" /> Expert consultations confirmed the potential of this project.<ref name=":0" /> Notably, only a small fraction of the well’s capacity was accessed during the tests. Pantheon projects that optimally designed horizontal development wells could significantly increase oil production.<ref name=":0" /> Advanced seismic imaging indicates even better reservoir potentials in the core.<ref name=":0" /> The company envisions using an early production unit (EPU) to facilitate early cash flow and obtain valuable data.<ref name=":0" /> A full-fledged Central Processing Unit (CPU) is in the pipeline for optimal resource utilization.<ref name=":0" /> Pantheon is keen to use unconventional oil production technologies, which has become standard across the Alaska North Slope.<ref name=":0" />


In 2020, an independent report on the Greater Alkaid oil accumulation cited 76.5 million barrels of recoverable reserves, valuing the project at $595m (considering a $55/Bbl oil price).<ref name=":0" /> The company plans to commission a pilot test producer in 2022, which could provide immediate cash flow.<ref name=":0" /> Alkaid’s strategic location offers year-round activity advantages.<ref name=":0" />
In 2020, an independent report on the Greater Alkaid oil accumulation cited 76.5 million barrels of recoverable reserves, valuing the project at $595m (considering a $55/Bbl oil price).<ref name=":0" /> The company plans to commission a pilot test producer in 2022, which could provide immediate cash flow.<ref name=":0" /> Alkaid’s strategic location offers year-round activity advantages.<ref name=":0" />
Line 39: Line 30:


* The Talitha #A well, located eight miles west of the Dalton Highway and TAPS, identified movable light oil across multiple horizons, with over a billion barrels of recoverable oil potential.<ref name=":1" />
* The Talitha #A well, located eight miles west of the Dalton Highway and TAPS, identified movable light oil across multiple horizons, with over a billion barrels of recoverable oil potential.<ref name=":1" />
* Its proximity to existing infrastructure offers economic advantages, potentially allowing for faster production ramp-up with minimised capital expenditure.<ref name=":1" />
* Its proximity to existing infrastructure offers economic advantages, potentially allowing for faster production ramp-up with minimized capital expenditure.<ref name=":1" />
* The well reached a depth of c. 10,456 ft, revealing five potentially productive zones. Challenges arose during testing due to operational issues and inclement weather, but significant findings were still achieved.<ref name=":1" />
* The well reached a depth of c. 10,456 ft, revealing five potentially productive zones. Challenges arose during testing due to operational issues and inclement weather, but significant findings were still achieved.<ref name=":1" />


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The data from Talitha #A has increased confidence in the commercial viability of these zones.<ref name=":1" /> Pantheon remains encouraged by the analysis and sees potential for further exploration and drilling.<ref name=":1" /> The discovery augments the prospectivity of adjacent potential oil-bearing structures, which will be explored in future programs.<ref name=":1" />
The data from Talitha #A has increased confidence in the commercial viability of these zones.<ref name=":1" /> Pantheon remains encouraged by the analysis and sees potential for further exploration and drilling.<ref name=":1" /> The discovery augments the prospectivity of adjacent potential oil-bearing structures, which will be explored in future programs.<ref name=":1" />


== Kodiak ==
==== Theta West ====
The Kodiak project, previously known as Theta West, is a significant appraisal project for Pantheon Resources. The project has garnered attention due to its potential to rival the immense hydrocarbon pore volume plays outside the renowned Prudhoe Bay Oilfield in the Alaska North Slope (ANS). Geologically, the Kodiak field can be likened to the deepwater offshore regions in the Gulf of Mexico, West Africa, and recent discoveries off Guyana's coast.<ref name=":2">https://polaris.brighterir.com/public/pantheon_resources/news/rns/story/rmvz29r</ref>
Pantheon has concluded drilling at Theta West#1, confirming a discovery of light sweet crude oil.<ref name=":2">https://www.pantheonresources.com/about-pantheon/projects/theta-west</ref> This discovery is now set for extensive production testing.<ref name=":2" /> Theta West stands as Pantheon’s most significant appraisal project.<ref name=":2" /> The company projects its potential to rival the immense hydrocarbon pore volume plays outside the renowned Prudhoe Bay Oilfield in the ANS.<ref name=":2" /> This geological configuration, given its success and volume, can be likened to the deepwater offshore regions in the Gulf of Mexico, West Africa, and recent discoveries off Guyana's coast.<ref name=":2" /> In essence, Theta West is a giant Basin Floor Fan with the potential to hold multibillion barrels of oil.<ref name=":2" />


=== Independent Expert Report (IER) Findings ===
Years ago, Pantheon identified this vast geological opportunity and utilized its unique 3D seismic and analytical methodologies to secure a strong position in the Theta West play.<ref name=":2" /> This was strategically done before drilling Talitha #A in 2021.<ref name=":2" /> The Talitha #A drilling confirmed the presence of oil in the Theta West structure. A follow-up drilling at Theta West #1 took place 10.5 miles from Talitha, in a geologically superior position.<ref name=":2" /> To date, three wells — Pipeline State #1, Talitha #1, and Theta West #1 — have successfully tapped into the Basin Floor Fan (BFF) complex.<ref name=":2" />
An Independent Expert Report (IER) by Netherland, Sewell & Associates (NSAI) on the Kodiak project has provided a contingent resource estimate. The 2C (best estimate) for the Kodiak field stands at a staggering 962.5 million barrels of marketable liquids. This comprises both oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The NGLs are of significant value as they can be blended with the oil, yielding approximately 90% of the Alaska North Slope (ANS) price per barrel.<ref name=":2" />
 
{| class="wikitable"
The latest Theta West #1 drilling reached a depth of 8,450 feet, navigating through the Upper and Lower Basin Floor Fan target layers of Brookian age.<ref name=":2" /> The drilling revealed approximately 1,160 gross feet of oil reservoir across these horizons.<ref name=":2" /> Preliminary data indicates this reservoir's quality surpasses that of the downdip Talitha #A, with high-quality oil found throughout.<ref name=":2" />
|+Gross 100% Working Interest Contingent Resources
!Resource Category
!Oil (million bbls)
!NGLs (million bbls)
!Residual Gas (BCF)
!Total Marketable Liquids<ref>Pantheon addition of Oil & NGLs.</ref> (million bbls)
|-
|Low Estimate (1C)
|145.4
|292.4
|2,151.7
|437.8
|-
|Best Estimate (2C)
|314.6
|647.9
|4,465.2
|962.5
|-
|High Estimate (3C)
|647.8
|1,366.4
|8,822.7
|2,014.2
|}


[[File:Kodiak Project Horizon (illustrative type log).jpg|Kodiak Project Horizon (illustrative type log)]]
Key depths recorded are:


[[File:Location of Kodiak and Ahpun Projects.jpg|Location of Kodiak and Ahpun Projects]]
* UBFF: 6,800 - 7,000 ft<ref name=":2" />
* LBFF: 7,450 - 8,410 ft<ref name=":2" />


=== Field Development and Infrastructure ===
These depths exceed previous estimates, and due to external factors such as extreme cold, the company had to rely on Logging While Drilling (LWD) operations.<ref name=":2" /> However, this yielded invaluable data, hinting at hydrocarbon presence higher up from the Talitha #A well.<ref name=":2" />
The Kodiak project spans an area of 126,000 acres, which includes recently awarded additional acreage. The field is defined by the hydrocarbon bearing horizons contained within the large basin floor fan system. This system stretches from the Hue Shale top seal to the underlying HRZ shale. The field's vastness and potential make it one of the largest basin floor fan systems discovered onshore in recent decades.<ref name=":2" />


Pantheon's proprietary 3D seismic data and three wells (Pipeline State 1, Talitha-A, and Theta West-1) have confirmed the field's potential. The company plans to further develop the Kodiak project, focusing on the recently acquired "chimney acreage" and the delineation provided by the seismic data.<ref name=":2" />
AHS/Baker Hughes, the company's partners, have verified the presence of light oil in the UBFF and LBFF's top section, aligning with the LWD data.<ref name=":2" /> The full analysis of LBFF's lower section is still underway.<ref name=":2" /> Initial estimates pegged Theta West #A's potential at 12.1 billion barrels of oil, with a most likely recoverable amount of 1.41 billion barrels on Pantheon's land.<ref name=":2" /> This figure will be re-evaluated after thorough testing and analysis.<ref name=":2" />


=== Appraisal and Future Plans ===
Historically, the Theta West BFF was also successfully drilled in the 1988 Pipeline State #1 well.<ref name=":2" /> More insights were obtained from the Talitha #A well, where the LBFF's substantial thickness was established.<ref name=":2" /> Subsequent testing yielded high-quality oil averaging 73 barrels per day over three days.<ref name=":2" />
Pantheon intends to drill the next Kodiak appraisal well in the recently acquired leases, northwest of Theta West-1. This drilling aims to encounter a reservoir section with improved reservoir characteristics, potentially yielding higher flow rates and hydrocarbon recovery rates. The company's detailed geological model, which takes into account data from nearby producing fields, supports this approach.<ref name=":2" />


To address the contingencies highlighted in NSAI's evaluation, Pantheon plans to cut full cores and acquire a comprehensive suite of wireline logs and fluid samples in future appraisal wells. This granular data could potentially lead to future increases in recoverable resource estimates.<ref name=":2" />
The recent Theta West #1 drilling confirmed expectations of a thicker reservoir at the crest, with increased porosity and permeability.<ref name=":2" /> The site’s shallower depth offers a cost-effective drilling prospect for such a vast resource.<ref name=":2" /> The entire Theta West project spans an impressive 100,000 acres under Pantheon's control, representing a significant opportunity for the company.<ref name=":2" /> Pantheon management considers Theta West as a potentially world-class project in a prime location.<ref name=":2" />


=== Conclusion ===
In broader geological terms, the Theta West BFF is a segment of the Brookian deepwater fan systems.<ref name=":2" /> This includes the Slope Fan system and is situated between the Shelf Margin Deltaic and the Kuparuk Formation in terms of depth.<ref name=":2" /> Both the Talitha #A and Pipeline State #1 wells confirmed these regions as oil-bearing.<ref name=":2" /> Initially thought to be distinct fan systems, recent analysis suggests they might be part of an expansive continuous section, possibly forming a “super trap.<ref name=":2" />
The Kodiak project represents a transformative opportunity for Pantheon Resources. With nearly one billion barrels of recoverable liquids, the project's potential is immense. The close proximity to existing infrastructure, combined with the vast resource base, positions Pantheon advantageously for future growth and development. The forthcoming appraisal activities and the company's strategic approach to the Kodiak field further underscore its potential as a world-class project in a prime location.<ref name=":2" />


=== Strategy ===
=== Strategy ===
Pantheon's primary strategy is to maximize shareholder value through the following means:
Pantheon focuses on onshore hydrocarbon exploration and production on Alaska's North Slope, a region where their expertise and competitive edge shine. Operating as a lean entity with stringent cost controls, Pantheon is dedicated to optimizing returns for its shareholders. They achieve this by targeting exploration and appraisal activities in areas with proven potential.
 
Located in the USA, onshore Alaska benefits from a robust free-market framework where both the rule of law and free enterprise principles are deeply rooted. Pantheon's strategic positioning, directly beneath and adjacent to the established yet underutilized Trans Alaska Pipeline System (TAPS) and related transport infrastructures, grants them significant advantages. It enables the company to expedite and economically channel any oil discoveries to the market compared to other North Slope ventures.
 
Although Pantheon is a smaller exploration and appraisal entity, its arsenal is fortified with over a decade of proprietary geological insights. This wealth of knowledge stems from a substantial investment exceeding US$200 million in their Alaskan properties. Pantheon's leadership is confident that their precise, cost-effective approach, encapsulated in their "prove up and sell" ethos, offers investors a rare chance to engage in impactful, risk-adjusted drilling ventures with substantial promise. Their assets boast over 1,000 square miles of proprietary 3D seismic data and a significant landholding across four projects. The company eagerly anticipates the State of Alaska's awarding of two production units in late 2020 for the Greater Alkaid and Talitha projects, spanning nearly 70,000 acres combined. This is set to be a pivotal turning point for Pantheon.


* '''High Working Interest Maintenance:''' Pantheon retains a 100% working interest through the evaluation process of its assets. This high stake allows the company to have significant control over its projects and potential returns.
In the coming year, Pantheon's drilling endeavors will target vast prospects that hold significant economic potential relative to their current market valuation. Any successful discoveries of hydrocarbons from these efforts have the power to revolutionize the company's magnitude and influence. Ultimately, Pantheon's long-term game plan revolves around monetizing these assets, be it through a sale or other viable avenues, when the timing aligns perfectly.
* '''Strategic Drilling and Farm-outs:''' The company aims to prove up its assets through targeted drilling. Where appropriate, Pantheon may pursue farm-outs, partnering with other entities to share the costs and risks of exploration and development.
* '''Asset Monetisation:''' Pantheon's endgame is to monetize its assets, either through a sale or other means, at the opportune moment. This "prove up and sell" approach is designed to offer investors a chance to capitalize on high-impact, risk-managed drilling.


=== Team ===
=== Team ===
Pantheon boasts a seasoned board and a robust advisory group, all of whom are shareholders with established track records in the oil and gas sector. They have a rich history of building profitable companies for acquisition. Additionally, Pantheon's board and management team have extensive experience with oil and gas operations in Alaska.
[[File:David Hobbs.png|thumb|David Hobbs.]]


==== David Hobbs, Executive Chairman<ref>https://polaris.brighterir.com/public/pantheon_resources/news/rns/story/xel4enr</ref> ====
==== Phillip Gobe, Non-Executive Chairman ====


* '''Experience:''' Graduated as a Petroleum Engineer from Imperial College in 1984. Worked at British Gas, Monument Oil & Gas, and Hardy Oil and Gas. Former Chief Energy Strategist at Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA) and part of the leadership team at King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.<ref name=":10">https://polaris.brighterir.com/public/pantheon_resources/news/rns/story/xleqqjw</ref>
[[File:Phillip Gobe.jpg|thumb|Phillip Gobe]]
* '''Education:''' Petroleum Engineer from Imperial College.<ref name=":10" />
* '''Prominent Roles:''' Drilling engineer at British Gas; commercial and business development roles at Monument Oil & Gas and Hardy Oil and Gas; Chief Energy Strategist at CERA; leadership role at KAPSARC.<ref name=":10" />
* '''Pantheon Committees:''' Details to be confirmed.<ref name=":10" />
* '''Current Directorships:''' SV-Pleione Limited, Polar Energy LLC.<ref name=":10" />


==== Jay Cheatham, Chief Executive Officer<ref name=":3">https://www.pantheonresources.com/investors/financial-reports/673-final-results-for-the-year-ended-30-june-2022/file</ref> ====
* '''Experience:''' Over four decades in the oil and gas sector, both domestically and internationally.<ref name=":3">https://www.pantheonresources.com/investors/financial-reports/673-final-results-for-the-year-ended-30-june-2022/file</ref>
* '''Current & Past Roles:''' Chairman and former CEO of ProPetro; Senior roles in Energy Partners Ltd, Nuevo Energy Co., Vastar Resources, and Atlantic Richfield Company. He notably managed operations at Prudhoe Bay, the USA's largest oilfield.<ref name=":3" />
* '''Specialties:''' Drilling, HR, health and safety, and has overseen lucrative corporate exits.<ref name=":3" />
* '''Board Affiliations:''' Non-executive director at Pioneer Natural Resources, former director of Scientific Drilling International Inc.<ref name=":3" />
* '''Pantheon Committees:''' Chairs Remuneration and Nominations, Audit, and Conflicts Committees. Member of the Anti-Corruption and Bribery Committee.<ref name=":3" />


[[File:Jay Cheatham.jpg|thumb|Jay Cheatham.]]
==== Jay Cheatham, Chief Executive Officer ====


* '''Experience:''' Over five decades encompassing all aspects of the petroleum business.<ref name=":3" />
* '''Experience:''' Over five decades encompassing all aspects of the petroleum business.<ref name=":3" />
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* '''Pantheon Committees:''' Member of the Remuneration and Nominations, Audit, Conflicts, and Anti-Corruption and Bribery Committees.<ref name=":3" />
* '''Pantheon Committees:''' Member of the Remuneration and Nominations, Audit, Conflicts, and Anti-Corruption and Bribery Committees.<ref name=":3" />


==== Justin Hondris, Director of Finance and Corporate Development<ref name=":3" /> ====
==== Justin Hondris, Director of Finance and Corporate Development ====


* '''Experience:''' Over 15 years in public company management, specifically in the upstream oil and gas sector.<ref name=":3" />
* '''Experience:''' Over 15 years in public company management, specifically in the upstream oil and gas sector.<ref name=":3" />
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* '''Pantheon Committees:''' Chairs the Anti-Corruption and Bribery Committee. Member of the Remuneration and Nominations and Conflicts Committees.<ref name=":3" />
* '''Pantheon Committees:''' Chairs the Anti-Corruption and Bribery Committee. Member of the Remuneration and Nominations and Conflicts Committees.<ref name=":3" />


==== Robert (Bob) Rosenthal, Technical Director<ref name=":3" /> ====
==== Robert (Bob) Rosenthal, Technical Director ====
 
[[File:Bob Rosenthal.jpg|thumb|Bob Rosenthal.]]


* '''Experience:''' Over 40 years globally as an Exploration Geologist and Geophysicist.<ref name=":3" />
* '''Experience:''' Over 40 years globally as an Exploration Geologist and Geophysicist.<ref name=":3" />
Line 144: Line 106:
* '''Current Engagement:''' Since 1999, he has operated a successful consulting business, leading exploration initiatives for various private and public entities.<ref name=":3" />
* '''Current Engagement:''' Since 1999, he has operated a successful consulting business, leading exploration initiatives for various private and public entities.<ref name=":3" />


==== Jeremy Brest, Non-Executive Director<ref name=":3" /> ====
==== Jeremy Brest, Non-Executive Director ====


[[File:Jeremy Brest.jpg|thumb|Jeremy Brest]]
[[File:Jeremy Brest.jpg|thumb|Jeremy Brest]]
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* '''Current & Past Roles:''' Founder of Framework Capital Solutions, a boutique advisory firm; Former head of structuring for Indonesia at Credit Suisse and a derivatives trader at Goldman Sachs.<ref name=":3" />
* '''Current & Past Roles:''' Founder of Framework Capital Solutions, a boutique advisory firm; Former head of structuring for Indonesia at Credit Suisse and a derivatives trader at Goldman Sachs.<ref name=":3" />
* '''Pantheon Committees:''' Member of the Audit, Remuneration and Nominations, Conflicts, and Anti-Corruption and Bribery Committees.<ref name=":3" />
* '''Pantheon Committees:''' Member of the Audit, Remuneration and Nominations, Conflicts, and Anti-Corruption and Bribery Committees.<ref name=":3" />
==== Allegra Hosford Scheirer, Independent Non-Executive Director<ref name=":9" /> ====
[[File:Allegra Hosford Scheirer.jpg|thumb|Allegra Hosford Scheirer.]]
* '''Experience:''' Internationally recognised expert in petroleum system analysis with significant experience in basin modelling, organic geochemistry, geophysical techniques, and machine learning. Evaluated numerous oil and gas provinces globally, including the Alaska North Slope.<ref name=":9">https://polaris.brighterir.com/public/pantheon_resources/news/rns/story/rmvm22r</ref>
* '''Education:''' Ph.D. in marine geology and geophysics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.<ref name=":9" />
* '''Prominent Roles:''' Scientist at Stanford University for 15 years; worked with the Energy Resources Program at the U.S. Geological Survey ("USGS"); independent adviser for Great Bear Petroleum.<ref name=":9" />
* '''Pantheon Committees:''' Details to be confirmed. Current Directorships: Geomodelling Solutions LLC.<ref name=":9" />


== Market ==
== Market ==


=== Total Addressable Market ===
=== Total Addressable Market ===
Here, the total addressable market (TAM) is defined as the global market for oil and gas exploration and production, which includes every potential consumer or business that could use or buy oil and gas, and based on a number of assumptions, it is estimated that the size of the market as of today (3rd September 2023), in terms of revenue, is $5.3 trillion.<ref>[https://www.ibisworld.com/global/market-size/global-oil-gas-exploration-production/#:~:text=The%20market%20size%2C%20measured%20by,is%20%245.3tr%20in%202023. https://www.ibisworld.com/global/market-size/global-oil-gas-exploration-production/#:~:text=The%20market%20size%2C%20measured%20by,is%20%245.3tr%20in%202023.]</ref>
Here, the total addressable market (TAM) is defined as the global market for oil and gas exploration and production, which includes every potential consumer or business that could use or buy oil and gas, and based on a number of assumptions, it is estimated that the size of the market as of today (3rd September 2023), in terms of revenue, is $ccc trillion.


=== Serviceable Available Market ===
=== Serviceable Available Market ===
Here, the serviceable available market (SAM) is defined as the oil and gas exploration and production market in the Alaskan North Slope, and based on a number of assumptions, it is estimated that the size of the market as of today (3rd September 2023) is 3.6 billion barrels of oil and 8.9 trillion cubic feet of natural gas conventional resources, which equates to around $242.7 billion in terms of revenue.<ref>To estimate the revenue from 3.6 billion barrels of oil and 8.9 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of natural gas, you would need to know the prevailing market prices for both commodities. Please note that oil and gas prices can fluctuate significantly based on various factors, so this is a very general estimate.
Here, the serviceable available market (SAM) is defined as the oil and gas exploration and production market in the Alaskan North Slope, and based on a number of assumptions, it is estimated that the size of the market as of today (3rd September 2023), in terms of revenue, is $ccc billion.


1) Oil: Let's use an average price of $60 per barrel, which is a rough average for Brent crude over various periods in the late 2010s and early 2020s.
=== Serviceable Obtainable Market ===
Here, the serviceable obtainable market (SOM) is defined as the Alaskan North Slope oil and gas exploration and production market in which the company holds lease licenses, and based on a number of assumptions, it is estimated that the size of the market as of today (3rd September 2023), in terms of revenue, is $ccc billion.


3.6 \text{ billion barrels} \times $60/\text{barrel} = $216 \text{ billion}
== Financials ==


2) Natural Gas: Natural gas prices can be more region-specific than oil prices. In the U.S., the Henry Hub spot price is a common benchmark. Let's use an average price of $3 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf) for simplicity, though this price can vary widely.
=== Most recent ===


8.9 \text{ Tcf} \times $3/\text{Mcf} = $26.7 \text{ billion}
==== Profit and loss ====


Adding these together:
==== Balance sheet ====


$216 \text{ billion (from oil)} + $26.7 \text{ billion (from gas)} = $242.7 \text{ billion}
==== Cash flow ====
ccc


So, based on these rough price estimates, 3.6 billion barrels of oil and 8.9 Tcf of natural gas could equate to approximately $242.7 billion in revenue.
=== Full-year results ===
 
However, it's essential to consider several factors:
 
1) Extraction Costs: The revenue figures above don't account for the costs of extracting, refining, transporting, and selling the oil and gas. These costs can be substantial.
 
2) Price Fluctuations: Oil and gas prices can fluctuate significantly based on global demand, geopolitical events, technological advancements, and other factors.
 
3) Taxes and Royalties: Governments often take a share of the revenue in the form of taxes, royalties, or other fees.</ref>
 
=== Serviceable Obtainable Market ===
Here, the serviceable obtainable market (SOM) is defined as the Alaskan North Slope oil and gas exploration and production market in which the company holds lease licenses, and based on a number of assumptions, it is estimated that the size of the market as of today (3rd September 2023), in terms of revenue, is $ccc billion.
 
== Financials ==
 
=== Most recent ===
After the interim results' period end, the company raised approximately $22 million, net of fees, on 16th May 2023.<ref>https://polaris.brighterir.com/public/pantheon_resources/news/rns/story/w03k7zw</ref>
 
On 15th June 2023, to address its obligations for the senior unsecured convertible bonds due 2026, the company settled a quarterly principal of US$2.45 million and interest of US$367,500 by issuing 15,172,320 new Ordinary Shares. This arrangement reduces the Convertible Bond's outstanding principal to US$34.30 million.<ref>https://polaris.brighterir.com/public/pantheon_resources/news/rns/story/x5zjy8x</ref>
 
On 7th September 2023, Pantheon Resources plc announced a private placement of 11.9 million new shares at £0.1878 each, raising $2.793 million from IPGL Limited. The amount will be used to cover a bond repayment, making the placement cash-neutral for Pantheon. The new shares, constituting 1.3% of the pre-placement share capital, will be issued around 29 September 2023.<ref name=":12">https://www.investegate.co.uk/announcement/rns/pantheon-resources--panr/private-placement/7740310</ref>
 
Accordingly, since the company's interim results, the company has raised raise a total of $27.243 million.
 
=== Interim results ===


==== Profit and loss ====
==== Profit and loss ====
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+Profit and loss
|+Profit and loss
!
!Year
!2021<ref name=":11">https://polaris.brighterir.com/public/pantheon_resources/news/rns/story/xp8nljr</ref>
!2018
!2022<ref name=":11" />
!2019
!2020 (restated)
!2021
!2022
|-
|-
|Currency
|Currency
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |Continuing operations
|Year since incorporation
|-
|13
|Revenue
|14
| -
|15
|455,309
|16
|-
|17
|Production royalties
| -
|(57,101)
|-
|-
|Facilities commissioning and operations  
| colspan="6" |Continuing operations
| -
|(837,503)
|-
|-
|Cost of sales
|Administration expenses
| -
|
|(183,296)
|
|(3,667,635)
|(5,034,361)
|(7,430,653)
|-
|-
|Gross loss
|Impairment of exploration & evaluation assets
| -
|
|(622,590)
|
|(130,112)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|-
|Administration expenses 
|Share Based payments expense
|(3,150,888)
|
|(3,699,831)
|
|-
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|Share Based payment expense
|(3,211,038)
|(2,013,966)
|(8,256,575)
|(2,935,897)
|-
|-
|Operating loss
|Operating loss 
|
|(5,174,854)
|
|(7,258,318)
|(3,797,747)
|(8,245,400)
|(15,687,228)
|-
|-
|Convertible Bond - Interest Expense
|Convertible Bond - Interest Expense
|(570,295)
|
|(3,151,102)
|
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(4,640,537)
|-
|-
|Convertible Bond - Revaluation of Derivative Liability
|Convertible Bond - Revaluation of Derivative Liability
|(200,531)
|
|7,937,855
|
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|4,310,773
|-
|-
|Interest receivable
|Interest receivable
|143
|
|152,492
|
|23,759
|4,234
|42,674
|-
|-
|Loss before taxation
|Loss before taxation
|(5,945,537)
|
|(2,319,073)
|
|(3,773,988)
|(8,241,165)
|(15,974,318)
|-
|-
|Taxation
|Taxation
|1,497,945
|
|743,097
|
|965,681
|1,573,094
|2,022,334
|-
|-
|Loss for the year
|Loss for the year from Continuing Operations after Taxation
|(4,447,592)
|
|(1,575,796)
|
|(2,808,307)
|(6,668,071)
|(13,951,984)
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |Other comprehensive income for the year
|Loss for the year from discontinued operations
|
|
|(14,170,288)
|(54,415)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|-
|Exchange differences from translating foreign operations
|Loss for the year
|844,484
|
|(97,473)
|
|(16,978,595)
|(6,722,487)
|(13,951,984)
|-
|-
|Total comprehensive loss for the year
|Other comprehensive income for the year Exchange differences from translating foreign operations
|(3,603,108)
|
|(1,673,449)
|
|(47,800)
|1,503,199
|(741,484)
|-
|Total comprehensive loss for the year
|
|
|(17,026,395)
|(5,219,288)
|(14,693,468)
|-
| colspan="6" |Loss per share from continuing operations:
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |Loss per share from continuing operations:
|Basic and diluted loss per share
|
|
|(0.56)¢
|(1.17)¢
|(1.93)¢
|-
| colspan="6" |Loss per share from discontinued operations:
|-
|-
|Basic and diluted loss per share
|Basic and diluted loss per share
|(0.66
|
|(0.21
|
|(2.83
|(0.01
|
|}
|}


Line 297: Line 285:
|+Balance sheet
|+Balance sheet
!
!
!2021<ref name=":11" />
!2018
!2022<ref name=":11" />
!2019
!2020
!2021
!2022
|-
|-
|Currency
|Currency
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |Assets
|Year since incorporation
|13
|14
|15
|16
|17
|-
| colspan="6" |Assets
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |Non-current assets
| colspan="6" |Non-current assets
|-
|-
|Exploration & evaluation assets
|Exploration & evaluation assets
|195,662,187
|
|274,321,398
|
|156,097,609
|188,954,719
|237,722,294
|-
|-
|Property, plant and equipment
|Property, plant and equipment
|4,245
|
|66,199
|
|658,898
|30,308
|91,691
|-
|-
|Total non-current assets
|Total non-current assets
|195,666,432
|
|274,387,597
|
|-
|156,756,507
| colspan="3" |Current assets
|188,985,027
|-
|237,813,985
|-
| colspan="6" |Current assets
|-
|Trade and other receivables
|Trade and other receivables
|275,315
|
|2,823,089
|
|74,167
|109,876
|2,498,447
|-
|-
|Cash and cash equivalents
|Cash and cash equivalents
|92,667,269
|
|16,335,676
|
|4,802,965
|5,663,477
|57,784,121
|-
|-
|Total current assets
|Total current assets
|92,942,584
|
|19,158,765
|
|4,877,132
|5,773,353
|60,282,568
|-
|-
|Total assets
|Total assets
|288,609,016
|
|293,546,363
|
|161,633,639
|194,758,380
|298,096,553
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |Liabilities
| colspan="6" |Liabilities
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |Current liabilities
| colspan="6" |Current liabilities
|-
|-
|Convertible Bond – Debt
|Convertible Bond – Debt
| -
|
|9,929,027
|
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|10,001,704
|-
|-
|Trade and other payables
|Trade and other payables
|1,120,647
|
|6,336,999
|
|388,092
|1,107,090
|6,377,986
|-
|-
|Provisions
|Provisions
|1,250,000  
|
|5,282,866
|
|1,335,863
|1,250,000
|5,285,440
|-
|-
|Lease Liabilities
|Lease Liabilities
|4,702
|
|60,007
|
|46,311
|32,788
|60,297
|-
|-
|Other Liabilities
|Other Liabilities
| -
|
| -
|
|-
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|Deferred tax liability
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|2,207,792
|1,964,441
|940,306
|-
|Deferred tax liability
|
|
|5,293,296
|3,705,737
|1,683,403
|-
|-
|Total current liabilities
|Total current liabilities
|4,583,141
|
|22,549,205
|
|7,063,562
|6,095,615
|25,373,271
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |Non-current liabilities
| colspan="6" |Non-current liabilities
|-
|-
|Lease Liabilities
|Lease Liabilities
| -
|
|2,956
|
|27,914
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|30,004
|-
|-
|Convertible Bond – Debt
|Convertible Bond – Debt
|39,734,584
|
|19,228,219
|
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|20,474,664
|-
|-
|Convertible Bond – Derivative
|Convertible Bond – Derivative
|16,023,781
|
|3,587,629
|
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|12,816,226
|-
|-
|Total non-current liabilities
|Total non-current liabilities
|55,758,365
|
|22,818,804
|
|27,914
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|33,320,894
|-
|-
|Total liabilities
|Total liabilities
|60,341,506
|
|45,368,009
|
|7,091,476
|6,095,615
|58,694,166
|-
|-
|Net assets
|Net assets
|228,267,510
|
|248,178,354
|
|154,542,163
|188,662,765
|239,402,388
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |Equity
| colspan="6" |Equity
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |Capital and reserves
| colspan="6" |Capital and reserves
|-
|-
|Share capital
|Share capital
|10,418,381
|
|10,848,761
|
|-
|8,568,721
|Share premium
|9,739,203
|249,429,603
|10,720,459
|272,264,411
|-
|Share premium
|
|
|173,687,092
|208,683,936
|264,879,196
|-
|-
|Retained losses
|Retained losses
|(40,778,990)  
|
|(49,647,328)  
|
|(29,608,911)
|(36,331,398)
|(48,466,591)
|-
|-
|Currency reserve
|Currency reserve
|2,079,046
|
|395,605
|
|(268,637)
|1,234,562
|493,078
|-
|-
|Share based payment reserve
|Share based payment reserve
|7,119,470
|
|14,316,906
|
|2,163,898
|5,336,462
|11,776,246
|-
|-
|Shareholders’ equity
|Shareholders’ equity
|228,267,510
|
|248,178,354
|
|154,542,163
|188,662,765
|239,402,388
|}
|}


==== Cash flow ====
==== Cash flow ====
ccc
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+Cash flow
|+Cash flow
!Year
!Year
!2021<ref name=":11" />
!2018
!2022<ref name=":11" />
!2019
!2020
!2021
!2022
|-
|-
|Currency
|Currency
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|-
|Year since incorporation
|13
|14
|15
|16
|17
|-
|-
|Net outflow from operating activities
|Net outflow from operating activities
|(2,446,588)  
|
|(6,722,549)  
|
|(5,707,802)
|(3,098,495)
|(941,506)
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |Cash flows from investing activities
| colspan="6" |Cash flows from investing activities
|-
|-
|Interest received
|Interest received
|143
|
|152,492
|
|25,881
|4,295
|42,674
|-
|-
|Funds used for drilling, exploration and leases
|Funds used for drilling, exploration and leases
|(6,707,468)  
|
|(36,601,678)  
|
|(1,591,591)
|(24,973,399)
|(45,267,175)
|-
|-
|Advance for Performance Bond
|Advance for Performance Bond
| -  
|
| -  
|
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(2,400,000)
|-
|-
|Interest paid
|Property, plant and equipment
|(7,961)  
|
| -
|
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(3,368)
|-
|-
|Property, plant and equipment
|Disposal
| -
|
|(3,033)  
|
|(1,134)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|-
|Net cash outflow from investing activities
|Net cash outflow from investing activities
|(6,715,286)  
|
|(36,452,218)  
|
|-
|(1,566,844)
| colspan="3" |Cash flows from financing activities
|(24,969,105)
|-
|(47,627,869)
|-
| colspan="6" |Cash flows from financing activities
|-
|Proceeds from share issues
|Proceeds from share issues
|42,140,595
|
|1,756,018
|
|10,816,383
|30,181,084
|46,739,796
|-
|-
|Issue costs paid in cash
|Issue costs paid in cash
|(946,710)  
|
| -
|
|(571,364)
|(1,197,275)
|(994,694)
|-
|-
|Proceeds from Convertible Bond
|Proceeds from Convertible Bond
|55,000,000  
|
| -
|
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|55,000,000
|-
|-
|Repayment of borrowing and leasing liabilities
|Repayment of borrowing and leasing liabilities
|(28,218)  
|
|(29,696)  
|
|-
|(21,394)
|Net cash inflow from financing activities
|(55,698)
|96,165,667
|(55,083)
|1,726,323
|-
|Net cash inflow from financing activities
|
|
|10,223,625
|28,928,111
|100,690,020
|-
|-
|Increase in cash & cash equivalents
|Increase in cash & cash equivalents
|87,003,793
|
|(41,448,445)
|
|2,948,979
|860,511
|52,120,645
|-
|-
|Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the year
|Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the year
|5,663,476
|
|57,784,121
|
|1,853,986
|4,802,965
|5,663,476
|-
|-
|Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year
|Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year
|92,667,269
|
|16,335,677
|
|4,802,965
|5,663,476
|57,784,121
|}
|}


=== Full-year results ===
== Risks ==
As with any investment, investing in Pantheon Resources Plc carries a level of risk. Overall, based on the Pantheon Resources Plc's adjusted beta (i.e. 0.55)<ref name=":4">Research shows that an investment has two main types of risks: 1) non-systematic and 2) systematic. Systematic risk is the risk related to the overall market, and non-systematic risk is the risk that's specific to an individual investment. Evidence shows that taking on non-systematic risk is inefficient, and it's, therefore, best to eliminate it; and in most cases, elimination is fairy easy to do [by holding a diversified portfolio of investments (i.e. around 15 investments)]. Accordingly, when assessing the riskiness of an investment, it’s best to look at the systematic risk only (i.e. ignore the non-systematic risk). A key measure of systematic risk is beta, and a main way to determine the riskiness of an investment is to compare the beta of the investment with the beta of the market, which is 1. For estimating an asset's beta, in terms of time period, and frequency of observations, the most common choice is five years of monthly data, yielding 60 observations. One study of U.S. stocks found support for five years of monthly data over alternatives. The beta value in a future period has been found to be on average closer to the mean value of 1.0, the beta of an average-systematic-risk security, than to the value of the raw beta. Because valuation is forward looking, it is logical to adjust the raw beta so it more accurately predicts a future beta.</ref>, the degree of risk associated with an investment in Pantheon Resources Plc is 'medium'.
 
Here, to estimate the adjusted beta, we used the iShares MSCI World ETF to represent the market portfolio; and in terms of the time period and frequency of observations, we used five years of monthly data (i.e. 60 observations in total), which is supported by a study and is the most common choice. The beta value in a future period has been found to be on average closer to the mean value of 1.0, and because valuation is forward-looking, it is logical to adjust the raw beta so it more/most accurately predicts a future beta. In addition, here, we have assumed that for an investment to be considered 'medium' risk, it must have a beta value of between 0.5 and 1.5. Further information about the beta ratings can be found in the appendix section of this report.
 
The key risks can be found below. For us, currently, the biggest risk to the valuation of the company relates to the lease obligations.
 
# '''Lease Obligations:''' The group leases properties for oil and gas exploration, requiring annual payments. Any default can lead to lease termination, which would adversely impact business and financial operations. Pantheon has actively participated in annual lease sales and secured 40,000 leases in November 2022. These leases have a 10-year life and favorable terms.
# '''Lease Renewal:''' Leases may be terminated if the group fails to meet specific obligations, like timely exploration. Not renewing these leases can significantly harm the business. However, the group has obtained unitization for certain projects to possibly extend their initial lease term.
# '''Licensing and Permissions:''' The group needs various approvals for developing their leases. Failure to obtain these permissions can hamper the group's ability to operate. To counter this, the group employs personnel experienced in navigating regulatory requirements.
# '''Political and Regulatory Changes:''' Changes in the political environment, particularly in the Northern Slope Borough, Alaska, and the U.S., can adversely affect operations. New regulations or stricter enforcement of current ones can pose challenges. However, Pantheon's projects are on state lands, thus less affected by federal policy changes.
# '''Legal Proceedings:''' The group might face legal challenges that can be costly and can damage its reputation. They engage with legal counsel proactively to mitigate potential risks.
# '''Relationships with Stakeholders:''' The oil and gas sector often faces scrutiny. Failure to manage relationships with communities and environmental groups might adversely affect the group’s reputation and operations. The group endeavors to conduct operations responsibly and legally.
# '''Regulatory Changes:''' Amendments to existing laws regarding oil and gas exploration could adversely affect the group's business. They continuously monitor potential regulatory shifts and maintain relationships with regulatory agencies.
# '''Supply Chain Disruptions:''' Global events, like the Covid-19 pandemic and the Russia/Ukraine conflict, have affected the supply chain and caused inflation. The group plans its operations meticulously and orders equipment in advance to minimize disruptions.
 
== Valuation ==
 
=== Absolute Valuation  ===
 
== Appendix ==
 
=== Relative valuation ===
ccc


==== Profit and loss ====
=== Significant holdings ===
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+Profit and loss
|+Significant holdings as of 15th June 2023<ref>As of 23 June 2022, CHONS LLC was the registered holder of 38,068,993 shares, representing 4.95% of the share capital of the Company.  These shares were held through one or more nominees accounts which may or may not be wholly in the top shareholder list presented above.  Pantheon has been advised by Farallon Capital Management LLC, the discretionary investment manager of CHONS LLC that it qualifies for an investment manager exemption pursuant to DTR 5.1.5 R (1)(a) in the FCA Rules. The practical effect of the investment manager exemption is that, where a person is acting as investment manager to another person, the applicable disclosure thresholds under the DTRs are only at 5%, 10% and 1% increments above 10%. Accordingly, the referenced shareholdings are subject to change without additional notification and therefore cannot be considered accurate apart from on the referenced date.
!Year
 
!2018<ref name=":6">https://www.pantheonresources.com/investors/financial-reports/648-pantheon-resources-annual-report-and-financial-statements-year-ended-30-june-2019/file</ref>
On 3 August 2021, Mr Michael Spencer and IPGL Limited advised they were the registered holder of 25,888,710 shares representing 3.7% of the share capital of Pantheon on that date, and were the holder of 7,816,200 Financial instruments of similar economic effect, representing 1.13% of the registered share capital of Pantheon at that time. These shares were held through one or more nominees accounts which may or may not be wholly in the top shareholder list presented above. The referenced shareholdings are only considered accurate on the referenced data and are not expected to be updated until the next reporting threshold (higher or lower) is crossed.
!2019<ref name=":7">https://www.pantheonresources.com/investors/financial-reports/654-final-results-for-the-year-ended-june-2020/file</ref>
 
!2020 (restated)<ref name=":8">https://www.pantheonresources.com/investors/financial-reports/660-final-results-for-the-year-ended-30-june-2020/file</ref>
On 1 April 2022, Mr Sanjay Motwani notified of a direct holding in 3,271,788 ordinary shares and an indirect holding in 19,851,474 ordinary shares, collectively  representing 3.05% of the share capital of Pantheon on that date. These shares were held through one or more nominees accounts which may or may not be wholly in the top shareholder list presented above. The referenced shareholding(s) are only considered accurate on the referenced data and are not expected to be updated until the next reporting threshold (higher or lower) is crossed.  </ref><ref>https://www.pantheonresources.com/investors/significant-holdings</ref>
!2021<ref name=":3" />
!               
!2022<ref name=":3" />
!Number of Ordinary Shares
|-
!% of Share Capital
|Currency
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|-
|-
|Year since incorporation
|Vidacos Nominees Limited
|13
|100,084,318
|14
|11.34
|15
|16
|17
|-
|-
| colspan="6" |Continuing operations
|Interactive Brokers LLC
|80,121,067
|9.08
|-
|-
|Revenue
|Lynchwood Nominees Limited
|1,009,570
|67,134,041
|724,589
|7.60
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|-
|Production royalties
|Vidacos Nominees Limited
|(244,783)
|38,521,840
|(205,458)
|4.36
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|-
|Depletion of developed oil & gas assets
|Vidacos Nominees Limited
|(88,293)
|34,549,659
|(148,485)
|3.91
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|-
|Cost of sales
|Barnard Nominees Limited
|(562,986)
|29,352,283
|(737,208)
|3.32
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|-
|Gross profit/(loss)
|Barnard Nominees Limited
|113,508
|27,714,204
|(366,562)
|3.14
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|}
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Administration expenses
|(1,922,917)
|(3,438,239)
|(3,667,635)
|(5,034,361)
|(7,430,653)
|-
|General & Administrative expenses – Vision
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(1,744,730)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Impairment of exploration & evaluation assets
|(6,805,537)
|(34,138,156)
|(130,112)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Share Based payments expense
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(3,211,038)
|(8,256,575)
|-
|Impairment of developed oil & gas assets
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(13,092,684)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Impairment of property plant and equipment
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(1,397,950)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Impairment of Goodwill
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(796,236)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Depreciation of production & pipeline facilities
|(145,516)
|(275,665)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Operating loss
|(8,760,462)
|(55,250,222)
|(3,797,747)
|(8,245,400)
|(15,687,228)
|-
|Convertible Bond - Interest Expense
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(4,640,537)
|-
|Convertible Bond - Revaluation of Derivative Liability
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|4,310,773
|-
|Gain on bargain purchase
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|100,757,286
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Less: deferred tax thereon
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(28,783,396)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Interest receivable
|6,858
|25,781
|23,759
|4,234
|42,674
|-
|Loss before taxation
|(8,753,604)
|16,749,449
|(3,773,988)
|(8,241,165)
|(15,974,318)
|-
|Taxation
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|18,757,633
|965,681
|1,573,094
|2,022,334
|-
|Loss for the year from Continuing Operations after Taxation
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(2,808,307)
|(6,668,071)
|(13,951,984)
|-
|Loss for the year from discontinued operations
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(14,170,288)
|(54,415)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Loss for the year
|(8,753,604)
|35,507,082
|(16,978,595)
|(6,722,487)
|(13,951,984)
|-
|Other comprehensive income for the year Exchange differences from translating foreign operations
|277,183
|(179,284)
|(47,800)
|1,503,199
|(741,484)
|-
|Total comprehensive loss for the year
|(8,476,421)
|35,327,798
|(17,026,395)
|(5,219,288)
|(14,693,468)
|-
| colspan="6" |Loss per share from continuing operations:
|-
|Basic and diluted loss per share
|(3.72)¢
|10.54¢
|(0.56)¢
|(1.17)¢
|(1.93)¢
|-
| colspan="6" |Loss per share from discontinued operations:
|-
|Basic and diluted loss per share
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(2.83)¢
|(0.01)¢
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|}
 
==== Balance sheet ====
{| class="wikitable"
|+Balance sheet
!
!2018<ref name=":6" />
!2019<ref name=":7" />
!2020<ref name=":8" />
!2021<ref name=":3" />
!2022<ref name=":3" />
|-
|Currency
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|-
|Year since incorporation
|13
|14
|15
|16
|17
|-
| colspan="6" |Assets
|-
| colspan="6" |Non-current assets
|-
|Exploration & evaluation assets
|43,498,422
|160,887,260
|156,097,609
|188,954,719
|237,722,294
|-
|Developed oil & gas assets
|13,736,007
|6,961,445
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Property, plant and equipment
|2,237,698
|2,494,464
|658,898
|30,308
|91,691
|-
|Total non-current assets
|59,472,127
|170,343,169
|156,756,507
|188,985,027
|237,813,985
|-
| colspan="6" |Current assets
|-
|Trade and other receivables
|700,939
|1,843,649
|74,167
|109,876
|2,498,447
|-
|Cash and cash equivalents
|3,399,290
|1,853,986
|4,802,965
|5,663,477
|57,784,121
|-
|Total current assets
|4,100,229
|3,697,635
|4,877,132
|5,773,353
|60,282,568
|-
|Total assets
|63,572,356
|174,040,804
|161,633,639
|194,758,380
|298,096,553
|-
| colspan="6" |Liabilities
|-
| colspan="6" |Current liabilities
|-
|Convertible Bond – Debt
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|10,001,704
|-
|Trade and other payables
|316,976
|1,410,347
|388,092
|1,107,090
|6,377,986
|-
|Provisions
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|1,335,863
|1,335,863
|1,250,000
|5,285,440
|-
|Lease Liabilities
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|46,311
|32,788
|60,297
|-
|Other Liabilities
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|1,964,441
|-
|Deferred tax liability
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|10,025,763
|5,293,296
|3,705,737
|1,683,403
|-
|Total current liabilities
|316,976
|12,771,973
|7,063,562
|6,095,615
|25,373,271
|-
| colspan="6" |Non-current liabilities
|-
|Lease Liabilities
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|27,914
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|30,004
|-
|Convertible Bond – Debt
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|20,474,664
|-
|Convertible Bond – Derivative
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|12,816,226
|-
|Total non-current liabilities
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|27,914
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|33,320,894
|-
|Total liabilities
|316,976
|12,771,973
|7,091,476
|6,095,615
|58,694,166
|-
|Net assets
|63,255,380
|161,268,831
|154,542,163
|188,662,765
|239,402,388
|-
| colspan="6" |Equity
|-
| colspan="6" |Capital and reserves
|-
|Share capital
|3,852,673
|7,966,075
|8,568,721
|9,739,203
|10,720,459
|-
|Share premium
|106,678,805
|164,044,720
|173,687,092
|208,683,936
|264,879,196
|-
|Retained losses
|(48,137,398)
|(12,630,316)
|(29,608,911)
|(36,331,398)
|(48,466,591)
|-
|Currency reserve
|(41,554)
|(220,838)
|(268,637)
|1,234,562
|493,078
|-
|Share based payment reserve
|902,854
|2,163,898
|2,163,898
|5,336,462
|11,776,246
|-
|Non controlling interests
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(54,708)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Shareholders’ equity
|63,255,380
|161,268,831
|154,542,163
|188,662,765
|239,402,388
|}
 
==== Cash flow ====
{| class="wikitable"
|+Cash flow
!Year
!2018<ref name=":6" />
!2019<ref name=":7" />
!2020<ref name=":8" />
!2021<ref name=":3" />
!2022<ref name=":3" />
|-
|Currency
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|USD
|-
|Year since incorporation
|13
|14
|15
|16
|17
|-
|Net outflow from operating activities
|(2,082,803)
|(5,513,085)
|(5,707,802)
|(3,098,495)
|(941,506)
|-
| colspan="6" |Cash flows from investing activities
|-
|Interest received
|6,858
|25,781
|25,881
|4,295
|42,674
|-
|Funds used for drilling, exploration and leases
|(10,679,594)
|(10,579,750)
|(1,591,591)
|(24,973,399)
|(45,267,175)
|-
|Developed oil & gas assets
|(495,183)
|(523,934)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Decommissioning Provision (Exploration & Evaluation)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|676,464
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Decommissioning Provision (Developed Oil & Gas Assets)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|409,400
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Advance for Performance Bond
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(2,400,000)
|-
|Property, plant and equipment
|208,682
|(312,637)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(3,368)
|-
|Acquisition of a subsidiary (Great Bear), net of cash acquired
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(6,098,215)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Acquisition of a subsidiary, (Vision Resources LLC) net of cash acquired
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|1,920
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Disposal
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(1,134)
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|-
|Net cash outflow from investing activities
|(10,959,237)
|(16,400,971)
|(1,566,844)
|(24,969,105)
|(47,627,869)
|-
| colspan="6" |Cash flows from financing activities
|-
|Proceeds from share issues
|12,596,484
|21,259,057
|10,816,383
|30,181,084
|46,739,796
|-
|Issue costs paid in cash
|(537,360)
|(890,304)
|(571,364)
|(1,197,275)
|(994,694)
|-
|Proceeds from Convertible Bond
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|55,000,000
|-
|Repayment of borrowing and leasing liabilities
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-</nowiki>
|(21,394)
|(55,698)
|(55,083)
|-
|Net cash inflow from financing activities
|12,059,124
|20,368,753
|10,223,625
|28,928,111
|100,690,020
|-
|Increase in cash & cash equivalents
|(982,916)
|(1,545,304)
|2,948,979
|860,511
|52,120,645
|-
|Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the year
|4,382,206
|3,399,290
|1,853,986
|4,802,965
|5,663,476
|-
|Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year
|3,399,290
|1,853,986
|4,802,965
|5,663,476
|57,784,121
|}
 
== Risks ==
As with any investment, investing in Pantheon Resources Plc carries a level of risk. Overall, based on the Pantheon Resources Plc's adjusted beta (i.e. 0.55)<ref name=":4">Research shows that an investment has two main types of risks: 1) non-systematic and 2) systematic. Systematic risk is the risk related to the overall market, and non-systematic risk is the risk that's specific to an individual investment. Evidence shows that taking on non-systematic risk is inefficient, and it's, therefore, best to eliminate it; and in most cases, elimination is fairy easy to do [by holding a diversified portfolio of investments (i.e. around 15 investments)]. Accordingly, when assessing the riskiness of an investment, it’s best to look at the systematic risk only (i.e. ignore the non-systematic risk). A key measure of systematic risk is beta, and a main way to determine the riskiness of an investment is to compare the beta of the investment with the beta of the market, which is 1. For estimating an asset's beta, in terms of time period, and frequency of observations, the most common choice is five years of monthly data, yielding 60 observations. One study of U.S. stocks found support for five years of monthly data over alternatives. The beta value in a future period has been found to be on average closer to the mean value of 1.0, the beta of an average-systematic-risk security, than to the value of the raw beta. Because valuation is forward looking, it is logical to adjust the raw beta so it more accurately predicts a future beta.</ref>, the degree of risk associated with an investment in Pantheon Resources Plc is 'medium'.
 
Here, to estimate the adjusted beta, we used the iShares MSCI World ETF to represent the market portfolio; and in terms of the time period and frequency of observations, we used five years of monthly data (i.e. 60 observations in total), which is supported by a study and is the most common choice. The beta value in a future period has been found to be on average closer to the mean value of 1.0, and because valuation is forward-looking, it is logical to adjust the raw beta so it more/most accurately predicts a future beta. In addition, here, we have assumed that for an investment to be considered 'medium' risk, it must have a beta value of between 0.5 and 1.5. Further information about the beta ratings can be found in the appendix section of this report.
 
The key risks can be found below. For us, currently, the biggest risk to the valuation of the company relates to the ability to adequately source sufficient funding to meet the company’s working capital requirements (i.e. liquidity risk).
 
# '''Liquidity Risk:''' The primary liquidity risk is the ability to adequately source sufficient funding to meet the company’s working capital requirements. Funding availability, and hence risk, within the capital markets remains volatile.<ref name=":3" />
# '''Oil & Gas Price Risk:''' Future oil and gas sales revenues are subject to the volatility of the underlying commodity prices throughout the year. Over the past year the energy sector has been impacted by volatility in commodity prices, which may continue to impact the group going forward.<ref name=":3" />
# '''Currency Risk:''' Most capital expenditures for the year (and future years), as well as possible future operational revenues from oil sales were or will be denominated in US dollars. The group keeps the majority of its cash resources denominated in US dollars to minimise volatility and foreign currency risk.<ref name=":3" />
# '''Credit Risk:''' The group’s credit risk is primarily attributable to its cash balances. The credit risk on liquid funds is limited because the third parties are large banks with a minimum investment grade credit rating. The group’s total credit risk amounts to the total of other receivables and cash and cash equivalents.<ref name=":3" />
# '''Lease Obligations:''' The group leases properties for oil and gas exploration, requiring annual payments. Any default can lead to lease termination, which would adversely impact business and financial operations. Pantheon has actively participated in annual lease sales and secured 40,000 leases in November 2022. These leases have a 10-year life and favorable terms.<ref name=":3" />
# '''Lease Renewal:''' Leases may be terminated if the group fails to meet specific obligations, like timely exploration. Not renewing these leases can significantly harm the business. However, the group has obtained unitisation for certain projects to possibly extend their initial lease term.<ref name=":3" />
# '''Licensing and Permissions:''' The group needs various approvals for developing their leases. Failure to obtain these permissions can hamper the group's ability to operate. To counter this, the group employs personnel experienced in navigating regulatory requirements.<ref name=":3" />
# '''Political and Regulatory Changes:''' Changes in the political environment, particularly in the Northern Slope Borough, Alaska, and the U.S., can adversely affect operations. New regulations or stricter enforcement of current ones can pose challenges. However, Pantheon's projects are on state lands, thus less affected by federal policy changes.<ref name=":3" />
# '''Legal Proceedings:''' The group might face legal challenges that can be costly and can damage its reputation. They engage with legal counsel proactively to mitigate potential risks.<ref name=":3" />
# '''Relationships with Stakeholders:''' The oil and gas sector often faces scrutiny. Failure to manage relationships with communities and environmental groups might adversely affect the group’s reputation and operations. The group endeavors to conduct operations responsibly and legally.<ref name=":3" />
# '''Regulatory Changes:''' Amendments to existing laws regarding oil and gas exploration could adversely affect the group's business. They continuously monitor potential regulatory shifts and maintain relationships with regulatory agencies.<ref name=":3" />
# '''Supply Chain Disruptions:''' Global events, like the Covid-19 pandemic and the Russia/Ukraine conflict, have affected the supply chain and caused inflation. The group plans its operations meticulously and orders equipment in advance to minimise disruptions.<ref name=":3" />
 
== Valuation ==
 
=== Absolute Valuation  ===
 
==== What's the expected return of an investment in the company? ====
The Stockhub users estimate that the expected return of an investment in the company over the next five years is ccc%, which equates to an annual return of ccc%. In other words, an £1,000 investment in the company is expected to return £ccc in five years time. The assumptions used to estimate the return figure can be found in the table below.
 
Assuming that a suitable return level over five years is ccc% per year or less, and Pantheon Resources achieves its expected return level (of ccc%), then an investment in the company is considered to be an 'suitable' one.
{| class="wikitable"
|+Net present values of core company projects
!Project
!Net present value ($million)
!Comment
|-
|Greater Alkaid
|$595 million<ref>chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/<nowiki>http://www.pantheonresources.com/investors/presentations/645-investor-presentation-january-2020/file</nowiki></ref>
|
|-
|Talitha
|N/A
|
|-
|Theta West
|N/A
|
|-
|Total
|$595 million
|
|}
 
==== What are the assumptions used to estimate the return? ====
ccc
 
==== Sensitivity analysis ====
The main inputs that result in the greatest change in the expected return of the Pantheon Resources investment are, in order of importance (from highest to lowest):
 
# The size of the total addressable market (the default size is $ccc);
# Pantheon Resources peak market share (the default share is ccc%); and
# The discount rate (the default time-weighted average rate is ccc%).
 
The impact of a 50% change in those main inputs to the expected return of the Pantheon Resources investment is shown in the table below.
 
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|+Pantheon Resources investment expected return sensitivity analysis
!Main input
!50% worse
!Unchanged
!50% better
|-
|The discount rate
|ccc%
|ccc%
|ccc%
|-
|The size of the total addressable market
|ccc%
|ccc%
|ccc%
|-
|Pantheon Resources peak market share
|ccc%
|ccc%
|ccc%
|}
 
== Appendix ==
 
=== Cost of equity ===
{| class="wikitable"
|+Cost of equity
!Input
!Input value
!Additional information
|-
|Risk-free rate (%)
|4.297%
|Here, the risk free rate is the US 30 year treasury bond, and is calculated as at 3rd September 2023. Research suggests that for the risk-free rate, it's best to use one that has the same or similar maturity to the estimated remaining lifespan of the company. Here, we have assumed that the estimated lifespan of the company is 30 years years or longer, so we have used the longest maturity, which is 30 years.
|-
|Beta
|0.5508
|Here, to estimate the adjusted beta, we used the iShares MSCI World ETF to represent the market portfolio; and in terms of the time period and frequency of observations, we used five years of monthly data (i.e. 60 observations in total), which is supported by a study and is the most common choice. The beta value in a future period has been found to be on average closer to the mean value of 1.0, and because valuation is forward-looking, it is logical to adjust the raw beta so it more/most accurately predicts a future beta.
|-
|Equity risk premium (%)
|7.98%
|Research suggests that for the region of equity risk premium, it's best to use one that is the same or similar to the region of the beta market portfolio. Here, the region of the beta market portfolio is the world/global, so we have used the world/global region for the equity risk premium, and is calculated as at 5th January 2023.
|-
|Cost of equity (%)
|8.69%
|Cost of equity = Risk-free rate + Beta x Equity risk premium.
|}
 
=== Relative valuation ===
As noted earlier in this report, research suggests that in terms of estimating the expected return of an investment over a period of 12-months or more, the approach that is more accurate is the discounted cash flow approach, so that's the approach that Stockhub suggests using to determine the estimated value of the company (the valuation based on the discounted cash flow approach can be found in the valuation section of this report); nevertheless, for completeness purposes, separately, the valuation of the company is also estimated using the relative valuation approach.
 
==== What's the expected return of an investment in Pantheon Resources using the relative valuation approach? ====
Stockhub estimates that the expected return of an investment in Pantheon Resources over the next 12-months is 185%. In other words, an £1,000 investment in the company is expected to return £2,849 in one year time. The assumptions used to estimate the return figure can be found in the table below.
 
==== What are the assumptions used to estimate the return figure? ====
ccc
 
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+Key inputs
!Description
!Value
!Commentary
|-
|Which type of multiple do you want to use?
|Price-to-book value
|The price-to-book value is really the only available commonly used value, so we suggest using that.
|-
|In regards to the price-to-book value multiple, for the book value figure, which year to you want to use?
|Year 1
|Research suggests that when using the relative valuation approach, it's best to use a time period of 12 months or less. Accordingly, for the book value figure, we suggest using Year 1, which is on 12th September 2024.
|-
|In regards to the price-to-book value multipl, what multiple figure do you want to use?
|1.54x
|Here, we suggest using a multiple of 1.54x, which is in-line with the multiples of Pantheon Resources's peers (for details on the peers can be found in the table below).
|-
|What is the estimated compound annual growth rate of the book value between one year from now and the most recent value?
|46.37%
|One year from now is 12th September 2024, and the most recent book value date is 31st December 2022. For simplicity, we based the estimate on the CAGR of Pantheon Resources over the last five years, which is 46.37%. The most recent value is $248,178,354 (as at 31st December 2022).
|-
|What's the current market capitalisation of the company?
|£205.44 million
|As at 12th September 2023, the market capitalisation of Pantheon Resources Plc is £205.44 million.
|-
|Which time period do you want to use to estimate the expected return?
|Between now and one year time
|Research suggests that when using the relative valuation approach, it's best to estimate the expected return of the company between now and one year time.
|-
|What's the FX rate?
|$1.25
|The current FX rate of GBPUSD is $1.25.
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Peers analysis
!
!Market capitalisation (local)
!Cash
!Debt
!Enterprise value
!Proved reserves
!Probable reserves
!Possible reserves
!EV/Proved Reserves
!EV/Proved + Probable Reserves
!EV/Proved + Probable + Possible Reserves
|-
|Pantheon Resources Plc
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|88 Energy Limited
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Brookside Energy Limited
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Diversified Gas & Oil PLC
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|ConocoPhillips
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Local peers - BICS Best Fit (Algorithm)
!Name
!Ticker
!2Y Corr
!Mkt Cap (USD)
!BF P/E
!BF EV/EBITDA
!BF EV/EBIT
!BF EV/Rev
!LF P/BV
|-
|Pantheon Resources  PLC
|PANR LN
|
|248763255.1
| --
| --
| --
| --
|0.8599
|-
|EnQuest PLC
|ENQ LN
|0.2638
|342484769.1
|1.3755
|1.4467
|2.0561
|0.9302
|0.7375
|-
|Harbour Energy PLC
|HBR LN
|0.2596
|2362103778
|6.4952
|0.9316
|1.8074
|0.6763
|1.6824
|-
|Serica Energy PLC
|SQZ LN
|0.223
|1227222775
| --
| --
| --
| --
|1.7056
|-
|Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd
|GKP LN
|0.2189
|250637412.4
|2.1706
|0.9949
|1.756
|0.6632
|0.453
|-
|OKEA ASA
|OKEA NO
|0.2091
|372011265.3
|3.0588
|0.3939
|0.5296
|0.2736
|1.8361
|-
|BLUENORD ASA
|BNOR NO
|0.2079
|1243069610
|7.3107
|2.866
|3.71
|1.9001
|1.7456
|-
|Tullow Oil PLC
|TLW LN
|0.1981
|666476192.9
|2.2878
|2.685
|3.7652
|2.0689
| --
|-
|DNO ASA
|DNO NO
|0.1976
|921463861.7
|5.3441
|1.3689
|1.9461
|0.8614
|0.7003
|-
|Genel Energy Plc
|GENL LN
|0.1923
|287304379.2
|0.4852
|1.2792
|9.3474
|0.8072
|0.6281
|-
|Capricorn Energy PLC
|CNE LN
|0.0962
|283070688.1
| --
| --
| --
| --
|0.2424
|-
| colspan="3" |Mean   (Including PANR LN)
|745873453.2
|4.0061
|1.4958
|3.1147
|1.0226
|1.0214
|-
| colspan="4" |Current Premium to Comps Mean
| --
| --
| --
| --
| -15.8058
|}
 
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+North America peers - BICS Best Fit (Algorithm)
!Name
!Ticker
!2Y Corr
!Mkt Cap (USD)
!BF P/E
!BF EV/EBITDA
!BF EV/EBIT
!BF EV/Rev
!LF P/BV
|-
|Pantheon Resources  PLC
|PANR LN
|
|249401660.5
| --
| --
| --
| --
|0.8621
|-
|Bonterra Energy  Corp
|BNE CN
|0.2145
|201202900.1
|5.7932
| --
| --
|5.3528
|0.5485
|-
|Canacol Energy Ltd
|CNE CN
|0.2055
|291229291.5
|4.4749
|3.991
|6.2457
|2.7131
|0.8688
|-
|Journey Energy Inc
|JOY CN
|0.1826
|250649018.6
|10.0903
|3.2022
| --
| --
|1.1123
|-
|Gran Tierra Energy Inc
|GTE US
|0.1772
|242916614
|3.0209
|1.6716
|2.4108
|1.0112
|0.5344
|-
|Reconnaissance Energy Africa L
|RECO CN
|0.1628
|201636539
| --
| --
| --
| --
|3.7743
|-
|Evolution Petroleum Corp
|EPM US
|0.1535
|298752800.3
|9.5026
|5.339
|5.8633
|2.5077
|3.1245
|-
|Alvopetro Energy Ltd/CA
|ALV CN
|0.149
|258641189.1
|5.3166
| --
|5.022
|3.4221
|2.8451
|-
|Amplify Energy Corp
|AMPY US
|0.1002
|277732974.3
|1.8069
|4.1816
|6.8549
|1.2493
|0.7737
|-
|CGX Energy Inc
|OYL CN
|0.099
|239180966.5
| --
| --
| --
| --
|4.342
|-
|Global Tech Industries Group I
|GTII US
|0.0407
|290690567.5
| --
| --
| --
| --
|24.9919
|-
|Mean
|
|
|254730411.1
|4.407
|3.991
|5.6339
|2.3821
|1.4639
|-
|Current Premium to  Comps Mean
|
|
|
| --
| --
| --
| --
| -41.1063
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+Global peers - Global Industry Classification Standard
!Name
!Ticker
!2Y Corr
!Mkt Cap (USD)
!BF P/E
!BF EV/EBITDA
!BF EV/EBIT
!BF EV/Rev
!LF P/BV
|-
|Pantheon Resources  PLC
|PANR LN
|
|248743297.3
| --
| --
| --
| --
|0.8599
|-
|Jadestone Energy PLC
|JSE LN
|0.2226
|256103808.5
|12.1425
|0.8699
|1.7002
|0.3279
|1.7301
|-
|Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd
|GKP LN
|0.2189
|250617304.2
|2.1706
|0.9949
|1.756
|0.6632
|0.4529
|-
|Genel Energy Plc
|GENL LN
|0.1924
|287281329.3
|0.4852
|1.2792
|9.3474
|0.8072
|0.6281
|-
|Journey Energy Inc
|JOY CN
|0.1826
|250722843.5
|10.0903
|3.2022
| --
| --
|1.1123
|-
|Gran Tierra Energy Inc
|GTE US
|0.1772
|242916614
|3.0209
|1.6716
|2.4108
|1.0112
|0.5344
|-
|Alvopetro Energy Ltd/CA
|ALV CN
|0.149
|258717367.9
|5.3166
| --
|5.022
|3.4221
|2.8451
|-
|Touchstone Exploration Inc
|TXP CN
|0.1276
|199349168.4
|16.338
|3.3236
|5.7614
|2.0963
|2.5903
|-
|La Francaise De L'energie SACA
|FDE FP
|0.1153
|227020391.8
|11.7018
|7.3477
|9.0049
|4.3978
|2.8113
|-
|Amplify Energy Corp
|AMPY US
|0.1002
|277732974.3
|1.8069
|4.1816
|6.8549
|1.2493
|0.7737
|-
|CGX Energy Inc
|OYL CN
|0.099
|239251413.6
| --
| --
| --
| --
|4.342
|-
|Capricorn Energy PLC
|CNE LN
|0.0962
|283047977.8
| --
| --
| --
| --
|0.2423
|-
|Coelacanth Energy Inc
|CEI CN
|0.0954
|260548386.6
| --
| --
| --
| --
|3.7122
|-
|Kistos Holdings PLC
|KIST LN
|0.0891
|253019056.7
| --
| --
| --
| --
|2.2992
|-
|Cohen Development Gas & Oil Lt
|CDEV IT
|0.0795
|211048552.1
| --
| --
| --
| --
|6.5187
|-
|Hindustan Oil Exploration Co L
|HOE IN
|0.0428
|255827680.6
| --
| --
| --
| --
|2.2394
|-
| colspan="3" |Mean   (Including PANR LN)
|250121760.4
|9.0748
|2.7631
|5.3661
|2.0603
|1.4934
|-
| colspan="4" |Current Premium to Comps Mean
| --
| --
| --
| --
| -42.4215
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+North America - Global Industry Classification Standard
!Name
!Ticker
!2Y Corr
!Mkt Cap (USD)
!BF P/E
!BF EV/EBITDA
!BF EV/EBIT
!BF EV/Rev
!LF P/BV
|-
|Pantheon Resources  PLC
|PANR LN
|
|248743297.3
| --
| --
| --
| --
|0.8599
|-
|Saturn Oil & Gas  Inc
|SOIL CN
|0.2403
|289188348.4
|1.6041
|0.8074
| --
|0.6336
|0.6728
|-
|Bonterra Energy Corp
|BNE CN
|0.2145
|201232526.3
|5.7932
| --
| --
|5.3528
|0.5485
|-
|Canacol Energy Ltd
|CNE CN
|0.2055
|291272173.8
|4.4749
|3.991
|6.2457
|2.7131
|0.8688
|-
|Journey Energy Inc
|JOY CN
|0.1826
|250685925.6
|10.0903
|3.2022
| --
| --
|1.1123
|-
|Gran Tierra Energy Inc
|GTE US
|0.1772
|242916614
|3.0209
|1.6716
|2.4108
|1.0112
|0.5344
|-
|Reconnaissance Energy Africa L
|RECO CN
|0.1628
|201666229.1
| --
| --
| --
| --
|3.7743
|-
|Evolution Petroleum Corp
|EPM US
|0.1535
|298752800.3
|9.5026
|5.339
|5.8633
|2.5077
|3.1245
|-
|Alvopetro Energy Ltd/CA
|ALV CN
|0.149
|258679272.9
|5.3166
| --
|5.022
|3.4221
|2.8451
|-
|Lucero Energy Corp
|LOU CN
|0.132
|324574582.1
|6.5686
|2.2905
|4.647
|1.4365
|0.9152
|-
|Touchstone Exploration Inc
|TXP CN
|0.1276
|199319815.1
|16.338
|3.3236
|5.7614
|2.0963
|2.5903
|-
|Amplify Energy Corp
|AMPY US
|0.1002
|277732974.3
|1.8069
|4.1816
|6.8549
|1.2493
|0.7737
|-
|CGX Energy Inc
|OYL CN
|0.099
|239216184.9
| --
| --
| --
| --
|4.342
|-
|Coelacanth Energy Inc
|CEI CN
|0.0954
|260510022
| --
| --
| --
| --
|3.7122
|-
|San Juan Basin Royalty Trust
|SJT US
|0.08
|309016317.5
| --
| --
| --
| --
|81.0503
|-
|Empire Petroleum Corp
|EP US
|0.0627
|181790240
| --
| --
| --
| --
|9.6501
|-
|Mean   (Including PANR LN)
|
|
|254706082.7
|8.384
|2.7073
|5.6339
|1.945
|1.5358
|-
|Current Premium to Comps Mean
|
|
|
| --
| --
| --
| --
| -44.0125
|}
 
==== Sensitivity analysis ====
The main inputs that result in the greatest change in the expected return of the Pantheon Resources investment are, in order of importance (from highest to lowest):
 
# The compound annual growth rate of the Pantheon Resources book value (the default figure is 46.37%);
# The price-to-book value multiple (the default multiple 1.57x); and
# Pantheon Resources most recent book value figure (the default figure is $248,178,354, or £198,542,683 at the current exchange rate of $1.25).
 
The impact of a 50% change in those main inputs to the expected return of the Pantheon Resources investment is shown in the table below.
 
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|+Pantheon Resources investment expected return sensitivity analysis
!Main input
!50% worse
!Unchanged
!50% better
|-
|The compound annual growth rate of the Pantheon Resources book value between one year ahead and the most recent value
|113%
|185%
|266%
|-
|The price-to-book value multiple
|42%
|185%
|327%
|-
|Pantheon Resources most recent book value figure
|42%
|185%
|327%
|}
 
=== Significant holdings ===
{| class="wikitable"
|+Significant holdings as of 15th June 2023<ref>As of 23 June 2022, CHONS LLC was the registered holder of 38,068,993 shares, representing 4.95% of the share capital of the Company.  These shares were held through one or more nominees accounts which may or may not be wholly in the top shareholder list presented above.  Pantheon has been advised by Farallon Capital Management LLC, the discretionary investment manager of CHONS LLC that it qualifies for an investment manager exemption pursuant to DTR 5.1.5 R (1)(a) in the FCA Rules. The practical effect of the investment manager exemption is that, where a person is acting as investment manager to another person, the applicable disclosure thresholds under the DTRs are only at 5%, 10% and 1% increments above 10%. Accordingly, the referenced shareholdings are subject to change without additional notification and therefore cannot be considered accurate apart from on the referenced date.
 
On 3 August 2021, Mr Michael Spencer and IPGL Limited advised they were the registered holder of 25,888,710 shares representing 3.7% of the share capital of Pantheon on that date, and were the holder of 7,816,200 Financial instruments of similar economic effect, representing 1.13% of the registered share capital of Pantheon at that time. These shares were held through one or more nominees accounts which may or may not be wholly in the top shareholder list presented above. The referenced shareholdings are only considered accurate on the referenced data and are not expected to be updated until the next reporting threshold (higher or lower) is crossed.
 
On 1 April 2022, Mr Sanjay Motwani notified of a direct holding in 3,271,788 ordinary shares and an indirect holding in 19,851,474 ordinary shares, collectively  representing 3.05% of the share capital of Pantheon on that date. These shares were held through one or more nominees accounts which may or may not be wholly in the top shareholder list presented above. The referenced shareholding(s) are only considered accurate on the referenced data and are not expected to be updated until the next reporting threshold (higher or lower) is crossed.  </ref><ref>https://www.pantheonresources.com/investors/significant-holdings</ref>
!               
!Number of Ordinary Shares
!% of Share Capital
|-
|Vidacos Nominees Limited
|100,084,318
|11.34
|-
|Interactive Brokers LLC
|80,121,067
|9.08
|-
|Lynchwood Nominees Limited
|67,134,041
|7.60
|-
|Vidacos Nominees Limited
|38,521,840
|4.36
|-
|Vidacos Nominees Limited
|34,549,659
|3.91
|-
|Barnard Nominees Limited
|29,352,283
|3.32
|-
|Barnard Nominees Limited
|27,714,204
|3.14
|}


=== Capital structure ===
=== Capital structure ===
The Company has 919,111,769 ordinary fully paid shares in issue.<ref name=":12" /> The number of ordinary shares not in public hands amounts to 6,956,691<ref name=":5">https://www.pantheonresources.com/investors/capital-structure</ref>, equivalent to 0.76% of the issued allotted and fully paid ordinary shares.<ref>The calculation here is 6,956,691 divided by 919,111,769.</ref>
The Company has 907,206,399 ordinary fully paid shares in issue.<ref name=":5">https://www.pantheonresources.com/investors/capital-structure</ref>  
 
The number of ordinary shares not in public hands amounts to 6,956,691 equivalent to 0.9% of the issued allotted and fully paid ordinary shares.<ref name=":5" />
 
This is correct as of 21 June 2023.
 
==== Share options ====
==== Share options ====
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
Line 2,770: Line 1,378:
|-
|-
|PSDM
|PSDM
|Pre-stack depth <abbr>migration</abbr>. A seismic processing technique which utilises rock velocity models to iteratively arrive at a depth converted seismic data volume.
|Pre-stack depth <abbr>migration</abbr>. A seismic processing technique which utilizes rock velocity models to iteratively arrive at a depth converted seismic data volume.
|-
|-
|PSTM
|PSTM
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