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Sea Limited was built in the success and currently relying on its digital entertainment brand, Garena. The company was the first to acquire licenses to distribute third-party, extremely popular video games to a massive geographical region. They were therefore much anticipated and Garena automatically established a monopoly in the market. However, the company's investments didn't only focus on distributing third-party games, as Garena has published many original games such as Free Fire, which was the most downloaded mobile game worldwide in 2019 and 2020 and continues to be a major revenue stream.<ref>Sea Limited Stock: This Digital Ecosystem Still Has Upside (NYSE:SE) | Seeking Alpha</ref>
Sea Limited was built in the success and currently relying on its digital entertainment brand, Garena. The company was the first to acquire licenses to distribute third-party, extremely popular video games to a massive geographical region. They were therefore much anticipated and Garena automatically established a monopoly in the market. However, the company's investments didn't only focus on distributing third-party games, as Garena has published many original games such as Free Fire, which was the most downloaded mobile game worldwide in 2019 and 2020 and continues to be a major revenue stream.<ref>Sea Limited Stock: This Digital Ecosystem Still Has Upside (NYSE:SE) | Seeking Alpha</ref>


Another notable investment was in subsidies to local express delivery services that led to rapid development of the industry. Until Shopee's emergence in 2017, delivery in Southeast Asia was very expensive and slow, ranging from a week for e-commerce purchases to a year for international parcels. With this investment, Shopee managed to provide delivery of 1-3 days and even offered free shipping, attracting an extensive amount of customers and led users to order via the platform even if they had originally seen the product advertised in other e-commerce companies.<ref>Here’s how Lazada lost its lead to Shopee in Southeast Asia (Part 2 of 2) | KrASIA (kr-asia.com)</ref>
Another notable investment was in subsidies


==== Innovation ====
==== Innovation ====
Line 29: Line 29:


=== Subsidiaries ===
=== Subsidiaries ===
Sea Limited, as mentioned, owns several subsidiaries including the digital entertainment company Garena, the e-commerce platform Shopee and the digital financial services company SeaMoney, therefore operating in 3 different markets. <ref>[https://www.sea.com/products/garena https://www.sea.com/products/]</ref>
Sea Limited, as mentioned, owns several subsidiaries including the digital entertainment company Garena, the e-commerce platform Shopee and the digital financial services company SeaMoney, therefore operating in 3 different markets. <ref>https://www.sea.com/products/garena</ref>


==== Garena ====
==== Garena ====
Garena is a renowned digital entertainment firm that is associated with the Sea Limited group. Garena, which was established in 2009, has quickly evolved to establish itself as a prominent participant in the gaming business throughout Southeast Asia as well as other countries. Garena is most recognized for creating and releasing captivating multiplayer games online for a wide range of users.


==== Shopee ====
==== Shopee ====
Shopee is a platform for e-commerce in the holdings of Sea Limited. Shopee, which was founded in 2015, has quickly grown to become one of the major marketplaces for online products and services in Southeast Asia along with additional regions.  It offers a wide choice of items and services to consumers, as well as novel functions to improve the shopping experience while online.


==== SeaMoney ====
==== SeaMoney ====
SeaMoney is Sea Limited's electronic monetary services subsidiary, focused on offering unique financial assistance and products to individuals and companies throughout Southeast Asia. SeaMoney, which was founded to improve financial stability and convenience, has quickly risen to become a major participant in the region's electronic finance environment.


=== Segments of operation ===
=== Segments of operation ===


=== Main streams of income ===
=== Main streams of income ===
==== Garena ====
Garena's primary income stems from various strategies linked to its online gaming platform:
* In-Game Purchases: Garena's primary revenue stream arises from the in-game purchases. Gamers can purchase several features such as virtual items, skins, upgrades, and other in-game content using real money. These transactions enhance the gaming experience and allow players to personalize their gameplay.
* Gaming Currency: Garena introduces its gaming currency, such as Garena Shells, purchasable by the aid of actual currency. These shells can then be employed to obtain in-game items across different games accessible on the platform.
* Esports and Tournaments: Garena orchestrates esports tournaments and competitions for its games. Revenue is generated through sponsorships, ticket sales for live events, merchandise transactions, and broadcasting rights.
==== Shopee ====
Shopee generates its core revenue primarily through its e-commerce platform and related services:
* Seller Fees: Shopee imposes charges on sellers for each transaction conducted on the platform. These charges are typically calculated as a percentage of the transaction's value.
* Marketing and Promotions: Sellers have the option to utilize advertising and promotional functionalities on the platform to augment the visibility of their products. This action results in revenue accrual for Shopee.
* Value-Added Offerings: Shopee provides supplementary services to sellers, encompassing premium store subscriptions, enhanced product listings, and fulfillment services. These provisions come at a certain expense and contribute to the overall revenue stream.
'''SeaMoney'''
SeaMoney garners its key revenue through digital financial services and transactions:
* Funds Transfer Fees: SeaMoney generates income by imposing fees on various financial services, including money transfers, bill payments, and other digital transactions conducted through its platform.
* Revenue from Financial Services: SeaMoney presents microloans and insurance products to individuals and small enterprises. The interest and charges tied to these offerings constitute a substantial portion of its revenue.
* Mobile Wallet Charges: SeaMoney may levy charges for specific services within its mobile wallet platform, such as currency conversion or withdrawal fees.


== Corporate Governance ==
== Corporate Governance ==


=== The Team ===
=== The Team ===
==== Forrest Li - Chairman and Group CEO ====
Forrest Li has been the founder, chairman, and group CEO since Sea Limited's establishment in 2009. He's a board member of the Singapore Economic Development Board, an independent non-executive director of Shangri-La Asia Limited, and part of the National University of Singapore's board of trustees. He's also on Stanford University’s Graduate School of Business advisory council. Li holds an M.B.A. from Stanford University and a bachelor’s degree in Engineering from Shanghai Jiaotong University.
==== Gang Ye - Group Chief Operating Officer ====
Gang Ye is Sea Limited's co-founder and has been on theboard since March 2010. He's been the COO since January 2017, having previously held the role of CTO from March 2010 to December 2016. Prior, he worked at Wilmar International and Singapore's Economic Development Board. Ye holds B.S. degrees in Computer Science and Economics from Carnegie Mellon University.
==== Chris Feng - Group President ====
Chris Feng became part of Sea Limited in March 2014 and has been Group President since January 2022. Earlier, he was CEO of Shopee starting from July 2015 and held the position of CEO of SeaMoney from March 2020. He was also previously the head of mobile business. Feng gained experience at Rocket Internet SE, managing Zalora and Lazada, as well as at McKinsey & Company. He holds a first-class honours bachelor's degree in Computer Science from the National University of Singapore.
==== Tony Hou - Group Chief Financial Officer ====
Tony Hou joined Sea Limited in September 2010 and has been the group CFO since January 2013. Before this, he was the company's financial controller. He brought experience from Ernst & Young, where he worked from October 2000 to September 2010 in China and the U.S. Hou is a non-practicing U.S. Certified Public Accountant and a non-practicing member of the Chinese Institute of Certified Public Accountants. He holds an M.B.A. from the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business and a bachelor’s degree in Accounting from Fudan University.
==== Terry Zhao - President, Garena ====
Terry Zhao has been part of Sea Limited since its start in 2009 and has been Garena's President since November 2018. Before this, he held various senior positions in our digital entertainment business across key markets. Zhao holds a first-class honors bachelor's degree in Computer Engineering from Nanyang Technological University.
==== Yanjun Wang - Group Chief Corporate Officer ====
Yanjun Wang holds the roles of group chief corporate officer, group general counsel, and company secretary. Since May 2019, she has been group chief corporate officer, since November 2017, the company secretary, and since March 2014, the group general counsel. Before joining Sea Limited, she practiced law at Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Kirkland & Ellis. Wang is a qualified lawyer in the State of New York and holds a J.D. degree from Harvard Law School and a B.A. degree in Economics from Harvard University.
==== David Chen - Chief Product Officer, Shopee ====
David Chen, also a co-founder, currently holds the role of Shopee's chief product officer. He was previously group chief of staff from January 2017 to December 2019, and prior to that, group chief operating officer from May 2009 to December 2016. Chen also has a background at PSA Corporation Limited. He graduated with a first-class honors bachelor’s degree in Computer Engineering from the National University of Singapore.


=== Ownership Structure ===
=== Ownership Structure ===
Sea Limited is currently distributed in 566,758,842 shares, valued at $36.85 as of Aug 23, 2023. The majority of shares is owned by institutions, and a complete breakdown is shown in the figure below.
[[File:Share Ownership Breakdown.png|none|thumb|569x569px|Sea Limited's share ownership distribution<ref>Sea Limited Insider Trading & Ownership Structure - Simply Wall St</ref>]]
The top 25 shareholders, as listed below, currently own 67.93% of Sea Limited.<ref>Sea Limited Insider Trading & Ownership Structure - Simply Wall St</ref> The most notable shareholder is Tencent, holding 18.4% of the total shares, a value that was 21.3% until 2021, when Tencent divested $3bn worth of shares to raise funds for other projects.
{| class="wikitable"
!Ownership
!Name
!Shares
!Current Value
|-
|18.4%
|Tencent Holdings Limited
|104,264,743
|US$3.8b
|-
|8.53%
|Xiaodong Li
|48,336,624
|US$1.8b
|-
|7.83%
|Capital Research and Management Company
|44,386,483
|US$1.6b
|-
|5.29%
|Gang Ye
|29,968,937
|US$1.1b
|-
|3.85%
|Baillie Gifford & Co.
|21,795,993
|US$803.2m
|-
|2.91%
|BlackRock, Inc.
|16,515,843
|US$608.6m
|-
|2.75%
|Sands Capital Management, LLC
|15,576,947
|US$574.0m
|-
|2.75%
|FMR LLC
|15,573,573
|US$573.9m
|-
|1.82%
|T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.
|10,307,631
|US$379.8m
|-
|1.8%
|Kerry Group Limited
|10,208,127
|US$376.2m
|-
|1.46%
|Chen Jingye
|8,289,101
|US$305.5m
|-
|1.12%
|State Street Global Advisors, Inc.
|6,373,278
|US$234.9m
|-
|1.03%
|Aspex Management (HK) Limited
|5,846,284
|US$215.4m
|-
|0.9%
|Goldman Sachs Group, Investment Banking and Securities Investments
|5,101,620
|US$188.0m
|-
|0.88%
|Charles-Lim Capital Ltd
|5,000,000
|US$184.3m
|-
|0.81%
|Norges Bank Investment Management
|4,562,488
|US$168.1m
|-
|0.71%
|Artisan Partners Limited Partnership
|4,040,204
|US$148.9m
|-
|0.7%
|JP Morgan Asset Management
|3,972,940
|US$146.4m
|-
|0.69%
|Ward Ferry Management (BVI) Limited
|3,904,986
|US$143.9m
|-
|0.68%
|Kora Management LP
|3,854,500
|US$142.0m
|-
|0.63%
|Temasek Holdings (Private) Limited
|3,564,826
|US$131.4m
|-
|0.61%
|Teachers Insurance and Annuity Association-College Retirement Equities Fund
|3,456,932
|US$127.4m
|-
|0.6%
|Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited
|3,374,004
|US$124.3m
|-
|0.59%
|Tiger Global Management, LLC
|3,371,611
|US$124.2m
|-
|0.59%
|Marshall Wace LLP
|3,338,448
|US$123.0m
|}


== Market ==
== Market ==


=== Total Addressable Market ===
=== Total Addressable Market ===
Sea Limited operates digital entertainment, e-commerce, and digital financial services businesses primarily in Southeast Asia. Its main sector is communication services and within that sector it operates in the interactive home entertainment industry. Its primary markets include Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, and Singapore. 
* Revenue in the Home Entertainment segment reached US$176m in 2022.
* Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2022-2027) of 7.71%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$276m by 2027.


=== Key Market Drivers and opportunities ===
=== Key Market Drivers ===
The main market drivers include GDP/capita, level of digitization, and consumer attitudes toward apps.
 
Moreover non-financial market drivers include the following:
 
* Artificial intelligence and machine learning presents vast opportunities for media and entertainment firms to understand what content, shows, movies and music consumers want.
 
* The upcoming mass 5G rollout in countries such as Singapore and Malaysia, will allow firms to expect more entertainment and gaming innovations such as virtual and augmented reality will be introduced to the market. As such, the demand for hyper-personalised content and immersive entertainment will continue to increase.
 
* With the help of platforms and data analytics technologies, companies can scale their use of data while complying with consumer privacy regulations and reducing their costs. Through data-driven decision-making, companies within the media and entertainment sector can deliver personalised content and experiences, retain customers, grow their business, and build a data-driven future.
 
* This success is fuelled by substantial financial backing from central governments. For example, China plans to build a USD 30 billion fund to ensure they are a world leader in AI by 2030. At the same time, India is making headway with mobile wallets and Progressive Web Applications to streamline in-app experiences (especially for places with slow mobile broadband). Such holistic developments in the infrastructure, which acts as a technical backbone to the market will result in growth opportunities and improved customer retention.


=== Key Market Challenges and Risks ===
=== Key Market Challenges and Risks ===
Some of the main challenges and risks that can affect Sea Limited, as mentioned in their Q2-2023 earnings report include the following.


* Expected changes or guidance in its revenue, costs, or expenditures.
=== Market Share Breakdown ===
* Ability to continue sourcing, developing, and offering new and attractive online games.
* Ability to offer other engaging digital entertainment content.
* Expected growth of its digital entertainment, e-commerce, and digital financial services businesses.
* Expectations regarding growth in its user base, level of engagement, and monetization.
* Ability to continue developing new technologies and upgrading existing technologies.
* Expectations regarding the use of proceeds from financing activities, including follow-on equity offerings and convertible notes offerings.
* Growth and trends of its markets and competition in its industries.
* Government policies and regulations relating to its industries, including effects of government orders or actions on its businesses.
* General economic, political, social, and business conditions in its markets.
* Impact of widespread health developments, including the COVID-19 pandemic, and responses thereto (such as voluntary and mandatory quarantines, shut downs, restrictions on travel and activities, and availability of effective vaccines or treatments).
* Impact of economies reopening further in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.


== Financials ==
== Financials ==
Line 272: Line 62:


==== Most recent quarter ====
==== Most recent quarter ====
Sea Limited released its 2Q23 results in June 2023<ref><nowiki>https://www.sea.com/investor/quarterlyresults</nowiki></ref>, the most notable of which contained in the table below. The company reported just a 5.2% raise in overall revenues, which is mostly due to a 41.1% steep decline in Garena's revenues. The company attributed that to moderation in user engagement and monetization year-on-year, which is likely related to India's ban of Free Fire, Garena's most profitable game, in 2022. Free Fire was the second most downloadable app in India, and had the highest consumer spend.<ref>Free Fire Revenue and Usage Statistics (2023) - Business of Apps</ref> Despite the small increase in overall revenue, the company made a significant cut on operating expenses as it reported a 49.3% decrease in sales and marketing expenses and 23.6% decrease in R&D expenses, which resulted in the company turning profitable after many years of reporting losses.
{| class="wikitable"
!
! colspan="2" |For the Three Months  ended June 30,
!
|-
!
!2022
!2023
!YOY%
|-
|Digital Entertainment Revenue ($thousands)
|900,258
|529,397
| -41.20%
|-
|E-commerce and other services revenue ($thousands)
|1,755,686
|2,322,496
|32.30%
|-
|Sales of goods ($thousands)
|286,655
|243,767
| -15%
|-
|'''Total Revenue ($thousands)'''
|'''2,942,599'''
|'''3,095,660'''
|'''5.20%'''
|-
|'''Gross Profit ($thousands)'''
|'''1,090,218'''
|'''1,450,878'''
|'''33.10%'''
|-
| colspan="2" |'''Operating  expenses'''
|
|
|-
|Sales and marketing ($thousands)
| -973,767
| -493,601
| -49.30%
|-
|General and admin. ($thousands)
| -364,447
| -295,169
| -19%
|-
|Research and development ($thousands)
| -370,926
| -283,297
| -23.60%
|-
|Other ($thousands)
| -3,636,054
| -2,239,132
|
|-
|'''Total operating expenses ($thousands)'''
|'''-1,926,914'''
|'''-1,167,065'''
|'''-39.40%'''
|-
|'''Net income/loss ($thousands)'''
|'''-931,199'''
|'''330,983'''
|'''-135.50%'''
|}


==== Most recent year ====
==== Most recent year ====
The decreasing trend in Garena's revenues was evident from 2022, as the company saw a 10.25% decrease since 2021. However, there is steep growth both in the e-commerce and digital financial services sectors, which seems to become the company's main focus. There was a modest decrease in sales and marketing expenses (14.64%) but increase in administrative and R&D expenses, which led total operating expenses increasing by 21.79%. Nevertheless, the 33.1% increase in gross profit outweighed the higher operating expenses that led to a 18.86% decrease in the net loss.
{| class="wikitable"
!
! colspan="2" |For the fiscal year ended,
!
|-
!
!2021
!2022
!YOY%
|-
|Digital Entertainment  Revenue ($thousands)
|4,320,013
|3,877,163
| -10.25%
|-
|E-commerce  ($thousands)
|5,122,959
|7,288,677
|42.27%
|-
|Digital  Financial Services ($thousands)
|469,774
|1,221,996
|160.12%
|-
|Other services  ($thousands)
|42,444
|61,869
|45.77%
|-
|'''Total Revenue ($thousands)'''
|'''9,955,190'''
|'''12,449,705'''
|'''25.06%'''
|-
|'''Gross Profit ($thousands)'''
|'''3,895,735'''
|'''5,185,277'''
|'''33.10%'''
|-
| colspan="2" |'''Operating  expenses'''
|
|
|-
|Sales and marketing  ($thousands)
| -3,829,743
| -3,269,223
| -14.64%
|-
|General and admin.  ($thousands)
| -987,868
| -1,437,612
|45.53%
|-
|Research and development  ($thousands)
| -831,703
| -1,376,501
|65.50%
|-
|Other ($thousands)
|170,519
| -589,449
| -445.68%
|-
|'''Total operating expenses  ($thousands)'''
|'''-5,478,795'''
|'''-6,672,785'''
|'''21.79%'''
|-
|'''Net income/loss  ($thousands)'''
|'''-2,043,030'''
|'''-1,657,772'''
|'''-18.86%'''
|}


==== Last 5 years ====
==== All periods ====
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
! rowspan="2" |Year
! rowspan="2" |Year
Line 464: Line 109:




Revenues and gross profit are steeply increasing, but after applying operating expenses, the company reports an increasing loss every year. This is attributed to disproportionate increase of operating expenses year by year, which outweigh the increase in revenues.
Sea Limited's great investment in subsidies to local express delivery companies were one of the major operational expenses that kept Shopee, and by extension the entire company from being profitable until 2023.<ref>Here’s how Lazada lost its lead to Shopee in Southeast Asia (Part 2 of 2) | KrASIA (kr-asia.com)</ref> However, based on the most recent results, operational expenses were significantly reduced, Garena's revenues declined, and the most promising and profitable branch is Shopee.




Line 479: Line 120:


==== Method ====
==== Method ====
The forecasted values for revenues and EBITDA were calculated using straight line forecasting. The growth rates used for revenues were retrieved from Yahoo Finance and CIQ as predicted by analysts, and for EBITDA the average growth rate of the previous years was used.


==== Financial Forecasts ====
==== Financial Forecasts ====
{| class="wikitable"
!Year
!2014
!2015
!2016
!2017
!2018
!2019
!2020
!2021
!2022
!2023
!2024
!2025
!2026
!2027
|-
|'''Revenues'''
|160.756
|292.124
|345.67
|414.19
|826.968
|2175.378
|4375.664
|9955.19
|12449.71
|14317.16
|15748.88
|17323.76
|19056.14
|21914.56
|-
|'''EBITDA'''
| -69.3
| -52.1
| -160.3
| -460.5
| -904.9
| -769.6
| -1122.6
| -1304
| -704.2
|514.3483
|565.7832
|622.3615
|684.5976
|787.2873
|}
[[File:Revenuesf.png|none|thumb|576x576px|Revenues Historic (2014-2022) and Forecasted (2023-2027) Values for Sea Limited]]
[[File:EBITDA.png|none|thumb|573x573px|EBITDA Historic (2014-2022) and Forecasted (2023-2027) Values for Sea Limited]]


== Valuation ==
 
A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model was used for Sea Limited's valuation. The yearly revenue growth rate values estimated by Yahoo Finance and CIQ were used to predict revenues until 2027, while for the expenses, the average rates of previous years were used. The full table for the FCF calculation can be found on the Appendix. 
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
!WACC
! rowspan="2" |Year
!LTM
! colspan="3" |Revenue ($thousands)
! colspan="3" |Gross Profit ($thousands)
|-
|-
|'''Weights'''
!Forecast
|
!'''Lower-bound value'''
!'''Upper-bound value'''
!Forecast
!'''Lower-bound value'''
!'''Upper-bound value'''
|-
|-
|Total Debt
|2024
|4262.053
|15,744,835
|13,081,969
|18,407,702
|6,489,624
|5,187,205
|7,792,042
|-
|-
|Market Cap
|2025
|20026
|18,910,452
|16,164,985
|21,655,918
|7,891,384
|6,434,652
|9,348,115
|-
|-
|Total
|2026
|24288.053
|22,076,068
|19,249,784
|24,902,353
|9,293,143
|7,696,416
|10,889,871
|-
|-
|Wd
|2027
|18%
|25,241,685
|22,336,213
|28,147,156
|10,694,903
|8,969,007
|12,420,799
|-
|-
|We
|2028
|82%
|28,407,301
|-
|25,424,142
|
|31,390,460
|
|12,096,663
|-
|10,250,152
|'''Debt'''
|13,943,173
|
|-
|Total Debt
|4262.053
|-
|Interest Expense
| -43.1
|-
|Rate
|1%
|-
|Effective Tax Rate
|5%
|-
|Rd(1-t)
|1.0%
|-
|
|
|-
|'''Equity'''
|
|-
|Risk Free Rate
|4.2%
|-
|Beta
|1.67
|-
|Market Rate
|10%
|-
|Re
|13.9%
|-
|
|
|-
|'''Discount Rate'''
|'''11.60%'''
|-
|'''Perpetuity Growth Rate'''
|'''2.0%'''
|}
{| class="wikitable"
!Terminal Value
!
|-
|'''Perpetuity Growth'''
|
|-
|FCFn
|    1,665.98
|-
|Growth Rate
|2.0%
|-
|WACC
|12%
|-
|PG Terminal Value
|    17,698.7
|-
|
|
|-
|'''Exit Multiple'''
|
|-
|EBITDA
| -
|-
|EV/EBITDA Multiple
| -
|-
|Exit Multiple TV
| -
|-
|
|
|-
|'''Average'''
| '''    17,698.7'''
|}
{| class="wikitable"
!DCF
!
!2023
!2024
!2025
!2026
!2027
!Terminal Value
|-
|FCF
|
|     1,088.4
|     1,197.3
|     1,317.0
|     1,448.7
|     1,666.0
|          17,698.7
|-
|Net Present Value of FCF
|4780.26
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Terminal Value
|        17,698.69
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Present Value of TV
|10223.39
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Enterprise Value
|15003.65
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Net Debt
| -1137.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Equity Value
|16141.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Shares Out
|477
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Equity Value per Share'''
|'''$            33.83'''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Current share price'''
|'''$            35.21'''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Difference'''
| '''-3.9%'''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|}
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="7" |Sensitivity Analysis
|-
| colspan="7" | '''Perpetuity Growth Rate'''
|-
| rowspan="8" |'''WACC'''
|$33.83
|'''1.0%'''
|'''1.5%'''
|'''2.0%'''
|'''2.5%'''
|'''3.0%'''
|-
|'''10.0%'''
|£37.17
|£38.73
|£40.48
|£42.47
|£44.74
|-
|'''10.5%'''
|£35.23
|£36.60
|£38.13
|£39.86
|£41.81
|-
|'''11.0%'''
|£33.49
|£34.70
|£36.05
|£37.55
|£39.24
|-
|'''11.6%'''
|£31.62
|£32.67
|'''£33.83'''
|£35.12
|£36.56
|-
|'''12.0%'''
|£30.48
|£31.45
|£32.50
|£33.67
|£34.97
|-
|'''12.5%'''
|£29.18
|£30.04
|£30.98
|£32.02
|£33.17
|-
|'''13.0%'''
|£27.99
|£28.76
|£29.61
|£30.53
|£31.55
|}
|}
[[File:GProfit.png|none|thumb|736x736px|Gross profit historical (2018-2022) and forecasted (2023-2027) values for Sea Limited]] 
[[File:Revenues.png|none|thumb|726x726px|Revenue historical (2018-2022) and forecasted (2023-2027) values for Sea Limited]]
Revenues and gross profit are steeply increasing, but after applying operating expenses, the company reports an increasing loss every year. This is attributed to disproportionate increase of operating expenses year by year, which outweigh the increase in revenues.
Sea Limited's great investment in subsidies to local express delivery companies were one of the major operational expenses that keep Shopee, and by extension the entire company from being profitable.<ref>Here’s how Lazada lost its lead to Shopee in Southeast Asia (Part 2 of 2) | KrASIA (kr-asia.com)</ref>
== Risk Analysis ==
== Valuation ==


== Appendix ==
== Appendix ==
All data in financial statements were retrieved from Sea Limited's published annual reports since 2017.<ref><nowiki>https://www.sea.com/investor/annualreports</nowiki></ref>


=== Financial statements ===
=== Income Statement ===
 
==== Income Statement ====
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
!'''Year end  date'''
!'''Year end  date'''
Line 916: Line 282:
|'''-988,768'''
|'''-988,768'''
|-
|-
|Interest income/expense and others ($million)
|Interest income/expense and others* ($million)
| -13,025
| -13,025
| -132,124
| -132,124
Line 966: Line 332:
|}
|}


==== Cash Flow Statement ====
=== Cash Flow Statement ===
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|'''Year  end date'''
|'''Year  end date'''
Line 996: Line 362:
|54,902
|54,902
|-
|-
|Other Adjustments ($thousands)
|Other Adjustments ($thousands)*
|1,543,364
|1,543,364
|696,427
|696,427
Line 1,052: Line 418:
|<nowiki>--</nowiki>
|<nowiki>--</nowiki>
|-
|-
|Other Operating Activities ($ thousands)  
|Other Operating Activities ($ thousands) *
|<nowiki>-492,107</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-492,107</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-534,603</nowiki>
|<nowiki>-534,603</nowiki>
Line 1,172: Line 538:
|}
|}


=== Balance Sheet ===




==== Balance Sheet ====
{| class="wikitable sortable"
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|+
|+
Line 1,424: Line 791:
|}
|}


==== Financial Ratios ====
=== Financial Ratios ===
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
!Year End Date
!Year End Date
Line 1,495: Line 862:
| -406%
| -406%
|N/A
|N/A
|}
=== Valuation inputs ===
(Figures in $millions)
{| class="wikitable"
!1.  Income Statement
!2014
!2015
!2016
!2017
!2018
!2019
!2020
!2021
!2022
!2023
!2024
!2025
!2026
!2027
|-
|'''Revenue'''
|160.756
|292.124
|345.67
|414.19
|826.968
|2175.378
|4375.664
|9955.19
|12449.705
|14317
|15749
|17324
|19056
|21915
|-
|% growth
|
|82%
|18%
|20%
|100%
|163%
|101%
|128%
|25%
|15%
|10%
|10%
|10%
|15%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
| '''Cost Of Goods Sold'''
|124.573
|184.298
|232.598
|326.878
|812.21
|1570.458
|3026.759
|6059.455
|7264.428
|8590
|9449
|10394
|11434
|13149
|-
|% of revenue
|77%
|63%
|67%
|79%
|98%
|72%
|69%
|61%
|58%
|60%
|60%
|60%
|60%
|60%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
| '''Gross Profit'''
|36.183
|107.826
|113.072
|87.312
|14.758
|604.92
|1348.905
|3895.735
|5185.277
|5727
|6300
|6930
|7622
|8766
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Selling General & Admin  Exp.'''
|112.958
|174.547
|294.187
|562.92
|940.63
|1355.408
|2430.581
|4817.611
|4706.835
|5441
|5985
|6583
|7241
|8328
|-
|% of revenue
|70%
|60%
|85%
|136%
|114%
|62%
|56%
|48%
|38%
|38%
|38%
|38%
|38%
|38%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Provision for bad debts'''
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
| -
|57.509
|117.427
|513.69
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|-
|% of revenue
|#VALUE!
|#VALUE!
|#VALUE!
|#VALUE!
|#VALUE!
|#VALUE!
|1.3%
|1.2%
|4.1%
|0.0%
|0.0%
|0.0%
|0.0%
|0.0%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''R&D Exp'''
|11.053
|17.732
|20.809
|29.323
|67.529
|156.634
|353.785
|831.703
|1376.501
|1096
|1206
|1326
|1459
|1678
|-
|% of revenue
|7%
|6%
|6%
|7%
|8%
|7%
|8%
|8%
|11%
|8%
|8%
|8%
|8%
|8%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Depreciation & Amort.'''
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|-
|% of revenue
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Other Operating  Expense/(Income)'''
| -0.7
| -3.1
| -2.1
| -3.5
| -9.8
| -15.9
| -189.6
| -287.9
| -279.2
| -228
| -251
| -276
| -303
| -349
|-
|% of revenue
|0%
| -1%
| -1%
| -1%
| -1%
| -1%
| -4%
| -3%
| -2%
| -2%
| -2%
| -2%
| -2%
| -2%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Total Operating Expenses'''
|123.269
|189.216
|312.893
|588.746
|998.36
|1496.152
|2652.23
|5478.795
|6317.842
|5213
|5734
|6307
|6938
|7979
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Operating Income / EBIT'''
| -87.1
| -81.4
| -199.8
| -501.4
| -983.6
| -891.2
| -1303.3
| -1583.1
| -1132.6
|514
|566
|622
|685
|787
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''EBITDA'''
| -69.3
| -52.1
| -160.3
| -460.5
| -904.9
| -769.6
| -1122.6
| -1304
| -704.2
|514
|566
|622
|685
|787
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
| '''Tax Expense'''
|2.521
|11.73
|8.546
|10.745
|4.088
|85.864
|141.64
|332.865
|168.395
|26
|28
|31
|34
|39
|-
|Effective tax rate
| -3%
| -14%
| -4%
| -2%
|0%
| -10%
| -11%
| -21%
| -15%
|5%
|5%
|5%
|5%
|5%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
!2.  Cashflow Statement
!2014
!2015
!2016
!2017
!2018
!2019
!2020
!2021
!2022
!2023
!2024
!2025
!2026
!2027
|-
|'''Depreciation & Amort.'''
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|-
|% of revenue
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Capital Expenditure'''
| -19.3
| -25.8
| -17
| -67.4
| -177.3
| -239.8
| -336.3
| -772.2
| -924.2
| -1778
| -1955
| -2151
| -2366
| -2721
|-
|% of revenue
|12%
|9%
|5%
|16%
|21%
|11%
|8%
|8%
|7%
|12%
|12%
|12%
|12%
|12%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Change in NWC'''
|0
| -4
|19.189
| -158.2
| -198.1
| -606.1
| -831
|3.412
|1163.028
| -2377
| -2615
| -2877
| -3164
| -3639
|-
|% of revenue
|0%
| -1%
|6%
| -38%
| -24%
| -28%
| -19%
|0%
|9%
| -17%
| -17%
| -17%
| -17%
| -17%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
!3. 3SM
!2014
!2015
!2016
!2017
!2018
!2019
!2020
!2021
!2022
!2023
!2024
!2025
!2026
!2027
|-
|'''Revenue'''
|160.756
|292.124
|345.67
|414.19
|826.968
|2175.378
|4375.664
|9955.19
|12450
|14317
|15749
|17324
|19056
|21915
|-
|% growth
|0
|82%
|18%
|20%
|100%
|163%
|101%
|128%
|25%
|15%
|10%
|10%
|10%
|15%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''EBIT'''
| -87
| -81
| -200
| -501
| -984
| -891
| -1303
| -1583
| -1133
|514
|566
|622
|685
|787
|-
|% margin
| -54%
| -28%
| -58%
| -121%
| -119%
| -41%
| -30%
| -16%
| -9%
|4%
|4%
|4%
|4%
|4%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''EBITDA'''
| -87
| -81
| -200
| -501
| -984
| -891
| -1303
| -1583
| -1133
|514
|566
|622
|685
|787
|-
|% margin
| -54%
| -28%
| -58%
| -121%
| -119%
| -41%
| -30%
| -16%
| -9%
|4%
|4%
|4%
|4%
|4%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Taxes'''
|3
|12
|9
|11
|4
|86
|142
|333
|168
|26
|28
|31
|34
|39
|-
|% of EBIT
| -3%
| -14%
| -4%
| -2%
|0%
| -10%
| -11%
| -21%
| -15%
|5%
|5%
|5%
|5%
|5%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''EBIAT'''
| -90
| -93
| -208
| -512
| -988
| -977
| -1445
| -1916
| -1301
|489
|537
|591
|650
|748
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''D&A'''
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|0
|-
|% of revenue
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|0%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Capital Expenditure'''
| -19.3
| -25.8
| -17
| -67.4
| -177.3
| -239.8
| -336.3
| -772.2
| -924.2
| -1777.51097
| -1955.26207
| -2150.78827
| -2365.8671
| -2720.74717
|-
|% of revenue
|12%
|9%
|5%
|16%
|21%
|11%
|8%
|8%
|7%
|12%
|12%
|12%
|12%
|12%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Change in NWC'''
|0
| -4
|19.189
| -158.2
| -198.1
| -606.1
| -831
|3.412
|1163.028
| -2377.29657
| -2615.02623
| -2876.52885
| -3164.18174
| -3638.809
|-
|% of revenue
|0%
| -1%
|6%
| -38%
| -24%
| -28%
| -19%
|0%
|9%
| -17%
| -17%
| -17%
| -17%
| -17%
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''Unlevered Free Cash Flow'''
|
|'''-109'''
|'''-115'''
|'''-245'''
|'''-421'''
|'''-967'''
|'''-611'''
|'''-950'''
|'''-2692'''
|'''1088'''
|'''1197'''
|'''1317'''
|'''1449'''
|'''1666'''
|}
|}
__INDEX__
__INDEX__
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