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{{Infobox company
[[File:Tesla logo.jpg|150px]]
| name = Tesla, Inc.
| logo = Tesla Motors.svg
| logo_size = 109px
| image = Gigafactory Texas Building 1 June 2022.jpg
| image_caption = Headquarters ([[Gigafactory Texas]]) in [[Austin, Texas]]
| former_name = Tesla Motors (2003–2017)
| type = [[Public company|Public]]
| traded_as = {{Unbulleted list
  | {{NASDAQ|TSLA}}
  | [[Nasdaq-100]] component
  | [[S&P 100]] component
  | [[S&P 500]] component
  }}
| ISIN = {{ISIN|sl=n|pl=y|US88160R1014}}
| industry = {{Unbulleted list
  | [[Automotive industry|Automotive]]
  | [[Renewable energy industry|Renewable energy]]
  }}
| founded = {{Start date and age|2003|07|01}} in [[San Carlos, California]], U.S.
| founders = See [[#Founding (2003–2004)|§ Founding]]<!-- Has complications and is disputed, do not put individual names here -->
| hq_location = [[Gigafactory Texas|13101 Tesla Road]]
| hq_location_city = Austin<!-- Do not link, search MOS:GEOLINK for further guidance -->, Texas<!-- Do not link, search MOS:GEOLINK for further guidance -->
| hq_location_country = U.S.
| num_locations = 764 retail stores/galleries and service centers (2022)<!-- Reported in 10K_2022 -->
| area_served = {{Flatlist|
* East Asia
* Europe
* Middle East
* North America
* Oceania
* Southeast Asia
}}
| key_people = {{Unbulleted list
<!-- Do not add "Technoking" or "Master of Coin" to the titles in this list until reaching consensus on the Talk page.-->
  | [[Elon Musk]] (CEO)
  | [[Robyn Denholm]] (chair)
  }}
| products = {{Flatlist|
* [[Tesla Model 3|Model 3]]
* [[Tesla Model S|Model S]]
* [[Tesla Model X|Model X]]
* [[Tesla Model Y|Model Y]]
* [[Tesla Semi|Semi]]
* [[Tesla Powerwall|Powerwall]], [[Tesla Powerpack|Powerpack]], and [[Tesla Megapack|Megapack]]
* [[Tesla solar panels|solar panels]] and [[Tesla Solar Roof|Solar Roof]]
}}
| production = {{Unbulleted list
  | {{increase}} 1,369,611 vehicles (2022)
  | {{increase}} 6.54 GWh battery energy storage systems (2022)
  | {{increase}} 348 MW solar (2022)
  }}
| services = {{Flatlist|
* [[#Vehicle servicing|Service]]
* [[#Charging|charging]]
* [[#Insurance|insurance]]
* [[#Connectivity|connectivity]]
}}
| revenue = {{increase}} {{US$|81.46|linked=yes}}&nbsp;billion (2022)
| operating_income = {{increase}} {{US$|13.66}}&nbsp;billion (2022)
| net_income = {{increase}} {{US$|12.56}}&nbsp;billion (2022)
| assets = {{increase}} {{US$|82.34}}&nbsp;billion (2022)
| equity = {{increase}} {{US$|44.70}}&nbsp;billion (2022)
| owner = Elon Musk (20.6%)<ref>{{cite web|title=Tesla, Inc. 2023 Proxy Statement (DEF 14A) |date=April 6, 2023|url=https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312523094075/d451342ddef14a.htm#toc451342_59|publisher=[[U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission]]}}</ref>
| num_employees = {{increase}} 127,855 (2022)<!-- Reported in 10K_2022 -->
| subsid = {{Unbulleted list
  | [[Tesla Energy]]
  | [[Tesla Automation]]
  }}
| website = {{Official URL}}
| footnotes = Financials {{as of|2022|12|31|df=US|lc=y}}.<br />References:<ref>{{cite web |title=The Making Of Tesla: Invention, Betrayal, And The Birth Of The Roadster |first=Drake |last=Baer|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-the-origin-story-2014-10
|date=November 11, 2014
|access-date=October 3, 2018 |website=Business Insider}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Tesla Energy Generation And Storage Business: Q4 2020 Results |url=https://insideevs.com/news/482496/tesla-energy-generation-storage-q4-2020-results/ | date=January 27, 2021}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Elon Musk |url=https://www.forbes.com/profile/elon-musk/ |website=[[Forbes]]}}</ref><ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000156459021044307/tsla-pre14a_20210813.htm | title=Schedule 14A Information  | publisher=[[U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission]]}}</ref><ref name="10K_2022">{{cite web |title=Annual report Form 10-K 2022 Tesla Inc. |url=https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000095017023001409/tsla-20221231.htm |date=January 31, 2023 |publisher=[[U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission]]}}</ref>
}}Energy production and consumption are responsible for 76% of annual human-caused greenhouse gas emissions<ref name=":1" /><ref name=":2" />, and Tesla is on a mission to accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy.<ref name=":3">https://www.tesla.com/about</ref>


The company sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Tesla emphasises performance, attractive styling and the safety of its users in the design and manufacture of its products and is continuing to develop full self-driving technology for improved safety. The company also strives to lower the cost of ownership for its customers through continuous efforts to reduce manufacturing costs and by offering financial and other services tailored to its products.<ref name=":4">https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000156459021004599/tsla-10k_20201231.htm</ref>
Helping to accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy.


Assuming that Tesla increases its share of the automotive market to 10% (from 2%) and other assumptions, the expected return of an investment in the company over the next five years is negative 24%, which equates to an annual return of negative 4%. In other words, an £100,000 investment in the company is expected to return £76,000 in five years time.
{| class="wikitable"
|+ Key information
|-
| Risk/return|| High
|-
| Price per share|| $663.90<ref name=":1">https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/profile?p=TSLA</ref>
|-
| Asset class|| Equities<ref name=":2">https://sec.report/CIK/0001318605#:~:text=Tesla%2C%20Inc.%20is%20incorporated%20in,motor%20vehicles%20%26%20passenger%20car%20bodies.</ref>
|-
| Industry|| Consumer Cyclical<ref name=":1" />
|-
| Country of incorporation|| United States<ref name=":2" />
|-
| Minimum investment amount|| $10<ref name=":10">https://www.business2community.com/stocks/buy-tesla-stock</ref>
|-
| Maximum investment amount|| $687.81 billion<ref name=":1" />
|-
| Current valuation|| $687.81 billion<ref name=":1" />
|-
| Investor type|| All
|-
| Bid/ask spread (%)|| 0.0015063%<ref name=":1" />
|-
| Commission amount|| Zero<ref name=":10" />
|-
| Market|| Public<ref name=":1" />
|}


The degree of risk associated with an investment in Tesla is 'high', with the shares having a beta that is 112% above the market (2.12 vs. 1). Furthermore, Tesla's shares exhibit a 'high' level of liquidity, as evidenced by its bid-ask margin of 0.0297%.
==Summary==


Accordingly, based on the assumptions provided on the Stockhub platform,  an investment in the company is considered to be a 'suitable' one for you if, among other criteria, your required:
* Tesla is on a mission to accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy.<ref name=":3">https://www.tesla.com/about</ref>
* Return level is negative 4% per year or less in absolute terms;
*The company designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. It emphasises performance, attractive styling and the safety of its users in the design and manufacture of its products and is continuing to develop full self-driving technology for improved safety. It also strives to lower the cost of ownership for its customers through continuous efforts to reduce manufacturing costs and by offering financial and other services tailored to its products.<ref name=":4">https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000156459021004599/tsla-10k_20201231.htm</ref>
* Risk level is 112% or more above the market risk level;
* Based on a number of assumptions, the expected return of an investment in the company over the next five years is 72%. In other words, an £1,000 investment in the company is expected to return £1,720 in five years time.
* Time horizon is five years or longer;
* The degree of risk associated with an investment in Tesla is 'high'.
* Bid-ask margin is 0.0297% or more; and/or
* Objective is to help accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy.
 
'''Fun fact:''' Tesla, Inc. was named after inventor Nikola Tesla and was founded in 2003 by Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning, not Elon Musk, who joined later as an investor and chairman.


==Operations==
==Operations==


=== How did the idea of the company come about? ===
=== How did the idea of the company come about? ===
The idea of the company came about when the now founding team of the company realised that the current way that humankind is meeting its energy needs is unsustainable and bad for the planet.<ref name=":9">https://www.tesla.com/en_GB/blog/secret-tesla-motors-master-plan-just-between-you-and-me</ref>  
The idea of the company came about when the now founding team of the company realised that the current way that humankind is meeting its energy needs is unsustainable and bad for the environment.<ref name=":9">https://www.tesla.com/en_GB/blog/secret-tesla-motors-master-plan-just-between-you-and-me</ref>  


Currently, an estimated 85% of the world's energy needs are met by burning fossil fuels<ref>https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handle/20.500.11822/30797/EGR2019.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y</ref>, and energy production and consumption are responsible for 76% of annual human-caused greenhouse gas emissions.<ref name=":1">https://www.climatewatchdata.org/ghg-emissions?breakBy=sector&chartType=percentage&end_year=2018&sectors=total-including-lucf&start_year=1990</ref><ref name=":2">https://www.wri.org/insights/4-charts-explain-greenhouse-gas-emissions-countries-and-sectors</ref>
Currently, an estimated 85% of the world's energy needs are met by burning fossil fuels<ref>https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handle/20.500.11822/30797/EGR2019.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y</ref>, and energy production and consumption are responsible for 76% of annual human-caused greenhouse gas emissions.<ref>https://www.climatewatchdata.org/ghg-emissions?breakBy=sector&chartType=percentage&end_year=2018&sectors=total-including-lucf&start_year=1990</ref><ref>https://www.wri.org/insights/4-charts-explain-greenhouse-gas-emissions-countries-and-sectors</ref>


Researching into a better way to meet the energy needs, the team concluded that the best way to do so is to move to a solar electric economy, from a mine-and-burn hydrocarbon economy.<ref name=":9" />
Researching into a better way to meet the energy needs, the team concluded that the best way to do so is to move to a solar electric economy, from a mine-and-burn hydrocarbon economy.<ref name=":9" />
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Model S is the fastest accelerating and longest ranging car that Tesla provides, with a zero-to-60 miles per hour acceleration of 3.1 seconds and a maximum distance range on a single battery charge of 405 miles, respectively.<ref>https://www.tesla.com/</ref> The price of the car in the US is $99,990.<ref name=":8" />
Model S is the fastest accelerating and longest ranging car that Tesla provides, with a zero-to-60 miles per hour acceleration of 3.1 seconds and a maximum distance range on a single battery charge of 405 miles, respectively.<ref>https://www.tesla.com/</ref> The price of the car in the US is $99,990.<ref name=":8" />


[[File:Model S.jpg]]
[[File:Model S.jpg|600px]]
 
{| class="wikitable"
'''Model 3'''
|+Competition comparison
 
!Category
Model 3 is the lowest priced car that Tesla provides, selling in the US at $46,990.
!Model S<ref name=":8">https://www.tesla.com/models</ref>
 
!Model 3<ref>https://www.tesla.com/model3</ref>
[[File:Rhd-model-3-social.png]]
!Model X<ref>https://www.tesla.com/modelx</ref>
 
!Model Y<ref>https://www.tesla.com/modely</ref>
'''Model X'''
|-
 
|Is the vehicle fully electric?
Model X is the largest cargo capacity car that Tesla provides, with a cargo capacity of 88 cubic feet. The price of the car in the US is $114,990.
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
 
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
[[File:MX-Hero-Desktop.jpg]]
 
'''Model Y'''
 
Model Y is the lowest price per cargo capacity and lowest price per seat car that Tesla provides, at $829 per cubic feet and $8,999 per seat, respectively. The price of the car in the US is $62,990.
 
[[File:Model y red.jpg]]
 
A detailed comparison of the Tesla vehicles is shown in the two tables below.
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+All Tesla vehicles competition comparison
!Category
! colspan="2" |Model S
! colspan="2" |Model X
! colspan="3" |Model 3
! colspan="2" |Model Y
|-
!Type
!Standard<ref name=":8">https://www.tesla.com/models</ref>
!Plaid<ref name=":8">https://www.tesla.com/models</ref>
!Standard<ref name=":13">https://www.tesla.com/modelx</ref>
!Plaid<ref name=":13" />
!Rear-Wheel Drive<ref name=":14">https://www.tesla.com/model3</ref>
!Long Range<ref name=":14" />
!Performance<ref name=":14" />
!Long Range<ref name=":15">https://www.tesla.com/modely</ref>
!Performance<ref name=":15" />
|-
|Is the vehicle fully electric?
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
| style="background: orange; color: white;" | Yes
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|style="background: orange; color: white;" | Yes
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|-
|-
|What's the top acceleration of the vehicle?
|What's the top acceleration of the vehicle?
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |3.1 seconds
| style="background: green; color: white;" |3.1 seconds
|style="background: green; color: white;" |1.99 seconds
| style="background: red; color: white;" |5.8 seconds
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |3.8 seconds
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |3.8 seconds
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |2.5 seconds
| style="background: red; color: white;" |5.8 seconds
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |4.2 seconds
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |3.1 seconds
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |4.8 seconds
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |4.8 seconds
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |3.5 seconds
|-
|-
|What's the maximum distance range of the vehicle on a single battery charge?
|What's the maximum distance range of the vehicle on a single battery charge?
| style="background: green; color: white;" |405 miles
| style="background: green; color: white;" |405 miles
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |396 miles
| style="background: red; color: white;" |272 miles
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |348 miles
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |348 miles
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |333 miles
| style="background: red; color: white;" |272 miles
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |358 miles
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |315 miles
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |330 miles
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |330 miles
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |303 miles
|-
|-
|What's the top speed of the vehicle?
|What's the top speed of the vehicle?
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |155 miles per hour
| style="background: green; color: white;" |155 miles per hour
|style="background: green; color: white;" |200 miles per hour
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |155 miles per hour
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |163 miles per hour
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |140 miles per hour
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |140 miles per hour
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |145 miles per hour
| style="background: green; color: white;" |155 miles per hour
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |162 miles per hour
| style="background: red; color: white;" |135 miles per hour
| style="background: red; color: white;" |135 miles per hour
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |155 miles per hour
|-
|-
|Which design type is the vehicle?
|Which design type is the vehicle?
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Sedan (i.e. car)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Sedan (i.e. car)
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |Sedan (i.e. car)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Sedan (i.e. car)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |SUV (i.e. car)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |SUV (i.e. car)
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |SUV (i.e. car)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Sedan (i.e. car)
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |Sedan (i.e. car)
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |Sedan (i.e. car)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |SUV (i.e. car)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |SUV (i.e. car)
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |SUV (i.e. car)
|-
|-
|What is the safety rating of the vehicle?
|What is the safety rating of the vehicle?
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
|-
|-
|How many seats does the vehicle have?
|How many seats does the vehicle have?
| style="background: red; color: white;" |5 seats
| style="background: red; color: white;" |5 seats
|style="background: red; color: white;" |5 seats
| style="background: red; color: white;" |5 seats
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |7 seats
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |7 seats
|style="background: red; color: white;" |6 seats
| style="background: red; color: white;" |5 seats
|style="background: red; color: white;" |5 seats
|style="background: red; color: white;" |5 seats
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |7 seats
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |7 seats
|style="background: red; color: white;" |5 seats
|-
|-
|What's the cargo capacity of the vehicle?
|What's the cargo capacity of the vehicle?
| style="background: red; color: white;" |28 cubic feet
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |28 cubic feet
|style="background: red; color: white;" |28 cubic feet
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |88 cubic feet
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |88 cubic feet
| style="background: red; color: white;" |23 cubic feet
| style="background: red; color: white;" |23 cubic feet
|style="background: red; color: white;" |23 cubic feet
| style="background: green; color: white;" |88 cubic feet
|style="background: red; color: white;" |23 cubic feet
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |76 cubic feet
| style="background: red; color: white;" |76 cubic feet
|style="background: red; color: white;" |76 cubic feet
|-
|-
|Which drive wheel does the vehicle have?  
|Which drive wheel does the vehicle have?  
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
| style="background: red; color: white;" |Rear-wheel drive
| style="background: red; color: white;" |Rear-wheel drive
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
|-
|-
|What's the price of the vehicle?
|What's the price of the vehicle?
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$99,990
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$99,990
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$135,990
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$114,990
|style="background: red; color: white;" |$138,990
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$46,990
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$46,990
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$55,990
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$114,990
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$62,990
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$62,990
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$62,990
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$67,990
|-
|-
|What's the vehicle's price per cargo capacity?
|What's the vehicle's price per cargo capacity?
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$3,571 per cubic feet
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$3,571 per cubic feet
|style="background: red; color: white;" |$4,857 per cubic feet
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$2,043 per cubic feet
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$1,307 per cubic feet
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$1,307 per cubic feet
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$1,579 per cubic feet
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$2,043 per cubic feet
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$2,434 per cubic feet
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$2,739 per cubic feet
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$829 per cubic feet
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$829 per cubic feet
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$895 per cubic feet
|-
|-
|What's the vehicle's price per seat?
|What's the vehicle's price per passenger?
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$19,998 per seat
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$19,998 per passenger
|style="background: red; color: white;" |$27,198 per seat
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$9,398 per passenger
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$16,427 per seat
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$16,427 per passenger
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$23,165 per seat
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$8,999 per passenger
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |$9,398 per seat
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$11,198 per seat
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$12,598 per seat
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$8,999 per seat
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$13,598 per seat
|}
|}


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!Category
!Category
!Winner
!Winner
!Notes
|-
|-
|Which Tesla car has the fastest acceleration?
|Which Tesla car has the fastest acceleration?
|Model S Plaid
|Model S
|The zero to 60 miles per hour acceleration of the car is 1.99 seconds.
|-
|-
|Which Tesla car has the longest range?
|Which Tesla car has the longest range?
|Model S
|Model S
|The range of the car is 405 miles.
|-
|Which Tesla car has the highest top speed?
|Model S Plaid
|The top speed of the car is 200 miles per hour.
|-
|-
|Which Tesla car has the largest cargo capacity?
|Which Tesla car has the largest cargo capacity?
|Model X and Model X Plaid
|Model X
|The cargo capacity of the car is 88 cubic feet.
|-
|Which Tesla car has the most seats?
|Model X and Model Y Long Range
|The number of seats in the car is 7 seats.
|-
|-
|Which Tesla car is the lowest priced?
|Which Tesla car is the lowest priced?
|Model 3 Rear-Wheel Drive
|Model 3
|The price of the car is $46,990.
|-
|-
|Which Tesla car has the lowest price per cargo capacity?
|Which Tesla car has the lowest price per cargo capacity?
|Model Y Long Range
|Model Y
|The price per cargo capacity of the car is $829 per cubic feet.
|-
|-
|Which Tesla car has the lowest price per seat?
|Which Tesla car has the lowest price per passenger?
|Model Y Long Range
|Model Y
|The price per seat of the car is $8,999 per seat.
|}
|}
'''Model 3'''
Model 3 is the lowest priced car that Tesla provides, selling in the US at $46,990.
[[File:Rhd-model-3-social.png|600px]]
'''Model X'''
Model X is the largest cargo capacity car that Tesla provides, with a cargo capacity of 88 cubic feet. The price of the car in the US is $114,990.
[[File:MX-Hero-Desktop.jpg|600px]]
'''Model Y'''
Model Y is the lowest price per cargo capacity and lowest price per passenger car that Tesla provides, at $829 per cubic feet and $8,999 per passenger, respectively. The price of the car in the US is $62,990.
[[File:Model y red.jpg|600px]]


====== Automotive leasing ======
====== Automotive leasing ======
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Cybertruck is a truck, a motor vehicle designed to transport cargo, carry specialised payloads, or perform other utilitarian work. What will be unique about the offering is that it will be the safest vehicle that Tesla provides. The price of the offering is expected to be $39,900.<ref>https://www.autoexpress.co.uk/tesla/cybertruck/96447/tesla-cybertruck-delayed-until-least-2023#:~:text=Tesla%20Cybertruck%3A%20performance%20and%20range&text=Entry%2Dlevel%2C%20Single%20Motor%2C,a%20top%20speed%20of%20110mph.</ref>
Cybertruck is a truck, a motor vehicle designed to transport cargo, carry specialised payloads, or perform other utilitarian work. What will be unique about the offering is that it will be the safest vehicle that Tesla provides. The price of the offering is expected to be $39,900.<ref>https://www.autoexpress.co.uk/tesla/cybertruck/96447/tesla-cybertruck-delayed-until-least-2023#:~:text=Tesla%20Cybertruck%3A%20performance%20and%20range&text=Entry%2Dlevel%2C%20Single%20Motor%2C,a%20top%20speed%20of%20110mph.</ref>


[[File:Cybertruck-Hero-Desktop.jpg]]
[[File:Cybertruck-Hero-Desktop.jpg|600px]]


'''Tesla Roadster'''
'''Tesla Roadster'''
Line 376: Line 236:
The Tesla Roadster is a car. What will be unique about the offering is that it will be the fastest accelerating and longest ranging car that Tesla provides. The price of the offering is around $200,000.<ref>https://carbuzz.com/cars/tesla/roadster</ref>
The Tesla Roadster is a car. What will be unique about the offering is that it will be the fastest accelerating and longest ranging car that Tesla provides. The price of the offering is around $200,000.<ref>https://carbuzz.com/cars/tesla/roadster</ref>


[[File:Tesla-roadster.jpg]]
[[File:Tesla-roadster.jpg|600px]]


'''Tesla Semi'''
'''Tesla Semi'''
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Tesla Semi is a semi-trailer truck, a motor vehicle that is designed to transport large cargo, via one or more of its attached trailers. What will be unique about the offering is that it will be the largest cargo capacity vehicle that Tesla provides. The price of the offering is around $150,000.
Tesla Semi is a semi-trailer truck, a motor vehicle that is designed to transport large cargo, via one or more of its attached trailers. What will be unique about the offering is that it will be the largest cargo capacity vehicle that Tesla provides. The price of the offering is around $150,000.


[[File:Tesla-semi.jpg]]
[[File:Tesla-semi.jpg|600px]]


======Ride-hailing service======
======Ride-hailing service======
Line 397: Line 257:
'''Powerwall'''
'''Powerwall'''


Powerwall is a energy storage system (i.e. a type of battery).<ref name=":4" /> What’s unique about the offering is that it's the lowest priced energy storage system that Tesla provides, selling at $10,500. The energy capacity of the product is 13.5 kilowatt hour (kWh). To help put the capacity into perspective, in 2020, the average household in the United States consumed 29 kWh per day.<ref>https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=97&t=3#:~:text=How%20much%20electricity%20does%20an,about%20893%20kWh%20per%20month.</ref> So, if the average household is powered from Powerwalls only, then it will require around two Powerwalls to power the whole house, at an average annual cost of $2,247.
Powerwall is a energy storage system (i.e. a type of battery).<ref name=":4" /> What’s unique about the offering is that it's the lowest priced energy storage system that Tesla provides. A single Powerwall sells for $10,500.
 
[[File:Powerwall2.jpg]]
 
'''Megapack'''
 
Megapack is an energy storage system.<ref name=":4" /> What’s unique about the offering is that it's the largest energy storage system that Tesla provides, at 3.5 megawatt hour. To help put the energy capacity into perspective, each unit has enough energy to power an average of 3,600 homes for one hour. A single Megapack sells for $1,000,000.


[[File:Megapack-CleanerGrid-D.jpg]]
[[File:Powerwall2.jpg|600px]]


'''Solar Roof'''
Solar Roof is a roof tile.<ref name=":4" /> What makes the tile unique is that it's the most aesthetically-beautiful, energy generation roof tile. In other words, it's the most beautiful roof tile that generates electricity.
[[File:5c603e0d86d2c7c005d1df44a jVVOsV8.jpg]]
For the average house in the US, the total cost of having the solar roof is $59,700, or around $3,078 per year over the expected lifetime of the roof (the key assumptions used to determine the expected cost can be found in the table below). To help put the cost into perspective, the average energy bill in the United States is $1,380 per year, so, at the moment, meeting the energy needs of the average US household using the Tesla Solar Roof is 2x more expensive than the alternative.
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+Solar Roof estimated cost calculation
|+Competition comparison
!Description
!Price
!Commentary
|-
|-
|4.98 kW Solar Roof
! !!Powerwall!!'''Megapack'''
|$40,600
|The average house in the US is 2,261 square feet in size and 2 stories in height. The warranty period of the solar roof is 25 years. Assuming that the replacement period of the solar roof is the same as the warranty period, then that equates to an annual cost of $1,624. The installation cost is included in the cost.
|-
|-
|Roof Tear Off
|Is the source of energy solar?||style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes||style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes
|$7,600
|Roof tear off refers to the action of 'tearing' off (or removing) the existing roof, something that is required to put on the Tesla tiles. Assuming that the cost is depreciated over the same period as the Tesla tiles (i.e. 25 years), then that equates to an annual cost of $304.
|-
|-
|1 Powerwall Battery
|Is it designed for houses (i.e. smaller electricity demand)?||style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes||style="background: red; color: white;" |No
|$11,500
|The warranty period of the battery is 10 years. Assuming that the battery needs to be replaced at the end of the warranty period, then that equates to an annual cost of $1,150. Installation cost included.
|-
|-
|Total price
|Is it designed for commercial buildings (i.e. greater electricity demand)?||style="background: red; color: white;" |No|| style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes
|$59,700
|}
|Combining all the above costs together, that equates to a total annual cost of $3,078
 
'''Megapack'''
 
Megapack is an energy storage system.<ref name=":4" /> What’s unique about the offering is that it's the largest energy storage system that Tesla provides. A single Megapack sells for $1,000,000.
 
[[File:Megapack-CleanerGrid-D.jpg|600px]]
 
'''Solar Roof'''
 
Solar Roof is a roof tile.<ref name=":4" /> What makes the tile unique is that it's the most aesthetically-beautiful, energy generation roof tile. In other words, it's the most beautiful roof tile that generates electricity. There is no information on the  price of the offering within the public domain.
 
[[File:5c603e0d86d2c7c005d1df44a jVVOsV8.jpg|600px]]
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+Competition comparison
|-
! !!Solar Roof!!Traditional roof tile
!Other solar-energy generation roof tile
|-
|Does it generate electricity?|| style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes|| style="background: red; color: white;" |No
| style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes
|-
|Is it aesthetically beautiful?|| style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes|| style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes
| style="background: red; color: white;" |No
|}
|}


Line 445: Line 306:


Tesla offers certain loan and power purchase agreement (PPA) options to residential or commercial customers who pair energy storage systems with solar energy systems.<ref name=":4" /> The company offers certain financing options to its solar customers, which enable the customer to purchase and own a solar energy system, Solar Roof or integrated solar and Powerwall system.<ref name=":4" /> Its solar PPAs, offered to commercial customers, charges a fee per kilowatt-hour based on the amount of electricity produced by its solar energy systems.<ref name=":4" />
Tesla offers certain loan and power purchase agreement (PPA) options to residential or commercial customers who pair energy storage systems with solar energy systems.<ref name=":4" /> The company offers certain financing options to its solar customers, which enable the customer to purchase and own a solar energy system, Solar Roof or integrated solar and Powerwall system.<ref name=":4" /> Its solar PPAs, offered to commercial customers, charges a fee per kilowatt-hour based on the amount of electricity produced by its solar energy systems.<ref name=":4" />
Note: a PPA is a contract between two parties, one which generates electricity (the seller) and one which is looking to purchase electricity (the buyer). The agreement defines all of the commercial terms for the sale of electricity between the two parties, including when the project will begin commercial operation, schedule for delivery of electricity, penalties for under delivery, payment terms, and termination.


===From which place(s) are the offerings able to be purchased?===
===From which place(s) are the offerings able to be purchased?===
Line 452: Line 315:
===From which place(s) are the offerings promoted?===
===From which place(s) are the offerings promoted?===


The main way that Tesla promotes the offerings is through media coverage and word of mouth.
The main way that Tesla promotes the offering is through media coverage and word of mouth.


=== What's the current strategy of the company? ===
=== What's the current strategy of the company? ===
Line 462: Line 325:
# Develop a self-driving capability that is 10x safer than manual, via massive fleet learning; and
# Develop a self-driving capability that is 10x safer than manual, via massive fleet learning; and
# Enable your car to make money for you when you aren't using it.
# Enable your car to make money for you when you aren't using it.
It's worth noting that 10 years earlier than the publication of the 2016 blog post, Elon detailed the company's first master plan<ref name=":9" />, and the company has managed to achieve all of the milestones, which were as follows:
It's worth noting that 10 years earlier, Elon detailed the company's first master plan<ref name=":9" />, and the company has managed to achieve all of the milestones, which were as follows:


#Build a sports car (i.e. the Tesla Model S);
#Build a sports car;
#Use that money to build an affordable car (i.e. the Tesla Model 3);
#Use that money to build an affordable car;
#Use that money to build an even more affordable car (i.e. a cheaper version of the Tesla Model 3); and
#Use that money to build an even more affordable car; and
#Provide zero emission electric power generation options (i.e. Tesla Solar Roof and Powerwall and Megapack).
#Provide zero emission electric power generation options.


== Market==
== Market==
Line 474: Line 337:


Here, the total addressable market (TAM) is defined as the global automotive market, and based on a number of assumptions, it is estimated that the size of the market as of today (30th May 2022), in terms of revenue, is $3.0 trillion.
Here, the total addressable market (TAM) is defined as the global automotive market, and based on a number of assumptions, it is estimated that the size of the market as of today (30th May 2022), in terms of revenue, is $3.0 trillion.
It can be strongly argued that given the company's mission, the total addressable market is actually the global energy market; and research suggests that the estimated size of that market is $6.1 trillion.<ref name=":16" />


===Serviceable Available Market===
===Serviceable Available Market===
Line 511: Line 372:
[[File:Elon Musk Royal Society (crop2).jpg|200px]]
[[File:Elon Musk Royal Society (crop2).jpg|200px]]


The Chief Executive Officer of Tesla is {{#property:P169|from=Q478214}} and he has served the position since October 2008 and as a member of the Board since April 2004. Elon has also served as Chief Executive Officer, Chief Technology Officer and Chairman of Space Exploration Technologies Corporation, an advanced rocket and spacecraft manufacturing and services company (“SpaceX ”), since May 2002, and served as Chairman of the Board of SolarCity Corporation, a solar installation company, from July 2006 until its acquisition by Tesla in November 2016. Elon is also a founder of The Boring Company, an infrastructure company, and of Neuralink Corp., a company focused on developing brain-machine interfaces. Prior to SpaceX, Elon co-founded PayPal, an electronic payment system, which was acquired by eBay in October 2002, and Zip2 Corporation, a provider of Internet enterprise software and services, which was acquired by Compaq in March 1999. Elon has also served on the board of directors of Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. since April 2021. Elon holds a B.A. in physics from the University of Pennsylvania and a B.S. in business from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.
Elon Musk is the Chief Executive Officer of Tesla and has served the position since October 2008 and as a member of the Board since April 2004. Elon has also served as Chief Executive Officer, Chief Technology Officer and Chairman of Space Exploration Technologies Corporation, an advanced rocket and spacecraft manufacturing and services company (“SpaceX ”), since May 2002, and served as Chairman of the Board of SolarCity Corporation, a solar installation company, from July 2006 until its acquisition by Tesla in November 2016. Elon is also a founder of The Boring Company, an infrastructure company, and of Neuralink Corp., a company focused on developing brain-machine interfaces. Prior to SpaceX, Elon co-founded PayPal, an electronic payment system, which was acquired by eBay in October 2002, and Zip2 Corporation, a provider of Internet enterprise software and services, which was acquired by Compaq in March 1999. Elon has also served on the board of directors of Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. since April 2021. Elon holds a B.A. in physics from the University of Pennsylvania and a B.S. in business from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.


====Chief Financial Officer====
====Chief Financial Officer====
Line 526: Line 387:


===Board of Directors===
===Board of Directors===
'''Elon Musk'''


For information about Elon Musk, see "Chief Executive Officer" section above.
For information about Elon Musk, see "Chief Executive Officer" section above.
Line 551: Line 410:
Ira has served as the Chairman of the Silicon Valley Technology Innovation & Entrepreneurship Forum (SVIEF) for many years. He is also an active leader at Stanford University, where he has served on the Board of Visitors of Stanford Law School and is currently an advisory board member of the Stanford Global Climate and Energy Project (GCEP) and the Stanford Precourt Institute for Energy (PIE) Advisory Council. Ira has also been a guest lecturer, including helping to teach a course on Venture Capital. In addition, Ira served for many years on the Advisory Board of the Forum for Women Entrepreneurs (FWE).
Ira has served as the Chairman of the Silicon Valley Technology Innovation & Entrepreneurship Forum (SVIEF) for many years. He is also an active leader at Stanford University, where he has served on the Board of Visitors of Stanford Law School and is currently an advisory board member of the Stanford Global Climate and Energy Project (GCEP) and the Stanford Precourt Institute for Energy (PIE) Advisory Council. Ira has also been a guest lecturer, including helping to teach a course on Venture Capital. In addition, Ira served for many years on the Advisory Board of the Forum for Women Entrepreneurs (FWE).


<noglossary>‎Ira received his JD/MBA from Stanford Graduate School of Business and Stanford Law School, where he was an Associate Editor of Stanford Law Review. He holds a B.A. from the University of California, Los Angeles, graduating Phi Beta Kappa and Summa Cum Laude.</noglossary> 
Ira received his JD/MBA from Stanford Graduate School of Business and Stanford Law School, where he was an Associate Editor of Stanford Law Review. He holds a B.A. from the University of California, Los Angeles, graduating Phi Beta Kappa and Summa Cum Laude.  


'''Larry Ellison'''
'''Larry Ellison'''
Line 589: Line 448:
==Financials==
==Financials==


{{Tesla's revenue}}
=== Historic ===
=== Historic ===


==== Most recent quarter ====
During the three months ended 31st March 2022, net income increased to $3.32 billion on revenues of $18.76 billion, representing a respective increase of 7x and 81% compared to the prior year, and equating to a net income margin of 18%. The company ended the quarter with cash of $18.01 billion, representing an increase of 2% from the end of 2021.
==== Most recent year ====
For the fiscal (and calendar) year 2021, Tesla reported a net income of $5.52 billion.<ref name="Tesla4Q2021final" /> The annual revenue was $53.8 billion, an increase of 71% over the previous fiscal year.<ref name="Tesla4Q2021final" />
For the fiscal (and calendar) year 2021, Tesla reported a net income of $5.52 billion.<ref name="Tesla4Q2021final" /> The annual revenue was $53.8 billion, an increase of 71% over the previous fiscal year.<ref name="Tesla4Q2021final" />


==== All periods ====
Tesla ended 2020 with over $19 billion of cash on hand after having raised approximately $12 billion in stock sales.<ref name=bb20210208 /> At the end of 2019 it had $6.3 billion cash on hand.<ref name=ars20210128 />
{| class="wikitable"
 
|+Financials<ref>Source: Stockhub Limited</ref><ref group="Note" name="Note04" /><ref>Source: Stockhub Limited</ref><ref name="Note04" group="Note" />
Of the revenue number in 2021, $314 million came from selling regulatory credits to other automakers to meet government pollution standards. That number has been a smaller percentage of revenue for multiple quarters.<ref name=Tesla4Q2021final /> In Q1 2022, Tesla sold $679 million of regulatory carbon credits.<ref>{{Cite news |date= |title=Tesla Carbon Credit Sales Jump by 116% |work=CarbonCredits.com |url=https://carboncredits.com/tesla-regulatory-carbon-credit-sales-jumps-116/}}</ref>
 
In February 2021, a 10-K filing revealed that Tesla had invested some $1.5 billion in the cryptocurrency Bitcoin, and the company indicated it would soon accept Bitcoin as a form of payment.<ref name="bb20210208">{{cite news |title=Tesla Bets on Bitcoin in Blue-Chip Boost to Cryptocurrency |url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-02-08/tesla-bets-1-5-billion-on-bitcoin-in-new-policy-crypto-surges |work=[[Bloomberg News|Bloomberg]] |date=February 8, 2021 |access-date=February 8, 2021 }}</ref> Tesla made more profit from the 2021 investment than the profit from selling cars in 2020, due to the Bitcoin price increase after the investment was announced.<ref>{{Cite news|last=Correspondent|first=James Dean, Chief Business|title=Tesla made more profit from bitcoin in a month than from selling cars last year|newspaper=[[The Times]]|language=en|url=https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/tesla-made-more-profit-from-bitcoin-in-a-month-than-from-selling-cars-last-year-5sfl6qd0h|access-date=February 19, 2021|issn=0140-0460}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=Tesla May Have Already Made More In Profits From Bitcoin Than Electric Vehicles|url=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-may-already-made-more-224537165.html|access-date=February 19, 2021|website=finance.yahoo.com|language=en-US}}</ref>
 
The quarter ending June 2021 was the first time Tesla made a profit independent of Bitcoin and regulatory credits.<ref>{{cite web|last=O'Kane|first=Sean|date=July 26, 2021|title=Tesla finally made a profit without the help of emission credits|url=https://www.theverge.com/2021/7/26/22594778/tesla-q2-2021-earnings-revenue-profit-credits-emissions-bitcoin|access-date=October 22, 2021|website=The Verge|language=en}}</ref>
 
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"
|-
!Year
!Revenue<br />($'million)
!Net income<br />($'million)
!Total assets<br />($'million)
!Employees
|-
|align=left|2005
|  0
| -12
|  8
|
|-
|align=left|2006<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.mercurynews.com/2014/07/14/2006-san-carlos-start-up-tesla-seeks-sexier-electric-car/|title=2006: San Carlos start-up Tesla seeks sexier electric car|date=July 14, 2014}}</ref><ref name=SEC />
|  0
| -30
|  44
|  70
|-
|align=left|2007
|0.073
| -78
|  34
| 268
|-
|-
!Year
|align=left|2008
!'''1''' !!'''2'''!!'''3'''!!'''4'''!!'''5'''
15
!'''6'''
| -83
!'''7'''
52
!'''8'''
| 252
!'''9'''
!'''10'''
!'''11'''
!'''12'''
!'''13'''
!'''14'''
!'''15'''
!'''16'''
!'''17'''
!18
!18
!19
!20
!21
!22
!23
!24
!25
!26
!27
!28
!29
!30
!31
!32
!33
!34
!35
!36
!37
!38
!39
!40
!41
!42
!43
!44
!45
!46
!47
!48
!49
!50
!51
!52
!53
!54
!55
!56
!57
!58
!59
|-
|-
|'''Year end date'''||'''31/12/2005'''||'''31/12/2006<ref name=":12">{{cite web|url=https://www.mercurynews.com/2014/07/14/2006-san-carlos-start-up-tesla-seeks-sexier-electric-car/|title=2006: San Carlos start-up Tesla seeks sexier electric car|date=July 14, 2014}}</ref><ref name="SEC">{{cite web | url=https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=1318605 | title=Tesla, Inc. TSLA on Nasdaq | publisher=[[U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission]]}}</ref>'''||'''31/12/2007'''||'''31/12/2008'''||'''31/12/2009'''
|align=left|2009
|'''31/12/2010<ref name="SEC" />'''
| 112
|'''31/12/2011<ref name="SEC" />'''
| −56
|'''31/12/2012<ref name="SEC" />'''
| 130
|'''31/12/2013<ref name="SEC" />'''
| 514
|'''31/12/2014<ref name="SEC" />'''
|'''31/12/2015<ref name="SEC" />'''
|'''31/12/2016<ref name="SEC" />'''
|'''31/12/2017<ref name="SEC" />'''
|'''31/12/2018<ref name="SEC" />'''
|'''31/12/2019<ref name="SEC" />'''
|'''31/12/2020<ref name="SEC" />'''
|'''31/12/2021<ref name="SEC" />'''
|'''31/12/2022'''
|'''31/12/2022'''
|'''31/12/2023'''
|'''31/12/2024'''
|'''31/12/2025'''
|'''31/12/2026'''
|'''31/12/2027'''
|'''31/12/2028'''
|'''31/12/2029'''
|'''31/12/2030'''
|'''31/12/2031'''
|'''31/12/2032'''
|'''31/12/2033'''
|'''31/12/2034'''
|'''31/12/2035'''
|'''31/12/2036'''
|'''31/12/2037'''
|'''31/12/2038'''
|'''31/12/2039'''
|'''31/12/2040'''
|'''31/12/2041'''
|'''31/12/2042'''
|'''31/12/2043'''
|'''31/12/2044'''
|'''31/12/2045'''
|'''31/12/2046'''
|'''31/12/2047'''
|'''31/12/2048'''
|'''31/12/2049'''
|'''31/12/2050'''
|'''31/12/2051'''
|'''31/12/2052'''
|'''31/12/2053'''
|'''31/12/2054'''
|'''31/12/2055'''
|'''31/12/2056'''
|'''31/12/2057'''
|'''31/12/2058'''
|'''31/12/2059'''
|'''31/12/2060'''
|'''31/12/2061'''
|'''31/12/2062'''
|'''31/12/2063'''
|-
|-
|
|align=left|2010<ref name=SEC>{{cite web | url=https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=1318605 | title=Tesla, Inc. TSLA on Nasdaq | publisher=[[U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission]]}}</ref>
|'''Historic'''
| 117
|'''Historic'''
| −154
|'''Historic'''
| 386
|'''Historic'''
| 899
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Historic'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|'''Forecast'''
|
|-
|-
| colspan="61" |<div style="text-align: center;">'''Income statement'''</div>
|align=left|2011<ref name=SEC />
|  204
| −254
|  713
|1,417
|-
|-
|Revenues ($'million)|| 0||0||0.073||15||112
|align=left|2012<ref name=SEC />
|117
|204
|413
|413
|2,013
| −396
|1,114
|2,914
|-
|align=left|2013<ref name=SEC />
|2,013
|  −74
|2,417
|5,859
|-
|align=left|2014<ref name=SEC />
|3,198
|3,198
| −294
|5,831
|10,161
|-
|align=left|2015<ref name=SEC />
|4,046
|4,046
| −889
|8,068
|13,058
|-
|align=left|2016<ref name=SEC />
|7,000
|7,000
| −675
|22,664
|17,782
|-
|align=left|2017<ref name=SEC />
|11,759
|11,759
| −1,962
|28,655
|37,543
|-
|align=left|2018<ref name=SEC />
|21,461
|21,461
| −976
|29,740
|48,817
|-
|align=left|2019<ref name=SEC />
|24,578
|24,578
| −862
|34,309
|48,016
|-
|align=left|2020<ref name=SEC />
|31,536
|31,536
|721
|52,148
|70,757
|-
|align=left|2021<ref name=SEC />
|53,823
|53,823
|81,462
|5,519
|$78,935
|62,131
|$112,257
|99,290
|$154,816
|}
|$207,049
 
|$268,527
=== Forward ===
 
====What are the financial forecasts?====
=====Income statement=====
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+Income statement<ref>Source: Stockhub Limited</ref><ref group="Note" name="Note04" />
|-
!Year
!'''1''' !!'''2'''!!'''3'''!!'''4'''!!'''5'''
!'''6'''
!'''7'''
!'''8'''
!'''9'''
!'''10'''
!'''11'''
!'''12'''
!'''13'''
!'''14'''
!'''15'''
!'''16'''
!'''17'''
!'''18'''
!'''19'''
!'''20'''
!'''21'''
!'''22'''
!'''23'''
!'''24'''
!'''25'''
!'''26'''
!'''27'''
!'''28'''
!'''29'''
!'''30'''
!'''31'''
!'''32'''
!'''33'''
!'''34'''
!'''35'''
!'''36'''
!'''37'''
!'''38'''
!'''39'''
!'''40'''
!'''41'''
!'''42'''
|-
|Year end date||31/12/2022||31/12/2023||31/12/2024||31/12/2025 ||31/12/2026
|31/12/2027
|31/12/2028
|31/12/2029
|31/12/2030
|31/12/2031
|31/12/2032
|31/12/2033
|31/12/2034
|31/12/2035
|31/12/2036
|31/12/2037
|31/12/2038
|31/12/2039
|31/12/2040
|31/12/2041
|31/12/2042
|31/12/2043
|31/12/2044
|31/12/2045
|31/12/2046
|31/12/2047
|31/12/2048
|31/12/2049
|31/12/2050
|31/12/2051
|31/12/2052
|31/12/2053
|31/12/2054
|31/12/2055
|31/12/2056
|31/12/2057
|31/12/2058
|31/12/2059
|31/12/2060
|31/12/2061
|31/12/2062
|31/12/2063
|-
|Revenues ($'million)|| $78,935||$112,257||$154,816||$207,049||$268,527
|$337,721
|$337,721
|$411,894
|$411,894
Line 838: Line 697:
|$2
|$2
|-
|-
|Gross profits ($'million)
|Gross profits ($'million)||$23,680||$33,677||$46,445||$62,115||$80,558  
|
|$101,316
|
|$185,352
|
|$219,221
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|$23,680
|$33,677
|$46,445
|$62,115
|$80,558
|$101,316
|$185,352
|$219,221
|$251,432
|$251,432
|$279,652
|$279,652
Line 900: Line 736:
|$1
|$1
|-
|-
|Operating profits ($'million)
|Operating profits ($'million)||$11,840||$16,839||$23,222||$31,057||$40,279
|
|$50,658
|
|$123,568
|
|$146,147
|
|$167,622
|
|$186,434
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|$11,840
|$16,839
|$23,222
|$31,057
|$40,279
|$50,658
|$123,568
|$146,147
|$167,622
|$186,434
|$201,085
|$201,085
|$210,323
|$210,323
Line 962: Line 775:
|$1
|$1
|-
|-
|Net profits ($'million)|| style="color: red;" |-12|| style="color: red;" |-30|| style="color: red;" |-78|| style="color: red;" |-83|| style="color: red;" |−56
|Net profits ($'million)||$9,354||$13,302||$18,346||$24,535|| $31,820
| style="color: red;" |−154
| style="color: red;" |−254
| style="color: red;" |−396
| style="color: red;" |−74
| style="color: red;" |−294
| style="color: red;" |−889
| style="color: red;" |−675
| style="color: red;" |−1,962
| style="color: red;" |−976
| style="color: red;" |−862
|721
|5,519
|12,556
|$9,354
|$13,302
|$18,346
|$24,535
|$31,820
|$40,020
|$40,020
|$97,619
|$97,619
Line 1,018: Line 813:
|$1
|$1
|$0
|$0
|}
===== Balance sheet=====
=====Cash flow statement=====
====What are the assumptions used to estimate the financial forecasts?====
{| class="wikitable"
|+Key inputs
!Description
!Value
!Commentary
|-
| colspan="3" | <div style="text-align: center;">'''Revenue'''</div>
|-
|What's the estimated current size of the total addressable market?
|$2,975,000,000
|Here, the total addressable market (TAM) is defined as the global automotive market, and based on a number of assumptions<ref group="Note" name="Note01" />, it is estimated that the size of the market as of today (30th May 2022), in terms of revenue, is $2.975 billion.
|-
|What's the estimated terminal annual growth rate of the total addressable market?
|3%
|Research shows that the growth rate of the global automotive market (i.e. the total addressable market) is similar to the growth rate of global gross domestic product<ref>http://www.robertpicard.net/files/econgrowthandadvertising.pdf</ref>, which has averaged (medium) around 3% per year in the last 20 years (2001 to 2022)<ref>https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/WLD/world/gdp-growth-rate</ref>.
|-
|What's the estimated company peak market share?
|10%
|Stockhub estimates that the peak market share of Tesla is around 10%, and, therefore, suggests using the share amount here. As of 31st December 2021, Tesla's current share of the market is around 1.8%.
|-
|Which distribution function do you want to use to estimate company revenue?
|Gaussian
|Research suggests that the revenue pattern of companies is similar to the pattern produced by the Gaussian distribution function  (i.e. the revenue distribution is bell shaped)<ref>http://escml.umd.edu/Papers/ObsCPMT.pdf</ref>, so Stockhub suggests using that function here.
|-
|What is the estimated company lifespan?
|60 years
| Tesla employs around 110,000, making the company a large organisation (more than 10,000 employees), and research shows that the average lifespan of a large corporation is around 50 years.<ref>Stadler, Enduring Success, 3–5.</ref>
|-
|What's the estimated standard deviation of company revenue?
| 6 years
|Another way of asking this question is this way: within how many years either side of the mean does 68% of revenue occur? Based on Tesla's current revenue amount (i.e. $54 billion) and Tesla's estimated lifespan (i.e. 60 years) and Tesla's estimated current stage of its lifecycle (i.e. growth stage), the Stockhub company suggests using 6 years (i.e. 68% of all sales happen within 6 years either side of the mean year), so that's what's used here.
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stages</div>'''
|-
|How many main stages of growth is the company expected to go through?
| 4 stages
|Research suggests that a company typically goes through four distinct stages of cash flow growth.<ref>Levie J, Lichtenstein BB (2010) A terminal assessment of stages theory: Introducing a dynamic approach to entrepreneurship. Entrepreneurship: Theory & Practice 34(2): 317–350. <nowiki>https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6520.2010.00377.x</nowiki></ref> Research also shows that incorporating those stages into the discounted cash flow model improves the quality of the model and, ultimately, the quality of the value estimation.<ref>Stef Hinfelaar et al.:, 2019.</ref>
In addition, research shows that a key way to determine the stage which a company is in is by examining the cash flow patterns of the company.<ref>Dickinson, 2010.</ref> A summary of the economic links to cash flow patterns can be found in the appendix of this report. Stockhub estimates that with Tesla's operating cash flows positive (+), investing cash flows negative (-) and its financing cash flows positive (+), the company is in the second stage of growth (i.e. the 'growth' stage), and, therefore, it has a total of three main stages of growth.
On 7th February 2022, Tesla said it currently expects: to continue to generate net positive operating cash flow as it has done in the last four fiscal years; its capital expenditures to be between $5.00 to $7.00 billion in 2022 and each of the next two fiscal years; and its ability to be self-funding to continue as long as macroeconomic factors support current trends in its sales. Accordingly, based on forward looking statements, it appears that the company is in stage two of the business lifecycle  (i.e. the 'growth' stage), and, therefore, it has a total of three main stages of growth remaining.
|-
|-
| colspan="61" |<div style="text-align: center;">'''Balance sheet'''</div>
|What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 1?
|-
|30%
|Total assets<br />($'million)
|Research suggests 30%.<ref name=":6">http://escml.umd.edu/Papers/ObsCPMT.pdf</ref>
|8
|-
|44
|What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 2?
|34
|10%
|52
|Research suggests 10%.<ref name=":6" />
|130
|386
|713
|1,114
|2,417
|5,831
|8,068
|22,664
|28,655
|29,740
|34,309
|52,148
|62,131
|82,338
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
| colspan="61" |<div style="text-align: center;">'''Other'''</div>
|-
|-
|Employees
| What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 3?
|NA
|20%
|70
| Research suggests 20%.<ref name=":6" />
|268
|-
|252
|What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 4?
|514
|40%
|899
|Research suggests 40%.<ref name=":6" />
|1,417
|-
|2,914
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 2</div>'''
|5,859
|-
|10,161
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|13,058
|70%
|17,782
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7">http://people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/pdfiles/papers/younggrowth.pdf</ref>, and the margin for its peers is 70%.
|37,543
|-
|48,817
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|48,016
|15%
|70,757
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />, and the margin for its peers is 15%.
|99,290
|-
|127,855
|Tax rate (%)
|
|21%
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use the marginal tax rate of the country in which the company mainly operates. Tesla mainly operates in the United States, and the marginal tax rate there is 21%.
|
|-
|
|Depreciation and amortisation as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|5%
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />, and the margin for its peers is 5%.
|
|-
|
|Fixed capital as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|15%
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 15%.
|
|-
|
|Working capital as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|15%
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 15%.
|
|-
|
|Net borrowing ($000)
|
|Zero
|
|Stockhub suggests that for simplicity, the net borrowing figure is zero.
|
|-
|
|Interest amount ($000)
|
|Zero
|
|Stockhub suggests that for simplicity, the interest amount figure is zero.
|
|-
|
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 3</div>'''
|
|-
|
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
|
|55%
|
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />, and the margin for its peers is 55%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|}
 
=== What are the assumptions used to estimate the financial forecasts? ===
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+Key inputs
!Description
!Value
!Commentary
|-
|-
| colspan="3" | <div style="text-align: center;">'''Revenue'''</div>
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|15%
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />, and the margin for its peers is 15%.
|-
|-
|What's the estimated current size of the total addressable market?
|Tax rate (%)
|$2,975,000,000
|21%
|Here, the total addressable market (TAM) is defined as the global automotive market, and based on a number of assumptions<ref group="Note" name="Note01" />, it is estimated that the size of the market as of today (30th May 2022), in terms of revenue, is $2.975 trillion.
|Research suggests that it's best to use the marginal tax rate of the country in which the company mainly operates. Tesla mainly operates in the United States, and the marginal tax rate there is 21%.
 
 
If the TAM is defined as the global energy market, then research suggests that the estimated size of the market is $6.777 trillion.<ref name=":16">https://www.ucl.ac.uk/bartlett/sustainable/sites/bartlett/files/an_exploration_of_energy_cost_ranges_limits_and_adjustment_process.pdf</ref>
|-
|-
|What is the estimated company lifespan?
|Depreciation and amortisation as a proportion of revenue (%)
|60 years
|5%
|Tesla employs around 110,000, making the company a large organisation (more than 10,000 employees), and research shows that the average lifespan of a large corporation is around 50 years.<ref>Stadler, Enduring Success, 3–5.</ref>
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 5%.
|-
|-
|What's the estimated annual growth rate of the total addressable market over the lifecycle of the company?
|Fixed capital as a proportion of revenue (%)
|3%
|3%
|Research shows that the growth rate of the global automotive market (i.e. the total addressable market) is similar to the growth rate of global gross domestic product<ref>http://www.robertpicard.net/files/econgrowthandadvertising.pdf</ref>, which has averaged (medium) around 3% per year in the last 20 years (2001 to 2022)<ref>https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/WLD/world/gdp-growth-rate</ref>.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 3%.
|-
|-
|What's the estimated company peak market share?
|Working capital as a proportion of revenue (%)
|10%
|10%  
|The Stockhub users estimate that especially given the leadership of the company, the peak market share of Tesla is around 10%, and, therefore, suggests using the share amount here. As of 31st December 2021, Tesla's current share of the market is estimated at around 1.8%.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 10%.
|-
|-
|Which distribution function do you want to use to estimate company revenue?
|Net borrowing ($000)
|Gaussian
|Zero
|Research suggests that the revenue pattern of companies is similar to the pattern produced by the Gaussian distribution function  (i.e. the revenue distribution is bell shaped)<ref>http://escml.umd.edu/Papers/ObsCPMT.pdf</ref>, so the Stockhub users suggest using that function here.
|Stockhub suggests that for simplicity, the net borrowing figure is zero.
|-
|-
|What's the estimated standard deviation of company revenue?
|Interest amount ($000)
| 6 years
|Zero
|Another way of asking this question is this way: within how many years either side of the mean does 68% of revenue occur? Based on Tesla's current revenue amount (i.e. $54 billion) and Tesla's estimated lifespan (i.e. 60 years) and Tesla's estimated current stage of its lifecycle (i.e. growth stage), the Stockhub users suggest using 6 years (i.e. 68% of all sales happen within 6 years either side of the mean year), so that's what's used here.
|Stockhub suggests that for simplicity, the interest amount figure is zero.
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stages</div>'''
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 4</div>'''
|-
|-
|How many main stages of growth is the company expected to go through?
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)  
| 4 stages
|55%
|Research suggests that a company typically goes through four distinct stages of cash flow growth.<ref>Levie J, Lichtenstein BB (2010) A terminal assessment of stages theory: Introducing a dynamic approach to entrepreneurship. Entrepreneurship: Theory & Practice 34(2): 317–350. <nowiki>https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6520.2010.00377.x</nowiki></ref> Research also shows that incorporating those stages into the discounted cash flow model improves the quality of the model and, ultimately, the quality of the value estimation.<ref>Stef Hinfelaar et al.:, 2019.</ref>
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the margin for its peers is 55%.  
 
In addition, research shows that a key way to determine the stage which a company is in is by examining the cash flow patterns of the company.<ref>Dickinson, 2010.</ref> A summary of the economic links to cash flow patterns can be found in the appendix of this report. The Stockhub users estimate that with Tesla's operating cash flows positive (+), investing cash flows negative (-) and its financing cash flows positive (+), the company is in the second stage of growth (i.e. the 'growth' stage), and, therefore, it has a total of three main stages of growth. Note, to account for one-off events, the three-year average (median) amount was used to calculate the cash flows.
 
On 7th February 2022, Tesla said it currently expects: to continue to generate net positive operating cash flow as it has done in the last four fiscal years; its capital expenditures to be between $5.00 to $7.00 billion in 2022 and each of the next two fiscal years; and its ability to be self-funding to continue as long as macroeconomic factors support current trends in its sales. Accordingly, based on forward looking statements, it appears that the company is in stage two of the business lifecycle  (i.e. the 'growth' stage), and, therefore, it has a total of three main stages of growth remaining.
|-
|What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 1?
|30%
|Research suggests 30%.<ref name=":6">http://escml.umd.edu/Papers/ObsCPMT.pdf</ref>
|-
|What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 2?
|10%
|Research suggests 10%.<ref name=":6" />
|-
| What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 3?
|20%
| Research suggests 20%.<ref name=":6" />
|-
|What proportion of the company lifecycle is represented by growth stage 4?
|40%
|Research suggests 40%.<ref name=":6" />
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 2</div>'''
|-
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)  
|79%
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7">http://people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/pdfiles/papers/younggrowth.pdf</ref>, and the margin for its peers is 79%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.  
|-
|-
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
|15%
|15%
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />, and the margin for its peers is 15%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the margin for its peers is 15%.
|-
|-
|Tax rate (%)  
|Tax rate (%)  
|11%
|21%
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />, and the rate for its peers is 11%.
|Research suggests that it's best to use the marginal tax rate of the country in which the company mainly operates. Tesla mainly operates in the United States, and the marginal tax rate there is 21%.
|-
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation as a proportion of revenue (%)  
|Depreciation and amortisation as a proportion of revenue (%)  
|7%
|5%
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />, and the margin for its peers is 7%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 5%.
|-
|-
|Fixed capital as a proportion of revenue (%)  
|Fixed capital as a proportion of revenue (%)
|10%
| 3%
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 10%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 3%.
|-
|-
|Working capital as a proportion of revenue (%)
|Working capital as a proportion of revenue (%)
|15%  
| 10%  
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 2)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 15%.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 10%.
|-
|-
|Net borrowing ($000)
|Net borrowing ($000)
Line 1,244: Line 982:
|Zero
|Zero
|Stockhub suggests that for simplicity, the interest amount figure is zero.
|Stockhub suggests that for simplicity, the interest amount figure is zero.
|-
|}
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 3</div>'''
 
|-
==Risks==
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
 
|62%
As with any investment, investing in Tesla carries a level of risk. Overall, based on the key risks highlighted below, the degree of risk associated with an investment in Tesla is high.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />, and the margin for its peers is 62%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.  
 
|-
===Risks related to the ability to grow the business===
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
 
|13%
*Tesla may be impacted by macroeconomic conditions resulting from the global COVID-19 pandemic.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />, and the margin for its peers is 13%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
*Tesla may experience delays in launching and ramping the production of its products and features, or Tesla may be unable to control its manufacturing costs.
|-
*Tesla may be unable to grow its global product sales, delivery and installation capabilities and its servicing and vehicle charging networks, or Tesla may be unable to accurately project and effectively manage its growth.
|Tax rate (%)
*Tesla's future growth and success is dependent upon consumers’ demand for electric vehicles and specifically its vehicles in an automotive industry that is generally competitive, cyclical and volatile.
|14%
*Tesla's suppliers may fail to deliver components according to schedules, prices, quality and volumes that are acceptable to us, or Tesla may be unable to manage these components effectively.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />, and the rate for its peers is 14%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
*Tesla may be unable to meet its projected construction timelines, costs and production ramps at new factories, or Tesla may experience difficulties in generating and maintaining demand for products manufactured there.
|-
* Tesla will need to maintain and significantly grow its access to battery cells, including through the development and manufacture of its own cells, and control its related costs.
|Depreciation and amortisation as a proportion of revenue (%)
*Tesla faces strong competition for its products and services from a growing list of established and new competitors.
|4%
 
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 4%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
===Risks related to the company's operations===
|-
 
|Fixed capital as a proportion of revenue (%)
*Tesla may experience issues with lithium-ion cells or other components manufactured at Gigafactory Nevada and Gigafactory Shanghai, which may harm the production and profitability of its vehicle and energy storage products.
|3%
*Tesla faces risks associated with maintaining and expanding its international operations, including unfavourable and uncertain regulatory, political, economic, tax and labour conditions.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 3)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 3%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
*Tesla's business may suffer if its products or features contain defects, fail to perform as expected or take longer than expected to become fully functional.
|-
*Tesla may be required to defend or insure against product liability claims.
|Working capital as a proportion of revenue (%)
*Tesla will need to maintain public credibility and confidence in its long-term business prospects in order to succeed.
|10%
*Tesla may be unable to effectively grow, or manage the compliance, residual value, financing and credit risks related to, its various financing programs.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 10%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
*Tesla must manage ongoing obligations under its agreement with the Research Foundation for the State University of New York relating to its Gigafactory New York.
|-
*If Tesla is unable to attract, hire and retain key employees and qualified personnel, its ability to compete may be harmed.
|Net borrowing ($000)
*Tesla is highly dependent on the services of Elon Musk, its Chief Executive Officer.
|Zero
*Tesla's information technology systems or data, or those of its service providers or customers or users could be subject to cyber-attacks or other security incidents, which could result in data breaches, intellectual property theft, claims, litigation, regulatory investigations, significant liability, reputational damage and other adverse consequences.
|The Stockhub users suggest that for simplicity, the net borrowing figure is zero.
*Any unauthorized control or manipulation of Tesla's products’ systems could result in loss of confidence in it and its products.
|-
*Tesla's business may be adversely affected by any disruptions caused by union activities.
|Interest amount ($000)
*Tesla may choose to or be compelled to undertake product recalls or take other similar actions.
|Zero
*Tesla's current and future warranty reserves may be insufficient to cover future warranty claims.
|The Stockhub users suggest that for simplicity, the interest amount figure is zero.
*Tesla's insurance coverage strategy may not be adequate to protect it from all business risks.
|-
*Tesla's debt agreements contain covenant restrictions that may limit its ability to operate its business.
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 4</div>'''
*Additional funds may not be available to Tesla when it needs or want them.
|-
*Tesla may be negatively impacted by any early obsolescence of its manufacturing equipment.
|Cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue (%)
*Tesla holds and may acquire digital assets that may be subject to volatile market prices, impairment and unique risks of loss.
|99%
*There is no guarantee that Tesla will have sufficient cash flow from its business to pay its indebtedness or that it will not incur additional indebtedness.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the margin for its peers is 99%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.  
*Tesla is exposed to fluctuations in currency exchange rates.
|-
*Tesla may need to defend itself against intellectual property infringement claims, which may be time-consuming and expensive.
|Operating expenses as a proportion of revenue (%)
*Increased scrutiny and changing expectations from stakeholders with respect to the company's ESG practices may result in additional costs or risks.
|15%
* Tesla's operations could be adversely affected by events outside of its control, such as natural disasters, wars or health epidemics.
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar margin rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the margin for its peers is 15%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Tax rate (%)
|0%
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar rate as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the rate for its peers is 0%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Depreciation and amortisation as a proportion of revenue (%)
|37%
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 37%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Fixed capital as a proportion of revenue (%)
| 1%
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 1%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Working capital as a proportion of revenue (%)
| 10%
|Research suggests that it's best to use a similar amount as the one used by peers that are in the same growth stage (i.e. growth stage 4)<ref name=":7" />, and the amount for its peers is 10%. Information on the peers and the calculation of the figure used here can be found in the appendix of this report.
|-
|Net borrowing ($000)
|Zero
|The Stockhub users suggest that for simplicity, the net borrowing figure is zero.
|-
|Interest amount ($000)
|Zero
|The Stockhub users suggest that for simplicity, the interest amount figure is zero.
|}


==Risks==
===Risks related to government laws and regulations===


As with any investment, investing in Tesla carries a level of risk. Overall, based on the Tesla's adjusted beta (i.e. 2.12), the degree of risk associated with an investment in Tesla is 'high'.
* Demand for Tesla's products and services may be impacted by the status of government and economic incentives supporting the development and adoption of such products.
*Tesla is subject to evolving laws and regulations that could impose substantial costs, legal prohibitions or unfavourable changes upon its operations or products.
*Any failure by Tesla to comply with a variety of United States and international privacy and consumer protection laws may harm the company.
*Tesla could be subject to liability, penalties and other restrictive sanctions and adverse consequences arising out of certain governmental investigations and proceedings.
*Tesla may face regulatory challenges to or limitations on its ability to sell vehicles directly.


Here, to estimate the adjusted beta, we used the iShares MSCI World ETF to represent the market portfolio; and in terms of the time period and frequency of observations, we used five years of monthly data (i.e. 60 observations in total), which is supported by a study and is the most common choice. The beta value in a future period has been found to be on average closer to the mean value of 1.0, and because valuation is forward-looking, it is logical to adjust the raw beta so it more accurately predicts a future beta. In addition, here, we have assumed that for an investment to be considered 'high' risk, it must have a beta value of 1.5 or more. Further information about the beta ratings can be found in the appendix section of this report.
===Risks related to the ownership of the company's common stock=== 


The key risks can be found below. For us, currently, the biggest risk to the valuation of the company relates to the strong competition for its products and services from a growing list of established and new competitors (i.e. competition risk).
*The trading price of Tesla's common stock is likely to continue to be volatile.
* Tesla's financial results may vary significantly from period to period due to fluctuations in its operating costs and other factors.
*Tesla may fail to meet its publicly announced guidance or other expectations about its business, which could cause its stock price to decline.
*Transactions relating to Tesla's convertible senior notes may dilute the ownership interest of existing stockholders, or may otherwise depress the price of its common stock.
*If Elon Musk were forced to sell shares of Tesla's common stock that he has pledged to secure certain personal loan obligations, such sales could cause its stock price to decline.
* Anti-takeover provisions contained in Tesla's governing documents, applicable laws and its convertible senior notes could impair a takeover attempt.


===Risks related to the ability to grow the business===  
==Valuation==
 
===What's the expected return of an investment in the company?===


*Tesla may be impacted by macroeconomic conditions resulting from the global COVID-19 pandemic.
Stockhub estimates that the expected return of an investment in the company over the next five years is 72%. In other words, an £1,000 investment in the company is expected to return £1,720 in five years time. The assumptions used to estimate the return figure can be found in the table below.
*Tesla may experience delays in launching and ramping the production of its products and features, or Tesla may be unable to control its manufacturing costs.
*Tesla may be unable to grow its global product sales, delivery and installation capabilities and its servicing and vehicle charging networks, or Tesla may be unable to accurately project and effectively manage its growth.
*Tesla's future growth and success is dependent upon consumers’ demand for electric vehicles and specifically its vehicles in an automotive industry that is generally competitive, cyclical and volatile.
*Tesla's suppliers may fail to deliver components according to schedules, prices, quality and volumes that are acceptable to us, or Tesla may be unable to manage these components effectively.
*Tesla may be unable to meet its projected construction timelines, costs and production ramps at new factories, or Tesla may experience difficulties in generating and maintaining demand for products manufactured there.
* Tesla will need to maintain and significantly grow its access to battery cells, including through the development and manufacture of its own cells, and control its related costs.
*Tesla faces strong competition for its products and services from a growing list of established and new competitors.


===Risks related to the company's operations===
Assuming that a suitable return level over five years is 10% per year and Tesla achieves its expected return level (of 72%), then an investment in the company is considered to be a 'suitable' one.


*Tesla may experience issues with lithium-ion cells or other components manufactured at Gigafactory Nevada and Gigafactory Shanghai, which may harm the production and profitability of its vehicle and energy storage products.
===What are the assumptions used to estimate the return?===
*Tesla faces risks associated with maintaining and expanding its international operations, including unfavourable and uncertain regulatory, political, economic, tax and labour conditions.
*Tesla's business may suffer if its products or features contain defects, fail to perform as expected or take longer than expected to become fully functional.
*Tesla may be required to defend or insure against product liability claims.
*Tesla will need to maintain public credibility and confidence in its long-term business prospects in order to succeed.
*Tesla may be unable to effectively grow, or manage the compliance, residual value, financing and credit risks related to, its various financing programs.
*Tesla must manage ongoing obligations under its agreement with the Research Foundation for the State University of New York relating to its Gigafactory New York.
*If Tesla is unable to attract, hire and retain key employees and qualified personnel, its ability to compete may be harmed.
*Tesla is highly dependent on the services of Elon Musk, its Chief Executive Officer.
*Tesla's information technology systems or data, or those of its service providers or customers or users could be subject to cyber-attacks or other security incidents, which could result in data breaches, intellectual property theft, claims, litigation, regulatory investigations, significant liability, reputational damage and other adverse consequences.
*Any unauthorized control or manipulation of Tesla's products’ systems could result in loss of confidence in it and its products.
*Tesla's business may be adversely affected by any disruptions caused by union activities.
*Tesla may choose to or be compelled to undertake product recalls or take other similar actions.
*Tesla's current and future warranty reserves may be insufficient to cover future warranty claims.
*Tesla's insurance coverage strategy may not be adequate to protect it from all business risks.
*Tesla's debt agreements contain covenant restrictions that may limit its ability to operate its business.
*Additional funds may not be available to Tesla when it needs or want them.
*Tesla may be negatively impacted by any early obsolescence of its manufacturing equipment.
*Tesla holds and may acquire digital assets that may be subject to volatile market prices, impairment and unique risks of loss.
*There is no guarantee that Tesla will have sufficient cash flow from its business to pay its indebtedness or that it will not incur additional indebtedness.
*Tesla is exposed to fluctuations in currency exchange rates.
*Tesla may need to defend itself against intellectual property infringement claims, which may be time-consuming and expensive.
*Increased scrutiny and changing expectations from stakeholders with respect to the company's ESG practices may result in additional costs or risks.
* Tesla's operations could be adversely affected by events outside of its control, such as natural disasters, wars or health epidemics.


===Risks related to government laws and regulations=== 
{| class="wikitable"
 
|+ Key inputs
* Demand for Tesla's products and services may be impacted by the status of government and economic incentives supporting the development and adoption of such products.
!Description  
*Tesla is subject to evolving laws and regulations that could impose substantial costs, legal prohibitions or unfavourable changes upon its operations or products.
*Any failure by Tesla to comply with a variety of United States and international privacy and consumer protection laws may harm the company.
*Tesla could be subject to liability, penalties and other restrictive sanctions and adverse consequences arising out of certain governmental investigations and proceedings.
*Tesla may face regulatory challenges to or limitations on its ability to sell vehicles directly.
 
===Risks related to the ownership of the company's common stock=== 
 
*The trading price of Tesla's common stock is likely to continue to be volatile.
* Tesla's financial results may vary significantly from period to period due to fluctuations in its operating costs and other factors.
*Tesla may fail to meet its publicly announced guidance or other expectations about its business, which could cause its stock price to decline.
*Transactions relating to Tesla's convertible senior notes may dilute the ownership interest of existing stockholders, or may otherwise depress the price of its common stock.
*If Elon Musk were forced to sell shares of Tesla's common stock that he has pledged to secure certain personal loan obligations, such sales could cause its stock price to decline.
* Anti-takeover provisions contained in Tesla's governing documents, applicable laws and its convertible senior notes could impair a takeover attempt.
 
==Valuation==
 
===What's the expected return of an investment in the company?===
 
The Stockhub users estimate that the expected return of an investment in the company over the next five years is negative 24%. In other words, an £1,000 investment in the company is expected to return £760 in five years time. The assumptions used to estimate the return figure can be found in the table below.
 
Assuming that a suitable return level over five years is 10% per year and Tesla achieves its expected return level (of negative 24%), then an investment in the company is considered to be an 'unsuitable' one.
 
===What are the assumptions used to estimate the return?===
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+ Key inputs
!Description  
!Value
!Value
!Commentary
!Commentary
Line 1,399: Line 1,065:
#By comparing the investment to other similar investments (i.e. relative valuation).
#By comparing the investment to other similar investments (i.e. relative valuation).


Research suggests that in terms of estimating the expected return of an investment over a period of 12-months or more, the approach that is more accurate is the discounted cash flow approach<ref name=":5">Demirakos et al., 2010; Gleason et al., 2013</ref>, so that's the approach that he Stockhub users suggest to use here; nevertheless, for completeness purposes, separately, the valuation of the company is also estimated using the using the relative valuation approach (the valuation based on the relative approach can be found in the appendix of this report).   
Research suggests that in terms of estimating the expected return of an investment over a period of 12-months or more, the approach that is more accurate is the discounted cash flow approach<ref name=":5">Demirakos et al., 2010; Gleason et al., 2013</ref>, so that's the approach that Stockhub suggests to use here; nevertheless, for completeness purposes, separately, the valuation of the company is also estimated using the using the relative valuation approach (the valuation based on the relative approach can be found in the appendix of this report).   


Tesla has never paid cash dividends, and on 7th February 2022, it said that it currently does not anticipate paying any cash dividends in the foreseeable future. Accordingly, the Stockhub users suggest using the free cash flow valuation method (rather than the dividend discount model).  
Tesla has never paid cash dividends, and on 7th February 2022, it said that it currently does not anticipate paying any cash dividends in the foreseeable future. Accordingly, Stockhub suggests using the free cash flow valuation method (rather than the dividend discount model).  
|-
|-
|Which financial forecasts to use?
|Which financial forecasts to use?
| Stockhub
| Stockhub
|The only available long-term forecasts (i.e. >15 years) are the ones that are supplied by the Stockhub users (the forecasts can be found in the financials section of this report), so the Stockhub users suggest using those.
|The only available long-term forecasts (i.e. >15 years) are the ones that are supplied by the Stockhub company (the forecasts can be found in the financials section of this report), so Stockhub suggests using those.
|-
|-
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 2</div>'''  
| colspan="3" |'''<div style="text-align: center;">Growth stage 2</div>'''  
|-
|-
|Discount rate (%)
|Discount rate (%)
| 15%
| 8%
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity is by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|-
|-
|Probability of success (%)
|Probability of success (%)
| 90%
| 100%
| Research suggests that a suitable rate for a company in this growth stage (i.e. stage 2) is 90%.
| Research suggests that a suitable rate for a company in this growth stage (i.e. stage 2) is 100%.


|-
|-
Line 1,421: Line 1,087:
|-
|-
|Discount rate (%)
|Discount rate (%)
| 10%
| 8%
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity is by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|-
|-
|Probability of success (%)
|Probability of success (%)
Line 1,432: Line 1,098:
|-
|-
|Discount rate (%)
|Discount rate (%)
| 10%
| 8%
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity is by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|There are two key risk parameters for a firm that need to be estimated: its cost of equity and its cost of debt. A key way to estimate the cost of equity by looking at the beta (or betas) of the company in question, the cost of debt from a measure of default risk (an actual or synthetic rating) and apply the market value weights for debt and equity to come up with the cost of capital.
|-
|-
|Probability of success (%)
|Probability of success (%)
Line 1,443: Line 1,109:
|-
|-
|What's the current value of the company?
|What's the current value of the company?
|$950.54 billion
|$688 billion
|As at 5th June 2022, the current value of the Tesla company is $950.54 billion.
|As at 30th May 2022, the Stockhub company estimates the current value of its company at $688 billion.
|-
|-
|Which time period do you want to use to estimate the expected return?
|Which time period do you want to use to estimate the expected return?
| Between now and five years time
| Between now and five years time
|Research suggests that following a market crash, the average amount of time it takes for the price of a stock market to return to its pre-crash level (i.e. the recovery period) is at least three years.<ref>https://www.newyorkfed.org/mediabrary/media/medialibrary/media/research/staff_reports/research_papers/9809.pdf</ref> Accordingly, Stockhub suggests that to account for general market cyclicity, it's best to estimate the expected return of the company between now and five years time.
|Stockhub suggests that to account for general market cyclicity, it's best to estimate the expected return of the company between now and five years time.
|}
|}


Line 1,457: Line 1,123:
#The size of the total addressable market (the default size is $3.0 trillion);
#The size of the total addressable market (the default size is $3.0 trillion);
#Tesla peak market share (the default share is 10%); and  
#Tesla peak market share (the default share is 10%); and  
#The discount rate (the default time-weighted average rate is 10%).
#The discount rate (the default time-weighted average rate is 8%).


The impact of a 50% change in those main inputs to the expected return of the Tesla investment is shown in the table below.
The impact of a 50% change in those main inputs to the expected return of the Tesla investment is shown in the table below.
Line 1,469: Line 1,135:
|-
|-
|The size of the total addressable market
|The size of the total addressable market
|N/A
|(14%)
|(24%)
|72%
|N/A
|158%
|-
|-
|Tesla peak market share
|Tesla peak market share
|N/A
|(14%)
| (24%)
| 72%
| N/A
| 158%
|-
|-
|The discount rate
|The discount rate


|N/A
|30%
|(24%)
|72%
| N/A
| 136%


|}
|}
Line 1,488: Line 1,154:
==Appendix==
==Appendix==


=== Competition ===
=== Financial statements ===
==== Automotive ====
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+Model S competition comparison
|+Balance sheet
!Category
!Year end date
!Model S<ref name=":8">https://www.porsche.com/usa/models/taycan/taycan-models/taycan/</ref>
!31/12/2021
!Porsche Taycan<ref name=":8" />
!31/12/2020
!31/12/2019
!31/12/2018
|-
|-
|Is the vehicle fully electric?
|'''Current Assets'''
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|
|
|
|-
|-
|What's the top acceleration of the vehicle?
|Cash and Cash Equivalents ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |3.1 seconds
|$17,576
| style="background: red; color: white;" |5.1 seconds
|$19,384
|$6,268
|$3,879
|-
|-
|What's the maximum distance range of the vehicle on a single battery charge?
|Short-Term Investments ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |405 miles
|$131
| style="background: red; color: white;" |200 miles
| --
| --
| --
|-
|-
|What's the top speed of the vehicle?
|Net Receivables ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |155 miles per hour
|$1,913
| style="background: red; color: white;" |143 miles per hour
|$1,886
|$1,324
|$949
|-
|-
|Which design type is the vehicle?
|Inventory ($million)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Sedan (i.e. car)
|$5,757
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Sedan (i.e. car)
|$4,101
|$3,552
|$3,113
|-
|-
|What is the safety rating of the vehicle?
|Other Current Assets ($million)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
|$1,723
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
|$1,346
|$959
|$366
|-
|-
|How many seats does the vehicle have?
|Total Current Assets ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |5 seats
|$27,100
| style="background: red; color: white;" |4 seats
|$26,717
|$12,103
|$8,307
|-
|-
|What's the cargo capacity of the vehicle?
|'''Long-Term Assets'''
| style="background: green; color: white;" |28 cubic feet
|
| style="background: red; color: white;" |17.2 cubic feet
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Which drive wheel does the vehicle have?
|Long-Term Investments ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
| --
| style="background: red; color: white;" |Rear-wheel drive
| --
| --
|$422
|-
|-
|What's the price of the vehicle?
|Fixed Assets ($million)
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$99,990
|$25,411
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$86,700
|$17,396
|$14,061
|$13,420
|-
|-
|What's the vehicle's price per cargo capacity?
|Goodwill ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$3,571 per cubic feet
|$200
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$5,041 per cubic feet
|$207
|$198
|$68
|-
|-
|What's the vehicle's price per seat?
|Intangible Assets ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$19,998 per seat
|$257
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$21,675 per seat
|$313
|}
|$339
 
|$282
{| class="wikitable"
|+Model 3 competition comparison
!Category
!Model 3<ref>https://www.tesla.com/model3</ref>
!Mustang Mach-E<ref>https://www.ford.com/suvs/mach-e/?gnav=header-electrified-vhp</ref>
|-
|-
|Is the vehicle fully electric?
|Other Assets ($million)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|$9,163
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|$7,515
|$7,608
|$7,241
|-
|-
|What's the top acceleration of the vehicle?
|Deferred Asset Charges ($million)
| style="background: red; color: white;" |5.8 seconds
| --
| style="background: green; color: white;" |5.2 seconds
| --
| --
| --
|-
|-
|What's the maximum distance range of the vehicle on a single battery charge?
|Total Assets ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |272 miles
|$62,131
| style="background: red; color: white;" |247 miles
|$52,148
|$34,309
|$29,740
|-
|-
|What's the top speed of the vehicle?
|'''Current Liabilities'''
| style="background: green; color: white;" |140 miles per hour
|
| style="background: red; color: white;" |124 miles per hour
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Which design type is the vehicle?
|Accounts Payable ($million)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Sedan (i.e. car)
|$15,744
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |SUV (i.e. car)
|$9,906
|$6,993
|$5,499
|-
|-
|What is the safety rating of the vehicle?
|Short-Term Debt / Current Portion of Long-Term Debt ($million)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
|$1,589
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
|$2,132
|$1,785
|$2,568
|-
|-
|How many seats does the vehicle have?
|Other Current Liabilities ($million)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 seats
|$2,372
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 seats
|$2,210
|$1,889
|$1,926
|-
|-
|What's the cargo capacity of the vehicle?
|Total Current Liabilities ($million)
| style="background: red; color: white;" |23 cubic feet
|$19,705
| style="background: green; color: white;" |59.7 cubic feet
|$14,248
|$10,667
|$9,993
|-
|-
|Which drive wheel does the vehicle have?
|Long-Term Debt ($million)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Rear-wheel drive
|$5,245
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Rear-wheel drive
|$9,556
|$11,634
|$9,404
|-
|-
|What's the price of the vehicle?
|Other Liabilities ($million)
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$46,990
|$3,546
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$43,895
|$3,330
|$2,691
|$3,039
|-
|-
|What's the vehicle's price per cargo capacity?
|Deferred Liability Charges ($million)
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$2,043 per cubic feet
|$2,052
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$735 per cubic feet
|$1,284
|$1,207
|$991
|-
|-
|What's the vehicle's price per seat?
|Misc. Stocks ($million)
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$9,398 per seat
|$826
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$8,779 per seat
|$850
|}
|$849
 
|$834
{| class="wikitable"
|+Model X competition comparison
!Category
!Model X<ref name=":13" />
!Audi e-tron<ref>https://www.audiusa.com/us/web/en/models/e-tron/e-tron/2022/overview.html#2022-Audi-e-tron%C2%AE</ref>
|-
|-
|Is the vehicle fully electric?
|Minority Interest ($million)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|$568
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|$655
|$643
|$556
|-
|-
|What's the top acceleration of the vehicle?
|Total Liabilities ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |3.8 seconds
|$31,374
| style="background: red; color: white;" |5.5 seconds
|$29,268
|$27,048
|$24,261
|-
|-
|What's the maximum distance range of the vehicle on a single battery charge?
|'''Stock Holders Equity'''
| style="background: green; color: white;" |348 miles
|
| style="background: red; color: white;" |222 miles
|
|
|
|-
|-
|What's the top speed of the vehicle?
|Common Stocks ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |155 miles per hour
|$1
| style="background: red; color: white;" |124 miles per hour
|$1
|$1
| --
|-
|-
|Which design type is the vehicle?
|Capital Surplus ($million)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |SUV (i.e. car)
|$331
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |SUV (i.e. car)
| style="color: red;" |-$5,399
| style="color: red;" |-$6,083
| style="color: red;" |-$5,318
|-
|-
|What is the safety rating of the vehicle?
|Retained Earnings
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
| --
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
| --
| --
| --
|-
|-
|How many seats does the vehicle have?
|Treasury Stock ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |7 seats
|$29,803
| style="background: red; color: white;" |5 seats
|$27,260
|$12,736
|$10,249
|-
|-
|What's the cargo capacity of the vehicle?
|Other Equity ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |88 cubic feet
|$54
| style="background: red; color: white;" |56 cubic feet
|$363
| style="color: red;" |-$36
| style="color: red;" |-$8
|-
|-
|Which drive wheel does the vehicle have?
|Total Equity ($million)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
|$30,189
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
|$22,225
|$6,618
|$4,923
|-
|-
|What's the price of the vehicle?
|Total Liabilities & Equity ($million)
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$114,990
|$62,131
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$65,900
|$52,148
|-
|$34,309
|What's the vehicle's price per cargo capacity?
|$29,740
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$1,307 per cubic feet
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$1,168 per cubic feet
|-
|What's the vehicle's price per seat?
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$16,427 per seat
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$13,180 per seat
|}
|}


{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+Model Y competition comparison
|+Cash flow
!Category
!Year end date
!Model Y<ref name=":13" />
!31/12/2021
!Volkswagen ID.4
!31/12/2020
!31/12/2019
!31/12/2018
|-
|-
|Is the vehicle fully electric?
|Net Income ($million)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|$5,519
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|$721
| style="color: red;" |-$862
| style="color: red;" |-$976
|-
|-
|What's the top acceleration of the vehicle?
|'''Cash Flows-Operating Activities'''
| style="background: green; color: white;" |4.8 seconds
|
| style="background: red; color: white;" |8.5 seconds
|
|
|
|-
|-
|What's the maximum distance range of the vehicle on a single battery charge?
|Depreciation ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |330 miles
|$2,911
| style="background: red; color: white;" |275 miles
|$2,322
|$2,154
|$2,060
|-
|-
|What's the top speed of the vehicle?
|Net Income Adjustments ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |135 miles per hour
|$2,424
| style="background: red; color: white;" |100 miles per hour
| $2,575
| $1,375
| $1,043
|-
|-
|Which design type is the vehicle?
|'''Changes in Operating Activities'''
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |SUV (i.e. car)
|
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |SUV (i.e. car)
|
|
|
|-
|-
|What is the safety rating of the vehicle?
|Accounts Receivable ($million)
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
| style="color: red;" |-$130
| style="background: orange; color: white;" |5 out of 5 stars
| style="color: red;" |-$652
| style="color: red;" |-$367
| style="color: red;" |-$497
|-
|-
|How many seats does the vehicle have?
|Changes in Inventories ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |7 seats
| style="color: red;" |-$1,709
| style="background: red; color: white;" |5 seats
| style="color: red;" |-$422
| style="color: red;" |-$429
| style="color: red;" |-$1,023
|-
|-
|What's the cargo capacity of the vehicle?
|Other Operating Activities ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |76 cubic feet
| style="color: red;" |-$3,676
| style="background: red; color: white;" |55.6 cubic feet
| style="color: red;" |-$1,667
| style="color: red;" |-$937
| style="color: red;" |-$504
|-
|-
|Which drive wheel does the vehicle have?
|Liabilities ($million)
| style="background: green; color: white;" |All-wheel drive
|$6,033
| style="background: red; color: white;" |Rear-wheel drive
|$2,925
|$1,384
|$2,082
|-
|-
|What's the price of the vehicle?
|Net Cash Flow-Operating ($million)
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$62,990
| $11,497
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$41,230
| $5,943
| $2,405
|$2,098
|-
|-
|What's the vehicle's price per cargo capacity?
|'''Cash Flows-Investing Activities'''
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$829 per cubic feet
|
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$742 per cubic feat
|
|
|
|-
|-
|What's the vehicle's price per seat?
|Capital Expenditures ($million)
| style="background: red; color: white;" |$8,999 per seat
| style="color: red;" |-$6,514
| style="background: green; color: white;" |$8,248 per seat
| style="color: red;" |-$3,232
|}
| style="color: red;" |-$1,432
 
| style="color: red;" |-$2,319
==== Energy generation and storage ====
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+All Tesla energy storage competition comparison
|-
|-
! !!Powerwall!!'''Megapack'''
|Investments ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$132
| --
| --
| --
|-
|-
|Is the source of energy solar?||style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes||style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|Other Investing Activities ($million)
|-
| style="color: red;" |-$1,222
|Is it designed for houses (i.e. smaller electricity demand)?||style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes||style="background: red; color: white;" |No
|$100
| style="color: red;" |-$4
| style="color: red;" |-$18
|-
|-
|Is it designed for commercial buildings (i.e. greater electricity demand)?||style="background: red; color: white;" |No|| style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes
|Net Cash Flows-Investing ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$7,868
| style="color: red;" |-$3,132
| style="color: red;" |-$1,436
| style="color: red;" |-$2,337
|-
|-
|What's the energy capacity of the product?
|'''Cash Flows-Financing Activities'''
|style="background: red; color: white;" |13.5 kilowatt hour
|
|style="background: green; color: white;" |3.5 megawatt hour
|
|
|
|-
|-
|What’s the power of the product?
|Sale and Purchase of Stock ($million)
|style="background: red; color: white;" |5 kilowatts
|$699
|style="background: green; color: white;" |1.54 megawatts
|$12,675
|$1,555
|$727
|-
|-
|How long does it take to charge the battery if there’s sufficient solar energy?
|Net Borrowings ($million)
|style="background: red; color: white;" |2.7 hours
| style="color: red;" |-$5,732
|style="background: green; color: white;" |2.3 hours
| style="color: red;" |-$2,488
|$798
|$89
|-
|-
|What's the price of the product?
|Other Financing Activities ($million)
|style="background: green; color: white;" |$10,500
| --
|style="background: red; color: white;" |$1,000,000
| --
|-
| --
|What's the price per energy capacity?
| --
|style="background: red; color: white;" |$593 per kilowatt hour
|style="background: green; color: white;" |$286 per kilowatt hour
|}
Note: 1 megawatt is equivalent to 1,000 kilowatts.
{| class="wikitable"
|+Powerwall competition comparison
!What's the name of the product?
!Powerwall
!LG Chem
!SonnenCore
|-
|-
|Is the source of energy solar?
|Net Cash Flows-Financing ($million)
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
| style="color: red;" |-$5,203
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|$9,973
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |Yes
|$1,529
|$574
|-
|-
|What's the energy capacity of the product?
|Effect of Exchange Rate ($million)
|style="background: green; color: white;" |13.5 kilowatt hour
| style="color: red;" |-$183
|style="background: red; color: white;" |9.3 kilowatt hour
|$334
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |10 kilowatt hour
|$8
| style="color: red;" |-$23
|-
|-
|What's the price of the product?
|Net Cash Flow ($million)
|style="background: red; color: white;" |$10,500
| style="color: red;" |-$1,757
|style="background: green; color: white;" |$7,000
|$13,118
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$9,500
|$2,506
|-
|$312
|What's the price per energy capacity?
|style="background: green; color: white;" |$593 per kilowatt hour
|style="background: orange; color: white;" |$753 per kilowatt hour
|style="background: red; color: white;" |$950 per kilowatt hour
|}
|}


{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+Solar Roof competition comparison
|+Income statement
!Year end date
!31/12/2021
!31/12/2020
!31/12/2019
!31/12/2018
|-
|-
! !!Solar Roof!!Traditional roof tile
|Total Revenue
!Other solar-energy generation roof tile
|$53,823
|$31,536
|$24,578
|$21,461
|-
|Cost of Revenue
|$40,217
|$24,906
|$20,509
|$17,419
|-
|-
|Does it generate electricity?|| style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes|| style="background: red; color: white;" |No
|'''Gross Profit'''
| style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes
|'''$13,606'''
|'''$6,630'''
|'''$4,069'''
|'''$4,042'''
|-
|-
|Is it aesthetically beautiful?|| style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes|| style="background: green; color: white;" |Yes
|'''Operating Expenses'''
| style="background: red; color: white;" |No
|}
 
=== Financial statements ===
{| class="wikitable"
|+Balance sheet
!Year end date
!31/12/2021
!31/12/2020
!31/12/2019
!31/12/2018
|-
|'''Current Assets'''
|
|
|
|
Line 1,800: Line 1,541:
|
|
|-
|-
|Cash and Cash Equivalents ($million)
|Research and Development
|$17,576
|$2,593
|$19,384
|$1,491
|$6,268
|$1,343
|$3,879
|$1,460
|-
|Sales, General and Admin.
|$4,517
|$3,145
|$2,646
|$2,835
|-
|Non-Recurring Items
| style="color: red;" |-$27
| --
|$149
|$135
|-
|-
|Short-Term Investments ($million)
|Other Operating Items
|$131
| --
| --
| --
| --
| --
| --
| --
|-
|-
|Net Receivables ($million)
|'''Operating Income'''
|$1,913
|'''$6,523'''
|$1,886
|'''$1,994'''
|$1,324
|style="color: red;" |'''-$69'''
|$949
|style="color: red;" |'''-$388'''
|-
|Add'l income/expense items
| $191
| style="color: red;" |-$92
| $89
|$46
|-
|-
|Inventory ($million)
|Earnings Before Interest and Tax
|$5,757
|$6,714
|$4,101
|$1,902
|$3,552
|$20
|$3,113
| style="color: red;" |-$342
|-
|-
|Other Current Assets ($million)
|Interest Expense
|$1,723
|$371
|$1,346
|$748
|$959
|$685
|$366
|$663
|-
|-
|Total Current Assets ($million)
|Earnings Before Tax
|$27,100
|$6,343
|$26,717
|$1,154
|$12,103
| style="color: red;" |-$665
|$8,307
| style="color: red;" |-$1,005
|-
|-
|'''Long-Term Assets'''
|Income Tax
|
|$699
|
|$292
|
|$110
|
|$58
|-
|-
|Long-Term Investments ($million)
|Minority Interest
| --
| --
| --
| --
| --
| --
| --
|$422
|-
|-
|Fixed Assets ($million)
|Equity Earnings/Loss Unconsolidated Subsidiary
|$25,411
| style="color: red;" |-$125
|$17,396
| style="color: red;" |-$141
|$14,061
| style="color: red;" |-$87
|$13,420
|$87
|-
|Net Income-Cont. Operations
|$5,519
|$721
| style="color: red;" |-$862
| style="color: red;" |-$976
|-
|-
|Goodwill ($million)
|'''Net Income'''
|$200
|'''$5,519'''
|$207
|'''$721'''
|$198
| style="color: red;" |'''-$862'''
|$68
| style="color: red;" |'''-$976'''
|-
|-
|Intangible Assets ($million)
|'''Net Income Applicable to Common Shareholders'''
|$257
|'''$5,519'''
|$313
|'''$721'''
|$339
| style="color: red;" |'''-$862'''
|$282
| style="color: red;" |'''-$976'''
|}
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+Financial ratios
!Year end date
!31/12/2021
!31/12/2020
!31/12/2019
!31/12/2018
|-
|-
|Other Assets ($million)
| colspan="5" |'''Liquidity Ratios'''
|$9,163
|$7,515
|$7,608
|$7,241
|-
|-
|Deferred Asset Charges ($million)
|Current Ratio
| --
|138%
| --
| 188%
| --
| 113%
| --
| 83%
|-
|-
|Total Assets ($million)
|Quick Ratio
|$62,131
|108%
|$52,148
|159%
|$34,309
|80%
|$29,740
|52%
|-
|-
|'''Current Liabilities'''
|Cash Ratio
|
|90%
|
|136%
|
|59%
|
|39%
|-
|-
|Accounts Payable ($million)
| colspan="5" |'''Profitability Ratios'''
|$15,744
|$9,906
|$6,993
|$5,499
|-
|-
|Short-Term Debt / Current Portion of Long-Term Debt ($million)
|Gross Margin
|$1,589
|25%
|$2,132
|21%
|$1,785
|17%
|$2,568
|19%
|-
|-
|Other Current Liabilities ($million)
|Operating Margin
|$2,372
|12%
|$2,210
|6%
|$1,889
|0%
|$1,926
|0%
|-
|-
|Total Current Liabilities ($million)
|Pre-Tax Margin
|$19,705
| 12%
|$14,248
| 4%
|$10,667
| 0%
|$9,993
|0%
|-
|-
|Long-Term Debt ($million)
|Profit Margin
|$5,245
|10%
|$9,556
|2%
|$11,634
|0%
|$9,404
|0%
|-
|-
|Other Liabilities ($million)
|Pre-Tax ROE
|$3,546
|21%
|$3,330
|5%
|$2,691
|0%
|$3,039
|0%
|-
|-
|Deferred Liability Charges ($million)
|After Tax ROE
|$2,052
|18%
|$1,284
|3%
|$1,207
|0%
|$991
|0%
|-
|}
|Misc. Stocks ($million)
 
|$826
===Relative valuation approach===
|$850
As noted earlier in this report, research suggests that in terms of estimating the expected return of an investment over a period of 12-months or more, the approach that is more accurate is the discounted cash flow approach, so that's the approach that Stockhub suggests using to determine the estimated value of the company (the valuation based on the discounted cash flow approach can be found in the valuation section of this report); nevertheless, for completeness purposes, separately, the valuation of the company is also estimated using the using the relative valuation approach.
|$849
 
|$834
====What's the expected return of an investment in Tesla using the relative valuation approach?====
|-
 
|Minority Interest ($million)
Accordingly, Stockhub estimates that the expected return of an investment in Tesla Inc over the next five years is 4.4x. In other words, an £1,000 investment in the company is expected to return £4,400 in five years time.  The assumptions used to estimate the return figure can be found in the table below.
|$568
 
|$655
Assuming that a suitable return level over five years is 10% per year and Tesla achieves its expected return level (of 4.4x), then an investment in the company is considered to be a 'suitable' one.
|$643
 
|$556
====What are the assumptions used to estimate the return figure?====
{| class="wikitable"
|+Key inputs
!Description
!Value
!Commentary
|-
|-
|Total Liabilities ($million)
| Which type of multiple do you want to use?
|$31,374
| Growth-adjusted EV/sales
|$29,268
| For the numerator, Stockhub believes that to account for the different financial leverage levels of its peers, it's best to use enterprise value (EV), rather than price. For the denominator, Stockhub believes that because it expects Tesla to reinvest almost all of its revenue back into the business  over the five year forecast period and therefore its earnings are expected to be abnormally low over the period, it's best to use sales. Accordingly, Stockhub suggests valuing its company using the EV/sales ratio. However, Stockhub feels that to take into account the different business lifecycle stages of its peers, the most suitable valuation multiple to use is the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple<ref group="Note" name="Note15" />, rather than the EV/sales multiple.
|$27,048
|$24,261
|-
|-
|'''Stock Holders Equity'''
|In regards to the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple, for the sales figure, which year to you want to use?
|
 
|
|Year 5
|
|Stockhub suggests that with sales forecast to grow exponential over the five year forecast period, it's best to use forward-looking data, rather than historic data.
|
 
 
In regards to the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple, for the sales figure, Stockhub suggests that in order to account for the forecasted exponential growth of the business, it's best to use one at the end of the forecast period (i.e. Year 5).
|-
|-
|Common Stocks ($million)
|In regards to the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple, for the sales growth figure, which year(s) do you want to use?
|$1
|Year 6 to 8, from now
|$1
|Stockhub suggests that for the sales growth figure, it's best to use Year 6 to 8.
|$1
| --
|-
|-
|Capital Surplus ($million)
|In regards to the growth-adjusted EV/sales multiple, what multiple figure do you want to use?
|$331
|89x
| style="color: red;" |-$5,399
|In Stockhub's view, Tesla closest peer is [[Apple]]. [[Apple]] trades on a multiple of 89x.
| style="color: red;" |-$6,083
| style="color: red;" |-$5,318
|-
|-
|Retained Earnings
|Which financial forecasts to use?
| --
|Stockhub
| --
|The only available forecasts are the ones that are supplied by the Stockhub company (the forecasts can be found in the financials section of this report), so Stockhub suggests using those.
| --
| --
|-
|-
|Treasury Stock ($million)
| What's the current value of the Stockhub company?
|$29,803
|$688 billion
|$27,260
|As at 21st May 2022, the current value of its company at $688 billion.
|$12,736
|$10,249
|-
|-
|Other Equity ($million)
|Which time period do you want to use to estimate the expected return?
|$54
|Between now and five years time
|$363
|Stockhub suggests that to account for general market cyclicity, it's best to estimate the expected return of the company between now and five years time.
| style="color: red;" |-$36
|}
| style="color: red;" |-$8
 
===Tesla peer(s)===
 
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|+Valuation table
|-
|-
|Total Equity ($million)
!Investments!! Industry !!Enterprise value/sales!!1-year forward revenue growth rates (%)!!Growth-adjusted enterprise value/sales ratio
|$30,189
|$22,225
|$6,618
|$4,923
|-
|-
|Total Liabilities & Equity ($million)
| [[Apple]]||Internet content & communication||7.27x<ref name=":0">Morningstar, Inc.</ref>||8.20%<ref name=":0" />|| style="background: blue; color: white;" |89x
|$62,131
|$52,148
|$34,309
|$29,740
|}
|}


===Economic links to cash flow patterns ===
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+Cash flow
|+Economic links to cash flow patterns
!Year end date
!31/12/2021
!31/12/2020
!31/12/2019
!31/12/2018
|-
|-
|Net Income ($million)
!Cash flow type!!Introduction!!Growth!!Shake out!!Mature!!Decline
|$5,519
|$721
| style="color: red;" |-$862
| style="color: red;" |-$976
|-
|-
|'''Cash Flows-Operating Activities'''
|Operating|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-|| style="background: green; color: white;" |+
|
| style="background: orange; color: white;" | +/-|| style="background: green; color: white;" |+|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-
|
|
|
|-
|-
|Depreciation ($million)
|Investing|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-|| style="background: orange; color: white;" |+/-|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-
|$2,911
| style="background: green; color: white;" | +
|$2,322
|$2,154
|$2,060
|-
|-
|Net Income Adjustments ($million)
|Financing|| style="background: green; color: white;" |+|| style="background: green; color: white;" |+|| style="background: orange; color: white;" |+/-|| style="background: red; color: white;" |-|| style="background: orange; color: white;" |+/-
|$2,424
|}
| $2,575
| $1,375
| $1,043
|-
|'''Changes in Operating Activities'''
|
|
|
|
|-
|Accounts Receivable ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$130
| style="color: red;" |-$652
| style="color: red;" |-$367
| style="color: red;" |-$497
|-
|Changes in Inventories ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$1,709
| style="color: red;" |-$422
| style="color: red;" |-$429
| style="color: red;" |-$1,023
|-
|Other Operating Activities ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$3,676
| style="color: red;" |-$1,667
| style="color: red;" |-$937
| style="color: red;" |-$504
|-
|Liabilities ($million)
|$6,033
|$2,925
|$1,384
|$2,082
|-
|Net Cash Flow-Operating ($million)
| $11,497
| $5,943
| $2,405
|$2,098
|-
|'''Cash Flows-Investing Activities'''
|
|
|
|
|-
|Capital Expenditures ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$6,514
| style="color: red;" |-$3,232
| style="color: red;" |-$1,432
| style="color: red;" |-$2,319
|-
|Investments ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$132
| --
| --
| --
|-
|Other Investing Activities ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$1,222
|$100
| style="color: red;" |-$4
| style="color: red;" |-$18
|-
|Net Cash Flows-Investing ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$7,868
| style="color: red;" |-$3,132
| style="color: red;" |-$1,436
| style="color: red;" |-$2,337
|-
|'''Cash Flows-Financing Activities'''
|
|
|
|
|-
|Sale and Purchase of Stock ($million)
|$699
|$12,675
|$1,555
|$727
|-
|Net Borrowings ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$5,732
| style="color: red;" |-$2,488
|$798
|$89
|-
|Other Financing Activities ($million)
| --
| --
| --
| --
|-
|Net Cash Flows-Financing ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$5,203
|$9,973
|$1,529
|$574
|-
|Effect of Exchange Rate ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$183
|$334
|$8
| style="color: red;" |-$23
|-
|Net Cash Flow ($million)
| style="color: red;" |-$1,757
|$13,118
|$2,506
|$312
|}
 
{{Tesla income statement}}
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+Financial ratios
!Year end date
!31/12/2021
!31/12/2020
!31/12/2019
!31/12/2018
|-
| colspan="5
|}
|}


== Notes==
== Notes==
Line 2,995: Line 1,873:
Research shows that an investment has two main types of risks: 1) non-systematic and 2) systematic. Systematic risk is the risk related to the overall market, and non-systematic risk is the risk that's specific to an individual investment. Evidence shows that taking on non-systematic risk is inefficient, and it's, therefore, best to eliminate it; and in most cases, elimination is fairy easy to do [by holding a diversified portfolio of investments (i.e. around 15 investments)]. Accordingly, when assessing the riskiness of an investment, it’s best to look at the systematic risk only (i.e. ignore the non-systematic risk). A key measure of systematic risk is beta, and a main way to determine the riskiness of an investment is to compare the beta of the investment with the beta of the market, which is 1. For example, Tesla's beta is 2.12, and is, accordingly, 112% above the market beta (of 1); assuming that a 'high' level of riskiness is 50% or more above the market beta, then the riskiness of investing in Tesla is considered to be 'high' (112%>50%).
Research shows that an investment has two main types of risks: 1) non-systematic and 2) systematic. Systematic risk is the risk related to the overall market, and non-systematic risk is the risk that's specific to an individual investment. Evidence shows that taking on non-systematic risk is inefficient, and it's, therefore, best to eliminate it; and in most cases, elimination is fairy easy to do [by holding a diversified portfolio of investments (i.e. around 15 investments)]. Accordingly, when assessing the riskiness of an investment, it’s best to look at the systematic risk only (i.e. ignore the non-systematic risk). A key measure of systematic risk is beta, and a main way to determine the riskiness of an investment is to compare the beta of the investment with the beta of the market, which is 1. For example, Tesla's beta is 2.12, and is, accordingly, 112% above the market beta (of 1); assuming that a 'high' level of riskiness is 50% or more above the market beta, then the riskiness of investing in Tesla is considered to be 'high' (112%>50%).


'''Current ratio'''
'''Current Ratio'''


The current ratio is a liquidity ratio that measures whether a firm has enough resources to meet its short-term obligations. It compares a firm's current assets to its current liabilities, and is expressed as follows:-
The current ratio is a liquidity ratio that measures whether a firm has enough resources to meet its short-term obligations. It compares a firm's current assets to its current liabilities, and is expressed as follows:-
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Acceptable current ratios vary from industry to industry and from business lifecycle stage.
Acceptable current ratios vary from industry to industry and from business lifecycle stage.


'''Quick ratio'''
'''Quick Ratio'''


The quick ratio, also known as the acid-test ratio, is a type of liquidity ratio, which measures the ability of a company to use its near cash or quick assets to extinguish or retire its current liabilities immediately. It is defined as the ratio between quickly available or liquid assets and current liabilities. Quick assets are current assets that can presumably be quickly converted to cash at close to their book values.
The quick ratio, also known as the acid-test ratio, is a type of liquidity ratio, which measures the ability of a company to use its near cash or quick assets to extinguish or retire its current liabilities immediately. It is defined as the ratio between quickly available or liquid assets and current liabilities. Quick assets are current assets that can presumably be quickly converted to cash at close to their book values.
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The quick ratio is similar to the current ratio, but provides a more conservative assessment of the liquidity position of firms as it excludes inventory, which it does not consider as sufficiently liquid.
The quick ratio is similar to the current ratio, but provides a more conservative assessment of the liquidity position of firms as it excludes inventory, which it does not consider as sufficiently liquid.


'''Cash ratio'''
'''Cash Ratio'''


The cash ratio is a liquidity measure that shows a company's ability to cover its short-term obligations using only cash and cash equivalents.
The cash ratio is a liquidity measure that shows a company's ability to cover its short-term obligations using only cash and cash equivalents.
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A calculation greater than 1 means a company has more cash on hand than current debts, while a calculation less than 1 means a company has more short-term debt than cash.
A calculation greater than 1 means a company has more cash on hand than current debts, while a calculation less than 1 means a company has more short-term debt than cash.
'''Power purchase agreement'''
A power purchase agreement (PPA) is a contract between two parties, one which generates electricity (the seller) and one which is looking to purchase electricity (the buyer). The agreement defines all of the commercial terms for the sale of electricity between the two parties, including when the project will begin commercial operation, schedule for delivery of electricity, penalties for under delivery, payment terms, and termination.
'''Energy capacity'''
The energy capacity is defined as the ability of a material to absorb and store energy.
'''Kilowatt-hour'''
The kilowatt-hour (kWh) is a unit of energy equal to one kilowatt of power sustained for one hour and is commonly used as a measure of electrical energy. One kilowatt-hour is equal to 3600 kilojoules (3.6 megajoules).
'''Powerwall annual cost calculation'''
{| class="wikitable"
|+'''Powerwall annual cost calculation'''
!Description
!Value
!Commentary
|-
|The cost of Powerall
|$10,500
|
|-
|The lifetime of Powewall
|10 years
|The warrant of the product is 10 years, so have assumed that the lifetime of Powerwall is the same (i.e. 10 years).
|-
|The energy capacity of Powerwall
|13.5 kilowatt hour
|
|-
|The average energy requirement of a household in the United States
|29 kWh per day
|
|}
The annual price of the product = the price of the product divided by the lifetime of the product
The annual price of the product = $10,500 / 10 years
The annual price of the product = $1,050
The number of Powerwalls that are required to power a household = the average energy requirement of a household in the United States divided by the energy capacity of Powerwall
The number of Powerwalls that are required to power a household =  29 kWh per day / 13.5 kWh
The number of Powerwalls that are required to power a household =  2.14
The cost for a household to be powered by Powerwalls only = The number of Powerwalls that are required to power a household multiplied by the annual price of the product
The cost for a household to be powered by Powerwalls only = 2.14 x  $1,050
The cost for a household to be powered by Powerwalls only = $2,247


{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
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==References==
==References==
<references />
<references />
<references group="Note" />
[[Category:Thesis]]
[[Category:Equities]]
[[Category:United States]]
__INDEX__
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