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A significant turning point for Aston Martin came in 1947 when the company was acquired by industrialist David Brown. Under Brown's leadership, Aston Martin experienced a revitalization and began a new era of innovation and success. The DB series, starting with the iconic DB2, marked a new design direction and established Aston Martin as a premier luxury sports car manufacturer.
A significant turning point for Aston Martin came in 1947 when the company was acquired by industrialist David Brown. Under Brown's leadership, Aston Martin experienced a revitalization and began a new era of innovation and success. The DB series, starting with the iconic DB2, marked a new design direction and established Aston Martin as a premier luxury sports car manufacturer.


Over the years, Aston Martin continued to evolve and expand its product line-up, introducing notable models such as the DB4, DB5 (famously associated with James Bond), and later the DB9, Vantage, and Vanquish. The brand also ventured into motorsport, achieving notable successes in endurance racing, including multiple victories at the 24 Hours of Le Mans.
Over the years, Aston Martin continued to evolve and expand its product lineup, introducing notable models such as the DB4, DB5 (famously associated with James Bond), and later the DB9, Vantage, and Vanquish. The brand also ventured into motorsport, achieving notable successes in endurance racing, including multiple victories at the 24 Hours of Le Mans.


Throughout its history, Aston Martin has faced challenges, changes in ownership, and fluctuations in the market. However, the brand has remained true to its founding principles of delivering exceptional performance, craftsmanship, and luxury. Today, Aston Martin continues to be a symbol of automotive excellence, renowned for its distinctive design, engineering prowess, and rich heritage.
Throughout its history, Aston Martin has faced challenges, changes in ownership, and fluctuations in the market. However, the brand has remained true to its founding principles of delivering exceptional performance, craftsmanship, and luxury. Today, Aston Martin continues to be a symbol of automotive excellence, renowned for its distinctive design, engineering prowess, and rich heritage.
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Key elements of Aston Martin's mission include:
Key elements of Aston Martin's mission include:


# '''Exquisite Design and Craftsmanship:''' Aston Martin is committed to creating vehicles that showcase meticulous design, exquisite craftsmanship, and attention to detail. By blending traditional handcrafting techniques with advanced technology, Aston Martin aims to deliver cars that are not only visually stunning but also built to the highest standards of quality.
# Exquisite Design and Craftsmanship: Aston Martin is committed to creating vehicles that showcase meticulous design, exquisite craftsmanship, and attention to detail. By blending traditional handcrafting techniques with advanced technology, Aston Martin aims to deliver cars that are not only visually stunning but also built to the highest standards of quality.
# '''Unparalleled Performance:''' Aston Martin vehicles are renowned for their exceptional performance, offering exhilarating driving experiences. Whether on the racetrack or the open road, Aston Martin strives to engineer cars that deliver outstanding power, agility, and handling, reflecting its rich motorsport heritage and relentless pursuit of automotive excellence.
# Unparalleled Performance: Aston Martin vehicles are renowned for their exceptional performance, offering exhilarating driving experiences. Whether on the racetrack or the open road, Aston Martin strives to engineer cars that deliver outstanding power, agility, and handling, reflecting its rich motorsport heritage and relentless pursuit of automotive excellence.
# '''Timeless Elegance:''' Aston Martin vehicles exude timeless elegance, combining classic design cues with modern aesthetics. The brand aims to create cars that transcend trends and stand the test of time, appealing to individuals who appreciate understated luxury and sophistication.
# Timeless Elegance: Aston Martin vehicles exude timeless elegance, combining classic design cues with modern aesthetics. The brand aims to create cars that transcend trends and stand the test of time, appealing to individuals who appreciate understated luxury and sophistication.
# '''Personalisation and Exclusivity:''' Aston Martin recognizes the importance of personalisation and exclusivity, offering customers the ability to tailor their vehicles to their unique preferences. By providing bespoke options and limited production models, Aston Martin seeks to create a sense of exclusivity and individuality for its discerning clientele.
# Personalization and Exclusivity: Aston Martin recognizes the importance of personalization and exclusivity, offering customers the ability to tailor their vehicles to their unique preferences. By providing bespoke options and limited production models, Aston Martin seeks to create a sense of exclusivity and individuality for its discerning clientele.
# '''Commitment to Innovation:''' Aston Martin is dedicated to pushing the boundaries of automotive technology and innovation. The brand continually invests in research and development to incorporate cutting-edge advancements, including electrification and sustainable solutions, while staying true to its core values of performance and luxury.
# Commitment to Innovation: Aston Martin is dedicated to pushing the boundaries of automotive technology and innovation. The brand continually invests in research and development to incorporate cutting-edge advancements, including electrification and sustainable solutions, while staying true to its core values of performance and luxury.
# '''Engaging the Aston Martin Community:''' Aston Martin aims to foster a strong and engaged community of enthusiasts, owners, and fans worldwide. The brand actively cultivates relationships with its customers, organizing exclusive events, driving experiences, and providing exceptional customer service to create a sense of belonging and strengthen the Aston Martin community.
# Engaging the Aston Martin Community: Aston Martin aims to foster a strong and engaged community of enthusiasts, owners, and fans worldwide. The brand actively cultivates relationships with its customers, organizing exclusive events, driving experiences, and providing exceptional customer service to create a sense of belonging and strengthen the Aston Martin community.


Through its mission, Aston Martin aspires to be a globally recognized symbol of automotive excellence, embodying the passion, heritage, and craftsmanship that have defined the brand for over a century.
Through its mission, Aston Martin aspires to be a globally recognized symbol of automotive excellence, embodying the passion, heritage, and craftsmanship that have defined the brand for over a century.
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Aston Martin offers a range of high-performance luxury sports cars and grand tourers that combine stunning design, exceptional performance, and refined craftsmanship. The main offerings of the company include:
Aston Martin offers a range of high-performance luxury sports cars and grand tourers that combine stunning design, exceptional performance, and refined craftsmanship. The main offerings of the company include:


'''1. Sports Cars:'''
1. Sports Cars:
[[File:Aston Martin Sports Car.png|thumb|292x292px|Aston Martin Sports Car]]
[[File:Aston Martin Sports Car.png|thumb|292x292px|Aston Martin Sports Car]]


Aston Martin's sports cars embody the brand's racing heritage and commitment to exhilarating performance. These models are designed for pure driving pleasure, offering precise handling, powerful engines, and dynamic capabilities. Examples of Aston Martin sports cars include the Vantage, DB11, and DBS Superleggera.
Aston Martin's sports cars embody the brand's racing heritage and commitment to exhilarating performance. These models are designed for pure driving pleasure, offering precise handling, powerful engines, and dynamic capabilities. Examples of Aston Martin sports cars include the Vantage, DB11, and DBS Superleggera.


'''2. Grand Tourers:'''
 
 
 
2. Grand Tourers:
[[File:Aston Martin Grand Tourer.png|thumb|Aston Martin Grand Tourer]]
[[File:Aston Martin Grand Tourer.png|thumb|Aston Martin Grand Tourer]]
Aston Martin's grand tourers are designed for long-distance journeys in utmost comfort and style. These models prioritize luxurious interiors, advanced technologies, and high levels of refinement. Grand tourers from Aston Martin include the DB11 and DBS Superleggera Volante, offering open-top driving experiences.  
Aston Martin's grand tourers are designed for long-distance journeys in utmost comfort and style. These models prioritize luxurious interiors, advanced technologies, and high levels of refinement. Grand tourers from Aston Martin include the DB11 and DBS Superleggera Volante, offering open-top driving experiences.  


'''3. Limited Edition and Special Edition Models:'''
 
 
 
3. Limited Edition and Special Edition Models:
[[File:Aston Martin Valkyrie.png|thumb|Aston Martin Valkyrie]]
[[File:Aston Martin Valkyrie.png|thumb|Aston Martin Valkyrie]]
Aston Martin frequently introduces limited edition and special edition models to create exclusivity and cater to collectors and enthusiasts. These unique offerings often feature bespoke design elements, enhanced performance, and limited production numbers. Examples include special editions like the DBS GT Zagato and limited-production models like the Valkyrie hypercar.
Aston Martin frequently introduces limited edition and special edition models to create exclusivity and cater to collectors and enthusiasts. These unique offerings often feature bespoke design elements, enhanced performance, and limited production numbers. Examples include special editions like the DBS GT Zagato and limited-production models like the Valkyrie hypercar.


'''4. Luxury SUV:'''
 
4. Luxury SUV:
[[File:Aston Martin DBX.png|thumb|Aston Martin DBX]]
[[File:Aston Martin DBX.png|thumb|Aston Martin DBX]]
Aston Martin has expanded its portfolio to include a luxury SUV called the DBX. The DBX represents Aston Martin's entry into the SUV segment, combining performance, versatility, and luxury. It offers ample space, advanced technologies, and off-road capabilities while maintaining the brand's signature design and driving experience.
Aston Martin has expanded its portfolio to include a luxury SUV called the DBX. The DBX represents Aston Martin's entry into the SUV segment, combining performance, versatility, and luxury. It offers ample space, advanced technologies, and off-road capabilities while maintaining the brand's signature design and driving experience.


'''5. Electrification:'''
 
 
5. Electrification:


As part of Aston Martin's commitment to sustainability and the future of automotive technology, the company has begun incorporating electrification into its offerings. The Aston Martin Rapide E, an all-electric vehicle, represents the brand's foray into electric powertrains. Aston Martin plans to introduce more electric and hybrid models in the future.
As part of Aston Martin's commitment to sustainability and the future of automotive technology, the company has begun incorporating electrification into its offerings. The Aston Martin Rapide E, an all-electric vehicle, represents the brand's foray into electric powertrains. Aston Martin plans to introduce more electric and hybrid models in the future.
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"Other" refers to prior generation models
"Other" refers to prior generation models
'''How are cars bought at Aston Martin?'''
Buying a car at Aston Martin is a personalized and comprehensive process that focuses on providing customers with a premium experience. Here's an overview of how cars are bought at Aston Martin:
# '''Showroom Visit:''' Prospective buyers typically begin by visiting an Aston Martin showroom. These showrooms are designed to reflect the elegance and luxury associated with the brand. Customers can explore the various models on display, experiencing firsthand the craftsmanship, design, and features of Aston Martin cars.
# '''Consultation and Customisation:''' Aston Martin sales representatives engage in personalized consultations with customers to understand their preferences, requirements, and budget. They provide in-depth information about different models, performance specifications, available options, and customization possibilities. Customers can choose from a range of exterior colors, interior trims, and optional features to create a bespoke Aston Martin tailored to their tastes.
# '''Test Drive:''' To experience the performance and handling of Aston Martin cars, customers are offered test drives. This allows them to get a feel for the vehicle's power, responsiveness, and overall driving experience. Test drives can be arranged at the dealership or during specific events organized by Aston Martin.
# '''Financial Options:''' Aston Martin offers a variety of financial options to help customers purchase their desired vehicles. This may include financing plans, leasing options, and trade-in services. The sales team provides guidance on the available financing solutions, helping customers choose the option that best suits their needs and budget.
# '''Order Placement:''' Once the customer has decided on the specific Aston Martin model and customization details, an order is placed with the dealership. The sales team assists with the necessary paperwork and documentation, ensuring a smooth ordering process.
# '''Production and Delivery:''' After the order is confirmed, the customer's Aston Martin enters the production process. Aston Martin cars are meticulously handcrafted, and the manufacturing time can vary depending on the model and customization requirements. The customer is provided with regular updates on the production progress.
# '''Handover and After-Sales Support:''' When the vehicle is ready, the customer is invited to the dealership for a personalized handover. During this process, the sales team explains the features, controls, and maintenance requirements of the vehicle. They also provide information about the warranty coverage and after-sales support services available.
# '''Ownership Experience:''' Aston Martin aims to provide an exceptional ownership experience beyond the point of purchase. Customers gain access to exclusive events, owner clubs, and personalized support for any inquiries or service needs that may arise during ownership. Aston Martin strives to build long-lasting relationships with their customers, fostering a sense of community and pride in owning an Aston Martin.
The buying process at Aston Martin revolves around delivering a bespoke and unforgettable experience, combining luxury, performance, and exceptional customer service. From consultation to customization, production to handover, Aston Martin ensures that customers receive a seamless and tailored journey when purchasing their dream car.
'''Leasing and Outright Purchase Details'''
At Aston Martin, customers have the option to either lease or outright purchase their vehicles. Both options have their own advantages and considerations, providing customers with flexibility based on their preferences and financial circumstances. Here's an elaboration on leasing vs. outright purchase at Aston Martin:
Leasing:
# Lower Monthly Payments: Leasing typically involves lower monthly payments compared to financing or outright purchasing. This is because the lease payments cover the depreciation of the vehicle during the lease term, rather than the full purchase price.
# Access to Newer Models: Leasing allows customers to regularly upgrade to the latest Aston Martin models. At the end of the lease term, customers can return the vehicle and lease a new one, keeping them at the forefront of automotive technology and design.
# Maintenance and Warranty Coverage: Leased vehicles are often covered by the manufacturer's warranty for the duration of the lease. This provides peace of mind as maintenance and repair costs may be included in the lease agreement, reducing the owner's financial responsibility for routine servicing and certain repairs.
# Flexibility: Leasing offers flexibility at the end of the lease term. Customers can choose to return the vehicle and lease a new one, extend the lease period, or potentially purchase the vehicle outright. This allows customers to evaluate their preferences and financial situation before committing to a long-term ownership arrangement.
Outright Purchase:
# '''Ownership and Equity:''' Purchasing an Aston Martin outright provides full ownership of the vehicle. Owners have the freedom to customize, modify, or sell the car as they see fit. Additionally, as the vehicle is paid off over time, equity is built, offering the potential for a return on investment if the vehicle is sold in the future.
# '''No Mileage Restrictions:''' Lease agreements often come with mileage restrictions to protect the vehicle's value. When purchasing outright, there are no mileage limitations, allowing owners to drive the vehicle without concerns about excess mileage fees or penalties.
# '''Customisation:''' Outright ownership grants customers the freedom to personalize their Aston Martin to their preferences. There are no restrictions on modifications or alterations, enabling owners to create a truly unique and personalized driving experience.
# '''Long-Term Cost Savings:''' While the initial purchase price may be higher when outright buying an Aston Martin, in the long run, purchasing can be more cost-effective. Once the vehicle is fully paid off, owners no longer have monthly payments, unlike leasing, which requires continuous lease payments.
# '''Ownership Duration:''' Outright purchase is ideal for customers who intend to keep their Aston Martin for an extended period. It offers a long-term commitment to owning and enjoying the vehicle without the need for frequent upgrades or lease renewals.
It's important to consider personal preferences, financial circumstances, and individual driving habits when deciding between leasing and outright purchasing an Aston Martin. Consulting with Aston Martin's sales team can provide valuable insights and help customers make an informed decision that aligns with their needs and lifestyle.


== Market ==
== Market ==
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'''Serviceable Available Market'''
'''Serviceable Available Market'''


Here, the serviceable available market (SAM) is defined as the global luxury sports car market, and based on a number of assumptions, it is estimated that the size of the market as of 2023, in terms of revenue, is $655 billion. <ref>[https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/luxury-car-market-report#:~:text=The%20global%20luxury%20car%20market%20size%20was%20estimated%20at%20USD,USD%201%2C046.87%20billion%20by%202030. https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/luxury-car-market-report#:~:text=The%20global%20luxury%20car%20market%20size%20was%20estimated%20at%20USD,USD%201%2C046.87%20billion%20by%202030.]</ref>[[File:Pie chart .png|thumb|Percentage of revenue from different countries]]Aston Martin, a renowned luxury car manufacturer, can take advantage of emerging markets in less developed countries in several ways. First, these markets typically have a burgeoning middle class with increasing disposable income, which could potentially afford and are attracted to luxury items such as Aston Martin cars. Additionally, increasing urbanization often leads to a higher demand for automobiles as infrastructures and road systems improve in these countries. Aston Martin can leverage its strong brand image and reputation for quality to draw in these new potential customers. By entering these markets early, they can also establish a strong presence and consumer loyalty before other luxury car manufacturers, giving them a competitive advantage. Furthermore, labour and production costs may be lower in these countries, enabling the company to potentially reduce costs and increase profits. Lastly, diverse markets provide opportunities for Aston Martin to learn and innovate, considering differing customer needs and preferences, and thereby enhancing their product portfolio and adaptability.
Here, the serviceable available market (SAM) is defined as the global luxury sports car market, and based on a number of assumptions, it is estimated that the size of the market as of 2023, in terms of revenue, is $655 billion. <ref>[https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/luxury-car-market-report#:~:text=The%20global%20luxury%20car%20market%20size%20was%20estimated%20at%20USD,USD%201%2C046.87%20billion%20by%202030. https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/luxury-car-market-report#:~:text=The%20global%20luxury%20car%20market%20size%20was%20estimated%20at%20USD,USD%201%2C046.87%20billion%20by%202030.]</ref>[[File:Pie chart .png|thumb|Percentage of revenue from different countries]]Aston Martin, a renowned luxury car manufacturer, can take advantage of emerging markets in less developed countries in several ways. First, these markets typically have a burgeoning middle class with increasing disposable income, which could potentially afford and are attracted to luxury items such as Aston Martin cars. Additionally, increasing urbanization often leads to a higher demand for automobiles as infrastructures and road systems improve in these countries. Aston Martin can leverage its strong brand image and reputation for quality to draw in these new potential customers. By entering these markets early, they can also establish a strong presence and consumer loyalty before other luxury car manufacturers, giving them a competitive advantage. Furthermore, labor and production costs may be lower in these countries, enabling the company to potentially reduce costs and increase profits. Lastly, diverse markets provide opportunities for Aston Martin to learn and innovate, considering differing customer needs and preferences, and thereby enhancing their product portfolio and adaptability.
== Competition ==
== Competition ==
[[File:Number of cars sold.png|thumb|Comparison of the market share of a few luxury sports car companies]]
[[File:Number of cars sold.png|thumb|Comparison of the market share of a few luxury sports car companies]]
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Having established best in class purchasing and supplier development functions in the high-performance automotive sector and other industries, Lasagni’s career includes roles as Purchasing and Supplier Development Director at Ferrari and Engine Manufacturing Director for Ferrari and Maserati.
Having established best in class purchasing and supplier development functions in the high-performance automotive sector and other industries, Lasagni’s career includes roles as Purchasing and Supplier Development Director at Ferrari and Engine Manufacturing Director for Ferrari and Maserati.


=== Majority Stakeholders in Aston Martin<ref>https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/ASTON-MARTIN-LAGONDA-GLOB-46472778/company/</ref> ===
=== Majority Stakeholders in Aston Martin ===
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|308
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== Financials ==
== Financials ==
'''Most recent quarter'''
'''Most recent quarter'''


The first quarter financial results for 2023 indicate a positive trajectory for the company's revenue, which has increased by 27% year-on-year, reaching £296 million. This revenue growth can be primarily attributed to the successful mix dynamics from the DBX707 and V12 Vantage, increased volumes and robust pricing dynamics in the core portfolio. Furthermore, there was a year-on-year increase in the Aston Martin Valkyrie programme deliveries, with the company delivering 18 vehicles in the first quarter of 2023, compared to 14 in the same period in 2022.
First quarter results for the three months to 31 March 2023:


In terms of gross profit, there has been a 21% year-on-year increase, amounting to £102 million in 2023, compared to £84 million in 2022. This occurred despite a slight decrease in the gross margin from 36% in Q1 2022 to 34% in Q1 2023. The gross profit increase is primarily due to the favourable mix and higher volumes of core models. However, this increase was offset by heightened expenses in manufacturing, logistics, and other costs.
* Revenue increased by 27% year-on-year to £296m primarily driven by
** favourable mix dynamics from the DBX707 and V12 Vantage, higher volumes and strong pricing dynamics in the core portfolio
** higher year-on-year Aston Martin Valkyrie programme deliveries (18 vehicles compared to 14 in Q1 2022)


The operating loss in this quarter was £51 million, which included a significant £19 million year-on-year increase in depreciation and amortisation. This increase was predominantly driven by higher Aston Martin Valkyrie programme deliveries and the continuing accelerated amortisation of capitalised development costs, in preparation for the introduction of the next generation of sports cars in 2023.
* Gross profit increased by 21% year-on-year to £102m (Q1 2022: £84m), with gross margin of 34% (Q1 2022: 36%). The increase in gross profit was primarily driven by favourable mix and higher volumes of core models, partially offset by higher manufacturing, logistics and other costs.
* Operating loss of £51m included a £19m year-on-year increase in depreciation and amortisation, driven by higher Aston Martin Valkyrie programme deliveries and the continuing accelerated amortisation of capitalised development costs ahead of next generation of sports cars starting in 2023
* Loss before tax of £74m (Q1 2022: loss of £112m) included lower year-on-year net financing charges due to a positive non-cash FX revaluation impact


The pre-tax loss for the first quarter of 2023 was £74 million, which is lower than the £112 million loss reported in Q1 2022. The reduction in loss is due to lower year-on-year net financing charges, influenced by a beneficial non-cash foreign exchange revaluation
{| class="wikitable"
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|+
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!% change
!% change
|-
|-
|Revenue (£m)
!Revenue (£m)
|295.9
|295.9
|232.7
|232.7
|27.2
|27.2
|-
|-
|Gross Profit (£m)
!Gross Profit (£m)
|101.9
|101.9
|84
|84
|21.3
|21.3
|-
|-
|Gross Margin (%)
!Gross Margin (%)
|34.4
|34.4
|36.1
|36.1
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|
|
|-
|-
|Operating Profit (£m)
!Operating Profit (£m)
| -50.9
| -50.9
| -47.7
| -47.7
| -6.7
| -6.7
|-
|-
|Net Profit before tax (£m)
!Net Profit before tax (£m)
| -74.2
| -74.2
| -111.6
| -111.6
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!FY-18
!FY-18
|-
|-
|Revenue (£m)
!Revenue (£m)
|1381.5
|1381.5
|1095.3
|1095.3
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|1096.5
|1096.5
|-
|-
|Gross Profit (£m)
!Gross Profit (£m)
|450.7
|450.7
|343.7
|343.7
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|435.8
|435.8
|-
|-
|Gross Margin (%)
!Gross Margin (%)
|32.6
|32.6
|31.4
|31.4
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|
|
|-
|-
|Operating Profit (£m)
!Operating Profit (£m)
| -141.8
| -141.8
| -76.5
| -76.5
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|72.8
|72.8
|-
|-
|Net Profit (£m)
!Net Profit (£m)
| -527.7
| -527.7
| -189.3
| -189.3
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!FY-18
!FY-18
|-
|-
|Total Assets (£m)  
!Total Assets (£m)  
|3,104.3
|3,104.3
|2,842.5
|2,842.5
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|1,970.2
|1,970.2
|-
|-
|Total Liabilities (£m)  
!Total Liabilities (£m)  
|2,331.8
|2,331.8
|2,182.1
|2,182.1
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|1,520.8
|1,520.8
|-
|-
|Net Assets (£m)
!Net Assets (£m)
|772.5
|772.5
|660.4
|660.4
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|449.4
|449.4
|}
|}
In the Fiscal Year of 2022, noteworthy improvements were seen in financial performance with a significant increase in revenue and gross profit. The company's total annual revenue surged by 26% to £1.4 billion, driven primarily by favourable pricing dynamics and a robust product mix within the core portfolio. In addition, fourth-quarter revenue saw a substantial growth of 46% year-on-year to reach £524 million.
'''FY-22 Highlights'''


The year was marked by considerable progress, with the core Average Selling Price (ASP) for the fiscal year showing a surge of 18% from £150,000 in FY-21 to £177,000 in FY-22. This upward trend was also reflected in the fourth quarter of the year, where the core ASP climbed 21% to £184,000 from £152,000 in the same period in the previous year.
* Revenue increased by 26% year-on-year to £1.4bn and Q4 revenue increased by 46% year-on-year to £524m driven by:
 
** Strong pricing dynamics and favourable mix in the core portfolio:
Contributing to this impressive growth was the successful delivery of 80 Aston Martin Valkyrie programme vehicles throughout 2022, with 36 of these deliveries occurring in the fourth quarter. Moreover, the weakening of the GBP against major currencies led to an advantageous foreign exchange environment for ASPs.
*** FY-22 core average selling price (ASP) of £177k, up 18% from £150k in FY-22
 
*** Q4 2022 core ASP of £184k, up 21% from £152k in Q4 2021
The company's gross profit was another area of noteworthy progress, having increased by 31% year-on-year to £451 million. This is a marked increase from £344 million in 2021, and the gross margin also showed improvement, rising to 33% from 31% in the previous year. This positive change was a result of improved pricing and gross margin for core models, although the impact was somewhat offset by a decrease in the gross margin for Special models.
** 80 Aston Martin Valkyrie programme deliveries during 2022, including 36 in Q4
 
** Foreign exchange tailwinds for ASPs due to GBP weakness versus major currencies
However, the year was not without its challenges. The company recorded an operating loss of £142 million, primarily due to a £96 million year-on-year increase in depreciation and amortisation costs. These costs were largely driven by increased deliveries of the Aston Martin Valkyrie programme and accelerated amortisation of capitalised development costs ahead of the launch of the next generation of sports cars.
* Gross profit increased by 31% year-on-year to £451m (2021: £344m) and gross margin increased to 33% (2021: 31%), reflecting improved pricing and gross margin for core models, partially offset by the impact of lower year-on-year gross margin within Specials
 
* Operating loss of £142m included a £96m year-on-year increase in depreciation and amortisation, primarily driven by higher year-on- year Aston Martin Valkyrie programme deliveries and, to a lesser extent, by accelerated amortisation of capitalised development costs ahead of the next generation of sports car launches
The net loss for the year stood at £528 million, significantly impacted by a £156 million negative non-cash foreign exchange revaluation of US dollar-denominated debt, as the GBP significantly weakened against the US dollar over the course of the year.
* Net loss of £528m was materially impacted by a £156m negative non-cash FX revaluation of US dollar-denominated debt as the GBP weakened significantly against the US dollar during the year


'''Financial Forecasts'''
'''Financial Forecasts'''
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
!Income Statement
!Income Statement
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!FY-24
!FY-24
!FY-25
!FY-25
!FY-26
!FY-27
|-
|-
|Revenue (£m)
!Revenue (£m)
|1630.2
|1621.3
|1858.4
|1819.5
|2081.4
|2063.8
|2289.5
|2404.0
|-
|-
|Gross Profit (£m)
!Gross Profit (£m)
|554.3
|599.9
|659.7
|709.6
|749.3
|825.5
|847.1
|913.5
|-
|-
|Gross Margin (%)
!Gross Margin (%)
|34%
|37
|36%
|39
|36%
|40
|37%
|38%
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|-
|-
|EBIT(£m)
!Net Profit (£m)
| -114.1
| -195.4
| 65.0
| -82.7
|187.3
|71.6
|229.0
|264.4
|}
|}
Forecast highlights:
The financial forecast highlights a promising trajectory for the company over the next few years. Revenue is projected to exhibit steady growth over the three fiscal years from 2023 to 2027. It is anticipated to surge from £1,630.2 million in the fiscal year 2023 to an impressive £2,404.0 million in 2027. This reflects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.8%.


Simultaneously, the company's gross profit is set to improve significantly. It is predicted to escalate from £554.3 million in the fiscal year 2023 to a substantial £913.5 million in 2025.
Moreover, the company's gross margin is on a progressive path, forecasted to achieve the corporate target of 40% in 2025. This is a reflection of consistent year-on-year growth and the result of the company's strategic move to raise its average selling price. This adjustment is in response to the company's transition into the ultra-luxury segment of the market.
Finally, the forecast predicts a remarkable turnaround in net profits. By 2025, the company is expected to return to profitability, estimating a net profit of £71.6 million. This overall positive financial outlook serves as an encouraging indicator of the company's potential in the coming years.
== Risks ==
== Risks ==


Line 665: Line 630:
* If Aston Martin is not able to maintain a unique identity with its products, it will find it a lot more difficult to differentiate itself from its competitors, and the demand base could deteriorate. C2
* If Aston Martin is not able to maintain a unique identity with its products, it will find it a lot more difficult to differentiate itself from its competitors, and the demand base could deteriorate. C2
* Aston Martin may face increased costs due to supply chain issues or adverse macroeconomic conditions. Hiked interest rates to combat inflation result in increased debt. C3
* Aston Martin may face increased costs due to supply chain issues or adverse macroeconomic conditions. Hiked interest rates to combat inflation result in increased debt. C3
* An inability to shift a sufficient share of its sales to electric vehicles by 2035 would mean that maintaining the sales volume in the EU will no longer be possible, under the EU's 2035 ban on combustion engine vehicle sales<ref>https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/headlines/economy/20221019STO44572/eu-ban-on-sale-of-new-petrol-and-diesel-cars-from-2035-explained</ref>. C2
* An inability to shift a sufficient share of its sales to electric vehicles by 2035 would mean that maintaining the sales volume in the EU will no longer be possible, under the EU's 2035 ban on combustion engine vehicle sales. C2


=== Risks related to the company's operations ===
=== Risks related to the company's operations ===


* Aston Martin is supplied powertrains and electric/electronics architecture, for some of its products, by Mercedes-Benz AMG. Any disruption to Mercedes' production could pose a limiting-factor risk to AML's production efficiency strategy.<ref>https://www.autoblog.com/2021/08/20/aston-martin-amg-v8-supply/?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAADGFzwuKNfSFeGptOhLFwfmGX0E5TjeZrUCLE59IsSl8GUcY8tOUWFojX2nIR5bp3GqV2pt_Vct-VVKE_sJuqrnhUZJZm4L-TkszaeyuHP0gUmwYtEk-E5U29p5bHYHp1alii4wZPVO_JRec9jxjGbgw1LAKuCtkkf71ZUfTF-nX</ref> C1
* Aston Martin is supplied powertrains and electric/electronics architecture, for some of its products, by Mercedes-Benz AMG. Any disruption to Mercedes' production could pose a limiting-factor risk to AML's production efficiency strategy. C1


* Aston Martin faces risks associated with maintaining and expanding its international operations, including unfavourable and uncertain regulatory, political, economic, tax and labour conditions. B1
* Aston Martin faces risks associated with maintaining and expanding its international operations, including unfavourable and uncertain regulatory, political, economic, tax and labour conditions. B1
Line 725: Line 690:
== Valuation ==
== Valuation ==


=== What's the expected return of an investment in the company? ===
== References ==
The Stockhub users estimate that the expected return of an investment in Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc over the next five years is '''negative 15%'''. This value was arrived at through the use an intrinsic valuation in the form of a discounted cash flow model and a relative valuation by conducting comparable company analysis.
 
Assuming that a suitable return level of five years is 10% per year (based of the S&P 500 returns) and Aston Martin Lagonda achieves its return level of negative 15%, then the company can be considered 'overvalued'.
 
=== What are the assumptions used to estimate the return? ===
 
==== Key Inputs ====
{| class="wikitable"
|+
!Description
!Value
!Commentary
|-
|Valuation Model
|Discounted Cash Flow and Comparable Company Analysis
|Two main approaches can be used to estimate the value of an investment:
 
# One form of intrinsic valuation is the discounted cash flow model where future cash flows are discounted to the present value.
# Comparing key financial metrics of the company to other similar investment
 
Research has suggested that to estimate  the expected return of an investment over a long-term investment horizon, a discounted cash flow model provides an accurate projection. For completeness a comparable company analysis has been conducted, however the accuracy of the analysis is limited due to the fact that very public companies operate in the same market segment as Aston Martin with the majority of luxury car brands falling under larger parent companies.
 
|-
|Financial Projections
|Stockhub, CapitalIQ <ref>https://www.capitaliq.com/CIQDotNet/Financial/IncomeStatement.aspx?CompanyId=111528564&statekey=69d310453ee44151ae14e948d1930696</ref>,  Yahoo Finance<ref>https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/</ref>
|To improve the reliability of financial projections, a mixture of sources was used when projecting key financial metrics such as revenue. However, most analyst projections only predicted the first two years and therefore further projections were made using the Stockhub user's understanding of the company and long-term predictions.
|-
|Discount Rate
|WACC
|<ref>https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/wacc.asp</ref>The weighted average cost of capital was used as the discount rate as it expresses the return that both bondholders and shareholders demand to provide the company with capital. The cost of equity and cost of debt have been calculated in the tables provied below using values taken from the company's financial statements, beta for the stock, and expected market returns.
|}
 
=== Discounted Cash Flow Model ===
{| class="wikitable"
|+
| colspan="12" |Current Share Price: 3.21
|-
!''£ million''
! colspan="5" |''Historical''
! colspan="5" |''Projected''
!
|-
!
!2018
!2019
!2020
!2021
!2022
!2023
!2024
!2025
!2026
!2027
!Notes
|-
! colspan="12" |Income Statement
|-
|Revenue
|1096.5
|997.3
|611.8
|1095.3
|1381.5
|1630.2
|1858.4
|2081.4
|2289.5
|2404.0
|Projections based of Stockhub user's opinion as well as analyst projections from CapitalIQ and Yahoo Finance
|-
|''% growth''
|25%
| -9%
| -39%
|79%
|26%
|18%
|14%
|12%
|10%
|5%
|High investment from previous years into a new factory and electric vehicles likely to cause significant increases in revenue during the first few years before subsiding.
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Cost Of Goods Sold
|660.7
|642.7
|500.7
|751.6
|930.8
|1075.9
|1198.7
|1332.1
|1442.4
|1490.5
|
|-
| ''% of revenue''
|60%
|64%
|82%
|69%
|67%
|66%
|65%
|64%
|63%
|62%
|Used previous years as a starting point however a key goal for new chairmen Lawrence Stroll is to reduce costs and increase overall profitability which is demonstrated by the decreasing cost of goods sold as a proportion of revenue.
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Gross Profit
|435.8
|354.6
|111.1
|343.7
|450.7
|554.3
|659.7
|749.3
|847.1
|913.5
|
|-
| ''% of revenue''
|40%
|36%
|18%
|31%
|33%
|34%
|36%
|36%
|37%
|38%
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Selling General & Admin Exp.
|        310.0
|        331.3
|        336.7
|                           419.3
|                           570.0
|668.4
|594.7
|562.0
|618.2
|649.1
|Aston Martin reports D&A within this expense band. High D&A linked to the Valkyrie R&D is highly prevalent in the first yeasrs of projection but these costs are likely to reduce in the future alongside cost cutting measures.
|-
| ''% of revenue''
|28%
|33%
|55%
|38%
|41%
|41%
|32%
|27%
|27%
|27%
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Total Operating Expenses
|290.0
|350.3
|336.7
|419.3
|570.0
|668.4
|594.7
|562.0
|618.2
|649.1
|
|-
| ''% of revenue''
|''26%''
|''35%''
|''55%''
|''38%''
|''41%''
|''41%''
|''32%''
|''27%''
|''27%''
|''27%''
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Operating Income/ EBIT
|145.8
|4.3
| -225.6
| -75.6
| -119.3
| -114.1
|65.0
|187.3
|229.0
|264.4
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|EBITDA
|245.8
|139
| -68.8
|133.7
|188.8
|239.9
|394.0
|480.3
|549.5
|601.0
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Tax Expense
|(11.10)
|0.10
|(55.50)
|(24.50)
|32.70
|8.0
|4.6
|35.6
|43.5
|50.2
|Over the past years Aston Martin has not generated positive earnigns and hence have not paid Tax. The effective tax rate at 7.3% differs from the 19% standard UK tax rate mainly due to movement in unprovided deferred tax and derecognition of deferred tax related to losses, accelerated capital allowances and a restriction on the amount of interest that can be deducted for tax purposes. Hence for the final years of projection when the company becomes profitable, the tax rate is raised to 19%.
|-
| ''Effective tax rate''
|''16%''
|''0%''
|''12%''
|''11%''
|''-7%''
|''7%''
|''7%''
|''19%''
|''19%''
|''19%''
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|EBIAT
|
|
|
|
|
| -        122.1
|           60.5
|         151.7
|         185.5
|          214.2
|Earnings before interest and after tax
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
! colspan="12" |Cashflow
|-
|D&A
|100
|134.7
|156.8
|209.3
|308.1
|354.0
|329.0
|293.0
|320.5
|336.6
|D&A costs are high, primarily driven by higher year-onyear Aston Martin Valkyrie programme deliveries and, to a lesser extent, by accelerated amortisation of capitalised development costs ahead of the next generation of sports car launches. However this has again been projected to decrease in later years due to effects from the Valkyrie programme becoming negligable.
|-
| ''% of revenue''
|''9%''
|''14%''
|''26%''
|''19%''
|''22%''
|''22%''
|''18%''
|''14%''
|''14%''
|''14%''
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Capital Expenditure
| -101.9
| -82.2
| -81
| -40.7
| -58.6
| -244.5
| -278.8
| -208.1
| -229.0
| -192.3
|Significant increase in capital expenditure has been experienced in past 3 years related to future product launches, as well as adverse movements in working capital, which were impacted by supply chain and logistics disruptions. This expenditure is likely to remain high from future electric car launches however forcasted to decreases to pre-pandemic levels.<ref>https://www.astonmartin.com/-/media/corporate/documents/annual-reports/aston_martin_annual_report_2022.pdf?rev=6a462584d1c54890a85a324a2663c3d7&hash=9A3C425CE6101D99D4249E882AA19A4F</ref>
|-
| ''% of revenue''
|''9%''
|''8%''
|''13%''
|''4%''
|''4%''
|''15%''
|''15%''
|''10%''
|''10%''
|''8%''
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Change in NWC
| -43.5
|5.3
|16.3
| -46.8
| -34.9
|48.9
|55.8
|62.4
|68.7
|72.1
|Simple average was taken spanning 8 years into the past.
|-
|% of revenue
| ''-4%''
|''1%''
|''3%''
| ''-4%''
| ''-3%''
|''3%''
|''3%''
|''3%''
|''3%''
|''3%''
|
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''<u>Unlevered  FCF</u>'''
|
|
|
|
|
|'''<u>-61.53</u>'''
|  '''<u>54.98</u>'''
|  '''<u>174.15</u>'''
|  '''<u>208.35</u>'''
|  '''<u>286.32</u>'''
|
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|+
!WACC
!
!Notes
|-
|'''Weights'''
|
|
|-
|Total Debt
|1200.5
|
|-
|Market Cap
|2430
|
|-
|Total
|3630.5
|
|-
|Wd
|0.33
|Weight of debt calculated as the total debt as a proportion of total capital.
|-
|We
|0.67
|Weight of equity calculated as the market cap as a proportion of total capital
|-
|
|
|
|-
|'''Debt'''
|
|
|-
|Total Debt
|1200.5
|Cost of debt was calculated by taking interest expenses from the income statement and dividing this by the total debt making note of the fact that debt is a tax deductable item.
|-
|Interest Expense
| -201.9
|
|-
|Rate
|17%
|
|-
|Effective Tax Rate
|7%
|
|-
|Rd(1-t)
|15.6%
|
|-
|
|
|
|-
|'''Equity'''
|
|
|-
|Risk Free Rate
|4.5%
|Capital asset pricing model was used to calculate the cost of equity. Risk free rate of the UK Gilt Yield was used.
|-
|Beta
|2.05
|Beta for the stock was found from Yahoo Finance<ref>https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/</ref>
|-
|Market Rate
|10%
|Current market rate was calculated as the average returns of teh S&P 500 over the past 50 years.
|-
|Re
|15.8%
|
|-
|
|
|
|-
|'''<u>Discount Rate</u>'''
|'''<u>15.73%</u>'''
|
|-
|'''<u>Perpetuity Growth Rate</u>'''
|'''<u>2.0%</u>'''
|A perpetuity growth rate of 2% was used as this is sufficiently low to ensure that the company is not projected to increase in size far faster than the global economy in the very long term.
|}
{| class="wikitable"
!DCF
!
!2023
!2024
!2025
!2026
!2027
!Terminal Value (Perpetuity Growth)
!Notes
|-
|''£ million''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|FCF
|
| -          61.5
|           55.0
|         174.2
|         208.3
|          286.3
|              2,127.0
|The terminal value of the company was calculated using the Gordon Growth Model<ref>https://einvestingforbeginners.com/terminal-value-gordon-growth-model-daah/</ref>.
|-
|PV of FCF
|354.29
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Terminal Value
|                     2,126.96
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|NPV of TV
|1024.52
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Enterprise Value
|1378.81
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Net Debt
| 520.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Equity Value
|1899.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|Shares Out
|698
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|'''<u>Equity Value per Share</u>'''
|'''<u>2.72</u>'''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|<u>Current share price</u>
|<u>3.21</u>
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|''Difference''
| ''-15%''
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|}
 
=== Sensitivity Analysis ===
A sensitivity analysis was also conducted to reflect how changes in the required rate of return and perpetuity growth rate would affect the intrinsic value of the company.
{| class="wikitable"
!
! colspan="6" |Perpetuity Growth
|-
! rowspan="8" |WACC
!$2.72
!1.0%
!1.5%
!2.0%
!2.5%
!3.0%
|-
!14.5%
|£2.84
|£2.90
|£2.98
|£3.06
|£3.14
|-
!15.0%
|£2.74
|£2.80
|£2.87
|£2.94
|£3.02
|-
!15.5%
|£2.65
|£2.70
|£2.77
|£2.83
|£2.90
|-
!15.7%
|£2.61
|£2.67
|'''£2.73'''
|£2.79
|£2.86
|-
!16.0%
|£2.56
|£2.62
|£2.67
|£2.73
|£2.80
|-
!16.5%
|£2.48
|£2.53
|£2.58
|£2.64
|£2.70
|-
!17.0%
|£2.41
|£2.46
|£2.50
|£2.55
|£2.61
|}
 
=== Relative Valuation ===
 
A relative valuation has been undertaken by using key metrics such as EV/Revenue and EV/EBITDA and comparing these across companies operating in the automotive industry. There are certain limitations to such a model; one key limitation of the model is how sensitive the final valuation is to the EV multiple. Due to the value of this multiple varying greatly between the car companies below, it is hard to land on an exact value which can be considered reliable. Similarly most car companies operating in the same segment as Aston Martin such as Porsche, Lamborghini , has been purchased by a larger parent company such as Volkswagen. Despite Aston Martin operating exclusively in the luxury car market, most other car manufactures operate across a much wider market and thus have vastly different factors driving their multiples. The most similar car company to Aston Martin would be Ferrari however due to the considerably prestige and history associated with the Ferrari brand, the company is able to operate in a manner which leads to considerably higher EV/Revenue and EV/EBITDA multiples. It must also be noted that outliers were excluded from averages such as Tesla with a EV/EBITDA of 50.72x.
{| class="wikitable"
|+Comparable Company Analysis
|-
!
! colspan="6" |'''''Market Data'''''
!
! colspan="2" |''Financials''
!
! colspan="2" |''Valuation''
|-
|Company
|Ticker
|Share Price
|Shares Out
|Equity Value
|Net Debt
|Enterprise Value
|
|Revenue
|EBITDA
|
|EV/ Revenue
|EV/EBITDA
|-
|<u>Aston Martin Lagonda Global  Holdings plc</u>
|<u>LSE:AML</u>
|<u>3</u>
|<u>699</u>
|<u>2243</u>
|<u>520</u>
|<u>2763</u>
|
|<u>1834</u>
|<u>189</u>
|
|<u>1.51x</u>
|<u>14.64x</u>
|-
|Ferrari N.V.
|NYSE:RACE
|314
|181
|56843
|1340
|58183
|
|5799
|1718
|
|10.03x
|33.87x
|-
|Bayerische Motoren Werke  Aktiengesellschaft
|XTRA:BMW
|117
|641
|75215
|81934
|157148
|
|161113
|23949
|
|0.98x
|6.56x
|-
|Mercedes-Benz Group AG
|XTRA:MBG
|78
|1070
|82995
|94353
|177348
|
|165843
|23901
|
|1.07x
|7.42x
|-
|Volkswagen AG
|XTRA:VOW3
|132
|501
|66086
|171675
|237761
|
|317966
|31371
|
|0.75x
|7.58x
|-
|Renault SA
|ENXTPA:RNO
|41
|271
|11058
|45602
|56660
|
|50392
|5099
|
|1.12x
|11.11x
|-
|Stellantis N.V.
|BIT:STLAM
|17
|3169
|54670
| -23902
|30769
|
|195082
|27584
|
|0.16x
|1.12x
|-
|KABE Group AB
|OM:KABE B
|21
|9
|193
| -29
|164
|
|351
|29
|
|0.47x
|5.59x
|-
|China Motor Corporation
|TWSE:2204
|3
|554
|1733
| -149
|1584
|
|1001
|87
|
|1.58x
|18.12x
|-
|Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
|TSE:7267
|30
|1649
|49083
|27144
|76228
|
|117252
|14742
|
|0.65x
|5.17x
|-
|Tesla, Inc.
|NasdaqGS:TSLA
|272
|3170
|862072
| -16828
|845244
|
|86035
|16666
|
|9.82x
|50.72x
|}
{| class="wikitable"
!Aston  Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Valuation
!EV/ Revenue
!EV/EBITDA
|-
|Ratio
|1.47x
|10.73x
|-
|Implied Enterprise Value
|2690.8
|2025.1
|-
|Net Debt
|520
|520
|-
|Implied Market Value
|2170
|1505
|-
|Shares Outstanding
|698.8
|698.8
|-
|Implied Value Per Share
|£3.11
|£2.15
|-
|'''Average'''
| '''£2.63'''
|
|-
|Current share price
|3.21
|
|-
|''Difference''
|''-18%''
|
|}
 
== References and notes ==
__INDEX__
__INDEX__
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