Editing BAE Systems plc

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==== Expected Return on Investment ====
==== Expected Return on Investment ====
The Stockhub users estimate that the expected return of an investment in BAE Systems plc over the next five years is  '''31%'''. This value was arrived at through the use of an intrinsic valuation in the form of a discounted cash flow model.
The Stockhub users estimate that the expected return of an investment in BAE Systems plc over the next five years is  '''31%'''. This value was arrived at through the use an intrinsic valuation in the form of a discounted cash flow model.


Assuming that a suitable return level of five years is 10% per year (based of the S&P 500 returns) and BAE Systems achieves its return level of '''31%''', then the company can be considered as '''undervalued'''.
Assuming that a suitable return level of five years is 10% per year (based of the S&P 500 returns) and BAE Systems achieves its return level of '''31%''', then the company can be considered as '''undervalued'''.
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==== Notes on projections ====
==== Notes on projections ====
Revenue projections were adapted from Capital IQ's estimates, and cross-checked with Yahoo Finance.
The COGS margin was projected by taking the average of COGS margins from 2017 onwards, as there seems to have been a stabilisation after this year.
The Selling General & Admin Expenses, Depreciation and Amortisation, Other Operating Expenses and the Tax Expenses were projected by applying average of each respective margin over the historical period and applying it to each forecast year.
Amortisation of Goodwill and Intangibles was projected as growing from 1.1% to 1.5% to model the steady increase in its margin seen in the historical period.
* <small>Note: Upon cross-check with BAE System's Annual Report, Capital IQ presents the true depreciation expense as "Depreciation and Amortisation", and the true Amortisation Expense as "Amortisation of Goodwill and Intangibles".</small>
Capital Expenditure was taken as having a steady 3% margin, seen from the recent step up in its value (2021, 2022)
Change in NWC was projected by taking the average of the non-negative margins from the historical data, and applying this average as the margin for each forecast year.


==== Calculation of the discount rate (WACC) ====
==== Calculation of the discount rate (WACC) ====
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==== Expected Return on Investment ====
==== Expected Return on Investment ====
The Stockhub users estimate that the expected return of an investment in BAE Systems plc over the next five years is  '''15%'''. This value was arrived at through the use of a relative valuation method in the form of a comparable company analysis.
Details
 
Assuming that BAE Systems achieves its return level of '''15%''', then the company can be considered as '''undervalued'''.


==== Comparable company analysis ====
==== Comparable company analysis ====
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