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=== Operating expenses ===
=== Operating expenses ===
Freetrade, in an effort to boost its platform's user adoption, has implemented an incentive scheme: they are providing free shares - valued up to £100 - to both those who bring in new users through successful referrals, as well as to the new users themselves.<ref>https://freetrade.io/legal/summer-freeshare-offer</ref> These complimentary shares have a weighted average value of £23.35. This means that the cost Freetrade incurs for acquiring each new user under this program is £46.70. The table below presents the average probability distribution of these free shares.
Freetree, in an effort to boost its platform's user adoption, has implemented an incentive scheme: they are providing free shares - valued up to £100 - to both those who bring in new users through successful referrals, as well as to the new users themselves.<ref>https://freetrade.io/legal/summer-freeshare-offer</ref> These complimentary shares have a weighted average value of £23.35. This means that the cost Freetrade incurs for acquiring each new user under this program is £46.70. The table below presents the average probability distribution of these free shares.
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|+Free share probability
|+Free share probability
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|What's the estimated annual growth rate of the total addressable market over the lifecycle of the company?
|What's the estimated annual growth rate of the total addressable market over the lifecycle of the company?
|3%
|3%
|Research shows that the growth rate of the global brokerage market (i.e. the total addressable market) is similar to the growth rate of global gross domestic product, which has averaged (medium) around 3% per year in the last 20 years (2001 to 2022)<ref>https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/WLD/world/gdp-growth-rate</ref>.
|Research shows that the growth rate of the global automotive market (i.e. the total addressable market) is similar to the growth rate of global gross domestic product<ref>http://www.robertpicard.net/files/econgrowthandadvertising.pdf</ref>, which has averaged (medium) around 3% per year in the last 20 years (2001 to 2022)<ref>https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/WLD/world/gdp-growth-rate</ref>.
|-
|-
|What's the estimated company peak market share?
|What's the estimated company peak market share?
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=== Early-stage investment ===
=== Early-stage investment ===
Freetrade is at one of the earliest stages of the business lifecycle, and the failure rate of companies at that stage is usually much higher than those at a later stage. As of 2022, 57% of companies that are incorporated in the United Kingdom fail within the first five years of the companies incorporation, according to the Office for National Statistics.<ref>https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/business/activitysizeandlocation/bulletins/businessdemography/2020#the-south-west-continued-to-have-the-highest-five-year-survival-rate</ref> We note that Freetrade is more than seven years old.
Freetrade is at one of the earliest stages of the business lifecycle, and the failure rate of companies at that stage is usually much higher than those at a later stage. As of 2022, 57% of companies that are incorporated in the United Kingdom fail within the first five years of the companies incorporation, according to the Office for National Statistics.<ref>https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/business/activitysizeandlocation/bulletins/businessdemography/2020#the-south-west-continued-to-have-the-highest-five-year-survival-rate</ref>


=== Illiquid investment ===
=== Illiquid investment ===
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