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UBS Group AG
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=== Disocunted Cash Flow (DCF) === Outlined below is the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis for UBS Group AG. The computations have been performed using Bloomberg Terminal. '''Assumptions:''' * Revenue Growth Rate: 0% * Operating Margin: 28.87% * Tax Rate: 21% * Discount Rate (WACC): 8.19% * Terminal Growth Rate: 2% ==== Forecast Period: 5 years Calculate ==== ==== Free Cash Flows (FCF) ==== {| class="wikitable" !Year !Revenue !Operating Income !EBT !Taxes !NOPAT !Depreciation & Amortization !Operating Cash Flow !CAPEX !Working Capital Changes !Free Cash Flow |- |2022 |$33,270,000,000 |$9,609,369,900 |$9,609,369,900 |$2,018,167,879 |$7,591,202,021 |$2,061,000,000 |$9,652,202,021 | -$1,643,000,000 |$18,228,000,000 |$29,237,202,021 |- |2023 |$33,270,000,000 |$9,609,369,900 |$9,609,369,900 |$2,018,167,879 |$7,591,202,021 |$2,061,000,000 |$9,652,202,021 | -$1,643,000,000 |$18,228,000,000 |$29,237,202,021 |- |2024 |$33,270,000,000 |$9,609,369,900 |$9,609,369,900 |$2,018,167,879 |$7,591,202,021 |$2,061,000,000 |$9,652,202,021 | -$1,643,000,000 |$18,228,000,000 |$29,237,202,021 |- |2025 |$33,270,000,000 |$9,609,369,900 |$9,609,369,900 |$2,018,167,879 |$7,591,202,021 |$2,061,000,000 |$9,652,202,021 | -$1,643,000,000 |$18,228,000,000 |$29,237,202,021 |- |2026 |$33,270,000,000 |$9,609,369,900 |$9,609,369,900 |$2,018,167,879 |$7,591,202,021 |$2,061,000,000 |$9,652,202,021 | -$1,643,000,000 |$18,228,000,000 |$29,237,202,021 |} ==== Discount Cash Flows ==== {| class="wikitable" !Year !FCF !PV Factor !Discounted FCF |- |2022 |$29,237,202,021 |0.9252 |$27,024,994,009 |- |2023 |$29,237,202,021 |0.8526 |$24,907,452,724 |- |2024 |$29,237,202,021 |0.7844 |$22,962,979,085 |- |2025 |$29,237,202,021 |0.7202 |$20,927,732,983 |- |2026 |$29,237,202,021 |0.6597 |$19,313,711,550 |- |TV |$493,077,739,961 |0.6597 |$325,224,847,288 |} ==== Calculation Results ==== {| class="wikitable" !Calculation Results !Values |- |Equity Value |$311,028,340,331 |- |Per Share Value |$36.43 |- |Current Stock Value |$23.73 |- !Upside |'''53.5%''' |} ==== Sensitivity analysis ==== {| class="wikitable" ! colspan="2" rowspan="2" |Sensitivity Analysis ! colspan="7" |Perpetuity Growth Rate |- |0.20% |0.70% |1.20% |1.70% |2.20% |2.70% |3.20% |- ! rowspan="6" |WACC |7.0% |$33.77 |$34.60 |$35.46 |$36.37 |$37.33 |$38.34 |$39.41 |- |7.5% |$32.98 |$33.70 |$34.46 |$35.27 |$36.13 |$37.04 |$38.00 |- |8.0% |$32.24 |$32.83 |$33.47 |$34.16 |$34.89 |$35.68 |$36.51 |- |8.5% |$31.55 |$32.01 |$32.52 |$33.08 |$33.70 |$34.37 |$35.10 |- |9.0% |$30.90 |$31.26 |$31.67 |$32.12 |$32.63 |$33.18 |$33.79 |- |9.5% |$30.28 |$30.55 |$30.87 |$31.24 |$31.66 |$32.13 |$32.67 |}
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